The Adventures of MDawg (in progress)

[kewlJ]

Are you still insisting that he could not have won what the documents show, because of the math?

So Mdawg posted W/L statements that somewhat support his recent trip report. I am seeing winning statements from 3 casinos. What if there are 4 or 5 losing statements from other casinos not being shown? Not saying there are.....just saying what if?

It is also possible that this was a winning trip exactly as Mdawg claims and supported by the 3 W/L statements. For THAT trip. That is very possible.

The problem I have is with the mention that he has had 40 winning trips in a row over the last several years. The math doesn't support that and he simply hasn't explained what he is doing that would allow for that. I mean maybe he is doing something he doesn't want to share. That is fine. But don't start talking about progressive wagering being the instrument that allows a player to turn a -EV game into a winning game and do so 40 trips in a row, because I am always going to call out that kind of voodoo nonsense. Show me something that Mdawg is doing that allows him to be playing at an advantage that can explain 40 winning trips in a row. You are familiar with the term "show me the money"? Well show me the math?

[coach belly]

So Mdawg posted W/L statements that somewhat support his recent trip report. I am seeing winning statements from 3 casinos. It is also possible that this was a winning trip exactly as Mdawg claims and supported by the 3 W/L statements. For THAT trip.

Did you really view the W/L statements that MDawg posted?

Because the statement you made above is not an accurate description of what he posted.

[mcap]

So Mdawg talks in THAT voice in the W/L video, wears flamboyant shirts, and his biggest defender Belly is always trying to meet up with dudes. Ummm, okay.

[MDawg]

KewlJ, it's like trying to describe what chocolate tastes like to someone who has never seen it - if you haven't played Baccarat for any serious length of time, and I mean years not just a few hours a couple of weekends, how would you know if the game is beatable or not, other than by spouting theory?

I count cards when I play BJ but I clock the casinos for large sums when I do it that may not be explained with just counting. Dana White doesn't count courts and he beats the hell out of the casinos at BJ for more, and faster, than any count counter probably could. Don Johnson did negotiate a per "session" trip loss rebate that made his play positive house edge but he never lost in the first place on his best sessions and won quickly, millions, in continuous sessions (one trip) where the loss rebate never even came into play.

Look, it is just to be expected that some here will post stupid nonsense when confronted with someone who is actually doing it, but for almost all of these guys, it stems from jealousy, not math. Unfortunate. Or as Grump would put it, Sad.

Grump's on his way out anyway. The DOW has now erased all of its post Grump gains.
https://thehill.com/policy/488231-do...ns-under-trump

[coach belly]

Show me something that Mdawg is doing that allows him to be playing at an advantage that can explain 40 winning trips in a row.

He's never claimed to play baccarat at an advantage...he's explained how he won.

His posts are trip reports, with some examples of winning shoes and how he played them, and general strategies.

He posted many photos of hand-by-hand results for baccarat shoes that he claimed to have played. Would it have been unlikely for him to win, playing those shoes in the manner that he explained?

[coach belly]

Belly is always trying to meet up with dudes.

I'm just trying to give slobs like you a chance to insult me to my face.

You ready to try that?

[MDawg]

Coach exhibits one quality that happens to be one key to success in gambling, and that is

patience.

I don't see it in too many of you others.

[mickeycrimm]

Plato described the struggles cave dwellers had with comprehending the real objects that cast the shadows they had previously been confined to viewing. Here, the varieties of bizarre interpretations of MDawg’s Adventures make clear that some of you have never experienced or even been close to mainline gambling. But that doesn’t make the substance any less real. There is a real world of high rollers like MDawg out there, beyond the shadows of your caves.

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gamb...14/#post760518
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gamb...14/#post760590

Some of the stuff I am reading here...such as players who think that a win/loss statement on table games is reported to the government, that it is 20 million to 1 that I could have won in casinos over the past two years, players second guessing hosts when they have obviously never had a high level one, or how many hands MDawg might have played when he has posted images of millions in paid markers and played in Vegas over a hundred days in 2019, and over a month in 2020, already...I'll cut it off there and be polite.

As Joe Buck said to Ratso Rizzo, What am I doing talking to you? Damn it!

Who said win/loss statements are reported to the government? I think pretty much all AP's know the IRS doesn't consider them to be proof of anything.

[mickeycrimm]

More power to you if you made a million in casinos last year.

And that's the difference between me and you. You guys all cry and say it can't be done when anyone else is booking profits and getting comp'ed playing the high end table games, but if I see someone else making it I just say, Good for you. So what's more likely? that you are doing well and happy, or that you are sad and sorry - personally, I think that the more dubious a person is with what I've posted, especially at this point with all the images and videos, the more that person has probably lost at casinos, such that it makes sense that he espouses the theory of, "I can't win, so nobody can."


Getting back to polite conversation if it's possible, I do understand that having a casino host and playing above the radar has its risks. I did get banned from BJ for a couple years, but at the same time, my playing above board and becoming friends with the same Director of Table Games who banned me resulted in my eventually getting reinstated for BJ play. As well, at my level of play, it's hard to convince a pit boss you found the money in a taxi cab - meaning that it's just very hard to do anonymously. And finally, part of the reason I switched to Baccarat from BJ (although I still do play some BJ too, at certain tables in Vegas) was to be able to keep flying high and still get comp'ed. They can't hold it against you that you won on what is viewed as a game of chance (versus BJ, which is viewed as a game of skill).

I am not doing this for a living. But if I lost at it, I would not do it at all.

Question: at the Pepp you were excluded from events and so on because you had a host and flew above the radar. But if you had been under the radar and unknown you would not have been invited anyway?

No, I was not invited to anything. This is what happened at the Pepp in 2002. My friend, Al, also an AP, called me and told me they had put in $1 Full Pay Deuces Wild Video Poker, a 100.76% game. Not anything spectacular to write home about, worth about $35 an hour to a skilled player. There was no cashback on the card but the meal comp was pretty good for locals. And the drawings were good. They added somewhat to the expectation on the play. It was the drawings that pulled AP's into the Pepp. You got tickets based on action.

So I show up and play for a few hours. I went to the booth to get a meal comp. The boothling said I was assigned a casino host and what time would I be available to meet him. I said about 5 PM would be okay. At the Pepp $1 players and higher were assigned hosts whether they wanted one or not. I went and ate, played a couple more hours, blew the meeting with the host off, and went home.

The next day I go in and hit a royal. I go get a comp. The boothling said I didn't meet my host the day before and gave me another appointment. After eating I went back and played another couple hours, blew the host off and went home.

The 3rd day I go in and I'm playing. My buddy, Al, is two machines down from me. A casino host walks up to him and says "Al, I have to disqualify you from all drawings and special event." Al said "What for?" The host said "C'mon, Al, you know you're a pro. I'll leave your meal comp alone, FOR NOW! Now, I have to find this Crimm guy and and tell him the same thing." I was sitting there with my back turned to the host hearing every word of it. Al said "I'll tell him for you." The host walked off.

So I was assigned a casino host I never met. He disqualifed me from drawings and special events before he even met me. I could've kept playing but without the drawings there was better stuff around.

I personally think the hosts were trained to identify AP's and used the newly installed deuces to sniff us out.

[mickeycrimm]

deleted. duplicate.

[mcap]

Belly is always trying to meet up with dudes.

I'm just trying to give slobs like you a chance to insult me to my face.

You ready to try that?

Sorry coach I don’t play for that team, not that there’s anything wrong with it.

[BoSox]

KewlJ, it's like trying to describe what chocolate tastes like to someone who has never seen it - if you haven't played Baccarat for any serious length of time, and I mean years not just a few hours a couple of weekends, how would you know if the game is beatable or not, other than by spouting theory?

You know MDawg you are making a huge mistake with how you make presentations of your trip reports. Either way it does not matter if you have real skills that you are keeping to yourself and not writing about, something that no one would blame you for, or, are just a flat out trend bettor who actually believes in all of that. You are in fact presenting yourself as a trend bettor and if that is not anywhere near the truth, shame on you for doing this without disclosing something, as apparently you have quite the following and could hurt people financially. On the other hand if trend betting is your supposed method of experience, and you firmly believe in the theory, it would be wise too know that there are numerous experts in math who could easily make a mockery of your ideas, resulting in you making a jackass of yourself.

Again it is going to come down to you either actually knowing something and deceiving beginning players (including coach belly) or, you believing in something that is based on short term lucky variance.

[redietz]

Are you still insisting that he could not have won what the documents show, because of the math?

So Mdawg posted W/L statements that somewhat support his recent trip report. I am seeing winning statements from 3 casinos. What if there are 4 or 5 losing statements from other casinos not being shown? Not saying there are.....just saying what if?

It is also possible that this was a winning trip exactly as Mdawg claims and supported by the 3 W/L statements. For THAT trip. That is very possible.

The problem I have is with the mention that he has had 40 winning trips in a row over the last several years. The math doesn't support that and he simply hasn't explained what he is doing that would allow for that. I mean maybe he is doing something he doesn't want to share. That is fine. But don't start talking about progressive wagering being the instrument that allows a player to turn a -EV game into a winning game and do so 40 trips in a row, because I am always going to call out that kind of voodoo nonsense. Show me something that Mdawg is doing that allows him to be playing at an advantage that can explain 40 winning trips in a row. You are familiar with the term "show me the money"? Well show me the math?

You young whippersnapper! How dare you??!!? HE SHOWED YOU THE RIBS!!!!

What more could you want?

I know you're not interested, kewlJ, but personally, I was hoping for some calf shots of the hot wife. Or maybe some shots of a flat feminine stomach with someone eating tuna from it. Either one would be a proof clincher for me.

[mickeycrimm]

More power to you if you made a million in casinos last year.

And that's the difference between me and you. You guys all cry and say it can't be done when anyone else is booking profits and getting comp'ed playing the high end table games, but if I see someone else making it I just say, Good for you. So what's more likely? that you are doing well and happy, or that you are sad and sorry - personally, I think that the more dubious a person is with what I've posted, especially at this point with all the images and videos, the more that person has probably lost at casinos, such that it makes sense that he espouses the theory of, "I can't win, so nobody can."


Getting back to polite conversation if it's possible, I do understand that having a casino host and playing above the radar has its risks. I did get banned from BJ for a couple years, but at the same time, my playing above board and becoming friends with the same Director of Table Games who banned me resulted in my eventually getting reinstated for BJ play. As well, at my level of play, it's hard to convince a pit boss you found the money in a taxi cab - meaning that it's just very hard to do anonymously. And finally, part of the reason I switched to Baccarat from BJ (although I still do play some BJ too, at certain tables in Vegas) was to be able to keep flying high and still get comp'ed. They can't hold it against you that you won on what is viewed as a game of chance (versus BJ, which is viewed as a game of skill).

I am not doing this for a living. But if I lost at it, I would not do it at all.

Question: at the Pepp you were excluded from events and so on because you had a host and flew above the radar. But if you had been under the radar and unknown you would not have been invited anyway?

No, I'm not crying. I really don't give a damn about your story. I avoided reading you. I don't care for that "yeah, I bet grand, then I bet 2 grand on the next hand. Went down 4K but came back and won 6K." Who gives a fuck? I certainly don't. That's shit that goes on in casinos everyday. But for years I've seen you baccarat guys and roulette guys brag about never losing. Bullshit. Even those with the edge have losing days.

What did get me to reading you is all the attention you drew. Long threads with lots of posters. It gets my curiosity up when someone draws a crowd. You're just another baccarat/roulette guy in the forums writing about how you never lose on a negative expectation game. Get in line, buddy. You're about the zillionth guy to make that claim in the gambling forums. They do a disservice to the gambling community by propagating the myth that you can win every session on a negative expectation game.

Now let's see. What is your strategy in baccarat? The game is not countable so you aren't doing that. Oh, yeah, that's right, you get to choose how much you are going to bet, and whether you want to bet on banker or player. You don't get to make any other decisions in the game. And out of that strategy you never lose. Banker or player? Banker or player? Banker or player?

Hey, I've got it figured out. MDawgs. You're a PROFESSIONAL GUESSER!!

[MDawg]

From my recollection aren’t you the

slot cheat that scours crappy casinos to find advantage machine play, the "AP"'er who recruits the homeless to skim their freeplay off player cards, or the card counting BJ player complaining of diminishing bankrolls.

If I'm wrong, please correct me, 'cause I never knew you to be a heist man.

Next time you have an intelligent point to make, bring a brain. That way at least you’ll have a chance.

[mickeycrimm]

From my recollection aren’t you the

slot cheat that scours crappy casinos to find advantage machine play, the "AP"'er who recruits the homeless to skim their freeplay off player cards, or the card counting BJ player complaining of diminishing bankrolls.

If I'm wrong, please correct me, 'cause I never knew you to be a heist man.

Next time you have an intelligent point to make, bring a brain. That way at least you’ll have a chance.

HaHAHAHA!!!! Not to hard to get under your skin. Hey, the truth stings like a bitch, don't it? Machines are my forte but I never had to pull the crap you listed to make money. As the Cincinatti Kid said I don't have to cheat to win.

"Duh, duh, bankuh has won 4 hans in a rowwwwww! I'm a gonna bet duh bankuh! Duh, bankuh is hot! No, No, wait! I'm a gonna bet duh playuh cos duh playuh is dew to hit. Yeah, that's it!! No, no, wait! Ah gots ta go wit the bankuh! He's hot! No, no, wait! Duh playuh! No, oh drat's I tink ah'll jess not bet dis hand since au caint's make up muh mind."

MDawg....PROFESSIONAL GUESSER!

[BoSox]

More power to you if you made a million in casinos last year.

And that's the difference between me and you. You guys all cry and say it can't be done when anyone else is booking profits and getting comp'ed playing the high end table games, but if I see someone else making it I just say, Good for you. So what's more likely? that you are doing well and happy, or that you are sad and sorry - personally, I think that the more dubious a person is with what I've posted, especially at this point with all the images and videos, the more that person has probably lost at casinos, such that it makes sense that he espouses the theory of, "I can't win, so nobody can."


Getting back to polite conversation if it's possible, I do understand that having a casino host and playing above the radar has its risks. I did get banned from BJ for a couple years, but at the same time, my playing above board and becoming friends with the same Director of Table Games who banned me resulted in my eventually getting reinstated for BJ play. As well, at my level of play, it's hard to convince a pit boss you found the money in a taxi cab - meaning that it's just very hard to do anonymously. And finally, part of the reason I switched to Baccarat from BJ (although I still do play some BJ too, at certain tables in Vegas) was to be able to keep flying high and still get comp'ed. They can't hold it against you that you won on what is viewed as a game of chance (versus BJ, which is viewed as a game of skill).

I am not doing this for a living. But if I lost at it, I would not do it at all.

Question: at the Pepp you were excluded from events and so on because you had a host and flew above the radar. But if you had been under the radar and unknown you would not have been invited anyway?

No, I'm not crying. I really don't give a damn about your story. I avoided reading you. I don't care for that "yeah, I bet grand, then I bet 2 grand on the next hand. Went down 4K but came back and won 6K." Who gives a fuck? I certainly don't. That's shit that goes on in casinos everyday. But for years I've seen you baccarat guys and roulette guys brag about never losing. Bullshit. Even those with the edge have losing days.

What did get me to reading you is all the attention you drew. Long threads with lots of posters. It gets my curiosity up when someone draws a crowd. You're just another baccarat/roulette guy in the forums writing about how you never lose on a negative expectation game. Get in line, buddy. You're about the zillionth guy to make that claim in the gambling forums. They do a disservice to the gambling community by propagating the myth that you can win every session on a negative expectation game.

Now let's see. What is your strategy in baccarat? The game is not countable so you aren't doing that. Oh, yeah, that's right, you get to choose how much you are going to bet, and whether you want to bet on banker or player. You don't get to make any other decisions in the game. And out of that strategy you never lose. Banker or player? Banker or player? Banker or player?

Hey, I've got it figured out. MDawgs. You're a PROFESSIONAL GUESSER!!

From my recollection aren’t you the

slot cheat that scours crappy casinos to find advantage machine play, the "AP"'er who recruits the homeless to skim their freeplay off player cards, or the card counting BJ player complaining of diminishing bankrolls.

If I'm wrong, please correct me, 'cause I never knew you to be a heist man.

Next time you have an intelligent point to make, bring a brain. That way at least you’ll have a chance.

MDawg, mickeycrimm literally nailed you to a "T", and the truth must hurt doesn't it? How does it feel to be so insecure with your pathetic life that you have to resort to fiction stories in hopes for acceptance of others?

[mickeycrimm]

From my recollection aren’t you the

slot cheat that scours crappy casinos to find advantage machine play, the "AP"'er who recruits the homeless to skim their freeplay off player cards, or the card counting BJ player complaining of diminishing bankrolls.

If I'm wrong, please correct me, 'cause I never knew you to be a heist man.

Next time you have an intelligent point to make, bring a brain. That way at least you’ll have a chance.

BTW, the scene here with Deniro, Stone and Woods was filmed in that Guatamalan restaurant on North Main just a few blocks from Fremont Street.

[MDawg]

But you gotta admit MickeyCrimm, my retort was pretty good.

[MDawg]

The rest of you naysayers are currently too dull come up with something better puhlease, not worth even retorting.