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Thread: The Adventures of MDawg (in progress)

  1. #941
    Okay now you're saying a lot of different things. Which is good! and fine.

    All I was saying was that if you are undercapitalized in a casino, then at best you'll be able to flat bet - won't have the money to vary your bet. And we know that flat betting is a sure loser no matter what you are doing, counting cards at BJ, or whatever. And the same applies, in a way, at the stock market, with trading. If you are undercapitalized, you'll be able to buy only one "chunk" (lot) of shares, versus being able to average in, and your chances of winning will be lowered. This could be somewhat compared to flat betting (one bite - one bet at the stock only, versus multiple).

    Which is why I am agreeing with you in disagreeing with that guy who said that a small bankroll is better than a big bankroll at the tables. I am more concurring though, in that I am agreeing for different reasons. I am saying that undercapitalization is bad.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  2. #942
    Originally Posted by MDawg View Post
    Okay now you're saying a lot of different things. Which is good! and fine.

    All I was saying was that if you are undercapitalized in a casino, then at best you'll be able to flat bet - won't have the money to vary your bet. And we know that flat betting is a sure loser no matter what you are doing, counting cards at BJ, or whatever. And the same applies, in a way, at the stock market, with trading. If you are undercapitalized, you'll be able to buy only one "chunk" (lot) of shares, versus being able to average in, and your chances of winning will be lowered. This could be somewhat compared to flat betting (one bite - one bet at the stock only, versus multiple).

    Which is why I am agreeing with you in disagreeing with that guy who said that a small bankroll is better than a big bankroll at the tables. I am more concurring though, in that I am agreeing for different reasons. I am saying that undercapitalization is bad.
    And explain the reason why flat betting is a sure loser?(I'm not asking because I don't know the reason, I'm just curious as to what you think the reason is) perhaps you can give baccarat as an example since that's your "expertise"

  3. #943
    I know you don't play table games any longer (you probably never played them to any great high limits), but even with BJ and card counting there are times that justify jumping the bet. Duh. So if you must flat bet how are you going to jump the bet? You'll never be able to take advantage of the count or any of the other things you may be able to utilize to figure out what is going on. (Such as that trick you mentioned where you would see the bottom card in the deck and be able to manipulate it to your advantage on your player cut, or the one I mentioned where some of the machines they used to use in Vegas would flash a certain way and indicate exactly what small card (not a ten not a face) was under the ace when they checked for a BJ, if you had been around long enough to figure it out, which would allow me to double down even with certain cards that I might not normally double down with, since I knew exactly what the dealer had at that point.) Or shuffle tracking, tracking clumps, whatever. Flat betting eliminates any edge from any of that.

    I know you know this, even though you don't play table games, and instead you're just trying to get me to discuss how I win at Baccarat with you. Not happening!
    Last edited by MDawg; 04-05-2020 at 09:09 AM.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  4. #944
    Originally Posted by MDawg View Post
    Okay now you're saying a lot of different things. Which is good! and fine.

    All I was saying was that if you are undercapitalized in a casino, then at best you'll be able to flat bet - won't have the money to vary your bet. And we know that flat betting is a sure loser no matter what you are doing, counting cards at BJ, or whatever. And the same applies, in a way, at the stock market, with trading. If you are undercapitalized, you'll be able to buy only one "chunk" (lot) of shares, versus being able to average in, and your chances of winning will be lowered. This could be somewhat compared to flat betting (one bite - one bet at the stock only, versus multiple).

    Which is why I am agreeing with you in disagreeing with that guy who said that a small bankroll is better than a big bankroll at the tables. I am more concurring though, in that I am agreeing for different reasons. I am saying that undercapitalization is bad.
    Being highly capitalized by itself won’t get you anywhere. If you’re playing a negative EV game, being highly capitalized just means you’ll survive longer before you go bankrupt. This is true if your flat betting or varying your bet.

    As far as the goofball who played with small bankrolls, it was only small bankrolls per shoe. He believed if you limited your bankroll per shoe, it would limit how much you lost for that shoe, which is obviously a true statement but somewhat meaningless. Somehow he thought this would limit his loses long term, but keep his win rate per hour up. Again, his ideas made no sense. He had some new jargon for the same old ideas of “stop losses”.

  5. #945
    Originally Posted by Bob21 View Post
    Being highly capitalized by itself won’t get you anywhere. If you’re playing a negative EV game, being highly capitalized just means you’ll survive longer before you go bankrupt. This is true if your flat betting or varying your bet.
    Even if I had no advantage to my Baccarat play, which I do, even if I were playing a straight coin toss with no house edge, still being undercapitalized would make a difference, simply due to variance.

    You might be trying to say that it is impossible to win at a casino. That's ridiculous. People win all the time. Why? For one - Variance. Yes for the vast majority they are mostly going to lose. But tell the guy like me who has cleared a half million at Baccarat before, and low hundred thousands many times, that his bankroll (or bet varying) made no difference. For most it may never make a difference, but for the guy who was there at the right times, with enough of a bankroll to really press his bet, it makes enough of a difference to make him a lifetime winner.

    This may be somewhat what that guy was getting at. To use the stock trading analogy, you need to let your winners run and cut your losers off short. I don't actually let my trades lose, but when they go against me I do what I did couple days ago, which was average in and then get the hell out at a small profit. But it's the same concept.
    Last edited by MDawg; 04-05-2020 at 09:31 AM.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  6. #946
    Originally Posted by MDawg View Post
    Originally Posted by Bob21 View Post
    Being highly capitalized by itself won’t get you anywhere. If you’re playing a negative EV game, being highly capitalized just means you’ll survive longer before you go bankrupt. This is true if your flat betting or varying your bet.
    Even if I had no advantage to my Baccarat play, which I do, even if I were playing a straight coin toss with no house edge, still being undercapitalized would make a difference, simply due to variance.

    You might be trying to say that it is impossible to win at a casino. That's ridiculous. People win all the time. Why? For one - Variance. Yes for the vast majority they are mostly going to lose. But tell the guy like me who has cleared a half million at Baccarat before, and low hundred thousands many times, that his bankroll made no difference. For most it may never make a difference, but for the guy who was there at the right times, with enough of a bankroll, it makes enough of a difference to make him a lifetime winner.

    This may be somewhat what that guy was getting at. To use the stock trading analogy, you need to let your winners run and cut your losers off short. I don't actually let my trades lose, but when they go against me I do what I did couple days ago, which was average in and then get the hell out at a small profit. But it's the same concept.
    Here we are back to MDawg claiming he has an advantage playing bac. But he won't explain what that advantage is. Betting trends does not turn the game positive. Varying ones bet does not turn the game positive. This guy MDawg is nothing but a compulsive liar.
    "More importantly, mickey thought 8-4 was two games over .500. Argued about it. C'mon, man. Nothing can top that for math expertise. If GWAE ever has you on again, you can be sure I'll be calling in with that gem.'Nuff said." REDIETZ

  7. #947
    Originally Posted by MDawg View Post

    I know you know this, even though you don't play table games, and instead you're just trying to get me to discuss how I win at Baccarat with you. Not happening!
    This is what the entire thing comes down to. Other than maybe Coach & Blackhole, and I say maybe because they are just contrarians, no one believes you have a Baccarat system or way to win. That’s the entire situation and it’s pisses you off to no end and it’s becoming an obsession for you. One only has to look at how much more time you spend discussing it and trying to defend it.

    The fact that you try to compare BJ to it is only digging a deeper hole in your logic. You are only person on Earth who feels there are hands you have an advantage on in Baccarat unless you are Edge Sorting or found another new method. And if you did and come on here you are truly the dumbest rich fuck on Earth. I don’t think you are stupid so I’ll eliminate that possibility. Instead you are just another rich GAMBLER who got lucky a few times and thinks they have it all figured out.

    It’s really that simple. No one can learn anything from you. Nothing, nothing at all. There is zero chance Axel thinks he can learn anything from you. While I don’t know what his goal is, my guess is he wants to see you realize you are doing nothing but gambling. Of course you prove that with your daily gambling on stocks.

    As I’ve said, it’s not personal with me. I see you for what you are and am not sure you even believe the shit you post. I like to think you are smart enough to understand math, odds and how casinos work. And understand no system or structure of bets can beat a Negative game other than with short term luck. But plenty of rich successful businessmen over the years have succumbed to the lure of the glitter of Vegas comps and the lifestyle. Look at the Oriental Trading guy.

    And I’m serious as a Heart Attack someone will doxx you in the future. It’s happened to some of us before, it happened to someone here recently with a picture and a name. Someone threatened to turn you in to security at casinos you frequent. And you have already decided it’s something you are willing to do to both Michael and Axel with half hearted attempts. I truly hope it doesn’t happen to you, but you are continuing to make yourself a target.

    Why I can’t figure out.
    Last edited by The Boz; 04-05-2020 at 10:12 AM.

  8. #948
    Like Bob you said a lot of different things. Which is good!

    As far as that bozo - he didn't say that he was going to turn me in, he said that the casinos were already looking into how I had been overcomp'ed! Of course where his stupid story fell apart is when he said this after the casinos had already shut down for over a week and had plywood on their doors. Not to mention that I've been playing the same way, above the radar, and winning, for years. Plus, if you're going to punch someone in the eye, why tell him you're about to swing, unless it's all about bluster and no punch is actually coming? I assume that every one of these losers who follows me to a forum and posts are jealous fucks who have nothing better to do than try to rattle real people. But - what's MickeyCrimm's excuse?

    I think you basically have some people here who don't mind discussing things openly, and then others for whom it somehow sticks in their craw, such that they can't abide it.
    Last edited by MDawg; 04-05-2020 at 10:03 AM.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  9. #949
    Originally Posted by MDawg View Post
    I know you don't play table games any longer (you probably never played them to any great high limits), but even with BJ and card counting there are times that justify jumping the bet. Duh. So if you must flat bet how are you going to jump the bet? You'll never be able to take advantage of the count or any of the other things you may be able to utilize to figure out what is going on. (Such as that trick you mentioned where you would see the bottom card in the deck and be able to manipulate it to your advantage on your player cut, or the one I mentioned where some of the machines they used to use in Vegas would flash a certain way and indicate exactly what small card (not a ten not a face) was under the ace when they checked for a BJ, if you had been around long enough to figure it out, which would allow me to double down even with certain cards that I might not normally double down with, since I knew exactly what the dealer had at that point.) Or shuffle tracking, tracking clumps, whatever. Flat betting eliminates any edge from any of that.

    I know you know this, even though you don't play table games, and instead you're just trying to get me to discuss how I win at Baccarat with you. Not happening!
    You're absolutely correct, I never played a lot of high limit table games, I only played that stuff when I had an advantage and those opportunities never came along that often as I was concentrating on other things. Also, once I was added to the Griffin book it became difficult to play table games without having an issue. Playing table games seem to get more heat and other things. No doubt, I probably have more time in at the tables than you do, considering I've been doing this stuff full-time since about 1993. If I count online baccarat play I estimate about two thousand hands. But you certainly have more experience playing -EV high limit Baccarat I do. Then again, you have absolutely zero proof of ever playing at single-handle Baccarat. Your pictures only show chip's and you have no Witnesses that you've actually played any Baccarat. I can accomplish all those pictures and Records without ever playing more than a few low limit hands on table games(technically you can do it without playing at all, but that might raise some suspicion) With that being said, I'm not doubting that you play Baccarat. I absolutely don't believe that you're playing it as often for as much as you have led us to believe.

    Of course you have to jump your bets to make money at blocked back when your card counting that's the entire point. Baccarat is a whole different story, going by what you said previously you wouldn't have to jump your bets in order to profit from Baccarat if one was given the abilities that you claim to have. Assuming you're flat betting one would just have to recognize the streaks and make the correct decisions a majority of the time. Obviously, you would make more if you made the correct decisions with higher bets out. Nobody other than possibly a few idiots want to learn your baccarat system. We only ask so we can actually debunk your b******* with logic and math. That's exactly why you can't or won't tell us what it is because you know it won't pass those tests. You're not the first person to come up with us full of s***, and you won't be the last.

    P.S. It doesn't matter if you play high limit or low limit Baccarat your system should work either way. Somebody with a $5,000 bankroll should be able to when the same amount of units as you do so having a lot of money isn't a factor as far as how many units one could win. Obviously, they wouldn't get all the perks a highlight player would.

  10. #950
    What's interesting, and again two faced as can be - is that on the one hand Axel comes in and warns that I shouldn't post too much about what I do, and then follows up a day or so later with some post about how I need to show him more, up close and personal, about how I play Baccarat!

    And again, that he says things like <<I can accomplish all those pictures and Records without ever playing more than a few low limit hands on table games>> that is as much as conceding that he'd have to fake everything to appear as if he plays at the casino!

    In any case, if you can make a record of play as detailed and supported by the paid markers, chips, paid verified win checks, cash, and videos of win statements as I did, then

    WHY DIDN'T YOU? to prove your point.

    And it didn't take me two days to read what he wrote and then half forget most of it, like he always does. I mean he comes in and says that he KNOWS that SiegFriedRoy was a fraud, but forgets why. Maybe he was, maybe he wasn't, but saying that you KNOW he was but that you forgot why, is pretty weak. That is a serious accusation, and yet you make it, and can't even remember why you made it? How he does so well at any casino with a fading memory like that is beyond me.

    Reminds me of that Monk episode where the SF detective got so drunk he forget how or why he had solved the case.
    https://monk.fandom.com/wiki/Mr._Monk_Goes_to_Vegas
    But at least Captain Stottlemeyer eventually remembered. When will Axel?

    It's just typical of Axel to say things without any backup. Making accusations without any backup is even worse.
    Last edited by MDawg; 04-05-2020 at 10:32 AM.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  11. #951
    Anyway I think it will be a long time before MDawg is in Vegas playing again.

    I think the day your average non-addicted gambler returns to Vegas, will be the day people are comfortable sitting next to each other in a 50,000 packed to capacity stadium, or standing next to each other in a mosh pit, and I don't see any of that happening soon unless something changes drastically.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  12. #952
    For a reality check about Baccarat's inability to be profitable (played straight up - no edge sorting, dealer collusion, etc.), look no further than Spanish 21. Spanish 21 was not considered countable initially by casino management and got very little pit scrutiny as a result (as you guys know, a lot of people made a lot of money on it because of this). Then it gradually became more widely known that it was countable (recall that books about it started coming on the market) until it reached a point in visibility such that casino management became widely aware that it was beatable, and then it got about as much scrutiny as BJ. So if Baccarat, a much older (1400s) game than Spanish 21, is beatable, then why the fuck is there no heat on the game ? I mean eventually it would have become known by casinos that it was beatable given the age of the game, just like Spanish 21 (and BJ for that matter). Well because it's not beatable.

  13. #953
    The BOZO is a full blown piece of shit.

  14. #954
    Originally Posted by blackhole View Post
    The BOZO is a full blown piece of shit.
    Nice well thought out contribution to the discussion of claims of beating a Negative Game.

    Happy Sunday Mr Hole.

  15. #955
    Originally Posted by The Boz View Post

    This is what the entire thing comes down to. Other than maybe Coach & Blackhole, and I say maybe because they are just contrarians, no one believes you have a Baccarat system or way to win.



    Of course you prove that with your daily gambling on stocks.


    And I’m serious as a Heart Attack someone will doxx you in the future. It’s happened to some of us before, it happened to someone here recently with a picture and a name. Someone threatened to turn you in to security at casinos you frequent.
    This is exactly what I mean with you BOZO and the rest of the hustlers here. Never once did I ever say anywhere that MDawg has a system to beat Baccarat. I believed he won what he said he did on his recent trip and I also believed he proved it. I wished him great luck in the future with both his gambling and career that affords him that gambling luxury. That means nothing when it comes to your fraudulent narratives you want to keep putting across. I guess you just skip over those past comments I made more than once and suggest instead what would fit your phony narrative above.

    You pop into threads like the conservative man of Wisdom and make absurd comments, most just guesses, then after being made a fool of with responses, you disappear. At least when Mickey makes a fool of himself, he ignores all the facts that follow afterwards and just continues posting like nothing was said. Then again, he is a stupid hillbilly fool who still sleeps in the original OK Corral.

    MDawg talks about stock investing success. You hustlers can’t stomach it and again try to convince everyone what he’s doing is not possible or bullshit. I got stock investment stories that would give you the chills. In fact, I’ve been arrested for it. Of course, after two almost three years of endless investigating all charges were dropped against me. You fucking two-bit hustlers couldn’t afford the legal fees involved. I wouldn’t dare consider sharing those stories on con artist envious forums like this one.

    Now you’re warning MDawg he might get doxed. In fact, your comments about doxing sound more of a call out for someone to do it. This also confirms the true skumbag fraud you actually are. I could only imagine the joy you and the rest of the hustlers would have if that happened.

    Is this what you bullshit phony hustlers do and say to keep someone from pointing out how much of a fraud you are? Dox them or try to point out their posts to actual casinos.

    Now if you want to talk about why anyone would consider you fine chaps hustlers? You and your post couldn’t point that out anymore clearer.

  16. #956
    Originally Posted by MDawg View Post
    I know you don't play table games any longer (you probably never played them to any great high limits), but even with BJ and card counting there are times that justify jumping the bet. Duh. So if you must flat bet how are you going to jump the bet? You'll never be able to take advantage of the count or any of the other things you may be able to utilize to figure out what is going on. (Such as that trick you mentioned where you would see the bottom card in the deck and be able to manipulate it to your advantage on your player cut, or the one I mentioned where some of the machines they used to use in Vegas would flash a certain way and indicate exactly what small card (not a ten not a face) was under the ace when they checked for a BJ, if you had been around long enough to figure it out, which would allow me to double down even with certain cards that I might not normally double down with, since I knew exactly what the dealer had at that point.) Or shuffle tracking, tracking clumps, whatever. Flat betting eliminates any edge from any of that.

    I know you know this, even though you don't play table games, and instead you're just trying to get me to discuss how I win at Baccarat with you. Not happening!
    Here MDawg shows his ignorance again. He's giving axel a clinic on jumping the bet in BJ when the deck is positive. Like axel hasn't known that for 30 years. And... he's talking about a machine glitch that, if axel had been around long enough he may have known about. LOL! Axel has been around the casinos since the early nineties, a hell of a lot longer than MDawg.
    Last edited by mickeycrimm; 04-05-2020 at 01:36 PM.
    "More importantly, mickey thought 8-4 was two games over .500. Argued about it. C'mon, man. Nothing can top that for math expertise. If GWAE ever has you on again, you can be sure I'll be calling in with that gem.'Nuff said." REDIETZ

  17. #957
    Arrested for stock fraud? Sounds like we have a true hustler here now. And one that may be a little jealous of the attention MD is getting.

    In this case, I believe you 100%. It totally fits the image you have presented the past few years on forums.

    Watch out folks, we have an “Innocent” man we are dealing with. Quick, look at him!

    As for doxxing, I wish it on no one, even you.

  18. #958
    Originally Posted by The Boz View Post
    Arrested for stock fraud? Sounds like we have a true hustler here now. And one that may be a little jealous of the attention MD is getting.

    In this case, I believe you 100%. It totally fits the image you have presented the past few years on forums.

    Watch out folks, we have an “Innocent” man we are dealing with. Quick, look at him!

    As for doxxing, I wish it on no one, even you.
    You got stock fraud, jealousy, out of my post.

    Without the slightest idea of what took place with the SEC and DOJ you somehow concluded it had to be stock fraud.

    I’d like to add one more adjective to my list of descriptions of you. AIR fucking Head. You might even have reached a level of stupidity below Micky.

    I think people notice how you skipped my whole response above pointing out your bullshit, and how you make up an unknown fact and add to that. You're a fucking fraud.

  19. #959
    Originally Posted by blackhole View Post
    Originally Posted by The Boz View Post
    Arrested for stock fraud? Sounds like we have a true hustler here now. And one that may be a little jealous of the attention MD is getting.

    In this case, I believe you 100%. It totally fits the image you have presented the past few years on forums.

    Watch out folks, we have an “Innocent” man we are dealing with. Quick, look at him!

    As for doxxing, I wish it on no one, even you.
    You got stock fraud, jealousy, out of my post.

    Without the slightest idea of what took place with the SEC and DOJ you somehow concluded it had to be stock fraud.

    I’d like to add one more adjective to my list of descriptions of you. AIR fucking Head. You might even have reached a level of stupidity below Micky.

    I think people notice how you skipped my whole response above pointing out your bullshit, and how you make up an unknown fact and add to that. You're a fucking fraud.
    Homo say what?

  20. #960
    Originally Posted by blackhole View Post
    Originally Posted by The Boz View Post
    Arrested for stock fraud? Sounds like we have a true hustler here now. And one that may be a little jealous of the attention MD is getting.

    In this case, I believe you 100%. It totally fits the image you have presented the past few years on forums.

    Watch out folks, we have an “Innocent” man we are dealing with. Quick, look at him!

    As for doxxing, I wish it on no one, even you.
    You got stock fraud, jealousy, out of my post.

    Without the slightest idea of what took place with the SEC and DOJ you somehow concluded it had to be stock fraud.

    I’d like to add one more adjective to my list of descriptions of you. AIR fucking Head. You might even have reached a level of stupidity below Micky.

    I think people notice how you skipped my whole response above pointing out your bullshit, and how you make up an unknown fact and add to that. You're a fucking fraud.
    Stock fraud, price manipulation or insider trading. That should cover it if the DOJ was involved.

    Not sure what you want me to reply to. I’ve made my OPINION about you known many times and you usually confirm it.

    You admitted you are lifelong casino loser and are proud of it. You say the entertainment was worth it to you and I don’t think you are lying.

    You have bragged about owning boats and houses in multiple states. You point out many times you have more than all of us combined. Ok, terrific.

    You call people you never met hustlers and scammers without any proof, only OPINION.

    And you come off as one bitter, angry old Son of A Bitch.

    You can give it just like you take it, but you just seem to have a little more anger to it. The type person who wishes ill upon others.

    I guess you prove that money and success doesn’t always add up to happiness.

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