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Thread: Dan Druff's MLB picks 2019

  1. #101
    Lost with Baltimore yet again, but let's try one more time.

    In the O's game, Brooks has split time between starting and relief this year, and was just picked up by Baltimore after being released by Oakland. However, in the past month, Brooks has actually pitched well (though his appearances were all short). Fedde is going the opposite direction, with 4 not-so-good outings in a row.

    Baltimore (Brooks) +163 vs. Washington (Fedde)
    Cleveland (Clevinger) vs. Detroit (Turnbull) - Under 9 -119
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  2. #102
    Baltimore was behind 2-1 after 6, but came back to crush Washington easily.

    Cleveland/Detroit was 3-1 after 7, but barely limped into a tie for my totals pick, finishing 7-2 after 5 runs came in during the 8th inning.

    Only one pick today... a non-public over! How often do you see that?

    St. Louis (Hudson) at Cincinnati (Roark) - Over 10 +105 (down to -108 ok)

    Best line on Bovada right now
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  3. #103
    Been awhile since I updated my record. I had a hot streak from May 22 to June 1, then from June 7 to June 27 I got destroyed. Returned on 7/15 after a sports hiatus and have gone 4-1 so far.

    Here's the specifics:

    Through 5/20:

    Underdogs: 14-21 (-1.30)
    Totals: 13-15-1 (-3.45)
    Favorites: 8-5 (+2.26)
    Spread: 0-1 (-1.00)

    Total through 5/20: 35-42-1, -3.49 units

    5/21:
    Seattle (Milone) +111 at Texas (Lynn) - LOST -1

    5/22:
    Colorado (Gray) at Pittsburgh (DuRapau) - Over 8.5 -105 - WON +0.95
    Washington (Scherzer) at NY Mets (Degrom) - Over 6.5 +100 - WON +1
    Washington (Scherzer) -115 at NY Mets (Degrom) - LOST -1
    Miami (Urena) at Detroit (D. Norris) - Under 9 -112 - TIED
    Total 5/22: 2-1-1 (+0.95 units)

    5/24:
    Cleveland (Bieber) +120 vs. Tampa Bay (Snell) - WON +1.20
    Atlanta (Foltynewicz) at St. Louis (Mikolas) - Over 10 -105 - LOST -1
    Arizona (Ray) at San Francisco (Pomeranz) - Over 7 +100 - WON +1
    Total 5/24: 2-1 (+1.20 units)

    5/25:
    Seattle (Kikuchi) +113 at Oakland (Fiers) - LOST -1
    Boston (Price) +113 at Houston (Peacock) - LOST -1
    Total 5/25: 0-2 (-2.0 units)

    5/27:
    SD (Straham) at Yankees (C. Green) - Under 10 -110 - WON +0.91
    White Sox (Nova) -1.5 +165 vs. Kansas City (Bailey) - BET CANCELED (SUSPENDED)
    Minnesota (Pineda) vs. Milwaukee (G. Gonzalez) - Under 9.5 -115 - WON +0.87
    Seattle (Milone) -120 vs. Texas (Lynn) - WON +0.83
    Total 5/27: 3-0 (+2.61 units)

    5/28:
    Detroit (Boyd) at Batimore (Bundy) under 9 -116 - WON +0.86
    Miami (Richards) -110 vs. San Francisco (Samardzjia) - WON +0.91
    Atlanta (Fried) -115 vs. Washington (Strasburg) - LOST -1
    Toronto (Richard) at Tampa Bay (Stanek) - Under 8.5 -115 - WON +0.87
    Total 5/28: 3-1 (+1.64 units)

    5/29:
    Detroit +121 at Baltimore - WON +1.21
    KC +100 at White Sox - LOST -1
    Total 5/29: 1-1 (+0.21 units)

    5/30:
    Texas (Minor) vs. KC (Junis) - Under 10 -108 - WON + 0.93

    6/1:
    Yankees (German) -130 vs. Boston (Porcello) - WON +0.77

    6/4:
    St. Louis (G. Cabrera) -108 vs. Cincinnati (L. Castillo) - LOST -1
    Angels (Canning) -107 vs. Oakland (Montas)- LOST -1
    Total 6/4: 0-2 (-2.0 units)

    6/5:
    Yankees (Paxton) at Toronto (Thornton) - Under 8.5 -105 - LOST -1
    Cleveland (Clippard) +112 vs. Minnesota (M.Perez) - WON +1.12
    Total 6/5: 1-1 (+0.12 units)

    6/6:
    Washington (Corbin) at San Diego (Lucchesi) - over 7.5 -120 - WON +0.83

    6/7:
    Washington (Fedde) -112 at San Diego (Margevicius) - LOST -1
    Dodgers (Kershaw) -1.5 -150 at San Francisco (Pomeranz) - LOST -1
    Total 6/7: 0-2 (-2.0 units)

    6/10:
    Pittsburgh (Musgrove) +132 at Atlanta (Gausman) - LOST -1
    Chicago (F. Yu) +120 at Colorado (Marquez) - LOST -1
    Total 6/10: 0-2 (-2.0 units)

    6/11:
    Miami (E. Hernandez) +139 at St. Louis (Hudson) - LOST -1
    Oakland (Fiers) +141 at Tampa Bay (Stanek) - WON +1.41
    Milwaukee (Peralta) +106 at Houston (Peacock) - LOST -1
    Total 6/11: 1-2 (-0.59 units)

    6/12:
    St. Louis (Mikolas) at Miami (Yamamoto) - Under 8 -115 - LOST -1

    6/14:
    Miami (T. Richards) -116 vs. Pittsburgh (Brault) - LOST -1
    Minnesota (Gibson) -1.5 -115 vs. Kansas City (Keller) - WON +0.87
    Angels (Heaney) at Tampa Bay (Snell) - Under 7.5 -108 - LOST -1
    Total 6/14: 1-2 (-1.13 units)

    6/15:
    San Francisco (Bumgarner) -1.5 +178 vs. Milwaukee (Nelson) - LOST -1
    Washington (Strasburg) -1.5 -115 vs. Arizona (Clarke) - LOST -1
    Pittsburgh (Agrazal) at Miami (P. Lopez) - Under 7.5 -105 - WON +0.95
    Seattle (G. Bautista) +192 at Oakland (Montas) - LOST -1
    Total 6/15: 1-3 (-2.05 units)

    6/18:
    Baltimore (Ynoa) +200 at Oakland (Bre. Anderson) - LOST -1

    6/19:
    NY Mets (Matz) +139 at Atlanta (Fried) - LOST -1

    6/21:
    Angels (Canning) -110 at St. Louis (Wacha) - LOST -1

    6/22:
    Toronto +162 (Law) at Boston (B. Johnson) - WON +1.62

    6/26:
    Tampa (Morton) -113 at Minnesota (Odorizzi) - LOST -1

    6/27:
    San Francisco (Beede) -105 vs. Arizona (Young) - LOST -1

    7/15:
    KC (Junis) +114 vs. Chicago White Sox (Giolito) - WON +1.14
    Pittsburgh (Musgrove) at St. Louis (Mikolas) - Under 8 -103 - WON +0.97
    Total 7/15: 2-0 (+2.11 units)

    7/16:
    Baltimore (Wojciechowski) +166 vs. Washington (Voth) - LOST -1

    7/17:
    Baltimore (Brooks) +163 vs. Washington (Fedde) - WON +1.63
    Cleveland (Clevinger) vs. Detroit (Turnbull) - Under 9 -119 - TIED
    Total 7/17: 1-0-1 (+1.63 units)

    7/18:
    St. Louis (Hudson) at Cincinnati (Roark) - Over 10 +105 - WON +1.05


    Records 5/21-7/18:
    Underdogs: 7-12 (-2.67 units)
    Totals: 12-4-2 (+7.19 units)
    Favorites: 3-9 (-6.49 units)
    Spread: 1-3 (-2.13 units)
    Overall 5/21-7/18: 23-28-2 (-4.10 units)

    Overall through 7/18:
    Underdogs: 21-33 (-3.97 units)
    Totals: 25-19-3 (+3.74 units)
    Favorites: 11-14 (-4.23 units)
    Spread: 1-4 (-3.13 units)

    GRAND TOTAL: 58-70-3, -7.59 units

    I'll need to step this up if I'm going to come out a winner in baseball in 2019.

    Once again I seem to be doing better in totals than everything else, especially since May 21. In that time period, I went 12-4-2 (+7.19 units) in totals, and 11-24 (-11.29 units) in everything else.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  4. #104
    St. Louis (Wainwright) at Cincinnati (Mahle) - Over 10 -115
    Milwaukee (Chacin) at Arizona (Clarke) - Over 10.5 -105
    Texas (Minor) +195 at Houston (Verlander)
    Seattle (Leake) +108 vs. Angels (Barria)

    Yes, I realize that Leake got clobbered by the Angels for 7 runs in 2/3 of an inning last week. Yes, I realize Seattle has lost 6 in a row. They will win tonight.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  5. #105
    Wow talk about a bad beat...

    That Seattle pick of mine is no-action.

    Why?

    Because Barria didn't start -- he came in after Cole unexpectedly opened the game for 2 innings.

    What a fucking joke.

    I took the bet as listed -- and to be honest, all of my picks here are intended to be "listed" not "action".

    So despite the easy 10-0 win, I'm taking it out of my record.

    I ended up 2-1 today instead of 3-1.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  6. #106
    Starting now:

    Arizona (A. Young) +117 vs. Milwaukee (Woodruff)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  7. #107
    Ugh, Arizona blew a 4-0 lead to lose yesterday.

    Today:

    Colorado (Lambert) at Washington (Fedde) - Under 11 -113
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  8. #108
    Washington game rained out, so no action.

    Here's a replacement pick:

    San Francisco (S. Anderson) +103 vs. Cubs (Mills) (-105 or better ok)

    Anderson will pitch better tonight.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  9. #109
    Won thanks to an 8th inning comeback yesterday.

    Today:

    Three picks, all starting shortly:

    St. Louis (D. Hudson) at Pittsburgh (Archer) - Over 9 -115
    Detroit (Boyd) +132 vs. Philadelphia (Nola)
    Minnesota (Gibson) +107 vs. Yankees (German)

    NOTE: Possible rainout in Detroit
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  10. #110
    Honestly, last night was one of the ugliest nights I've had in sportsbetting. All three games were super disappointing.

    The over started off 3-3 after 3 innings, and didn't come close to reaching 9 runs.

    The Phi/Det game went 15 innings, with Detroit getting 1st-and-2nd with 1 out several times in extras, never scoring. Finally they lost 3-2 in the 15th at home.

    The NYY/Min game saw the Twins get up 8-2, then fall behind 10-9 in a 5-run eighth, then get back ahead 11-10, then have the Yankees at 2 outs in the 9th with nobody on, only to give up 2 runs and fall behind 12-11. Then they tied it 12-12, went to extras, fell behind 14-12. Then they loaded the bases with 2 outs, and a gapper was sure to go to the wall, clear the bases, and win the game 15-14 Twins. Nope. Aaron Hicks made a spectacular catch out of nowhere, and game over.

    0-3

    Anyway I got 2 today:

    Yankees (Happ) at Minnesota (Odorizzi) - Under 11 -115
    White Sox (Rey. Lopez) -124 vs. Miami (Gallen)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  11. #111
    Lost both yesterday, currently in an 0-5 slump.

    Here are picks for today.

    Starting very soon:

    Cleveland (Plutko) at KC (Montgomery) - Under 10 -110 -- Reverse Trapper John pick

    Starting later:

    Detroit (VerHagen) +150 at Seattle (Swanson) - Battle of two bad pitchers, but VerHagen actually has more potential to pitch well
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  12. #112
    You know you're running bad when you almost lose an under 10 which is 3-3 after 9. But it did win, to give me the split for the day.

    Here are two moneylines:

    Toronto (Waguespack) +125 vs. Tampa (D. Castillo)
    Milwaukee (G. Gonzalez) -113 vs. Cubs (Hendricks)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  13. #113
    i like Milw today small . also heavy on Cincy/Castillo only..SF & Balty small..cincy losing in the 4th now..ehh

  14. #114
    Balt was opened at +191 dropped like a rock to +165 ! Poor Castillo been lights out last few weeks.. 1.67 Era App B.A. 157 and today opened at a nice easy lol -128 and floated up to -144ish...glad i lost the least..
    I help a 93 yr old baseball Fanatic out..he bets 10 a game. not everyday..His best season he claims since 1948/ he is currently 18.1 games over .500/ mostly Dogs. he is laughing and puffin his weed at 93.bless him..he saw Ruth and all the great Pictures that came thru the Bronx..wow.

  15. #115
    Split 'em yesterday, as well. Took late comeback by the Brewers to do it. Toronto lost 3-1 and had several chances to catch up, but blew them all. That offense is horrible.

    Today, there's just a sole OVER.

    Texas (Sampson) at Oakland (Bailey) - Over 9.5 -110

    Two horrible pitchers going at it. Public play, but the sharps actually agree on it, as well. Almost looks like a Trapper John play, but honestly it looks good to me.

    I considered Texas moneyline (getting +160 versus Bailey is super tempting) and Miami moneyline, but decided to pass on both.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  16. #116
    Lost the over by 0.5. No scoring final 2 innings killed me.

    Two today. One starting in about 10 mins, the other starting in about an hour:

    Minnesota (Odorizzi) at Miami (Gallen) - Under 8.5 -115
    Toronto (Reid-Foley) -112 at KC (Montgomery)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  17. #117
    Forgot to crosspost here today, but here were my picks today, as posted on my PFA forum:

    Houston (Urquidy) at Cleveland (Plesac) - Under 9.5 +100 - LOST
    Milwaukee (Lyles) +107 at Oakland (Brett Anderson) - WON
    Milwaukee/Oakland - Under 9 -105 - WON

    You can see from this link that they were posted over 2 hours before the earliest game: https://pokerfraudalert.com/forum/sh...l=1#post856287
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  18. #118
    Record through 7/18:
    Underdogs: 21-33 (-3.97 units)
    Totals: 25-19-3 (+3.74 units)
    Favorites: 11-14 (-4.23 units)
    Spread: 1-4 (-3.13 units)
    TOTAL through 7/18: 58-70-3, -7.59 units

    Since then:

    7/19:
    St. Louis (Wainwright) at Cincinnati (Mahle) - Over 10 -115 - WON +0.87
    Milwaukee (Chacin) at Arizona (Clarke) - Over 10.5 -105 - WON +0.95
    Texas (Minor) +195 at Houston (Verlander) - LOST -1
    Seattle (Leake) +108 vs. Angels (Barria) - WON BUT NO ACTION DUE TO BARRIA NOT STARTING
    Total 7/19: 2-1, +0.82

    7/21:
    Arizona (A. Young) +117 vs. Milwaukee (Woodruff) - LOST -1

    7/22:
    Colorado (Lambert) at Washington (Fedde) - Under 11 -113 - RAINED OUT
    San Francisco (S. Anderson) +103 vs. Cubs (Mills) - WON +1.03

    7/23:
    St. Louis (D. Hudson) at Pittsburgh (Archer) - Over 9 -115 - LOST -1
    Detroit (Boyd) +132 vs. Philadelphia (Nola) - LOST -1
    Minnesota (Gibson) +107 vs. Yankees (German) - LOST -1
    Total 7/23: 0-3, -3.00

    7/24:
    Yankees (Happ) at Minnesota (Odorizzi) - Under 11 -115 - LOST -1
    White Sox (Rey. Lopez) -124 vs. Miami (Gallen) - LOST -1
    Total 7/24: 0-2, -2.00

    7/25:
    Cleveland (Plutko) at KC (Montgomery) - Under 10 -110 - WON +0.91
    Detroit (VerHagen) +150 at Seattle (Swanson) - LOST -1
    Total 7/25: 1-1, -0.09

    7/26:
    Toronto (Waguespack) +125 vs. Tampa (D. Castillo) - LOST -1
    Milwaukee (G. Gonzalez) -113 vs. Cubs (Hendricks) - WON +0.88
    Total 7/26: 1-1, -0.12

    7/27:
    Texas (Sampson) at Oakland (Bailey) - Over 9.5 -110 - LOST -1

    7/30:
    Minnesota (Odorizzi) at Miami (Gallen) - Under 8.5 -115 - WON +0.87
    Toronto (Reid-Foley) -112 at KC (Montgomery) - WON +0.89
    Total 7/30: 2-0, +1.76

    7/31:
    Houston (Urquidy) at Cleveland (Plesac) - Under 9.5 +100 - LOST -1
    Milwaukee (Lyles) +107 at Oakland (Brett Anderson) - WON +1.07
    Milwaukee/Oakland - Under 9 -105 - WON +0.95
    Total 7/31: 2-1, +1.02

    7/19-7/31 records:
    Underdogs: 2-6, -3.90 units
    Favorites: 2-1, +0.77 units
    Totals: 5-4, +0.55 units
    Total 7/19-7/31: 9-11, -2.58 units

    Overall:
    Underdogs: 23-39 (-7.87 units)
    Totals: 30-23-3 (+4.29 units)
    Favorites: 13-15 (-3.46 units)
    Spread: 1-4 (-3.13 units)
    TOTAL through 7/31: 67-81-3, -10.17 units

    So far the totals have been the only thing I've done decently.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  19. #119
    Toronto (T. Thornton) at Baltimore (Wojciechowski) - Under 10 -105
    Houston (Cole) at Cleveland (Salazar) - Under 8.5 +100
    Tampa (McKay) +106 at Boston (Cashner)

    Let's hope Cashner looks like this today

    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  20. #120
    Atlanta -147 (Keuchel) vs Mets (Matz)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

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