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Thread: The Adventures of MDawg (in progress)

  1. #901
    Axel: you know what I am talking about. Click the URL, read the post, and respond.

    Bob: Yes, exactly, covered calls are like selling your birthright for a bowl of cold porridge. Anyone who says otherwise hasn't had any experience with them. And you're even more spot on with mentioning how when you don't get called out you make little, but when you do, you lose a lot.

    TSLA - I've made a number of "mistakes" with TSLA over the years, namely, selling it too quickly. Not as in day trading quickly, more like - position trading, short to medium term quickly.

    I rebought it about a year ago on that dip to the 180s. I decided that this time I would hold it long term.

    I kept thinking on each double, 380, 760, etc. that I would sell it, but I didn't. Of course now it's way down compared to the 950s that hit twice, and at that time when it was in the 950s I entered a GTC sell order for around 1050 which hasn't expired yet I don't think? so anyway that remains my target even though it is much further away now than it was when it hit 968.

    As far as why I am a TSLA bull, the stocks I like to hold long term are industry leaders like AAPL GOOG/GOOGL TSLA NFLX AMZN (just to name a few, on the tech side). Of these NFLX and AMZN were unprofitable for a long time, no? as is TSLA now (most quarters). I believe that TSLA will sustain profitability at some point (as you know they have booked a profit here and there some quarters).

    But, when it comes to electric cars, TSLA remains in my opinion the industry leader. All the other electric cars that have come out to compete from it, such as from Porsche, have been no comparison. The Porsche Taycan has barely a 200 mile range and I understand that in real world testing it has not even achieved that. TSLA's high end range is pushing 400 miles no? Until I see some competitors closing in on TSLA's electric car range, I don't see anything else as comparable.

    Anyway, besides all that, TSLA stock has momentum and once this coronavirus mess clears I believe it will be be back on track for 1000 per share.

    The only real argument against TSLA is that it will fail, as any independent auto maker in the U.S. has always failed. But as long as TSLA maintains its industry leader status, I don't think it will fail.

    If you watch the market, yes we are in the toilet, but there are certain stocks like AMZN and TSLA that the buyers are still snapping up on some (not all) of the dips. I think that the street senses that something big is going to happen with stocks like these, and that to let them go entirely would be a mistake.

    Yes I mean - stocks are real world. Gambling is what it is. I'm not trying to make a living at gambling.

    TSLA is not going to go straight up, but I think it will get to 1000+ eventually.
    Last edited by MDawg; 04-02-2020 at 09:37 PM.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  2. #902
    Originally Posted by MDawg View Post
    Axel: just one word. Well, actually, three. Show me the CTRs! Or is it four?


    dannyj: Yes! and that's why, as we discussed previously, long term seems to always beat out short term (eventually anyway). My target on my long term TSLA shares is mid 1000s. We got so close! and then all this happened....

    Honestly though when it gets to 1000, probably I will raise the GTC to 1200, and so on. lol

    But, getting back to short term: trading extra shares as long as you book a profit doesn't hurt, right?


    Hmm...covered calls...can you imagine the disaster if I had sold a covered call on TSLA? Gapped up in the AH, assume it'll gap up in the pre- tomorrow, sold out instantly at the bell for a song. And that's real world versus theory.
    If you sold them near the money. I wrote that they should be sold far out of the money, but you're very selective in what you choose to reference.

  3. #903
    In the Went For It thread over at WoV, MDawg just admitted to having more losing sessions.
    "More importantly, mickey thought 8-4 was two games over .500. Argued about it. C'mon, man. Nothing can top that for math expertise. If GWAE ever has you on again, you can be sure I'll be calling in with that gem.'Nuff said." REDIETZ

  4. #904
    Predictably, TSLA's not as far up in the regular market as it ended in the AH last night, but it's still up a lot and could go up more.

    U.S. Payroll numbers were not encouraging, so against that backdrop be up forty is not bad at all.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  5. #905
    BTW, and I am sure you guys have learned this the hard way enough times, as have I: I recall in the distant past buying up some stock just before the bell that flew in the AH, such as AMZN after earnings, and making a grip of money, only to try to repeat the same the next morning and end up stuck in a position where I had to choose between giving half of it back, or holding until the next week.

    While it's true that sometimes the night time high flier ends up going up even more the next day, just as often it deflates, at least for a while, from its high of the evening before.

    TSLA ended up about plus eighty last night - it's only up about half, or less, of that now, at this moment anyway.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  6. #906
    It does seem like, for a quick trade, it's good below 485 or so for a quick pop, if it drops below that again.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  7. #907
    Just did it 485 to 487.

    If any of you guys are interested seriously in Day (or position) Trading I'd be willing to set up a chat where we could communicate faster as it happens. Send me a PM. Maybe we could help each other.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  8. #908
    Left for bit, came back, noticed another chunk of a drop...have an order to buy at 477 now.

    AMZN 1895 might be worth a scalp too.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  9. #909
    I'm in, I put the sell order in at 478.5
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  10. #910
    I averaged in 2000 sh @ 470 which makes my average 472.3333 I put in the sell to bail out at 472.5 but got only a partial fill of 1140 shares still have 1860 left.

    And it dropped below 470 now. lol

    So I have some work to do.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  11. #911
    I got a fill on the rest after it dipped as low as 468. So I made, not much, 3000 x .17, just over five hunny.

    And, of course! it's now over 476. But still, I had to do something to cost average in versus just sit around and wait for the original 478.5

    Usually when I get down more than 5 pts I start thinking about cost averaging in, but generally I don't average in until I am at least 10 pts down. I just didn't feel like TSLA would drop that much though given last night's news, and I was right.

    Apparently there has been scuttlebutt that the reason for the drop today versus the eighty point pop last night is that Musk gave no real forward guidance. But, the failure to hold the huge pop could just have as much to do with the general market today as anything. And anyway, as I mentioned, my experience has been to remain cautious about jumping in post any after hours pop.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  12. #912
    It is interesting what happens when you are dealing with a lot of shares, such as the partial fill "only" 1140 of the 3000 on the first pass, but what is more interesting is how they "took it up" after the second fill of the remaining 1860. A friend of mine used to say that once you (meaning me) sell your boatload of shares too cheap, the mm (market makers) divvy it up like a bunch of scheming colluders, among themselves to sell to everyone else on the way up. Meaning - that it is my shares, sold on the cheap, that are being used to take the stock back up. In any case, "no one ever went broke taking a profit."

    Quitting while ahead, you quite understand!
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  13. #913
    You could have made an easy $124 per 100 shares of AMZN owned if you had written today's expiration 2000 strike call AMZN options at the time of the posting shown in the link https://vegascasinotalk.com/forum/sh...l=1#post100079, which expire in 13 minutes as of this posting. Even if AMZN had moved up 100 points from the time of that posting until now and you were called out of the position, you would have made $100 per share owned plus the premium mentioned above.
    Name:  coulda_amzn.jpg
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    Last edited by tableplay; 04-03-2020 at 12:57 PM.

  14. #914
    Market closing. But before it did it actually did hit my earlier 478.5 anyway. And that's the way it often goes...my initial instincts were right on, but the market tricked me into averaging in and making less than the hoped for original income.

    Most of the time, when a stock drops I should just average in but maintain the original sell price, make even more! But...hindsight is not relevant. Where you're in the midst of a trade and you're down five grand, it's hard not to take measures to lower the risk and bow out with a small profit. And that's again why reality and theory are two different things.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  15. #915
    Originally Posted by MDawg View Post
    Market closing. But before it did it actually did hit my earlier 478.5 anyway. And that's the way it often goes...my initial instincts were right on, but the market tricked me into averaging in and making less than the hoped for original income.

    Most of the time, when a stock drops I should just average in but maintain the original sell price, make even more! But...hindsight is not relevant. Where you're in the midst of a trade and you're down five grand, it's hard not to take measures to lower the risk and bow out with a small profit. And that's again why reality and theory are two different things.
    I'm not usually one to complain about posting things in the proper thread, I'm sure I'm guilty of it myself. Mostly I'm responding to others who have already posted in the incorrect thread. This seems like this is more of a miscellaneous thread, and that's fine, if it's actually miscellaneous stuff by various different people on various different topics, but I'd really rather not have this all about stocks. Can you do us a favor MDawg and keep the stock talk contained to a separate thread dedicated to it? Thanks in advance.

  16. #916
    I don't mind either way. No problem.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  17. #917
    Originally Posted by AxelWolf View Post
    Originally Posted by MDawg View Post
    Market closing. But before it did it actually did hit my earlier 478.5 anyway. And that's the way it often goes...my initial instincts were right on, but the market tricked me into averaging in and making less than the hoped for original income.

    Most of the time, when a stock drops I should just average in but maintain the original sell price, make even more! But...hindsight is not relevant. Where you're in the midst of a trade and you're down five grand, it's hard not to take measures to lower the risk and bow out with a small profit. And that's again why reality and theory are two different things.
    I'm not usually one to complain about posting things in the proper thread, I'm sure I'm guilty of it myself. Mostly I'm responding to others who have already posted in the incorrect thread. This seems like this is more of a miscellaneous thread, and that's fine, if it's actually miscellaneous stuff by various different people on various different topics, but I'd really rather not have this all about stocks. Can you do us a favor MDawg and keep the stock talk contained to a separate thread dedicated to it? Thanks in advance.
    I agree. It’s about time we had some rules and discipline on this forum, and not let threads go willy nilly, here or there. I think we should only be allowed to go off topic on a thread if we’re trying to figure out who Tasha is, or who’s her latest sock. That’s always a challenge. Otherwise we should stay on topic.

  18. #918
    Why don't we create a whole thread, nay, an entire sub-forum to discuss the homelessness of DarkOz.
    https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-.../5/#post717565
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  19. #919
    Originally Posted by MDawg View Post
    Why don't we create a whole thread, nay, an entire sub-forum to discuss the homelessness of DarkOz.
    https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-.../5/#post717565
    Not sure what your end game is, but you certainly won’t gain any respect by degrading someone’s life situation. Even if he is a jackass like Ozzy. And yea, I insult certain people all the time, but I’m no role model.

    Based on your stock discussion on loses, I estimated your stock portfolio at between $6 & $8 Million. This was based on your talk of a $400K loss one day. It’s obviously an estimate because I have no clue how much is individual stocks or mutual funds.

    So the question is why is someone that is probably on the North Side of $10 Million in assets, maybe far more on here? Obviously you like the attention, but regardless of what you do for a living, you are on here 10-12 hours a day checking in and posting. Is your business closed at this point? No work at home?

    You can take my advice and wipe your ass with it, but if you are everything you say you are, you are making a bad decision sharing all this. Nothing good can come of it other than feeding your ego. We had a poster on here who claimed he was dead because of threats of robbery. You are making enemies (and I don’t mean Axel) and you never know what an anonymous lunatic will do.

    It’s certainly not making you popular but hey, what do I know. Carry on.

  20. #920
    Carry on. Isn't that TDVegas' expression?

    I'm anonymous here or I wouldn't post much. Yes I do get carried away with talking a bit too much about myself at times, but it's actually unintentional, more like, in passing. Or it stems from trying too hard to prove that what I post is truthful. Just natural reaction from a lawyer. And, don't we all have too much time on our hands right now?

    As far as creating an entire topic of its own to discuss the homelessness of DarkOz, that was Michael99000's idea, not mine!
    Last edited by MDawg; 04-03-2020 at 05:41 PM.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

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