Smart Money

[monet]

Speaking of comebacks, did you see the Pens scored 3 times in like the first five minutes and then no more. Flyers win.

I noticed they were up 3-0 and lost 4-3 but I didn't watch or follow much of the game.
I did notice they covered the Over again which is what I like with the Penguins.
I'm starting to believe that the Penguins are better than I thought at the start of the season.

I need to focus more as I am getting close on zeroing in.
These were my picks yesterday...

Hurricanes -120
Tampa Bay +125 but hurry... probably be +120 or +115
Flames +125 but same problem as above
Islanders +140

If you like longer odds Florida Puck Line looks good at +185
Toronto is hot and getting +150 but back to back games.

Two Dog Money Line Bets
Jets +120
Blue Jackets +135

5-3 and 4 are dogs.

Anyways... time to take a look at what we have today.
Just off the bat I like the Knights.
Let's not forget that Ottawa and Detroit have lost two in a row against the Puck Line.
Detroit has lost three in a row and Ottawa actually lost 3 out of the last 4 against the Puck Line.
Supposed to be targeting against them.
Mental Bets are the Devil.

[monet]

Over on the Tampa Bay Game.
Blues Money Line -130 but moving to -140.
Not so attractive at -135 or -140.
Don't like to lay that much unless parlaying it.
Knights Puck Line at +115 but that looks to be moving soon too.
I like Colorado but not sure they are ready to break out on a dominant winning streak.
The Ducks have been notorious for losing 1 goal games all season long.

The two teamer with the Blues ML and Knights PL will pay 2.8 to 1.
Go for a small ball play today I think with 300 dollars on that.
Currently at +1800 with the 420 dollar win yesterday.

[dannyj]

Over on the Tampa Bay Game.
Blues Money Line -130 but moving to -140.
Not so attractive at -135 or -140.
Don't like to lay that much unless parlaying it.
Knights Puck Line at +115 but that looks to be moving soon too.
I like Colorado but not sure they are ready to break out on a dominant winning streak.
The Ducks have been notorious for losing 1 goal games all season long.

The two teamer with the Blues ML and Knights PL will pay 2.8 to 1.
Go for a small ball play today I think with 300 dollars on that.
Currently at +1800 with the 420 dollar win yesterday.

Yeah I definitely like Vegas PL.
I want to come back on TBL but it looks like Vas might get night off. Not confirmed.
The Ducks suck. If Gibson doesn't keep them in the game they get worked. The other night when they ruined my Blues PL, that game wasn't near as close as the final score.
I think the B's come back today but shit that's a tough game.
Small ball is probably the right play today.


Av's PL +105
Knights PL +110

[monet]

Yeah I definitely like Vegas PL.
I want to come back on TBL but it looks like Vas might get night off. Not confirmed.
The Ducks suck. If Gibson doesn't keep them in the game they get worked. The other night when they ruined my Blues PL, that game wasn't near as close as the final score.
I think the B's come back today but shit that's a tough game.
Small ball is probably the right play today.


Av's PL +105
Knights PL +110

Oh yeah, Curtis McElhinney has to start.
I'd like to bet on that lol.
That's the reason for the over bet that I probably won't make but if I did.
Plus, Subban Sucks... hate him.

I wouldn't touch that Bruins game with a ten foot poll.
It's basically a coin flip.
No way to get the slightest edge IMO.
I guess technically you could argue that Halak is the better goalie and Boston gets the last line change at home.
Boston has more banged up players but they have been banged up all year long.
The wrecked Ovi pretty good last game but he's a tough Russian.


Careful now, you are starting to sound like Dan Druff with that Should'a Bullshit lol.
That is one reason I am a proponent of not watching the games.
Recently I have been watching the games because of this thread and Family Fun but usually I would just look at the final scores.
Otherwise you can drive yourself crazy.
When I am up by 3 goals with 5 minutes left and I have money on the Puck Line I never feel comfortable.
I only feel good when I see that Final printed at the top.
I mean, technically I should be up over 100k for the last 3 months.
But that is the way "Should Of" works... it's all fantasy unless you actually put something of value on the game.
And lastly you have to actually get paid.
I never really feel comfortable till they hand me those 100 dollar bills and I get to my vehicle
Of course we have online betting and you can run into more problems with cashing out on that venue.
Although I agree with the promotions online, I just feel better betting with cash, face to face.
In the end, it's all gambling.

Sorry bout the editing... I had some incorrect information posted.
I get confused easy.
Typing and reading a bit too fast.
Time to head out to the book and get some more WilliamHill money.
I've actually beat that Evil Empire out of 5 grand in the last 3 months.
Unfortunately, I gave a bunch of it to a different bookmaker.
I got monster Drink Tickets yesterday which made me and some rail birds happy.
Not every ticket writer is Evil.

[dannyj]

Yeah I definitely like Vegas PL.
I want to come back on TBL but it looks like Vas might get night off. Not confirmed.
The Ducks suck. If Gibson doesn't keep them in the game they get worked. The other night when they ruined my Blues PL, that game wasn't near as close as the final score.
I think the B's come back today but shit that's a tough game.
Small ball is probably the right play today.


Av's PL +105
Knights PL +110

Oh yeah, Curtis McElhinney has to start.
I'd like to bet on that lol.
That's the reason for the over bet that I probably won't make but if I did.
Plus, Subban Sucks... hate him.

I wouldn't touch that Bruins game with a ten foot poll.
It's basically a coin flip.
No way to get the slightest edge IMO.
I guess technically you could argue that Halak is the better goalie and Boston gets the last line change at home.
Boston has more banged up players but they have been banged up all year long.
The wrecked Ovi pretty good last game but he's a tough Russian.

Not every ticket writer is Evil.

No, some are pretty cool, but that's just from a tourists' perspective.

Haven't been to Vegas in about 3-4 years
We are starting to plan a trip to Reno end of the month. It'll be nice to bet in person again and actually hold tickets.

[Ozzy]

Yeah I definitely like Vegas PL.
I want to come back on TBL but it looks like Vas might get night off. Not confirmed.
The Ducks suck. If Gibson doesn't keep them in the game they get worked. The other night when they ruined my Blues PL, that game wasn't near as close as the final score.
I think the B's come back today but shit that's a tough game.
Small ball is probably the right play today.


Av's PL +105
Knights PL +110

Oh yeah, Curtis McElhinney has to start.
I'd like to bet on that lol.
That's the reason for the over bet that I probably won't make but if I did.
Plus, Subban Sucks... hate him.

I wouldn't touch that Bruins game with a ten foot poll.
It's basically a coin flip.
No way to get the slightest edge IMO.
I guess technically you could argue that Halak is the better goalie and Boston gets the last line change at home.
Boston has more banged up players but they have been banged up all year long.
The wrecked Ovi pretty good last game but he's a tough Russian.


Careful now, you are starting to sound like Dan Druff with that Should'a Bullshit lol.
That is one reason I am a proponent of not watching the games.
Recently I have been watching the games because of this thread and Family Fun but usually I would just look at the final scores.
Otherwise you can drive yourself crazy.
When I am up by 3 goals with 5 minutes left and I have money on the Puck Line I never feel comfortable.
I only feel good when I see that Final printed at the top.
I mean, technically I should be up over 100k for the last 3 months.
But that is the way "Should Of" works... it's all fantasy unless you actually put something of value on the game.
And lastly you have to actually get paid.
I never really feel comfortable till they hand me those 100 dollar bills and I get to my vehicle
Of course we have online betting and you can run into more problems with cashing out on that venue.
Although I agree with the promotions online, I just feel better betting with cash, face to face.
In the end, it's all gambling.

Sorry bout the editing... I had some incorrect information posted.
I get confused easy.
Typing and reading a bit too fast.
Time to head out to the book and get some more WilliamHill money.
I've actually beat that Evil Empire out of 5 grand in the last 3 months.
Unfortunately, I gave a bunch of it to a different bookmaker.
I got monster Drink Tickets yesterday which made me and some rail birds happy.
Not every ticket writer is Evil.

No need to apologize your the king of editing

[monet]

Welp, the Hot Streak continues.
It's been a heck of a run in the last 3 months on Video Poker.
The streak actually started right before I flopped the dollar royal on Spin Poker.
So that has actually been about 6 to 7 months.
Had some up and downs and a 60,000 dollar loss one night that I don't want to talk about but its been good.
I walk in to get some Free Play and I play a little over.
I go up about 250 above the Free Play but being the degenerate I am, I continued on.
Moved up to 5 dollars.
Got stuck about 5500 and Zang!
I really thought they were gonna beat me good today cause I felt like I was tilting.
Good thing the 16,251 to 1 shot came in.
See, tableplay, I play some games that are considered Full Pay.

I walked out of the Casino up $14,700.
So of course I am betting like a little girl in the book.
340 dollars Straight Puck Line on the Knights to win $374
Three Team Parlay Blues Money Line, Wild Money Line and the Knights Puck Line.
60 dollars to win $322.15
400 dollars in total action.

[monet]

No need to apologize your the king of editing

What can I say?
When you're right... you're right!

WilliamHill is still the Devil.
I went in to cash a ticket for $1,320 and of course they said they didn't have enough money to pay me.
I caused a ruckus and they paid me with a bunch of twenties.
Fuckers.
Hope I beat 'em again today.

Shit, the Blues tricked me.
Starting Husso now.
I should go bet the over on that game straight up.

[dannyj]

Welp, the Hot Streak continues.
It's been a heck of a run in the last 3 months on Video Poker.
The streak actually started right before I flopped the dollar royal on Spin Poker.
So that has actually been about 6 to 7 months.
Had some up and downs and a 60,000 dollar loss one night that I don't want to talk about but its been good.
I walk in to get some Free Play and I play a little over.
I go up about 250 above the Free Play but being the degenerate I am, I continued on.
Moved up to 5 dollars.
Got stuck about 5500 and Zang!
I really thought they were gonna beat me good today cause I felt like I was tilting.
Good thing the 16,251 to 1 shot came in.
See, tableplay, I play some games that are considered Full Pay.

I walked out of the Casino up $14,700.
So of course I am betting like a little girl in the book.
340 dollars Straight Puck Line on the Knights to win $374
Three Team Parlay Blues Money Line, Wild Money Line and the Knights Puck Line.
60 dollars to win $322.15
400 dollars in total action.

Way to be Monet!

[tableplay]

Welp, the Hot Streak continues.
It's been a heck of a run in the last 3 months on Video Poker.
The streak actually started right before I flopped the dollar royal on Spin Poker.
So that has actually been about 6 to 7 months.
Had some up and downs and a 60,000 dollar loss one night that I don't want to talk about but its been good.
I walk in to get some Free Play and I play a little over.
I go up about 250 above the Free Play but being the degenerate I am, I continued on.
Moved up to 5 dollars.
Got stuck about 5500 and Zang!
I really thought they were gonna beat me good today cause I felt like I was tilting.
Good thing the 16,251 to 1 shot came in.
See, tableplay, I play some games that are considered Full Pay.

I walked out of the Casino up $14,700.
So of course I am betting like a little girl in the book.
340 dollars Straight Puck Line on the Knights to win $374
Three Team Parlay Blues Money Line, Wild Money Line and the Knights Puck Line.
60 dollars to win $322.15
400 dollars in total action.

Awesome Monet, congrats.

[monet]

Close only counts in Horseshoes and Hand Grenades.
Some how I went 4-1 but was able to put the majority of the cash on the one loser.
I have a knack for that.

Tampa Over
Boston did have the edge
Wild Crushed
Blues had a miracle
Knights Blew the Puck Line up 3-0 and 4-2.
Don't worry they won in OT 5-4.
Thanks Iceholes!

Today, I'm taking all the big favorites with the puck line

Islanders
Toronto
Colorado
Knights

[monet]

Still re-working this.
I'm looking into Florida and Minnesota on the Puck Line.
Getting a good price at +175, +170 each.

Not sure why the Jets are still a Dog at Montreal?
+120 on the Money Line seems pretty good.

Bout time for Mike Smith and the Oilers to get back to winning.
Better at -120 but probably get it at -125/-130.

[dannyj]

Still re-working this.
I'm looking into Florida and Minnesota on the Puck Line.
Getting a good price at +175, +170 each.

Not sure why the Jets are still a Dog at Montreal?
+120 on the Money Line seems pretty good.

Bout time for Mike Smith and the Oilers to get back to winning.
Better at -120 but probably get it at -125/-130.

NY NY except for BUF.

Like to come back with the Av's but no Mackinnon probably means pass. Besides the Ducks always seem to fuck PL.
I'm having serious trust issues with Blues.
Like the Flyers but Elliot scares me a bit.
I trust the Leafs to come back.
Kinda like the Flames tonight. Looks like Markstrom will be in net and new HC Sutter will be cracking the whip.

I better play small ball.


Islanders PL +110
Rangers Ml -115

Leafs PL +130
Vegas PL +115

[monet]

Islanders PL +110
Rangers Ml -115

Leafs PL +130
Vegas PL +115

One Winner down.
One to go!
Easy Money.
Bout Time.
Nicely Done dannyj.

I put this in but was too busy to post before puck drop.
I might make some late bets.

Still have some money to play with at +1400 with 285 in play.
I've been trying to protect my lead when I should just be firing.

[monet]

6-2 Florida up with the Hat Trick.
Not even they can blow this Puck Line Parlay for me now.
That's one win on the day for +934.25
Round it up to 935.
Now the question is can this continue?
I won my mental bets of Penguins Money Line.
Penguins Over
Rangers PL
Islanders PL
The problem is those Should Of's DON'T FUCKING PAY.

I still like the late games.
Oilers Money Line
Wild Puck Line
Colorado Puck Line
Knights Puck Line

Currently at +2335 with a Live 100 dollar 4 Teamer.
Sort of turned into a 2 teamer now for a decent payoff.
Still on the downswing of about 1600 or so from my high point.
The Book is tough when you play scared.

EDIT: Ooops I made some mistakes.
Turns out I have more work to do on that 4 teamer since I didn't put the Panthers on it.
I guess dannyj and I are rooting for the same outcome.

[monet]

The second half of the day went a little sideways.
Oilers and Knights covered but Colorado, Wild, Jets and Leafs all got wrecked.
I bet a small bet of 120 on the Knights and Wild Puck Line.
Wild got crushed.
Not a terrible day but I still feel like I missed another easy opportunity.
Still up at +2115 after a positive day in the book winning 715 dollars.
Sometimes Parlays Win.

At the moment I'm looking into Carolina since Florida is on a back to back road trip.
Calgary on a quick back to back at home against the Senators as well.
Not sure who to pick on that game but I'm usually against Ottawa.
Calgary seemed to play the faster, better game last night against the Oilers.
They just couldn't finish and as I stated before the game, It was time for Mike Smith and the Oilers to get back to winning.

Still on the road to recovery as I have lost about 1800 dollars in the last month from my high point of 3920.
Need to increase my bets.
600 dollar average profit per month isn't worth all the aggravation to me.
Could be worse, I could be losing.
Think Positive.
Good Thoughts Only.
Ohmmm...

[dannyj]

Still re-working this.
I'm looking into Florida and Minnesota on the Puck Line.
Getting a good price at +175, +170 each.

Not sure why the Jets are still a Dog at Montreal?
+120 on the Money Line seems pretty good.

Bout time for Mike Smith and the Oilers to get back to winning.
Better at -120 but probably get it at -125/-130.

NY NY except for BUF.

Like to come back with the Av's but no Mackinnon probably means pass. Besides the Ducks always seem to fuck PL.
I'm having serious trust issues with Blues.
Like the Flyers but Elliot scares me a bit.
I trust the Leafs to come back.
Kinda like the Flames tonight. Looks like Markstrom will be in net and new HC Sutter will be cracking the whip.

Had a bunch of shit typed and it all went away. Read what you said, Monet, in another thread about sports betting. Totally agree. It's tough. Couldn't imagine trying to make a living off it.
Like you said, supplemental hobby.

Anyhow let's not gloss over a few of these items.

Had a late bet last night on Flames at plus money. They played well just couldn't hold on. Good game.

Coming back on Islanders. Flames.
Like a few overs. TBL & Fla. Actually like the side in Panthers game too but will probably stay with total.

Islanders PL +115
Bruins PL +100

TBL/CHI Ov 5.5 -110
FLA/CAR Ov 5.5 -135

TBL In Reg -130
Panthers Ml +120
Flames PL +140

[monet]

Had a bunch of shit typed and it all went away. Read what you said, Monet, in another thread about sports betting. Totally agree. It's tough. Couldn't imagine trying to make a living off it.
Like you said, supplemental hobby.

Anyhow let's not gloss over a few of these items.

Had a late bet last night on Flames at plus money. They played well just couldn't hold on. Good game.

Coming back on Islanders. Flames.
Like a few overs. TBL & Fla. Actually like the side in Panthers game too but will probably stay with total.

Islanders PL +115
Bruins PL +100

TBL/CHI Ov 5.5 -110
FLA/CAR Ov 5.5 -135

TBL In Reg -130
Panthers Ml +120
Flames PL +140

he, he... I did that the other day too.
Typed this huge post talking to you and had it all deleted.
So I just typed some generic bullshit.
I wasn't about to type all those words out again.

You have a ton of action today!

I have to switch things up because of the blinding math and facts.
Not really hyped about having to travel around to get better lines.
All this information is starting to mount up and crush my will or desire to continue.
Fuck It... I'll show them (shaking my fist in the air)!

All Puck Line Bets Today.
In my mind now, you either have to bet the puck line getting a positive or bet a dog getting a positive.
Straight Bets.

Teams I am considering but have to consolidate.

Islanders +120
Tampa +145
Carolina +175
Bruins +110
Golden Seals/Barons/North Stars... Now Called the Dallas Stars +175
Flames +145 but I am looking at Ottawa Money Line at +150
I guess you could play both sides and hope the Flames don't win by 1 goal lol.
Not sure if that is technically a Middle?

They can beat the Flames and the Flames played hard last night.
Ottawa is better rested, due for a win and Murray can be lights out.
Undecided.

The other interesting problem is having to wait for injuries, starting goalies and healthy scratches.
Covid Protocol adds another dimension.
Makes it impossible to get down on the best line in ample time.
I do enjoy the new divisional play only though.
Makes the whole season feel like the playoffs.

[monet]

LOL
Look how sharp I am.
I forgot it was Sunday.
Duh... Early Games.
The Islander Game is almost over... scratch that game.
It's like 10 am and I'm still in my underwear.
I need to move to a shack in the mountains.
Wish I could convince my wife.

[monet]

I can't find the energy to go to the book and bet Tampa Bay Puck Line.
Watch the game a bit and come back for Boston Puck Line.
And perhaps make a late bet on the Stars Puck Line.
No energy, ambition, backside kickback which translates to NO FUN for me.
Just sit here in my underwear stuffing my pie hole waiting for the Grim Ripper to finally bring the hammer down.

Out of all these games I like Boston Puck Line the best.
Of course it is the worst line at +105 or Even Money on the Puck Line but looks like an easy win.
Tampa is just Auto Puck Line Bet for the most part and getting a good price.
I hate the Nashville Cats and I don't think they can win.