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Thread: Dan Druff's NBA picks for 2019-20 season

  1. #1
    Going to approach this season carefully, as my over/under strategy was all thrown off last year due to the rule changes, and that hurt me a lot.

    With that said...

    Lakers/Clippers - Under 224 -106
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  2. #2
    Denver at Portland - Under 217.5

    Also already posted Boston at Philadelphia - Over 215 on my pokerfraudalert site, but it's losing. But I'll count it either way.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  3. #3
    Split them yesterday , winning Denver under but losing the Boston over (which I didn't even post here).

    Today, starting in 10 min:

    Atlanta at Detroit - Under 222
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  4. #4
    Hit the Atlanta under despite a bad 1Q.

    I'm 3-0 in unders and 0-1 in overs. No spread picks yet.

    Let's change that.

    NY at Brooklyn - OVER 229.5
    Phoenix at Denver - OVER 220 (219.5 -112 at Betonline right now, as I write this)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  5. #5
    Lost both yesterday.

    Parlay (will be counted as individual bets for record keeping):
    Detroit vs. Philadelphia +140
    Detroit under 214

    Also:
    Atlanta vs. Orlando - Under 216.5
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  6. #6
    Portland at Dallas - Under 220.5
    Charlotte at Lakers - Over 216.5

    So far:
    4-5 overall
    4-1 unders
    0-3 overs
    0-1 moneyline
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  7. #7
    Split 'em yesterday, though Charlotte over made me sweat after a great first half. Took until one minute left in the 4th to go over (it ended up over by 4.5).

    Just one pick today.

    Utah at Phoenix - Under 213.5

    Jazz opponents have not scored more than 95 points in any of the first 3 games, and the Jazz themselves are only averaging about 100.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  8. #8
    Great pick on Utah two days ago, leading the whole way.

    Last minnte (4:05 PT)

    Minnesota at Philadelphia - Under 222
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  9. #9
    Back in black, with a 7-6 record, after hitting the Minnesota under.

    6-2 unders
    1-3 overs
    0-1 moneyline
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  10. #10
    Two more totals picks today. You have time to bet both, as these are late games.

    Denver at New Orleans - Under 223
    San Antonio at Clippers - Over 228

    Denver/NO is an interesting one. Denver has not played in a game yet where more than 215 points were scored. All of New Orleans games have gone over 239, though one was OT.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  11. #11
    Went 0-2 yesterday. One was never winning, but the New Orleans game was really disappointed, as the under was likely to win until the 68 point 4th.

    Here are some picks today, including a moneyline pick.

    Orlando +160 vs. Milwaukee
    Detroit at Chicago - Under 215
    Cleveland at Indiana - Over 215
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  12. #12
    I've lost 5 in a row now, after all 3 of the games on Friday lost, including the disappointing Chicago under which was on pace to win most of the way.

    Anyway, I hate to bet on a line like this, but here goes.

    New Orleans at Brooklyn - Over 239

    It's a new era in the NBA.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  13. #13
    Won easily despite a bad early 2nd Q.

    Today:

    Boston at Cleveland - Over 215.5
    San Antonio at Atlanta - Over 222.5
    Oklahoma City -2.5 vs. Orlando
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  14. #14
    Three picks today, after going 2-1 yesterday on a day where none of the three had any last minute surprises. (Only loser was Atlanta over.)

    Washington at Indiana - Over 226.5
    Orlando +6.5 at Dallas
    Philadelphia at Utah - Under 209.5

    Notes:
    Orlando is back-to-back on the road, so beware of that
    Utah has gone under in every single game so far, and mostly by a wide margin
    Both sharps and the public are hitting the Washington over, and the line has moved from 221 since 7am today.

    Washington starting soon, the others you have some time.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  15. #15
    Gonna throw this one on the pile too:

    Memphis +150 vs. Minnesota
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  16. #16
    3-1 yesterday, losing Utah by 0.5 at the actual last second. So close!

    Fired Charlotte/Boston under 215 at literally the last second.

    You can try to live bet it though.

    Also going with:

    OKC at San Antonio - Under 212.5

    That one starts at 5:30 PST
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  17. #17
    Split 'em, winning Charlotte, losing OKC.

    The books haven't quite adjusted to how high scoring these games involving Brooklyn are, especially when it's against a team which isn't defensively focused.

    Public and sharp money hitting this one hard today:

    Brooklyn at Portland - Over 238.5
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  18. #18
    Last minute:

    Orlando -7.5 vs. Memphis
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  19. #19
    Here's two more, and you have time to bet both (especially Lakers which doesn't start until 7:30 PT):

    Miami vs. Lakers - Over 218.5
    Golden State at Minnesota - Under 229 (some books have 229.5, btw)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  20. #20
    Yesterday was super frustrating. Starts off great with an easy win on Orlando and then the Golden State under eventually looks like a lock to cover. Then OT screws me, and I'm 1-1. Then the Brooklyn game runs behind, catches up, has a bad 4th, and misses covering by 4.5. Then Lakers game just has low scoring the whole way.

    So what looked like 2-0 with two to go ends up as 1-3.

    Okay, so I have one pick from this light NBA schedule.

    Dallas at Memphis - Over 222

    This is a reverse Trapper John pick.

    Public likes the under here, line has been moving up all day.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

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