The Adventures of MDawg (in progress)

[MDawg]

Agreed there is no question that BBB was behind this. Why she takes it so personally that MDawg's thread is allowed to proliferate, I couldn't say. And who stepped in to handle PokerGrinder's suspension? It wasn't BBB, it was Wizard himself, she didn't lift a finger.

[MDawg]

When I think of Poker Grinder's suspension I think of the scene from Fear and Loathing in Las Vegas where Dr. Gonzo keeps ranting and raving about selling heroin to the people in the car next to him, and finally the mild manner mid-Western tourist loses it and starts frothing at the mouth. Funny thing is though, nothing I have ever said at WOV has ever been directed at PokerGrinder, if anything I've always been very polite to him and never insulted him in the slightest. So, again, why he LOST IT over something that had nothing to do with him, I couldn't say. I guess he just takes it upon himself to step in as the UNadmitted arbiter of what he thinks is and is not right?

PokeGrinder: You bastard! Pull over! I'll kill you, I'll kill you!

[mickeycrimm]

I don't know if any of you remember gr8player on WoV. He started a thread about 7 years ago called Desperately Seeking Baccarat.MDawg, this guy gr8player is your daddy. Except he was much more polite than you. Here's the thread. It should make your day.

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gamb...48/#post291373

Though gr8player was very polite in the end Shack asked him to leave WoV.

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/info.../7/#post344087

[MDawg]

Yes I have seen his posts, but I don't think he had anything specific to say. In the history of these gambling forums I don't think anyone has posted a trip report with as much online detail, pictures and backup evidence. I'm the real deal, whether you want to accept it or not. If you don't accept it, that says more about you, than it does about me.

[mickeycrimm]

Yes I have seen his posts, but I don't think he had anything specific to say. In the history of these gambling forums I don't think anyone has posted a trip report with as much online detail, pictures and backup evidence. I'm the real deal, whether you want to accept it or not.

Who cares about trip reports. I don't. They are borinnnnngggggg. What I don't like is the disservice you do to people not educated on the math. Fuck Coach, he's an idiot and I hope he runs right out and plays baccarat using your trend betting so he can see for himself.

[BoSox]

The best example of this continues to be roulette. Can a player walk into a casino, bet on black and win 3 of 4 spins and leave? Absolutely. Can he do that every day for a year. Absolutely NOT!

Some will say that streaks are all imaginary, that we see what we want to see, that there are no patterns in random events.

But...the difference between Baccarat and dice, for example, is that IF there is a pattern set in that Baccarat shoe, it WILL come up and repeat because the cards are fixed, set, may not be changed, once placed in the shoe.

While with dice (or roulette), there is no set future pattern, as each roll of the dice is a truly independent event.

A subtle, but substantial difference.

I have heard of Bacc. players who have a general rule of "I bet whatever hand just won." Well for such a player, if he chances upon a shoe with a twenty-two bank or player run, and also has a general rule of pressing after each win, which many Bacc. players do in fact have these two rules, then every time he comes upon a shoe that has runs in it, he will make a lot, especially if he leaves right after the long run and doesn't keep playing that shoe.

However, these two rules of "always bet whatever just happened" and "press each time you just won" won't necessarily matter with events where the future is not fixed, like in dice rolls.

I mean yes, people will come back and say that over time no matter how much you make on runs things will even out over time and you'll give it back trying to bet on runs that never materialize. But, if you play the shoes with a discernible pattern hard and play lightly or simply get up and leave when presented with a random shoe, you might wind up ahead! including over time.

If you may imagine it, let's say that slot machine spins were not each truly independent, and some machines were set to pay off huge and nothing you could do would alter that pay off as long as you sat down and played at the machine. For me, a good baccarat shoe is like a slot machine that is set to pay. And, I am able to discern well before the shoe is over, whether this shoe is a pattern shoe that will pay off big, or a random shoe that will not. I sit down at the shoe and I bet according to pattern. If I am winning, that means this is a good shoe, and press my bet. If I keep losing, this is a random shoe and I leave it alone and reduce my bet or leave in search of another shoe.

If you don't believe that there is such a thing as a good shoe, where any decent player will win big, then you shouldn't play Baccarat.

MDawg, you are not the first prophet who came along an entertained people.

https://www.bing.com/videos/search?q...cent&FORM=VDRE

[MDawg]

Well that's fine to say that you think that it's improbable, but that's different from saying that it is impossible. And anyway over at WOV the bottom line even from some of the math guys there was that it was nowhere near impossible that a guy could win 8 trips in a row Baccarat/BJ. If you figure 7% chance of coming out ahead on a million hands of Baccarat, how many hands could I have played in 8 trips?

In any case that twenty million to one "math" tossed out here was absurdly wrong.

I did not click on that link, gotta get back to the stock market and some work, but I assume it's just part of the story - while MDawg gave you the entire story, not just chips and cash and RFB, but also the markers and win statements.

[The Boz]

Yes I have seen his posts, but I don't think he had anything specific to say. In the history of these gambling forums I don't think anyone has posted a trip report with as much online detail, pictures and backup evidence. I'm the real deal, whether you want to accept it or not. If you don't accept it, that says more about you, than it does about me.

What exactly have you had to say? Other than garbage about reading the cards and knowing what’s coming next.

While I agree you shouldn’t mention if you are cheating or edge sorting, I don’t think you are.

Best bet is you got lucky chasing loses in a modified Marty a few times and like so many over the years believes it’s a winning system.

Whatever the reason it makes ZERO sense to come on and brag about it. It’s does nothing good for other than feeding your ego.

And can only cause you problems moving forward at the casinos you play at.

At least it’s a huge day for Amazon so far, even with idiots employees threatening to go on strike.

[MDawg]

Yes AMZN is saving the day.

When you think about it why did it drop so much anyway? It sells online and as stores close wouldn't people have to turn to AMZN more and more?

Over all, it also just comes down to that you can't predict what will happen. Just when you think everything is going to shit buyers swoop in and take the market up.

[MDawg]

By the way, as far as bitcoin, Mr. Two Faced, yes I have accumulated and hodled since about 2010. I have bitcoin that I acquired when it was worth about nothing. I have bitcoin that I acquired when it worth about $100. And at $200. The largest dollar wise value of the coins I received at once, as far as what the coins were worth at the moment I received them, were when it was at about ten grand, and that was BEFORE it hit 20,000. I received some when it was 12000 too. I still receive bitcoin to this day, a client just sent me some yesterday.

But all of the BTC I have (and all of the free BCH I received at the fork end of 2017) were received from clients for work done. I have never bought any. I never paid a penny for any of it. I have never sold any either.

I did think of selling some end of 2017, but at that time all of it was in a European online wallet that did not allow U.S. people to sell without taking certain steps that I remain unwilling to take. In the meantime though, I do have about ten BTC in a small coinbase wallet that I could sell. Starting about two years ago I think it was, I started receiving most or all the bitcoin only to my coinbase wallet and leaving the big wallet mostly alone except for the larger incoming transfers. Still, given that the whole thing is essentially a "free" roll, although yes I did trade my labor for it, I am in no hurry to sell any and I am just one of those with, looking from the outside anyway, at least one relatively dormant wallet. I do login to it every now and then to make sure it is all still there!

If you want me to do work for you I'll accept payment in bitcoin. Not too many of my clients pay in bitcoin, but those who do, I accept it. I don't care what the price is 4000 or 20000 I will accept it, and I will hodl.

I guess if I were to sit down and calculate minutely, some of the payments in BTC I have received from clients, the value of that bitcoin at this moment is less than what they were worth at that time. But over all, I am way WAY up versus how much cash I would have received over ten years versus the value of the coins now!

My target is 50,000 minimum. At that point, I'll have to figure out some way to sell.

I'm not the only person who accepts bitcoin for work done, and I know others who have done pretty much exactly what I did and just hodled too. Most of the big wallets out there they didn't pay for those coins with cash either.

[MDawg]

BTW who knows why the stock market is up today. Maybe it has to do with that toilet paper is now available to pre-order and pickup with ease from supermarkets, and people are thinking shit, if toilet paper flow is back on, the economy must be on its way back too. I just checked it's now available, no problem. Those who HODLED toilet paper must be feeling pretty stupid right now.

[coach belly]

I hope he runs right out and plays baccarat using your trend betting so he can see for himself.

I'm already out...camped outside the casino waiting for it to open.

Keeping my $50K cash bankroll in my cowboy boots like the ditz does.

[mickeycrimm]

Well that's fine to say that you think that it's improbable, but that's different from saying that it is impossible. And anyway over at WOV the bottom line even from some of the math guys there was that it was nowhere near impossible that a guy could win 8 trips in a row Baccarat/BJ. If you figure 7% chance of coming out ahead on a million hands of Baccarat, how many hands could I have played in 8 trips?

In any case that twenty million to one "math" tossed out here was absurdly wrong.

I did not click on that link, gotta get back to the stock market and some work, but I assume it's just part of the story - while MDawg gave you the entire story, not just chips and cash and RFB, but also the markers and win statements.

That 7% chance on 1,000,000 hands is more like 0.0007%.

[mickeycrimm]

Yes I have seen his posts, but I don't think he had anything specific to say. In the history of these gambling forums I don't think anyone has posted a trip report with as much online detail, pictures and backup evidence. I'm the real deal, whether you want to accept it or not. If you don't accept it, that says more about you, than it does about me.

With the insults you repeatedly hurled over at WoV it is you and only you who is responsible for your suspensions. I'll tell you what your worth is to them. There are members over there that have gotten five, six, seven 3-day suspensions in a row. You got 7 days on your first one, 14 on your 2nd and 3rd, 28 days on your 4th and 4 months on your 5th. That's how much they care about you. But you brought it all on yourself.

[MDawg]

7% is correct. Anyway, how would you know? I'm trying to be polite here but the guy who posted it is a math guy. Did you ever get past even algebra before you dropped out of high school? I wouldn't try to argue neuroscience with a brain surgeon I know my limits. Do you?

How do you make the connection between that quote of mine and what you posted underneath it?

While we are on the subject how/why did you end up getting banned? One way to look at it in my case is that they keep suspending me. Another way to look at it is that they know it's all chickenshit stuff that doesn't deserve a full ban. So what's worse, to get a few petty infractions or to just suddenly blow it so badly that they give you the boot all in one shot. I'd say that the reason I am still there is that they know I add value and that at the end of the day I'm not some foul mouthed guy who went on a rampage repeatedly.

In any case, both of us know that other than wanting to be someplace because we cannot be there, there's no real reason to want to be there while they are being so nit picky: it's currently a PITA to post over there. You have to walk on eggshells. That's not fun.

[coach belly]

I'm trying to be polite here

While we are on the subject how/why did you end up getting banned?

tickey is here to be nasty, you being polite only enrages him more.

He got banned from WOV for threatening the mods, he just hasn't gotten around to threatening you yet.

Don't take it personally...when he tells you to die, that's really him wishing himself dead.

[MDawg]

[mickeycrimm]

7% is correct. Anyway, how would you know? I'm trying to be polite here but the guy who posted it is a math guy. Did you ever get past even algebra before you dropped out of high school? I wouldn't try to argue neuroscience with a brain surgeon I know my limits. Do you?

How do you make the connection between that quote of mine and what you posted underneath it?

While we are on the subject how/why did you end up getting banned? One way to look at it in my case is that they keep suspending me. Another way to look at it is that they know it's all chickenshit stuff that doesn't deserve a full ban. So what's worse, to get a few petty infractions or to just suddenly blow it so badly that they give you the boot all in one shot. I'd say that the reason I am still there is that they know I add value and that at the end of the day I'm not some foul mouthed guy who went on a rampage repeatedly.

In any case, both of us know that other than wanting to be someplace because we cannot be there, there's no real reason to want to be there while they are being so nit picky: it's currently a PITA to post over there. You have to walk on eggshells. That's not fun.

I guess you wouldn't know it but gambling math is my forte. It's all based in Algebra under a doctrine called Combinations and Permutations. I've never studied baccarat math in depth but my guess is the failure rate of winning a hand is somewhere just above 50%. Multiplying the failure rate against itself 1 million times then subtracting the product from 1 will give the chance of being ahead after that many hands.

Your best chance to get ahead is to play just one hand. Every hand you add to it diminishes your chances of getting ahead. So that after 1 million hands you are somewhere between slim and none of being ahead. Pretty much a mathematical certaintty that you will be behind. That's the compound effect of negative expectation gambling.

I got banned for bitching people out when I was drunk. At the time I held the record for most suspensions without being nuked. They did everything they could to keep me there because they considered me valuable when I was sober. One moderator was even erasing my drunk posts. But I wouldn't quit with the drunk posts. I always took full responsibility for my suspensions, not blaming anyone but myself.

BTW, I haven't had a drink in over 3 years now. I'm in my 37th month.

[mickeycrimm]

I'm trying to be polite here

While we are on the subject how/why did you end up getting banned?

tickey is here to be nasty, you being polite only enrages him more.

He got banned from WOV for threatening the mods, he just hasn't gotten around to threatening you yet.

Don't take it personally...when he tells you to die, that's really him wishing himself dead.

Coach Smelly is still pushing fake news. I wasn't banned for threatening the mods.

[MDawg]

Kudos for being sober. That's a good thing.