Originally Posted by
Rob.Singer
OK. Here's a question no one has ever chosen to answer.
My history from playing about 200 sessions shows an average of 85% chance of winning "today's" session. This is also why people have chosen not to take me up on my various challenges. I believe they understand the huge chance I have of winning minimum $2500 betting up to 6 denominations with constant cashouts that are never risked again along with a $57,200 session bankroll. Make sense?
So, if I have such a good chance today, why not tomorrow and the next session and the next session, etc.? The math doesn't change. The opportunity doesn't change. Why do you say I HAVE to lose it all eventually? Why ignore the giant winners that are hit? Why ignore that these winning sessions are almost always larger than the largest losing sessions? I don't lose $57,200 in a session, ever. I think my avg. loss in my losing sessions is four figures. All those smaller winning sessions (smaller being $2500-$10,000) add up.
This IS a short term, single session strategy that has nothing to do with the long term. And even if you want to say 200 sessions IS long term, it has been an overall winner.
People have answered and you don't like or accept the answer and you wont like or accept mine, but here it is: A bunch of short-term, small sample size does not equate to a long term larger sample size. The best example continues to be the example I frequently use for roulette. Is it reasonable that a person can walk into a casino bet black and win 3 out of 4 spins and leave. Absolutely! It is reasonable they can do that every single day for a year? Not a chance in hell! Why not? why can't they repeat that short term anomaly each and every day. That is basically what you are claiming.
Look I appreciate you better tone, although I suspect it wont last, and it is not my intent to insult you here Rob, but what you are claiming is nothing new. I know you think it is this new ground breaking things....no one has ever done what you are doing. That simply isn't true. It is simply a variation of progression wagering system and it has been proven since your granddaddy was a toddler that progression betting systems cannot turn a negative expectation game into a winning game….not longterm.
What progression systems do and have always done is change the groupings of wins and losses, but not the totality. What you always end up with is many small wins (thus your 85%) number and eventually a much, much larger loss that wipes away all those wins and then some. You can't change this. You just can't will it away.