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Thread: Smart Money

  1. #1221
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    Originally Posted by tableplay View Post
    Individual games get mispriced by the books. Yet, somehow, by magic, more complex instruments (Parlays) are set dead right by the books and don't get mispriced. Not. If anything, complex instruments are much harder to price correctly than their simpler counterparts (individual games).

    The fade with Parlays is the variance, not the EV. Those that are variance tolerant (Monet for example) can find wildly chaotic mispricings (Butterfly Effect).
    Today is a pretty good example of what you are talking about.
    I didn't even want to bet but this two teamer pays nearly 9 to 1.
    You can't lose with these coin flip matchups and those odds.
    People look at these parlays like they look at football but it's completely different.
    The Puck Line changes everything.
    Whatever though.

    2 Teamer
    Bruins Puck Line
    Utah Hockey Club Puck Line

    I put a few bills on it.
    Why not us?
    Just because we’re down, and we’re fat, and we’re ugly, and we’re broke, doesn’t mean it’s over.
    Was a good try.
    These games were tight.
    Could have easily gone either way.
    Lose 200.

    Mix and Match Day.
    It's your money, bet'em how you want to.

    Wild Puck Line
    Devils Puck Line
    Stars Puck Line
    Blue Jackets Puck Line
    Jets Puck Line
    Kraken Puck Line
    Predators Puck Line
    Hurricanes Puck Line
    Canucks Puck Line

    MONEY LINE BETS
    Flames
    Bruins
    Just pulling shit out your ass at this point.

    You should have split last night but you don’t have the bankroll to bet the games straight on the ML.

    Post pics before the games tonight or these NEVER happened!

  2. #1222
    Originally Posted by The Boz View Post
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    Originally Posted by monet View Post

    Today is a pretty good example of what you are talking about.
    I didn't even want to bet but this two teamer pays nearly 9 to 1.
    You can't lose with these coin flip matchups and those odds.
    People look at these parlays like they look at football but it's completely different.
    The Puck Line changes everything.
    Whatever though.

    2 Teamer
    Bruins Puck Line
    Utah Hockey Club Puck Line

    I put a few bills on it.
    Why not us?
    Just because we’re down, and we’re fat, and we’re ugly, and we’re broke, doesn’t mean it’s over.
    Was a good try.
    These games were tight.
    Could have easily gone either way.
    Lose 200.

    Mix and Match Day.
    It's your money, bet'em how you want to.

    Wild Puck Line
    Devils Puck Line
    Stars Puck Line
    Blue Jackets Puck Line
    Jets Puck Line
    Kraken Puck Line
    Predators Puck Line
    Hurricanes Puck Line
    Canucks Puck Line

    MONEY LINE BETS
    Flames
    Bruins
    Just pulling shit out your ass at this point.

    You should have split last night but you don’t have the bankroll to bet the games straight on the ML.

    Post pics before the games tonight or these NEVER happened!
    Wild PL LOSER but won the game.
    Devils LOSER
    Stars LOSER
    Blue Jackets LOSER
    Jets LOSER
    Kraken LOSER
    Predators LOSER
    Hurricanes LOSER but won the game
    Canucks LOSER

    0-9 on his Puck Line bets. Almost impossible to do. But hockey is easy. Hopefully you realize this fat fuck knows nothing KJ.

    Money Line bets
    Flames LOSER
    Bruins WIN 6-3! Should have bet the puck line buddy!

    But no tickets posted because he’s broke and didn’t want to post his $5 parlay tickets.

  3. #1223
    Speaking of pulling feces out of one's behind, Boz you must admit in all of those posts you make about the lady who defecated on the fast food restaurant floor or bench, there is nary a description of RACE and you'd have to admit I think that if the defecator were Af American that is the first thing that would have been noted.

    For example, the way MaxPen and AxelWolf (and others) have ID'ed UNKewlJ as Pac Islander. Race is something that is used to identity people, whether it stands out or not.

    Originally Posted by MaxPen
    There's no doubt I have the right guy. Like I said, "I can pick you out of a police line up"
    Hence, we cannot be talking about Tasha in those stories, can we?

    Additionally, that thread you bumped was pretty old and was the old angry Tasha before she was reinstated at WOV. She has nothing but good to say about WOV these days.

    UNKewlJ on the other hand, is incapable of controlling his thoughts and emotions and keeps returning to badmouthing everyone under the sun including AxelWolf, MickeyCrimm and even V. Now that's an ingrate for you, can't even speak consistently positive about someone who gives him the benefit of the doubt.

    Originally Posted by mcap
    Kew is simply incapable of letting anything, however minor, go.
    Last edited by MDawg; 11-28-2024 at 06:39 AM.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  4. #1224
    Originally Posted by MDawg View Post
    Speaking of pulling feces out of one's behind, Boz you must admit in all of those posts you make about the lady who defecated on the fast food restaurant floor or bench, there is nary a description of RACE and you'd have to admit I think that if the defecator were Af American that is the first thing that would have been noted.

    For example, the way MaxPen and AxelWolf (and others) have ID'ed UNKewlJ as Pac Islander. Race is something that is used to identity people, whether it stands out or not.

    Originally Posted by MaxPen
    There's no doubt I have the right guy. Like I said, "I can pick you out of a police line up"
    Hence, we cannot be talking about Tasha in those stories, can we?

    Additionally, that thread you bumped was pretty old and was the old angry Tasha before she was reinstated at WOV. She has nothing but good to say about WOV these days.

    UNKewlJ on the other hand, is incapable of controlling his thoughts and emotions and keeps returning to badmouthing everyone under the sun including AxelWolf, MickeyCrimm and even V. Now that's an ingrate for you, can't even speak consistently positive about someone who gives him the benefit of the doubt.

    Originally Posted by mcap
    Kew is simply incapable of letting anything, however minor, go.
    This one posted before mentioned the public shitter was black. Granted odds would say a majority of those shitting on the floor of a chicken joint would tend to be black.

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  5. #1225
    Originally Posted by The Boz View Post
    Originally Posted by The Boz View Post
    Originally Posted by monet View Post

    Was a good try.
    These games were tight.
    Could have easily gone either way.
    Lose 200.

    Mix and Match Day.
    It's your money, bet'em how you want to.

    Wild Puck Line
    Devils Puck Line
    Stars Puck Line
    Blue Jackets Puck Line
    Jets Puck Line
    Kraken Puck Line
    Predators Puck Line
    Hurricanes Puck Line
    Canucks Puck Line

    MONEY LINE BETS
    Flames
    Bruins
    Just pulling shit out your ass at this point.

    You should have split last night but you don’t have the bankroll to bet the games straight on the ML.

    Post pics before the games tonight or these NEVER happened!
    Wild PL LOSER but won the game.
    Devils LOSER
    Stars LOSER
    Blue Jackets LOSER
    Jets LOSER
    Kraken LOSER
    Predators LOSER
    Hurricanes LOSER but won the game
    Canucks LOSER

    0-9 on his Puck Line bets. Almost impossible to do. But hockey is easy. Hopefully you realize this fat fuck knows nothing KJ.

    Money Line bets
    Flames LOSER
    Bruins WIN 6-3! Should have bet the puck line buddy!

    But no tickets posted because he’s broke and didn’t want to post his $5 parlay tickets.

    Yeah, but Boz, we are making the case that he therefore made good decisions by playing parlays BECAUSE he would have been annihilated betting straight.

    Meanwhile, with 10 minutes to go, I have Memphis +500 on the moneyline versus a Tulane team that plays for the conference title next week and is less than focused. The Memphis defense, however, makes a sieve look like the Rock of Gibraltar. So we're looking at a likely fantastic finish. And there goes a 40-yard Tulane completion. LOL. Brutal to watch this.

  6. #1226
    Could be worse, could have Miami.

  7. #1227
    Hit a 20k Royal the other day to negate this losing in the NHL.
    Anyways...

    2 Teamer
    Wild Puck Line
    Capitals Puck Line

    4 Teamer
    Wild PL
    Capitals PL
    Kraken PL
    Kings PL

    6 Teamer
    Wild PL
    Capitals PL
    Kraken PL
    Kings PL
    Rangers PL
    Devils PL

    These Fuckers Can't Beat Me Forever.

  8. #1228
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    Hit a 20k Royal the other day to negate this losing in the NHL.
    Anyways...

    2 Teamer
    Wild Puck Line
    Capitals Puck Line

    4 Teamer
    Wild PL
    Capitals PL
    Kraken PL
    Kings PL

    6 Teamer
    Wild PL
    Capitals PL
    Kraken PL
    Kings PL
    Rangers PL
    Devils PL

    These Fuckers Can't Beat Me Forever.
    Wild LOSER on the Fuck Line but won the game.
    Capitals LOSER on the Fuck Line but won the game.

    Kraken LOSER
    Kings LOSER on the Fuck Line but won the game (see at pattern here?)

    Rangers LOSER
    Devils LOSER on the Fuck Line but won the game.

    The guy is on a 1-15 run with his picks lately. But hey, it only takes one lottery ticket to turn his life around. FanDuel and DraftKings are drooling to get his action!

    I’ll let anyone actually reading this figure out how stupid this fat fucks betting methods are. Again, the books laugh and thank the Gods of Wagering when this ass clown waddles in.

    But he hit his 2nd $20k in the past month. And he had the Packers Thursday night too, again just ask him.

  9. #1229
    Ka-Ching with the Vols. Were down 14-0 early and 17-7 for awhile.

    And for monet, I teased Vanderbilt, so I have an open teaser going forward. And get this. Vols up seven at half; I took Vandy +6 1/2 the second half for dinner money.

    That's why they (should) pay me the big money.

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