Page 164 of 198 FirstFirst ... 64114154160161162163164165166167168174 ... LastLast
Results 3,261 to 3,280 of 3956

Thread: The Adventures of MDawg (in progress)

  1. #3261
    Had Mr Mdawg said he won all of that money in 60% of his sessions or trips, you'd all be saying he's a lucky SOB and that would be the end of it.

  2. #3262
    People can go on a run, no question, but when a claim is statistically unsupportable the bullshit meter gets pegged.
    What, Me Worry?

  3. #3263
    Originally Posted by AndrewG View Post
    Had Mr Mdawg said he won all of that money in 60% of his sessions or trips, you'd all be saying he's a lucky SOB and that would be the end of it.

    Right. If I said I won 100K on a football future, no big deal. If I said I won 100K betting football by winning 40 out of 41 games, well, that comes with a lot of baggage and a lot of questions.

    So the obvious journalistic query becomes, "What is the point of the 40 out of 41 or whatever storyline? If that's the pitch, why?"

    And, AndrewG, wouldn't you agree that a journalist might default to the obvious conclusion, "Well, he must be trying to appeal to people who want magic beans?"

  4. #3264
    Can't you retarded fools say just, "Congratuations, Mr Dawg!"? And, let it go at this?
    Every one /everyone knows it all; yet, no thing /nothing is truly known by any one /anyone. Similarly, the suckers think that they win, but, the house always wins, unless to hand out an even worse beating.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xsa6ojQcYXQ

    Garnabby + OppsIdidItAgain + ThomasClines (or TomasHClines) + The Grim Reaper + LMR + OneHitWonder (or 1HitWonder, 1Hit1der) + Bill Yung ---> GOTTLOB1, or GOTTLOB = Praise to God!

    Blog at https://garnabby.blogspot.com/

  5. #3265
    Originally Posted by AndrewG View Post
    Had Mr Mdawg said he won all of that money in 60% of his sessions or trips, you'd all be saying he's a lucky SOB and that would be the end of it.
    You are looking at this wrong, "Andrew". <-

    If you take almost any single claim by itself, you can make a case for while it seems unlikely, it is possible. But these claims aren't independent and have to be considered together.

    So lets start with this current trip. 40 winning days, 1 losing day. Impossible? no. Not for a player playing a progressive system and that is clearly what Mdawg is doing. It is not a pure martingale, but it is a progression betting system, betting more when he is losing, known as chasing losses. And it is a proven mathematical fact, that this betting system, actually no betting system can overcome a house advantage (-Ev) in the long run.

    So is this trip possible? Yes. next you have to consider that since the beginning of Mdawgs threat at Shackleford's house of scams forum, there have been multiple other trips, all lasting multiple weeks /months, one last fall for 6 weeks, one last spring before covid for multiple weeks, all with the same outcomes, I beleive last fall's trip had 1 losing session out of nearly 40, last spring no losing sessions.

    So then you go back even further. Mdawg claims to have been playing since 2000 and won every year, like this.

    So it is not about this single trip. Every trip goes like this or so he claims, every year goes like this or so he claims. For 20 years!

    Now adding all that up, do you now believe these claims? We are definitely past some small sample size and into the long run. And Mdawg is claiming to defy the proven math over the long-term or long run.

    Now one other thing, and I will throw a little credit to Rob Singer, although several of us made this point. The casinos just are not going to comp a player that always wins, high end suites and stuff. Personally, I don't think his average bet for the short time he claims to play each day (it must be a short time because he is always online) is anywhere near enough to generate the weeks long comped suites he claims, but maybe with Vegas still rebounding these limits are lower, I don't know.

    But I can guarantee they aren't going to keep comping a player that is winning, trip after trip, year after year, for 20+ years now.

    You have to look at the totality of this nonsense and when you do there is only one conclusion.... it is BULLSHIT!
    Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".

  6. #3266
    Originally Posted by Garnabby View Post
    Can't you retarded fools say just, "Congratuations, Mr Dawg!"? And, let it go at this?
    Yes, I can. Congratualations Mdawg on a good run with your scam / bullshit story.
    Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".

  7. #3267
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    So the obvious journalistic query becomes, "What is the point of the 40 out of 41 or whatever storyline? If that's the pitch, why?"
    As I am sure you know, a progression betting system, skews the results pattern creating a higher percentage of smaller wins. It can be as much as 80% , but eventually when those larger wagers, chasing the smaller lost wagers fail to win, the player ends up with a massive loss, wiping out all those smaller wins and then some.

    So 40 out of 41 is stretch even for a progression betting system, but not impossible. But doing so for multiple trips and multiple years is impossible.

    I tell you this is like a bad rerun. These progression system guys, all want to rewrite the already proven math and they do so by failing to mention those massive losses. I mean every system is a great system if you are only counting the wins and ignoring the losses.
    Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".

  8. #3268
    Got side tracked after my shower, but still heading out now. It feels like a downtown day as I have Victory Burger on my mind, so anyone interested, come find me and we can talk, maybe real casino winning play. Anything but Mdawg. lol

    Peace all. Even to you Mdawg. I sincerely hope you find what you are looking for because clearly something is lacking in your life.
    Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".

  9. #3269
    I dunno what you all are talking about.
    You act as if you can't go on some crazy run playing a 98.5% game.
    I currently went on a run playing a 98.9% game.
    Up over 300k on that game alone.
    I personally seen a lady hit 6 royals in one night, a few years ago, playing all horrible video poker.
    6 Fucking Royals in something like 4 to 5 hours moving around playing every machine in the area I was playing in.
    All on Single Line.
    I was getting murdered playing a game over 100% return lol.

    I also knew a slant eyed massage girl who beat a very bad version of DDB for over a year.
    She was up over 225k for the year and did not know anything about Video Poker Strategy.
    She played really bad but when you get hit with the deck, you get hit with the deck.

    Didn't Stu Unger win the WSOP back to back?
    Didn't Johnny Chan win the WSOP back to back and finish 2nd the third year in a row?
    Did Tom Brady win 7 Super Bowls?
    Did we land on mars and fly drone helicopters?
    Are they currently injecting people with Lipid Nanoparticles in Covid Vaccines?

    A friend of mine has gone on half a million dollar runs, multiple times, playing dice paying with a 98.6% return.
    I seen him hit 11 sets of Aces on Full Pay Double Bonus in something like 4 hours (once)(Single Line).
    I've hit 6 sets of Deuces and 2 Royals several times in one session (Single Line).
    I've had weeks where I played 5 or 6 days in a row with very short sessions and hit a Royal on each session (Single Line).
    It was like: put a dollar in, and get a car... put a dollar in, and get a car... put a dollar in, and get a car... put a dollar in, and get a car.
    "Am I right? So I says to him, I said... Get Your Own Monkey!"

    Is it possible that MDawg hasn't reported some losing sessions?
    That's possible... That's very possible and could never be verified either way.
    His posts are Adventures... that's a story.
    You don't have to read it.
    You don't have to believe it.
    Is he selling something or trying to scam members??
    Is he going as far as Rob Singer and talking crazy about peoples dead wives?
    People tell fish stories all the time and guess what...
    People constantly tell bad beat poker stories, ALL THE TIME and I just walk away when they start that shit.
    Just go over to Dan Druffs NBA/MLB threads and you will constantly hear how he "should of" won.

    Last edited by monet; 05-05-2021 at 01:19 PM.

  10. #3270
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    I dunno what you all are talking about.
    You act as if you can't go on some crazy run playing a 98.5% game.
    I currently went on a run playing a 98.9% game.
    hey, you...why don't you just hush up and post a hockey pick or two before I get to Victory Burger / circa. You have been good for enough money that I will even play it knowing you are likely posting the opposite of what you really think. Pick, Porkchop, pick.
    Last edited by kewlJ; 05-05-2021 at 12:56 PM.
    Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".

  11. #3271
    Originally Posted by kewlJ View Post
    hey, you...why don't you just hush up and post a hockey pick or two before I get to Victory Burger / circa. You have been good for enough money that I will even play it knowing you are likely posting the opposite of what you really think. Pick, Porkchop, pick.
    I'm pretty sure that when I post picks here, I get cursed (joke).
    My record isn't as bad as you might think when looking at it straight up.
    50% or so but I haven't ran it down.
    Many parlays where I am 3 out of 4 winners or 2 out of 3.
    I've picked some parlay winners.
    I've picked some straight bet winners and put 2 to 3 grand on them.
    I picked a 3 teamer, a few days, ago that paid 21/22 to 1 (400 dollars for an 8400 dollar win)
    The next day I had a lock two teamer with KC and the Yanks.
    I'm not selling those picks or trying to scam anyone.
    I post for funsies.

    You can't even read a sign, at the Stations Casino, that says "10x points" on Thursdays and Sundays.
    Stations has been running that promotion since the reopening.
    So don't give me no shit.
    Your mother is outside waiting in the car.

    Here are your free picks that I am wagering actual cash on today.

    TB Rays Money Line
    Av's Puck Line
    Blues Puck Line
    Knights Money Line

    BONUS PICKS

    Montreal and the Tampa Bay Lightning on the Money Line, both around -165 so Parlay it up.
    Want to bet it straight?
    Bet either or both of them on the Puck Line.
    And take your chances.

    You're Welcome.
    Last edited by monet; 05-05-2021 at 01:27 PM.

  12. #3272
    Didn't the A's win 20 MLB games in a row??

    Didn't the Cleveland Indians beat that run and win 22 games in a row??

    What's the math on that??
    (ok ok the math is something like 4.5 million to 1 that a .500 club does that)

    Not that you all know or care but didn't the New York Giants win 26 MLB games in a row in 1916???

    Streaks Happen.
    Fact.

  13. #3273
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    TB Rays Money Line
    Av's Puck Line
    Blues Puck Line
    Knights Money Line
    I will bet the avs and blues puck lines separately. Going to skip the Knights. Have the Knights beaten the Wild this year? I know I have watched 4 games and they were all losses including back to back games in Minnesota about a month ago. Maybe I just happened to catch the worst games but it seems like the Wild owns the knights this year. Hope they don't meet in the playoffs.

    Thanks for the winning picks in advance.
    Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".

  14. #3274
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    Didn't the A's win 20 MLB games in a row??

    Didn't the Cleveland Indians beat that run and win 22 games in a row??

    What's the math on that??
    (ok ok the math is something like 4.5 million to 1 that a .500 club does that)

    Not that you all know or care but didn't the New York Giants win 26 MLB games in a row in 1916???

    Streaks Happen.
    Fact.

    Sorry, monet. You're dealing with two problems with your analogies:

    1) Sports aren't really coin flips. Betting Marciano or Tyson or Mayweather yielded streaks, is my point.

    2) More importantly, it's one thing to pluck something out of history, like the A's or Lakers (33 in a row) streak AFTER THE FACT, and use that as an example of "streaks happen". You're taking extraordinary subsets out of all of the millions of outcomes and pointing to them without mentioning the tens of millions of times no streaks happened. This is textbook confirmation bias. It's something entirely different to start at Point A, as MDawg has done, and then two years later claim you won 40 in a row without reporters attending any of the games. In essence, we are supposed to buy into the idea that MDawg's reportage is the sum total of his gambling reality during that time.

  15. #3275
    Tic tic, or I wasted money I feel was well spent.

    What did Zepplin say? (Using old videos like MDawg likes to post)


  16. #3276
    And obviously I’m only looking to help others like myself looking to find property to purchase in CA find the best lawyer to help them with the transaction.

  17. #3277
    Originally Posted by The Boz View Post
    Not as Boz the poster who will not post publicly again. And TRUST me you won’t see on these forums again.
    So what are you doing here? You seem to be posting. Publicly. Again.
    I thought we wouldn't. See you. On these forums. Again.


    Let the chips fall where they may.

    You might know who we are, but we know who you are. Understand?
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  18. #3278
    [QUOTE=kewlJ;126570]
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    So 40 out of 41 is stretch even for a progression betting system, but not impossible.
    That is exactly the truth.
    [QUOTE=kewlJ;126570]
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    But doing so for multiple trips and multiple years is impossible.
    That is exactly what the Law of Probabilities does NOT say.

  19. #3279
    Originally Posted by MDawg View Post
    Originally Posted by MDawg View Post
    Interesting how the ones who CLAIM to have me blocked, including jbjb, UNKewlJ and MisterV, spend the most time writing about me.

    They drive 'em to me!
    Originally Posted by coach belly View Post

    subtitled "The obsessed detractors of MDawg"
    Let me tell you what's going to happen. The fag's triumvirate of jbjb, MisterV and KewlJ is going to spend a good portion of their lives thinking and writing about me. End of story. Well, end for me. Just the beginning for them.

    They drive 'em to me!
    I'm starting to think you're Rob Singer. You coming out of the closet is your choice if the decision is mine.

  20. #3280
    Hawkesite, how is it that you can direct quote me in Post 3278 by posting something I DID NOT say? Go back and read my post. I DID NOT write that. I DID NOT write anything close to it. I never wrote "But doing so for multiple trips and multiple years is impossible."

    How about an apology and acknowledgement of both the error and the purposeful assignment of my name to someone else's quote?

    This would seem to be a real problem with the forum here, as anyone can assign anything to someone else?

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 80 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 80 guests)

Similar Threads

  1. MDawg here. Greetings!
    By MDawg in forum Whatever's On Your Mind
    Replies: 4
    Last Post: 02-29-2020, 04:30 AM
  2. Thoughts about the X Train's progress.
    By Alan Mendelson in forum Las Vegas
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 02-14-2013, 05:24 PM
  3. Replies: 0
    Last Post: 08-28-2012, 08:35 PM

Tags for this Thread

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •