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Thread: Covid-19 by the numbers

  1. #541
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    I see 67 cases today in Montana. Hmmmm. Not a peak, I guess, according to mickey. Mickey, you let us know when things peak in Montana, okay? They must get more cases because Montana tests too much. LOL.

    https://www.bing.com/search?q=Corona...3d&FORM=COVIDR

    Oh wait, let's check the bar graph, shall we? I'll make sure to drop in and report Montana's caseload every day for a month. Mickey can help me with the math. I evidently need help. I thought the high points were peaks. But what do I know? I'm not really a stat guy.

    Also, unless a miracle happens between now and the end of August, no Las Vegas for me. Sorry, mickey. Very possibly, no week to week handicapping for me. I have spoken with some folks running the biggest sport sites and publishers of the annual magazines. Unlikely that I'll be in any competitions this season, including my 30-year stint with the invitation-only Wise Guys Contest. Not sure what, if anything, I'll be doing sports-wise.
    You totally ignored the twitter feed I posted about the ER's in Texas. Doesn't fit your narrative.

    Still no spike in CV deaths here. Its the only stat that matters. We had 17 for all of Mar/Apr/May and 5 in June. None so far in July.

    So someone else nixed your sportsbetting plans for this year. That should give you more time to contemplate whats good for all the little people, Comrade Dietz.
    "More importantly, mickey thought 8-4 was two games over .500. Argued about it. C'mon, man. Nothing can top that for math expertise. If GWAE ever has you on again, you can be sure I'll be calling in with that gem.'Nuff said." REDIETZ

  2. #542
    Ditz, here's some more bad news for your doom & gloom predictions. New CV cases started spiking in mid June yet deaths have continued to fall. This "new wave" is a much milder strain. The blue line in the graph is new cases per day and the brown line is deaths per day. Since the spike started in mid June, more than two weeks ago, the "deaths lag" argument is dead. Number of deaths continues to fall.
    Attached Images Attached Images  
    "More importantly, mickey thought 8-4 was two games over .500. Argued about it. C'mon, man. Nothing can top that for math expertise. If GWAE ever has you on again, you can be sure I'll be calling in with that gem.'Nuff said." REDIETZ

  3. #543
    "I've said from the start the virus is real, the statistics are not. Tabulation of #'s has been botched or purposely manipulated--They've conflated positive VIRUS tests with positive ANTIBODY tests; single individuals counted multiple times; death counts wildly inflated." Dr. Kelly Victory
    "More importantly, mickey thought 8-4 was two games over .500. Argued about it. C'mon, man. Nothing can top that for math expertise. If GWAE ever has you on again, you can be sure I'll be calling in with that gem.'Nuff said." REDIETZ

  4. #544
    Breaking Down Covid 19 by Dr. Kelly Victory:

    "More importantly, mickey thought 8-4 was two games over .500. Argued about it. C'mon, man. Nothing can top that for math expertise. If GWAE ever has you on again, you can be sure I'll be calling in with that gem.'Nuff said." REDIETZ

  5. #545
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post
    In Montana, for the past couple weeks we had been averaging 1 positive for every 430 coronavirus tests. Thats less than a quarter percent. But for the past few days we have a string of 2,857 tests without a single positive.

    Redietz, Montana peaked in early April averaging 16 new cases per day. Since reopening on April 24, we have been averaging just 1.17 new cases per day. And that is with the number of tests per day doubling since mid April.

    Your prediction of the peak being in June or July is not going to happen.


    It's June 30, and everything has played out exactly as it figured to play out.

    What's interesting is that I PM'ed mickey this way back when as I was concerned because he is highly vulnerable. So he decided to post this from the PM, without asking me did I care, as an example of something I'd gotten wrong.

    I was waiting for mickey to mention that maybe I was right about Montana. But that kind of thing seems to be beyond him these days.

    Mickey, I'm having a hard time reconciling your post above, where you don't mention fatalities at all, with your new decision that all that matters is number of deaths. Can you help me and point out where you mention fatalities in the post above? Maybe it's a reading comprehension issue on my part. If your post was about cases of coronavirus in Montana, and my PM to you was about cases of coronavirus in Montana, how did both suddenly become about fatalities in Montana? It would seem to me, with "cases" and "deaths" being two different words, that they mean different things. And since you don't mention "cases" in your post, how did your post become about "deaths?"

    Not sure. But if you explain it to me, I'll listen real hard.

    Second, regarding the sports handicapping, nobody makes any decisions for me and nobody ever has, but good try, buddy. You completely misinterpreted what I said because you are on a confirmation bias addiction run. You thought I was ceasing the gambling because magazines are not being published or sites are down? C'mon, dude. I don't advertise. I must have said that ad nauseum. The sports sites are up and running, the contests will be active, the magazines are being published. Some come out July 20, in fact, on a month delay. I decided to not do certain things because it's the correct strategy -- from a professional gambling standpoint.

    And finally, you realize you've painted yourself into another corner, right? Now your schtick is that death rates are down. Well, correct me if I'm wrong, but most viruses become less lethal over time. It's generally not a good spread strategy to kill your hosts real fast. And the most physically fragile and most vulnerable to contagion die first, so by definition death rates should go down. And health professionals figure out what works and what doesn't. So death rates should go down, and should go down significantly. These are three established ways death rates should decrease.

    However, because death rates trail infection rates by a good month, Montana's fatalities should peak in August. See, if the caseload peaks in June/July (as I predicted), then mid to late August should see the deaths go up.

    Thus, a month from now, mickey will be explaining how it's not so bad even though Montana has record deaths because the death rate is actually lower than April per infection. LOL.

  6. #546
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    I see 67 cases today in Montana. Hmmmm. Not a peak, I guess, according to mickey. Mickey, you let us know when things peak in Montana, okay? They must get more cases because Montana tests too much. LOL.

    https://www.bing.com/search?q=Corona...3d&FORM=COVIDR

    Oh wait, let's check the bar graph, shall we? I'll make sure to drop in and report Montana's caseload every day for a month. Mickey can help me with the math. I evidently need help. I thought the high points were peaks. But what do I know? I'm not really a stat guy.

    Also, unless a miracle happens between now and the end of August, no Las Vegas for me. Sorry, mickey. Very possibly, no week to week handicapping for me. I have spoken with some folks running the biggest sport sites and publishers of the annual magazines. Unlikely that I'll be in any competitions this season, including my 30-year stint with the invitation-only Wise Guys Contest. Not sure what, if anything, I'll be doing sports-wise.
    Hey you Piece of Shit RED. And yes, if I EVER meet you, I will beat you into the ground, or you will kick my ass. Either way, I look forward to the day. I will never change my mind you enjoy the death of others as you think it pushes your political agenda. And I understand you believe in it so much you are willing to die for it like the communist garbage you are.

    You know why? Because you don’t believe in any of it, you saw this as an opportunity to MAKE money. Like the scam handicapper you are and have always have been. You played the rest are scammers, but said you were the honest guy for years. And I semi respect you for it.

    Please explain why you won’t be in any of the SCAM contests you have pushed for years as being legit when both of us know are bullshit. What changed so you can’t be in them? They are weekly contests based on weekly odds. They have NOTHING to do with your trip to Vegas or preseason odds.

    You are using this to push your SHIT website and your liberal agenda.

    And if you want to ever meet me and go at it, I’ll be there you human piece of worthless shit.

    And yes, in 55 years, I don’t think I ever wanted to kick someone’s ass like yours. Congratulations on being the face of everything wrong with white America Robert E Dietz.

    Let’s set it up buddy and go at it.

  7. #547
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post
    In Montana, for the past couple weeks we had been averaging 1 positive for every 430 coronavirus tests. Thats less than a quarter percent. But for the past few days we have a string of 2,857 tests without a single positive.

    Redietz, Montana peaked in early April averaging 16 new cases per day. Since reopening on April 24, we have been averaging just 1.17 new cases per day. And that is with the number of tests per day doubling since mid April.

    Your prediction of the peak being in June or July is not going to happen.


    It's June 30, and everything has played out exactly as it figured to play out.

    What's interesting is that I PM'ed mickey this way back when as I was concerned because he is highly vulnerable. So he decided to post this from the PM, without asking me did I care, as an example of something I'd gotten wrong.

    I was waiting for mickey to mention that maybe I was right about Montana. But that kind of thing seems to be beyond him these days.

    Mickey, I'm having a hard time reconciling your post above, where you don't mention fatalities at all, with your new decision that all that matters is number of deaths. Can you help me and point out where you mention fatalities in the post above? Maybe it's a reading comprehension issue on my part. If your post was about cases of coronavirus in Montana, and my PM to you was about cases of coronavirus in Montana, how did both suddenly become about fatalities in Montana? It would seem to me, with "cases" and "deaths" being two different words, that they mean different things. And since you don't mention "cases" in your post, how did your post become about "deaths?"

    Not sure. But if you explain it to me, I'll listen real hard.

    Second, regarding the sports handicapping, nobody makes any decisions for me and nobody ever has, but good try, buddy. You completely misinterpreted what I said because you are on a confirmation bias addiction run. You thought I was ceasing the gambling because magazines are not being published or sites are down? C'mon, dude. I don't advertise. I must have said that ad nauseum. The sports sites are up and running, the contests will be active, the magazines are being published. Some come out July 20, in fact, on a month delay. I decided to not do certain things because it's the correct strategy -- from a professional gambling standpoint.

    And finally, you realize you've painted yourself into another corner, right? Now your schtick is that death rates are down. Well, correct me if I'm wrong, but most viruses become less lethal over time. It's generally not a good spread strategy to kill your hosts real fast. And the most physically fragile and most vulnerable to contagion die first, so by definition death rates should go down. And health professionals figure out what works and what doesn't. So death rates should go down, and should go down significantly. These are three established ways death rates should decrease.

    However, because death rates trail infection rates by a good month, Montana's fatalities should peak in August. See, if the caseload peaks in June/July (as I predicted), then mid to late August should see the deaths go up.

    Thus, a month from now, mickey will be explaining how it's not so bad even though Montana has record deaths because the death rate is actually lower than April per infection. LOL.
    Ditz, you are stuck on stupid. But I am getting a lot of laughs as you clutch at straws.
    "More importantly, mickey thought 8-4 was two games over .500. Argued about it. C'mon, man. Nothing can top that for math expertise. If GWAE ever has you on again, you can be sure I'll be calling in with that gem.'Nuff said." REDIETZ

  8. #548
    Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post
    Ditz, here's some more bad news for your doom & gloom predictions. New CV cases started spiking in mid June yet deaths have continued to fall. This "new wave" is a much milder strain. The blue line in the graph is new cases per day and the brown line is deaths per day. Since the spike started in mid June, more than two weeks ago, the "deaths lag" argument is dead. Number of deaths continues to fall.
    I'm not sure if this is mention, however, there might be an increase in cases and drop in death rate because the increase is being spread throughout the young people in the community who are less likely to die.

  9. #549
    Gold LMR's Avatar
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    Flu type viruses always work their way up from the younger kids, to the older kids, to the adults.

  10. #550
    I have no idea what's going on. The rumor mill amongst casino people seems to be stuff is shutting down after the weekend. Supposedly the Venetian is going to lead the way again. This whole thing is just one giant shit show if true. Stick a fork in it if this rumor shit turns out to be true.

  11. #551
    Originally Posted by AxelWolf View Post
    Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post
    Ditz, here's some more bad news for your doom & gloom predictions. New CV cases started spiking in mid June yet deaths have continued to fall. This "new wave" is a much milder strain. The blue line in the graph is new cases per day and the brown line is deaths per day. Since the spike started in mid June, more than two weeks ago, the "deaths lag" argument is dead. Number of deaths continues to fall.
    I'm not sure if this is mention, however, there might be an increase in cases and drop in death rate because the increase is being spread throughout the young people in the community who are less likely to die.
    Exactly!
    Keep your friends close, keep your drinks closer...

  12. #552
    So does this "Wise Guys" contest not really exist? I thought some of redietz's stuff was verifiable? Are these private contests?

    Bosox seems relatively normal. Our politics far different but he seems sorta normal.

    Then I see him fantasizing over beating up Redietz for making coronavirus estimations.

    What is going on? We need a KJ like character to go after redietz like he went after Singer. LOL.

    I wish I could give you guys a bowl of mom's mac'n'cheese and I think we'd all just get along.
    It is official. Redietz will never be on Dan Druff's podcast. "too much integrity"

  13. #553
    Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post
    Breaking Down Covid 19 by Dr. Kelly Victory:

    I was curious if she was a normal doctor. No, she runs her own private ER. These are all doctors who figured out normal medicine practicing doesn't pay off as well as ER scams. She also was charged for dwi+firearm violations after an anti-pot rally starring anne coulter.

    Yea, they're coming out "in droves." but apparently I can count a drove on 1 hand.
    It is official. Redietz will never be on Dan Druff's podcast. "too much integrity"

  14. #554
    Gold LMR's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by accountinquestion View Post
    We need a KJ like character to go after redietz like he went after Singer. LOL.
    LarryS. went after both KJ, and Red. MrV tended to go after Monet. A couple of fairly determined guys.

    LarryS. was a pharmacist. Apparently, Larry thought that someone on here tracked him down, and, then, smashed up his car. Scared Larry stopped posting, the next day. After Larry left, MrV, a divorce lawyer, lost his long-time online buddy, so, he left, shortly after.

    P.S. MrV was another big pot user.

  15. #555
    Originally Posted by The Boz View Post
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    I see 67 cases today in Montana. Hmmmm. Not a peak, I guess, according to mickey. Mickey, you let us know when things peak in Montana, okay? They must get more cases because Montana tests too much. LOL.

    https://www.bing.com/search?q=Corona...3d&FORM=COVIDR

    Oh wait, let's check the bar graph, shall we? I'll make sure to drop in and report Montana's caseload every day for a month. Mickey can help me with the math. I evidently need help. I thought the high points were peaks. But what do I know? I'm not really a stat guy.

    Also, unless a miracle happens between now and the end of August, no Las Vegas for me. Sorry, mickey. Very possibly, no week to week handicapping for me. I have spoken with some folks running the biggest sport sites and publishers of the annual magazines. Unlikely that I'll be in any competitions this season, including my 30-year stint with the invitation-only Wise Guys Contest. Not sure what, if anything, I'll be doing sports-wise.
    Hey you Piece of Shit RED. And yes, if I EVER meet you, I will beat you into the ground, or you will kick my ass. Either way, I look forward to the day. I will never change my mind you enjoy the death of others as you think it pushes your political agenda. And I understand you believe in it so much you are willing to die for it like the communist garbage you are.

    You know why? Because you don’t believe in any of it, you saw this as an opportunity to MAKE money. Like the scam handicapper you are and have always have been. You played the rest are scammers, but said you were the honest guy for years. And I semi respect you for it.

    Please explain why you won’t be in any of the SCAM contests you have pushed for years as being legit when both of us know are bullshit. What changed so you can’t be in them? They are weekly contests based on weekly odds. They have NOTHING to do with your trip to Vegas or preseason odds.

    You are using this to push your SHIT website and your liberal agenda.

    And if you want to ever meet me and go at it, I’ll be there you human piece of worthless shit.

    And yes, in 55 years, I don’t think I ever wanted to kick someone’s ass like yours. Congratulations on being the face of everything wrong with white America Robert E Dietz.

    Let’s set it up buddy and go at it.

    What changed? Eight-five to ninety percent of my volume wagering is college football, and you are looking at -- if there is a season, which is increasingly doubtful -- teams routinely sidelining 20 to 30% of their rosters because they come down with the virus. Then quarantining the rest of the team. What kind of loony tune would wager seriously on that stuff, other than the team doctors? If you bet futures, the season could be canceled at any time. Betting on this would be for addicts and team doctors, not that there's anything wrong with that, as Seinfeld would say.

    Already, large chunks of Iowa State, Alabama, Auburn, Oklahoma, LSU, and Clemson have come down with the virus. So you're looking at weeks of quarantine and not practicing for big chunks of the rosters. If the kids suffer any significant effects from having the virus (like lung capacity issues), or have to take a month off training and practicing, the players will not be anything like what they were last season.

    I'm hoping they put off the college season until January. That would make some sense.

    Boz is talking out his ass, and he probably knows it. I'm only in spread contests that include both college and NFL. I'm never in the SuperBook Contest, for example. When there were college-only contests in LV, like Bally's had 20 years ago, I was in them. I'm routinely in offshore NFL no spread contests. I'd still be in those. But I'm not going to enter spread contests. People follow my plays. I can't have people betting games because I take games when nobody knows how much of a roster is sidelined every blessed week for potentially every league and team.

    I actually care about the people who follow my plays. And I care about my lifetime record. I'm not going to bet garbage just for the sake of betting.
    Last edited by redietz; 07-03-2020 at 07:58 PM.

  16. #556
    Originally Posted by MaxPen View Post
    I have no idea what's going on. The rumor mill amongst casino people seems to be stuff is shutting down after the weekend. Supposedly the Venetian is going to lead the way again. This whole thing is just one giant shit show if true. Stick a fork in it if this rumor shit turns out to be true.
    All we are hearing is the increase air traffic into McCarran.

  17. #557
    Originally Posted by accountinquestion View Post
    So does this "Wise Guys" contest not really exist? I thought some of redietz's stuff was verifiable? Are these private contests?

    Bosox seems relatively normal. Our politics far different but he seems sorta normal.

    Then I see him fantasizing over beating up Redietz for making coronavirus estimations.

    What is going on? We need a KJ like character to go after redietz like he went after Singer. LOL.

    I wish I could give you guys a bowl of mom's mac'n'cheese and I think we'd all just get along.
    https://www.playbook.com//Vegas-Wise-Guys/

    Of course it exists.

    Correction: Boz wants to beat me up for making ACCURATE coronavirus estimations.

  18. #558
    Gold LMR's Avatar
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    That was almost a KJ psycho killer rant and rave, when Coach and KJ wanted to go at it, a week or two after KJ's heart surgery. Bozo bar has a way to go.

  19. #559
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    Originally Posted by The Boz View Post
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    I see 67 cases today in Montana. Hmmmm. Not a peak, I guess, according to mickey. Mickey, you let us know when things peak in Montana, okay? They must get more cases because Montana tests too much. LOL.

    https://www.bing.com/search?q=Corona...3d&FORM=COVIDR

    Oh wait, let's check the bar graph, shall we? I'll make sure to drop in and report Montana's caseload every day for a month. Mickey can help me with the math. I evidently need help. I thought the high points were peaks. But what do I know? I'm not really a stat guy.

    Also, unless a miracle happens between now and the end of August, no Las Vegas for me. Sorry, mickey. Very possibly, no week to week handicapping for me. I have spoken with some folks running the biggest sport sites and publishers of the annual magazines. Unlikely that I'll be in any competitions this season, including my 30-year stint with the invitation-only Wise Guys Contest. Not sure what, if anything, I'll be doing sports-wise.
    Hey you Piece of Shit RED. And yes, if I EVER meet you, I will beat you into the ground, or you will kick my ass. Either way, I look forward to the day. I will never change my mind you enjoy the death of others as you think it pushes your political agenda. And I understand you believe in it so much you are willing to die for it like the communist garbage you are.

    You know why? Because you don’t believe in any of it, you saw this as an opportunity to MAKE money. Like the scam handicapper you are and have always have been. You played the rest are scammers, but said you were the honest guy for years. And I semi respect you for it.

    Please explain why you won’t be in any of the SCAM contests you have pushed for years as being legit when both of us know are bullshit. What changed so you can’t be in them? They are weekly contests based on weekly odds. They have NOTHING to do with your trip to Vegas or preseason odds.

    You are using this to push your SHIT website and your liberal agenda.

    And if you want to ever meet me and go at it, I’ll be there you human piece of worthless shit.

    And yes, in 55 years, I don’t think I ever wanted to kick someone’s ass like yours. Congratulations on being the face of everything wrong with white America Robert E Dietz.

    Let’s set it up buddy and go at it.

    What changed? Eight-five to ninety percent of my volume wagering is college football, and you are looking at -- if there is a season, which is increasingly doubtful -- teams routinely sidelining 20 to 30% of their rosters because they come down with the virus. Then quarantining the rest of the team. What kind of loony tune would wager seriously on that stuff, other than the team doctors? If you bet futures, the season could be canceled at any time. Betting on this would be for addicts and team doctors, not that there's anything wrong with that, as Seinfeld would say.

    Already, large chunks of Iowa State, Alabama, Auburn, Oklahoma, LSU, and Clemson have come down with the virus. So you're looking at weeks of quarantine and not practicing for big chunks of the rosters. If the kids suffer any significant effects from having the virus (like lung capacity issues), or have to take a month off training and practicing, the players will not be anything like what they were last season.

    I'm hoping they put off the college season until January. That would make some sense.

    Boz is talking out his ass, and he probably knows it. I'm only in spread contests that include both college and NFL. I'm never in the SuperBook Contest, for example. When there were college-only contests in LV, like Bally's had 20 years ago, I was in them. I'm routinely in offshore NFL no spread contests. I'd still be in those. But I'm not going to enter spread contests. People follow my plays. I can't have people betting games because I take games when nobody knows how much of a roster is sidelined every blessed week for potentially every league and team.

    I actually care about the people who follow my plays. And I care about my lifetime record. I'm not going to bet garbage just for the sake of betting.
    Yea, I’m talking out my ass. Just like you have for years on these forums pushing your scam handicapping service EVERY chance you get. You play it sly but make no mistake, your goal is to sell your picks to anyone willing to fall for your scam.

    And you are using this event to promote your website that fronts for your service. Otherwise you would have spent the $20 it takes to create a new site to push your ghoulish death fantasy along with your liberal agenda.

    You got caught by the Wizard, but nice try.

    As Singer said years ago, you truly are a strange fuck RED.

  20. #560
    Originally Posted by LMR View Post
    That was almost a KJ psycho killer rant and rave, when Coach and KJ wanted to go at it, a week or two after KJ's heart surgery. Bozo bar has a way to go.
    Yea KJ had a heart surgery.

    And KJ “died”
    And KJ had Coronavirus
    And KJ had his husband die.

    One sure Vegas bet is you can’t believe anything that comes out of KJ’s mouth, but you sure can bet on what goes in it.

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