Smart Money

[monet]

I, and it very well may be just me, enjoy following your and Danny's hockey picks. There was a time when I thought I was the only one betting hockey. I used to be hard pressed to get anything more than 200-300 down with the local bookie, and I assumed he was booking it personally rather than calling it in. I played hockey into my mid-40's recreationally and semi-pro. Had skills--good hands--never could skate good enough.

In those days, it was hard to take the fav in the puck line because the games were so close. It looks like you have been more successful doing it.

"Nicely Done"

Great Post.
Good Read.
Good Finish.
Nicely Done!

In that era, of which you speak, the lines were tighter so you could take the money line and lay.
Also the Under was more of the target for me.
The game was way more physical and fighting was real.
You try to run up the score and they would send some goons after you.
Plus the rules were different.
No Two Line Pass which is actually a bad play statistically speaking.
Dump and Chase was real but they seem to use it more these days.
Not sure why you would want to give up the puck at the blue line when you have control?
I guess it favors the more physical and speedy team.
I would much rather teams carry the puck into the zone.
The scoring and scoring chances are better for carrying it in compared to dumping it in.
I don't have the numbers off hand but you can look it up.
That's Fact.

Two major problems I have that are a good reason for giving this daily grind up.
I'm not getting rated and I'm not shopping lines.
Take for instance today.
I took Colorado -1.5 at +115.
I knew the correct line is at least +120 but I didn't want to shop around town.
I wanted to pick up my 3000 dollars in Free Play between two Casinos and get a Hockey bet or two down.
Oddly enough it turned out that Casino number two had the +120 line.
So that costs me 20 dollars.
Do that a few thousand times and it hurts.
Obviously everyone knows that you have to shop lines to get the best numbers.

The book is just too slow for me, really.
I'm doing it to provide some fun for me and entertainment for everyone who reads this thread.
But I'm starting to understand the power of 5% to 20% differentials in lines.
I could care less about winning and losing but I hate not getting the best price.
That shit is starting to bother me.

I hope you post more and give us your advice.
I'm pretty sure you are the Horse player.
Horse Shit!
Horse Player!!
If you haven't seen the movie Factotum you should watch it as that is a quote from the movie.

I seen that Exhibition Baseball was going today.
Time for dannyJ to earn his keep around here.
Let's Go!

[monet]

I bet two tickets today.
I seen that the Toronto/Oiler game was circled.
Anyone know what is wrong???
I got to do some searching online here.
Might be a big advantage.

My bets so far are
Colorado Puck Line +115
$400 to win 460 dollars.

2 Team Parlay
Colorado and Knights both Puck Line
50 bucks to win $224.10

[monet]

I'm changing the Blues game over to the Ducks.
Not sure who Husso is and he gives up 3.75 goals a game.
Looks like Toronto is banged up but can we trust Koskinen?
I don't think so... perhaps over 6.5 is the play!?
I like the Over on the game better than the Under.
I'm already in action.
No reason to really extend myself further.
I'll live with my 450 wagered on the day.

Greed starting to kick in as I am thinking of taking the over in the Toronto Game and pair it with the Av's Puck Line.
Now I just have to get the energy to go driving again.
lol... I'm gonna have to get an online account.
Anybody know of what books are the easiest to get money in and out on and which have the best promotions?
I noticed they are heavy into bitcoin but I have no clue how to buy bitcoin or fractions of bitcoin.

[monet]

Yes the Flames are hard to trust, but can any team be trusted? Some more than others of course.

I didn't want to be your cooler yesterday so I didn't mention I was on the Bruins PL. It was actually a bet I made Sat. night to get some more odds with a partial hedge I made against my Blues PL bet. Remember that 7-6 affair? Man talk about trust.

I show Hertl positively out with Covid protocals.

Makar out but his coach refusing to say more than he is day to day.

So I fired on the two 2 teamers that were my first instincts today, even though my confidence is a bit lower with Calgary.

Panthers Ml +100
Jets Ml -140

Flames Pl +158
Av's Pl +115

I could of used the pep talk on the Bruin Game.
First of all I never like betting against the Bees.
I could of easily had a 3 team parlay yesterday all on the puck line.
Obviously that is how I like to bet anyway.
Damn, we could of had it.
At least you won right?
You had a winning day yesterday?
LOL Boston broke the other goalies head in half!!
Funny shit that cost me money but funny none the less.
he he... +100.
It appears we are well invested in Colorado.
Sharks win 5 to love.

[dannyj]

I'm changing the Blues game over to the Ducks.
Not sure who Husso is and he gives up 3.75 goals a game.
Looks like Toronto is banged up but can we trust Koskinen?
I don't think so... perhaps over 6.5 is the play!?
I like the Over on the game better than the Under.
I'm already in action.
No reason to really extend myself further.
I'll live with my 450 wagered on the day.

They’re waiting on Matthews status.

[monet]

Yes the Flames are hard to trust, but can any team be trusted? Some more than others of course.

We can trust Tampa Bay.
We can trust that the Red Wings, Senators and Sharks are all the way losers.

Remember that 7-6 affair? Man talk about trust.

I slept through the whole thing.
Should of just went with Tampa and Colorado that day instead of Vegas/Blues.
All 4 winners outright though.
I did mention that the Over on the Sharks game was probably safer.
Sharks aren't supposed to score 6 goals.
That was Bullshit.

[monet]

Let's not forget Buffalo.
They are turning into a nice dumpster fire, full of burning tires.

[dannyj]

Yes the Flames are hard to trust, but can any team be trusted? Some more than others of course.

I didn't want to be your cooler yesterday so I didn't mention I was on the Bruins PL. It was actually a bet I made Sat. night to get some more odds with a partial hedge I made against my Blues PL bet. Remember that 7-6 affair? Man talk about trust.

I show Hertl positively out with Covid protocals.

Makar out but his coach refusing to say more than he is day to day.

So I fired on the two 2 teamers that were my first instincts today, even though my confidence is a bit lower with Calgary.

Panthers Ml +100
Jets Ml -140

Flames Pl +158
Av's Pl +115

I could of used the pep talk on the Bruin Game.
First of all I never like betting against the Bees.
I could of easily had a 3 team parlay yesterday all on the puck line.
Obviously that is how I like to bet anyway.
Damn, we could of had it.
At least you won right?
You had a winning day yesterday?
LOL Boston broke the other goalies head in half!!
Funny shit that cost me money but funny none the less.
he he... +100.
It appears we are well invested in Colorado.
Sharks win 5 to love.

Yeah I did well yesterday. Sorry about no pep talk but the Bruins pl was parlayed with SJS PL from Sat. night hedge. By the time I checked on here Sun morning you already liked the Rangers. I didn’t want to play cooler. Besides my picks have been crap anyways.

[monet]

Yeah I did well yesterday. Sorry about no pep talk but the Bruins pl was parlayed with SJS PL from Sat. night hedge. By the time I checked on here Sun morning you already liked the Rangers. I didn’t want to play cooler. Besides my picks have crap anyways.

Just a cold streak.
You are overdue to get Hot.
Heck, a monkey can throw darts and pick 50% on sports.
That's why I don't like the idea of people selling picks.
That's a Scam baby.

[dannyj]

I, and it very well may be just me, enjoy following your and Danny's hockey picks. There was a time when I thought I was the only one betting hockey. I used to be hard pressed to get anything more than 200-300 down with the local bookie, and I assumed he was booking it personally rather than calling it in. I played hockey into my mid-40's recreationally and semi-pro. Had skills--good hands--never could skate good enough.

In those days, it was hard to take the fav in the puck line because the games were so close. It looks like you have been more successful doing it.

"Nicely Done"

Welcome aboard regnis!

I love betting NHL so much more than say the NBA. Love the pace and miles more exciting.

If you have any insights, tips, or hunches throw em out. God knows I need the help.

[dannyj]

I'm changing the Blues game over to the Ducks.
Not sure who Husso is and he gives up 3.75 goals a game.

Husso relieved the shell-shocked Bennington Sat. night and got the win. He did give up two goals though in relief. I still like that over.

[dannyj]

Down in Flames again.

[monet]

Down in Flames again.

They forgot to tell us it was opposite day.
Hate when they forget that.

Currently at +1800

[monet]

I like plenty again today.
I'd rather go with my first instincts and keep it simple.

Rangers
Blue Jackets
Lightning

The Red Wings are injured but the Blue Jackets have lost 5 in a row and the last 7 out of 8.
Hard to put your money on a team that can't score and or win.

So 2 Teamer with the Rangers and Tampa on the Puck Line.
Not sure for how much and things change when I get to the window.

Things to look at that will drive you crazy.
Penguin game Over
Montreal game Over
Jets to rebound with a win
Hurricanes to smash the Nashville Cats

I don't have much faith in computer picking but for those who do the computer says Flyers, Islanders and Tama Bay all crush their opponents.
Every time I bet against the Devil he gets mad and makes them score a bunch of goals.
We aren't allowed to have the Indians or the Redskins but the Devils are ok?
World is messed up.

[dannyj]

I like plenty again today.
I'd rather go with my first instincts and keep it simple.

Rangers
Blue Jackets
Lightning

The Red Wings are injured but the Blue Jackets have lost 5 in a row and the last 7 out of 8.
Hard to put your money on a team that can't score and or win.

So 2 Teamer with the Rangers and Tampa on the Puck Line.
Not sure for how much and things change when I get to the window.

Things to look at that will drive you crazy.
Penguin game Over
Montreal game Over
Jets to rebound with a win
Hurricanes to smash the Nashville Cats

Pep talk time. I like NYR & TBL too but I’m probably going to puss out and parlay them to both win in regulation.

Man, I’m done stepping in front of the Sens. At least for the time being. Fuck they got Julien chased. I kinda like the under 6.5.

We may get both backups tonight in goal for the Jets game, if so heavy lean over.

Call me crazy but I really like Flyers PL. That may have to stay mental though.

[monet]

Pep talk time. I like NYR & TBL too but I’m probably going to puss out and parlay them to both win in regulation.

Man, I’m done stepping in front of the Sens. At least for the time being. Fuck they got Julien chased. I kinda like the under 6.5.

We may get both backups tonight in goal for the Jets game, if so heavy lean over.

Call me crazy but I really like Flyers PL. That may have to stay mental though.

Jets Over
Pens Over
Carolina Over
Rangers
Tampa
Islanders

Now I just need to find the right combination.
Good talk.
Flyers play a different game compared to the Pens.
The Pens have been like the Knights so far this year.
Doesn't matter if they are down by 3 goals they seem to find a way to put it into OT and win.
I do like a lot of scoring in that game though.
It's much easier at the end of the day looking at the scoreboard.

What about Exhibition Baseball??
Let's Go!

Dodgers smash the Giants, lay the juice.

[dannyj]

Pep talk time. I like NYR & TBL too but I’m probably going to puss out and parlay them to both win in regulation.

Man, I’m done stepping in front of the Sens. At least for the time being. Fuck they got Julien chased. I kinda like the under 6.5.

We may get both backups tonight in goal for the Jets game, if so heavy lean over.

Call me crazy but I really like Flyers PL. That may have to stay mental though.

Jets Over
Pens Over
Carolina Over
Rangers
Tampa
Islanders

Now I just need to find the right combination.
Good talk.
Flyers play a different game compared to the Pens.
The Pens have been like the Knights so far this year.
Doesn't matter if they are down by 3 goals they seem to find a way to put it into OT and win.
I do like a lot of scoring in that game though.
It's much easier at the end of the day looking at the scoreboard.

What about Exhibition Baseball??
Let's Go!

It's exhibition baseball. What kind of degenerate do you think I am. Don't answer that...

Not sure about Vegas but I don't have any RL options or totals.

Yankees -185
Rays -110
Marlins +125
White Sox -155
Padres -135
Dodgers -130 but don't know if Buehler is confirmed starter yet.

[monet]

It's exhibition baseball. What kind of degenerate do you think I am. Don't answer that...

Not sure about Vegas but I don't have any RL options or totals.

Yankees -185
Rays -110
Marlins +125
White Sox -155
Padres -135
Dodgers -130 but don't know if Buehler is confirmed starter yet.

I don't think you get total and RL options.
It's just straight money line.
What's the difference?
It's like flipping quarters.
You either win or lose.
Dodgers look good.
I don't have a gambling problem.
I have a losing problem.
I gamble just fine.

[dannyj]

It's exhibition baseball. What kind of degenerate do you think I am. Don't answer that...

Not sure about Vegas but I don't have any RL options or totals.

Yankees -185
Rays -110
Marlins +125
White Sox -155
Padres -135
Dodgers -130 but don't know if Buehler is confirmed starter yet.

I don't think you get total and RL options.
It's just straight money line.
What's the difference?
It's like flipping quarters.
You either win or lose.
Dodgers look good.
I don't have a gambling problem.
I have a losing problem.
I gamble just fine.

The Dodgers are a machine as are the Yankees. And I don’t need much of a reason to bet against the Orioles and Means on the hill.

But it is exhibition baseball, which is still multiples better than preseason NFL.

[monet]

ok ok, maybe exhibition baseball is pushing it.

Aaron Dell is playing for Satan now huh.
That guy sucks.
Islanders looking better to me now.

That's it I'm going with Frank and New York, New York.

Islanders and Rangers on the Puck line for 300 to win about 1800.
Add in Tampa on a 3 teamer for 100 at 16 to 1 for the 3 team Puck Line Parlay.

I'm looping this song all day today.