Tweet is here: https://mobile.twitter.com/mickeycri...26694951854083

“If its way to low then count on getting a play about once every two years.”

How does Mickey Crimm know that his assertion is true (25 being the “number” for the smallest jackpot on CM2)?

He doesn’t. That is why it’s an example of Ipse Dixit. It’s true because MC said so and no proof is required.

Someone had asked me in a DM / PM about the validity of MC’s dumb tweet so I told the guy the fastest way to prove the 25 number true is to set up the equation:
- Given an RTP of 90%
- Bonus Round hit frequency of 1 per X spins
- Mint Bonus hit frequency during Bonus Round
- Meter movement is 1% for the smallest jackpot, etc, etc
[if you did it correctly, you should get a matrix of possible answers]

It’s easy to see why 25 cannot be the number. I used to be an AP and we scan the internet for leads, but it’s really important to to know how to set up the math equation as a sanity check. Over time, you learn to separate those who are clueless from those that inadvertently disclose the goose that lays the golden egg.

In summary beware of Ipse Dixit.