Anyone want to take a shot at a dog over +400 today?

Texas isn't a terrible team (74-78), has the 6th most runs scored out of the 15 AL teams, and Koby Allard has pitched okay, with the ability to pitch well when he's on.

Gerrit Cole is the obvious reason for this line, but he's gone 8 innings the last 2 starts, and I'm wondering if he will either be tired or load-managed for this one. He has had double-digit Ks in the last 6 starts, which is also part of the reason for this line.

Anyway, I'm going to gamble. This one has a better shot than when a team like Detroit or KC faces him.

Texas (Allard) +425 at Houston (Cole)

Also

Cincinnati (Mahle) +150 at Cubs (Lester)

Lester looks very worn out.