The Adventures of MDawg (in progress)

[AxelWolf]

I don't know if it's poor speak to text (which is what you told me happens to you sometimes), or ? ... but I can't follow much of what you just posted.

But if you can't comprehend that a thread within the same forum that has over a hundred thousand views is more popular any way you slice it than a thread with a few hundred views, then you needn't bother to translate whatever it was that you just posted. And if you can't follow that both WOV and VCT's Alexa ranks are much higher when I am active and posting, than when I am suspended and not posting, then once again, there's no point in your translating for me whatever it is you were trying to say.

MDawg got martingaled at WoV much harder than others. Like I said at one point broke Billryan did eight 3-day suspensions in a row. If MDawg was doing so much for their viewership he probably would have been treated better.

If anything, he was probably hurting the business over there and distracting from their main goal. They need people to click an affiliate links, sign up and make deposits into the online casinos they advertise. I have a feeling WOV makes money on the surface. Obviously, there are people clicking ads and signing up at casinos. However, how many people does it deter from doing so? The general consensus on that forum is that people shouldn't touch online casinos with a ten-foot pole. I don't think there's any way to know how many people would have signed up for an online casino at one of their other sites had they not been put off from what they read there.
I have no idea how it works, but maybe it's all linked up to their other sites and what really matters is all the keywords getting up in the ranking. I'm pretty sure it's the wizard of odds that makes all the money and being linked up with the latest casino bonus website.

[MDawg]

How does someone's posting about gambling, winning and having a great time equal a disaster?

Unless you're saying that you like to watch success and hope for a downfall...well, that says more about you than the content. I do recall a comment from PokerGrinder to that effect that he was watching hoping for a train wreck, which is a phrase that you used. But he's mentally ill. And he's still waiting.

Yes I am sure that WOO is what makes money over there, if any of those Wizard sites even make much money any longer. Even with a site as popular as Facebook I often wonder why or if anyone actually clicks on those stupid advertising links that appear.

With a site like WOV, most of those members (including me) are set in their ways and are not going to click on any of those online casinos unless that is what they came to the site for in the first place.

However, bottom line - when it comes to SELLING those plugs, as a site holder, all that matters is the Alexa or equivalent to the Alexa rank, and the higher the website traffic the more advertisers are willing to pay. So I am sure that advertising plugs on WOO cost more to the advertisers than plugs at WOV, simply because WOO has higher traffic than WOV.

For this site here if Dan wanted to make a few bucks he could easily add Google Adsense to the banner at the top, and at one or two other positions per a page. He'd get up to a buck every time someone clicked on the link. Although a violation of Google's TOS he could ask us privately to click on those links regularly to help him out.

In any case:
The VAST majority of forum traffic comes not from members but from guests. At any given moment there are, even on a small traffic site anywhere from 10X to 100X or even much higher people looking at a post or thread than actually logged in as members. As far as bot traffic, the search bots scour over NEW content quickly, and after that let it go, and these bots scour over crappy dull content just as much as hot content, so bots really do not inflate the traffic figures other than across the board - evenly - that is to say that while yes a given thread that has only one post on it is going to be left alone by the bots if it never gets any fresh content, and another thread that gets one post a day is going to get a once over by the bots each time that content is posted same as a hot thread is going to get a once over every time a fresh content is posted into it, still this issue of "bots" cannot and does not in any way explain why MDawg's thread has - well, look at it -

a hundred and twenty seven THOUSAND views in under three months. That is unprecedented in the HISTORY of this forum.

[MDawg]

So today I grabbed extra TSLA at 787 and let it go at 5pts. Can't look back.

But then I wanted to go short against the box for AMZN and I lost track of a decimal point lol and I entered 2309.5 instead of 2409.5 (of course, on my iPhone 11 PRO Max - small screen tends to lead to errors) and WHAM I was short at 2406.47 is where it filled. That was no fun, as it climbed up to about 2416. It did fall a couple times to below 2409, which is where I would have covered if my short had been entered properly, but then went back up to around 2415.

Meantime I had an order in to short more shares at 2417, but it never got that high.

It didn't look all that iffy though. It looked like it was weak, so all I did was enter a cover order first at 2405, then I figured, nah, just do it at 2406, and it filled eventually to give me around five hundred bucks and get the hell out. Of course now it's 2400, lol.

Some of my broker friends, and I also know a couple of fund managers, who know how I trade give me hats off for consistently making money, but more than a few times ask why I'm putting in - for example today - two million into a trade just to make a few grand (which today I made only five hundred bucks on that last trade). Well part of the reason is that - I can - it's because I have the buying power that I am able to clip just a few points and have it translate to a few grand. And secondly, even a grand a day adds up to a quarter million a year, and I average five times that a day, so it does add up.

Also, I don't trade every day. I trade when I see the high probability trades.

But I suppose the biggest reason I do it, and I'll admit it, is because it's fun. I don't view it as gambling, in that I mean look - today I royally even screwed up the order and got filled three points below my intention, and I still made money. If you know what you're doing and are willing to be patient AND have the buying power to average in when things go against you, in the market we have had for over a decade now, it's hard to lose.

Okay now I had to log back in and make sure that short order @ 2417 was cancelled, wouldn't want to leave it open by mistake. Yes, it was already cancelled, but best to check.

On the other hand I looked at onenickelmiracle at WOV again, and looks like last week he bought SPY puts. What a disaster. He was mentioning that one of them was already worth only 90% of what he paid. I forebode deep trouble for him if he keeps this up. Someone like him WOULD be better off just buying and holding blue chips. But, we traders who make money daily need all those who lose to fill our pockets.

[dannyj]

So today I grabbed extra TSLA at 787 and let it go at 5pts. Can't look back.

But then I wanted to go short against the box for AMZN and I lost track of a decimal point lol and I entered 2309.5 instead of 2409.5 (of course, on my iPhone 11 PRO Max - small screen tends to lead to errors) and WHAM I was short at 2406.47 is where it filled. That was no fun, as it climbed up to about 2416. It did fall a couple times to below 2409, which is where I would have covered if my short had been entered properly, but then went back up to around 2415.

Meantime I had an order in to short more shares at 2417, but it never got that high.

It didn't look all that iffy though. It looked like it was weak, so all I did was enter a cover order first at 2405, then I figured, nah, just do it at 2406, and it filled eventually to give me around five hundred bucks and get the hell out. Of course now it's 2400, lol.

Some of my broker friends, and I also know a couple of fund managers, who know how I trade give me hats off for consistently making money, but more than a few times ask why I'm putting in - for example today - two million into a trade just to make a few grand (which today I made only six hundred bucks on that last trade). Well part of the reason is that - I can - it's because I have the buying power that I am able to clip just a few points and have it translate to a few grand. And secondly, even a grand a day adds up to a quarter million a year, and I average five times that a day, so it does add up.

Also, I don't trade every day. I trade when I see the high probability trades.

But I suppose the biggest reason I do it, and I'll admit it, is because it's fun. I don't view it as gambling, in that I mean look - today I royally even screwed up the order and got filled three points below my intention, and I still made money. If you know what you're doing and are willing to be patient AND have the buying power to average in when things go against you, in the market we have had for over a decade now, it's hard to lose.

Okay now I had to log back in and make sure that short order @ 2417 was cancelled, wouldn't want to leave it open by mistake. Yes, it was already cancelled, but best to check.

On the other hand I looked at onenickelmiracle at WOV again, and looks like last week he bought SPY puts. What a disaster. He was mentioning that one of them was already worth only 90% of what he paid. I forebode deep trouble for him if he keeps this up. Someone like him WOULD be better off just buying and holding blue chips. But, we traders who make money daily need all those who lose to fill our pockets.

Shorting AMZN? Say it aint so Dawg.

No I get it. It's only about 50-60 pts off it's all-time high, not a lot for this Co.
We're still totally content letting our long term hold ride.

[MDawg]

This is a very bad habit I have. And the two times I lost on trades over the past two years were when I went short AMZN.

Of course - I went short against the box, which means that I hold my long term AMZN shares, but hope to clip some money on a short term drop - short.

[MDawg]

But sometimes, I don't know - it seems like at that moment, it makes more sense to go short than long. And I have made tons of money on shorts over the years, but also - as mentioned, my only two losing trades the past two years were shorts.

[MDawg]

At the moment, seriously, as long as you are in and out quickly, you could practically go long or short against any given stock and still make money. Assuming your entry point makes at least half way sense. We go up and down all day long.

But almost all of my trades are long, buying on dips, buying additional trading shares of stocks I hold long term. For the stocks I trade, given that they all tend to go up over time, it's a great strategy. Even if I get stuck, just average in more shares, ride it out.

[AxelWolf]

How does someone's posting about gambling, winning and having a great time equal a disaster?

Unless you're saying that you like to watch success and hope for a downfall...well, that says more about you than the content. I do recall a comment from PokerGrinder to that effect that he was watching hoping for a train wreck, which is a phrase that you used. But he's mentally ill. And he's still waiting.

Yes I am sure that WOO is what makes money over there, if any of those Wizard sites even make much money any longer. Even with a site as popular as Facebook I often wonder why or if anyone actually clicks on those stupid advertising links that appear.

With a site like WOV, most of those members (including me) are set in their ways and are not going to click on any of those online casinos unless that is what they came to the site for in the first place.

However, bottom line - when it comes to SELLING those plugs, as a site holder, all that matters is the Alexa or equivalent to the Alexa rank, and the higher the website traffic the more advertisers are willing to pay. So I am sure that advertising plugs on WOO cost more to the advertisers than plugs at WOV, simply because WOO has higher traffic than WOV.

For this site here if Dan wanted to make a few bucks he could easily add Google Adsense to the banner at the top, and at one or two other positions per a page. He'd get up to a buck every time someone clicked on the link. Although a violation of Google's TOS he could ask us privately to click on those links regularly to help him out.

In any case:
The VAST majority of forum traffic comes not from members but from guests. At any given moment there are, even on a small traffic site anywhere from 10X to 100X or even much higher people looking at a post or thread than actually logged in as members. As far as bot traffic, the search bots scour over NEW content quickly, and after that let it go, and these bots scour over crappy dull content just as much as hot content, so bots really do not inflate the traffic figures other than across the board - evenly - that is to say that while yes a given thread that has only one post on it is going to be left alone by the bots if it never gets any fresh content, and another thread that gets one post a day is going to get a once over by the bots each time that content is posted same as a hot thread is going to get a once over every time a fresh content is posted into it, still this issue of "bots" cannot and does not in any way explain why MDawg's thread has - well, look at it -

a hundred and twenty seven THOUSAND views in under three months. That is unprecedented in the HISTORY of this forum.

zero chance you had a hundred and twenty-seven thousand legitimate views.

[MDawg]

I'd spend more time trying to explain this to you, but it's best just to say that you have a knee jerk reaction to disbelieve everything, even something as simple and obvious as this. As a result, I don't put too much effort into trying to prove anything to someone who apparently always sees the glass half empty.

[MDawg]

So you see - back and forth between 2405 or so and 2415 or so, several times so far. Of course, sometimes, by the time you figure out the pattern - it changes! but the success rate of hitting it long on that first drop or short on that first pop is very, very high. Even on the second cycle the success rate is still, quite high. But as it keeps happening, and as you get closer to the bell, the deviations tend to increase.

Also keep in mind what happened the day before - did it push to close at the high, or sell off at the end? for whatever reason, the pattern seems to reverse the next day. You just get a feel for all this, over time, especially if your goals are modest scalping. "There's nothing new under the sun."

[BoSox]

So you see - back and forth between 2405 or so and 2415 or so, several times so far. Of course, sometimes, by the time you figure out the pattern - it changes! but the success rate of hitting it long on that first drop or short on that first pop is very, very high. Even on the second cycle the success rate is still, quite high. But as it keeps happening, and as you get closer to the bell, the deviations tend to increase.

Also keep in mind what happened the day before - did it push to close at the high, or sell off at the end? for whatever reason, the pattern seems to reverse the next day. You just get a feel for all this, over time, especially if your goals are modest scalping. "There's nothing new under the sun."

Sounds like you are still playing Baccarat. At least in your mind.

[MDawg]

Interesting.

Somewhat.

Although even I will concede that stock patterns are much more predictable than Baccarat.


But then that's why they call it...gambling.

I don't think it would be fun if there were no chance of losing.

[Deech]

While I love "The Twilight Zone" this five minute clip was disturbing. The robber brought a paper bag to heist jewelry? Gold is a dense metal. A lunch bag is not going to be effective. Secondly, if you case a joint, an alley with a high fence is not one of your top options. Run through the roof tops, if you have access to the stairs. Third, if you are being chased and made the poor decision to go down that alley with a high fence, make your escape expedient. Why initially, climb the fence with a gun in your hand, take two random shots, put the gun in your pants, and then climb the fence? Climb the fence with two hands and escape. Lastly, where the hell (pun intended) is the damn paper bag? He ain't leaving without the bag. Too much bulk to throw into his pants. Even if he could, the eight foot fall from the fence would have dislodged the bag from the person.

Yes, Sebastian Cabot (Family Affair) was easy to recognize after removing the notion of white hair. I did not get the villain until the end. You have to visualize him with glasses. He is Larry Blyden, the host in the 70's of "What's My Line". Jeez, I never though of early game show hosts as actors.

If nothing else, the crook was from Brooklyn. That should make MaxPen happy (LOL).

[MDawg]

I couldn't find the full episode online (not free anyway). In this short clip they left out the part where Rocky (the robber), starts musing about how he could have never imagined that he could get tired of beautiful dames and constantly winning at casinos, and asks Pip if he could make it so that he doesn't at least win ALL the time. Pip gets ready to accommodate him, but even then Rocky realizes that it wouldn't be the same if he knew that he wasn't going to win sometimes - that he would still realize that it was all a set up.

[MDawg]

Well there we had it - the selling off that was to be expected along the way to complete recovery.

I'd expect a quick rebound from this though, although we will no doubt have more ups and downs in the near future.

[Bob21]

although we will no doubt have more ups and downs in the near future.

Thanks for the tip MDawg. So that means I shouldn’t expect the market to go up every day or down every day in the near future? That was a bold prediction. It’ll be interesting to see if it comes true. Don’t take this seriously. I couldn’t resist.

[MDawg]

What I meant when I posted

Well there we had it - the selling off that was to be expected along the way to complete recovery.

I'd expect a quick rebound from this though, although we will no doubt have more ups and downs in the near future.

was more a reference to what I posted May 5th

If this is the case
The coronavirus has mutated and appears to be more contagious now, new study finds
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/05/the-...udy-finds.html
and we may never have a vaccine, then the market is doing extremely well. I mean I'm already beyond the highs of February in my stock acounts, and the DOW isn't even anywhere near back to where it was.

This is actually a bit disturbing. Too fast or unwarranted rebounds generally result in a double bottom.

which was that we recovered a bit too fast, and that we could be headed back down again.

[AxelWolf]

I'd spend more time trying to explain this to you, but it's best just to say that you have a knee jerk reaction to disbelieve everything, even something as simple and obvious as this. As a result, I don't put too much effort into trying to prove anything to someone who apparently always sees the glass half empty.

when it comes to your glass, I see it much more than half empty. It's got more cracks in it than a teenager's smart phone.

[MDawg]

Just to repeat what someone else said, verrrry apposite it would seem:

<<Mdawg the reason is because mostly the people on that site are the polar opposite of your tag line you have on your forum handle/name. From memory it’s something like I’m just happy to be here with you it great life etc.
—Sadly many people are unhappy, are resentful of others successes, are just nasty for the sake of their own unfulfilled life. Sometimes I think it’s envy as well and the frustration of being unable to say you know what I’m wrong. The mathematics says it cannot be done but here are people that can do something, you know what I will have an open mind . No they cannot because they have dug themselves in to deep and that resentment just keeps snowballing. They accused you of being egotistical at some point when in fact it’s their egos that cause the problem there. IMHO
-You be you mdawg don’t worry about those clowns. When you go to sleep at night it’s your head on your pillow not theirs.
Love your work mdawg
Cheers>>


We're in recovery mode today, at least for the tech stocks.

[BaccMaster]

Just to repeat what someone else said, verrrry apposite it would seem:

<<Mdawg the reason is because mostly the people on that site are the polar opposite of your tag line you have on your forum handle/name. From memory it’s something like I’m just happy to be here with you it great life etc.
—Sadly many people are unhappy, are resentful of others successes, are just nasty for the sake of their own unfulfilled life. Sometimes I think it’s envy as well and the frustration of being unable to say you know what I’m wrong. The mathematics says it cannot be done but here are people that can do something, you know what I will have an open mind . No they cannot because they have dug themselves in to deep and that resentment just keeps snowballing. They accused you of being egotistical at some point when in fact it’s their egos that cause the problem there. IMHO
-You be you mdawg don’t worry about those clowns. When you go to sleep at night it’s your head on your pillow not theirs.
Love your work mdawg
Cheers>>


We're in recovery mode today, at least for the tech stocks.

It’s your unfullfilled life, along with your diminutive stature , that causes you to post
total bullshit on message boards on a daily basis . As interest in your posts continues to decline,
you’ll be forced to seek other ways to try and feel better about yourself