The Adventures of MDawg (in progress)

[coach belly]

I feel he is just lucky for the SHORT TERM nothing more

I don't know that MDawg would dispute that.

Why then did you refer to his trip reports as fantasy stories not to be believed?

[redietz]

I would suggest people step back and understand that "coach belly" is a fictional character trying to get other fictional characters to admit that the other fictional characters view the exploits of a fictional character as fiction and are therefore calling the fictional character a "liar."

LOL. Coach, why don't you post your actual name and stuff so some of your arguments are less absurd?

[mickeycrimm]

why don't you mimic MDawg? There's nothing complicated about what he is doing. Coach can join you.

You can mimic MDawg too. So why don't you?

I have health issues, Coach. We don't have baccarat in Montana and I can't travel for now. The closest bac I know of is in Nevada. But you and Blackhole shouldn't have any trouble finding a bac game. I'm looking forward to your trip reports. It'll give me something to do while I'm shut in.

All that winning and comps. Piece of cake. You just need to vary your bets and follow the streaks like MDawg does.

[coach belly]

6) The problem with this, from coach belly's perspective, is that going forward MDawg should experience chance results.

I don't have a problem with that...hasn't he been experiencing and reporting chance results so far? What other results should Baccarat produce if not chance results?

7) I can almost guarantee that MDawg won't be reporting chance results going forward.

Are you implying that he has not been reporting chance results in this thread?

[coach belly]

Coach, why don't you post your actual name and stuff

I have posted my actual name, and (as you have pointed out) even posted my SS# .

So when everybody else posts their real name, then we can circle back and I'll post mine again.

Shall I make a list ?

[coach belly]

I'm looking forward to your trip reports.

I'll save most of it for some blog articles and such.

[redietz]

Coach, why don't you post your actual name and stuff

I have posted my actual name, and (as you have pointed out) even posted my SS# .

So when everybody else posts their real name, then we can circle back and I'll post mine again.

Shall I make a list ?

I don't have your social or your actual name, coach. As I recall, somebody else first alerted you to you having made a possible posting faux pas. I vaguely remember recommending you pull the post.

[redietz]

6) The problem with this, from coach belly's perspective, is that going forward MDawg should experience chance results.

I don't have a problem with that...hasn't he been experiencing and reporting chance results so far? What other results should Baccarat produce if not chance results?

7) I can almost guarantee that MDawg won't be reporting chance results going forward.

Are you implying that he has not been reporting chance results in this thread?

"Chance results" has a statistical meaning, coach. Best to take one of those probability courses I've recommended to you on many occasions. Jesus, surely you can afford to blow the forty bucks.

I mean, what's your deal, coach? You know nothing about sports gambling, and try to play gotcha. You display no knowledge of probability, but feel obligated to chime in. Why don't you take up brain surgery or octopus fishing instead of gambling?

[mickeycrimm]

Coach, can you or anyone else show us the math that says the vast majority of time you will be ahead at some point in a session?

Mission did the math and confirmed this earlier on this forum, in response to my questioning about VP.

Search through his posting history and you'll find it.

I'm assuming if it applies to VP, then it applies to Bac as well, since they are both card games.

But, not sure my assumption is correct.

Nope. Mission didn't do any math showing the vast majority of time a player will be ahead at some point in a session of video poker or baccarat. You see, it can't be done. No mathematician in history has been able to write that equation. You just can't pull it off in these kind of negative expectation games.

[coach belly]

"Chance results" has a statistical meaning, coach. Best to take one of those probability courses I've recommended to you on many occasions.

I mean, what's your deal, coach?

I can't take a probability course right now, but just now I searched online for a definition of "chance results" and couldn't find any.

My deal is a search for information and truth.

That's why I always ask questions...I'm looking for answers.

You're either not willing nor able to answer my questions, while others are.

So what's your deal? Why don't you just butt out?

[BoSox]

I feel he is just lucky for the SHORT TERM nothing more

I don't know that MDawg would dispute that.

Why then did you refer to his trip reports as fantasy stories not to be believed?

If you must know I was trying to warn anyone who may be somewhat gullible.

[kewlJ]

When we were discussing tracking 2 tables, Alan got up at 3am and ran out to a strip casino (I believe Caesars) and took intentional blurry pictures of a blackjack table not in use, from 3 feet off the ground and a funny angle and again, let me emphasize, intentionally blurry. He did this trying to indicate this is what a person would see from 6-8 feet away. So let me ask you coach belly, was this honest?

What you have written above is an outright fabrication of the events that took place...you are a known and proven liar, and you are lying about this incident as well.

What I have written most certainly is the truth. If you say otherwise, YOU are the liar coach belly. And it is all still preserved on this forum for anyone who wants to look for themselves.

[coach belly]

What I have written most certainly is the truth. If you say otherwise, YOU are the liar coach belly. And it is all still preserved on this forum for anyone who wants to look for themselves.

intentionally blurry?...that's total bullshit...post the link

[BoSox]

coach belly wrote:

"I can't take a probability course right now, but just now I searched online for a definition of "chance results" and couldn't find any.

My deal is a search for information and truth.

That's why I always ask questions...I'm looking for answers."


mickeycrimm wrote:

"Nope. Mission didn't do any math showing the vast majority of time a player will be ahead at some point in a session of video poker or baccarat. You see, it can't be done. No mathematician in history has been able to write that equation. You just can't pull it off in these kind of negative expectation games."


coach belly, that is all you need for a real good start. Sometimes the truth hurts.

[Rob.Singer]

Coach, can you or anyone else show us the math that says the vast majority of time you will be ahead at some point in a session?

Mission did the math and confirmed this earlier on this forum, in response to my questioning about VP.

Search through his posting history and you'll find it.

I'm assuming if it applies to VP, then it applies to Bac as well, since they are both card games.

But, not sure my assumption is correct.

Nope. Mission didn't do any math showing the vast majority of time a player will be ahead at some point in a session of video poker or baccarat. You see, it can't be done. No mathematician in history has been able to write that equation. You just can't pull it off in these kind of negative expectation games.

There's a little more to this. First, I know of no overall equation that defines how often a player can be ahead when discussing individual VP sessions. There's many different games, and multiple ways to play each game.

However, for an article I did in Gaming Today I did take a look at how often (session-wise) a player is ahead minimum 5 credits playing BP in a 6-level progression with $10,000 ($1/$2/$5/$10/$25/$100). It came out to between 95%-96% of the sessions. I played a lot of sessions but can't remember the number. I also made money on it, but not anything earth-shaking.

I also don't know a thing about how table games would fare. But I caution: this guy Mdawg wouldn't be posting pictures of money, a rolex, markers etc. and blabbing about winning every single time, Hawaii trips, a skinny wife, lifting weights, being some high-powered "LA businessman" and how many comps he gets ALL THIS TIME CURIOUSLY WITHOUT PICTURES if he weren't seriously lacking in the self-confidence that SHOULD come with such claims if they were anything close to being true.

We're being punked by a doofus.

[Rob.Singer]

When we were discussing tracking 2 tables, Alan got up at 3am and ran out to a strip casino (I believe Caesars) and took intentional blurry pictures of a blackjack table not in use, from 3 feet off the ground and a funny angle and again, let me emphasize, intentionally blurry. He did this trying to indicate this is what a person would see from 6-8 feet away. So let me ask you coach belly, was this honest?

What you have written above is an outright fabrication of the events that took place...you are a known and proven liar, and you are lying about this incident as well.

What I have written most certainly is the truth. If you say otherwise, YOU are the liar coach belly. And it is all still preserved on this forum for anyone who wants to look for themselves.

Non-stop bs. It was all said when you chickened out of meeting up with Alan to prove a real time ability to do your stoopid counting of two tables. Any blurry pics taken by Alan are irrelevant. I did the same trial with a pit boss overnight with no players at the Peppermill. Your head would have to constantly be turned towards the 2nd table in order not to miss any cards---and that's assuming no obstructions or cards not clearly visible, which is most.

In short, it's just another of your phony internet fabrications that's gotten you banned from multiple forums.

Wise up.

[coach belly]

mickeycrimm wrote:

"Nope. Mission didn't do any math showing the vast majority of time a player will be ahead at some point in a session of video poker or baccarat. You see, it can't be done. "

coach belly, that is all you need for a real good start. Sometimes the truth hurts.

for an article I did in Gaming Today I did take a look at how often (session-wise) a player is ahead minimum 5 credits playing BP in a 6-level progression ($1/$2/$5/$10/$25/$100). It came out to between 95%-96% of the sessions.

My recollection is that Mission reached a similar conclusion, for a session of flat-betting 1000 hands of >97% VP.

MDawg didn't make any mathematical representation of his "vast majority" claim, it was anecdotal from his experience.

[wasilla]

I'm not a math guy, but I've written an equation.

Post an end of the Bell Curve set of results. + Attribute this to something that doesn't logically explain these results. = Controversy and exploding heads.

[redietz]

What you have written above is an outright fabrication of the events that took place...you are a known and proven liar, and you are lying about this incident as well.

What I have written most certainly is the truth. If you say otherwise, YOU are the liar coach belly. And it is all still preserved on this forum for anyone who wants to look for themselves.

Non-stop bs. It was all said when you chickened out of meeting up with Alan to prove a real time ability to do your stoopid counting of two tables. Any blurry pics taken by Alan are irrelevant. I did the same trial with a pit boss overnight with no players at the Peppermill. Your head would have to constantly be turned towards the 2nd table in order not to miss any cards---and that's assuming no obstructions or cards not clearly visible, which is most.

In short, it's just another of your phony internet fabrications that's gotten you banned from multiple forums.

Wise up.

Good lord, Rob. You miss the point. Why do you feel it necessary to blather pseudo-expertise at things you know nothing about? I know just about zero regarding blackjack, but it's a helluva lot more than you.

You don't have to see every card or even most cards to generate a count. All counts are partial counts. Any count you have at any table has explanatory value.

I have lousy eyes. I can see the cards at most adjoining tables. The cards you do not see are not part of the partial counts.

What's the mystery? KewlJ has explained this stuff to you ad nauseum, and you refuse to acknowledge it. That doesn't make you correct. If you were correct, you would have tracked down a blackjack expert or a pit boss and quoted them about how impossible this is while quoting sources.

You haven't done that. Everybody knows why you haven't done that.

P.S. By the way, Gaming Today had some exceptionally well written pieces the last two weeks. They must have a new editor or team of editors or they are just hiring better writers. It's really noticeable.

[blackhole]

But you and Blackhole shouldn't have any trouble finding a bac game. I'm looking forward to your trip reports. It'll give me something to do while I'm shut in.

All that winning and comps. Piece of cake. You just need to vary your bets and follow the streaks like MDawg does.

Keep the stories and pictures coming MDawg. You’re bringing out all the envious jealous self-proclaimed alleged AP’s from the cracks of the concrete. There pretending your posts don’t bother them but believe me, you’re putting all of them into a tail-spin.

Mickeycrimm thinks he’s special on these sites after up-grading his life to a two-bit AP slot hustler, after being a homeless alcoholic traveling the hobo routes jumping on vacant trains and camping out in the woods. He deserves a lot of credit since he improved his lifestyle to hopefully quitting drinking, getting a roof over his head, a car, and a few pesos in the bank. Sadly, I believe the running around he does year-round trying to hustle 2-bit slots gave him some present serious heart conditions. He has a thread somewhere here showing pictures of him traveling all over the place.

You’ll notice he always makes sure to attack my ass on this forum. Simply because I’m not an AP and never was and doubt most the bullshit he and others like Kewlj print here. He also realizes I could buy and sell his 2-bit ass like scrap metal and it drives him crazy.

I’ve posted many stories about my gambling days and it drives that skumbag insane. He realizes his pathetic lifestyle is like tip money to me. His entire bankroll couldn’t cover the landscaping done at any one of my homes.

Sadly, he really thinks he’s special like most AP’s because of what they do, and wants in the worst way to be recognized, and this is one of the only places he could do that.

MDawg, did you know Mickcrimm was interviewed twice on Gambling with An Edge? That’s like winning the Noble Peace Prize on these forums. If you want to know what I’m talking about, pull one of those interviews up I guess on You-Tube. If not, maybe Micky could give you a link. Anyone of those two interviews should be enough to convince you to stop your present ways and try to duplicate his.