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Thread: Smart Money

  1. #21

  2. #22
    Originally Posted by Ozzy View Post
    Redietz to the rescue !!
    According to Redietz, Redietz does not participate on this site anymore.
    I highly doubt that Redietz is giving any picks away for free.
    I'm not sure he actually wagers money on individual games.
    I could be wrong.
    He might be betting 2200 dollar wagers constantly.
    According to some of his posts about his record, it would appear that he wins far more compared to losing but how much of that is mental betting?
    Redietz seems to be focused on Futures and Tournaments.
    Strikes me as the type of bettor who hedges but I could be wrong about that assessment.
    I'm pretty far out of my depth here anyway as I certainly cannot beat the book nor do I know much about how to.
    My main issue with the book and poker, for that matter, is they don't give you anything for coin in.
    I'm guessing that you can get some positive EV with online betting but I find it to be too much of headache.

    I have the same issue with Dan Druff.
    Is he actually betting money on all those picks and if so how much or how much is a unit?
    At the end of a season these guys might be +5500 Units but how much cash does that translate to?
    I would enjoy Dan Druff's thread about his NBA picks more if he would post his actual net profit or loss.
    Course I don't really enjoy betting on hoops.
    Nothing more fun or agonizing than betting on the NHL Puck Line.
    I'm sure that betting the O/U has a higher return but not nearly as gut wrenching.

    Classic... (3:59)

    Where's the hells the rest of my Fucking Money?? - James Caan as the Gambler -

    Last edited by monet; 01-17-2021 at 09:47 AM.

  3. #23
    The rare times I throw a few hundred at games, I stick to betting visiting dogs and unders.

  4. #24
    (14:32)

    I could of wiped the floor with your ass...

    If all my bets were safe there just wouldn't be any juice.


  5. #25
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    (14:32)

    I could of wiped the floor with your ass...

    If all my bets were safe there just wouldn't be any juice.

    Sick clip, the epitome of degeneracy. I didn't realize your buddy " Axel " was such a degenerate! 45k back in 1974 was quite a lot of scratch for a " Sure Thing". I've seen my share of this, over the last 20+ years, will never truly understand it. The complexity of the human mind and some of the things we do to ourselves. Crazy world.

  6. #26
    I'm so lazy.
    I see they bet down the Chiefs to -8.
    I would bet it but I am out of time.
    Looking at the Columbus Blue Jackets for tomorrow with the puck line against Detroit.
    Still undecided.
    I have no clue about the Saints and Bucs game.
    I don't like betting against Brady.
    Usually best for me to stay out of the Book anyway.

  7. #27
    Spent a bunch of comp today in the gift shops and the Evil Empire Starbucks.
    I collected a ticket for $1,890.00 at one of the William Hill locations.
    Did I mention how much I hate those bastards?
    They had to give me 700 in fifty dollar bills.
    When questioned they claimed they were too low on hundos??
    Don't they know about the old Vegas Superstition and Fifty Dollar Bills??
    Fucking Super Sports Book doesn't have enough money to ever pay out.
    One time I had a 7,000 dollar ticket to cash with them a few years back and they told me to come back later as they didn't have enough cash to pay out?
    Hate these Fuckers!

    Anyways I bet like a little girl today.

    $300.00 Straight Bet on the Colorado Avalanche -1 1/2 +110 to pay $330.00
    This post gives you enough time as I posted it about 3 hours before puck drop.

    I had a pretty good run with 850 in Free Play collecting 1360 total.
    I also ran into a long time local and I mean someone who has been in town over 50 years since he was born and raised.
    It seems that even he agrees that the Party is Over.
    What a fun run for decades.
    I'm already missing it.
    Last edited by monet; 01-19-2021 at 04:10 PM.

  8. #28
    Betting 300 bones is just above betting like a girl. It's nowhere near baller " AXEL" category though

  9. #29
    Evil Sports Book!
    Dirty LA Kings!
    Cheating Fucking Refs!
    See You Soon.

  10. #30
    Hit a rough patch in the last week or so.
    Down 2300 off of my last 3 bets.
    Thinking of putting 3900 to win 3000 on Tampa Bay - 1.5 -130 against the Red Wings.
    It is possible that I can find a -120 or -125 line though.
    Tampa Bay and the Red Wings both upended two of my 3 bets that put me in this hole.
    Can't lose them all can I?
    WilliamHill Lines are the Devil.

  11. #31
    Monet, what you can't take an innocent joke that I made on the MDawg thread today on your spin poker post? My goodness, I have big swings all the time just like you do when I play blackjack. Sorry if I got too sensitive in my humor.

  12. #32
    Originally Posted by BoSox View Post
    Monet, what you can't take an innocent joke that I made on the MDawg thread today on your spin poker post? My goodness, I have big swings all the time just like you do when I play blackjack. Sorry if I got too sensitive in my humor.
    Once again I am confused.
    It isn't very hard to confuse me these days.
    I think you have accused me of this a few times in the past.
    However, I have never said one derogatory word to or against you.
    I hold your experience and expertise in High Regard.
    Although, what you do is outside of my wheelhouse.
    Anyways, no worries.
    I am not offended by anything you have said towards me.
    Let us continue in our enjoyable forum banter towards one another.

    I will give you a break down of my last few hours.
    I go into Casino A and bet 910 to win 700 on the TB Puck Line -1.5 -130.
    The line moves to -135 shortly after.
    I decide to play a little Full pay 2 dollar VP.
    I lose 500.
    I move up to 5 dollar and lose another 1500.
    So I go and play 10 dollar VP which isn't Full Pay but with the Multiplier and Mailers it is Break Even.
    Sound Familiar?
    Sort of like the Singer Progressive Bet Strategy, right?
    Anyways... I am down to my last 300 when I hit a 4k Jackpot.
    I came into the Casino with just over 6600 dollars.
    Now I have 4300.
    I play some more and lose.
    I am now in 4000 dollars on the Machine.
    I end up hitting 4 Ducks for 10k with the machine at 10,900.
    I also have 1700 in my pocket from the first hand pay.
    I play a couple more hands and cash out 1300 because I am not supposed to be playing VP right now.
    I'm supposed to be betting 900+ dollars in different sports books.
    So I drive over to another Book that I know is usually dead.
    Not this time...
    I had to wait in line 30 minutes because two Fucking Idiots are betting 5 and 10 dollars on every Super Bowl Prop Bet they have.
    What a Fucking Joke... bet 42 separate bets to win or lose 12 dollars.
    Fuck lol.
    So of course I decide to just come home now and read your accusation.

    Anyhoo... I put some money in action in the book but not as much as I planned.
    I have two bets...

    Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5

    910 to win 700
    945 to win 700

    Don't worry... I'm gonna lose.
    But I love it at the Book.
    I'm going back.
    Last edited by monet; 02-03-2021 at 11:37 AM.

  13. #33
    Is that Official?
    Oh what wonderful people!
    Let it Ride.

    Attached Images Attached Images  

  14. #34
    Good bet Monet.

    I pussed out and just took TBL to win in reg., parlayed with the Bruins ML.
    Escaped with the Boston comeback OT win.

  15. #35
    Originally Posted by dannyj View Post
    Good bet Monet.

    I pussed out and just took TBL to win in reg., parlayed with the Bruins ML.
    Escaped with the Boston comeback OT win.
    Nicely Done.
    I notice you bet with Dan on a good amount of the NBA Picks.
    Are you betting online or in Vegas or somewhere else?
    I miss the days of calling my bookie in Cleveland.
    The last Money Line I seen on that Tampa Bay game was -330.
    I get that you just parlay it but man that is so much to lay, I couldn't do it.
    You get better odds laying against the 4 or 10 on the dice table.
    I get it though.
    Action.

    I didn't post about it but I hit a two teamer before my slide for a couple grand.
    It was a miracle on both games.
    January 23 and I needed the Blues with the Jets on the Puck Line.
    The Jets were down 3-2 going into the third and scored 4 goals to cover.
    The Blues Game was the real miracle as they Covered with the Empty Netter with only 2 seconds left in the game.
    I didn't post about it because I didn't post beforehand and I was busy.
    After that miracle I went on a slide because I'm Stupid.
    I had a couple grand on the Tampa Bay game when they had a 4-1 lead over Nashville.
    Nashville went gangbusters in the last ten minutes and scored two goals to Screw Me.
    Tampa had a last second chance but missed.
    Puck Line is Fun.
    Of course the next game they covered but I got off them because once again... I'm Stupid.

    Anyways, after collecting my tickets today I decided to put in a Super Bowl Bet.
    I don't endorse the bet whatsoever, I just like the Under more than the Over.
    So I bet 660 to win 600 on the Under at 56 points.
    IMO, The Defense usually comes to play in the Super Bowl.
    The game could go well over but I like my chances.
    Either way it really doesn't matter as I bet like a Nancy once again.

    I like a couple hockey games today but I'm too tired now to make a run at the book.
    It isn't going anywhere so it really doesn't matter.
    I can lose tomorrow or the next day.
    Thanks for the interaction!

    If I was going to bet today I would look into the Canadians and the Blues with the Puck Line.
    The Canadians is another one of those -1.5 -125 type of bets though.
    I'm not sure but those are the two teams I would consider.
    Ottawa is still doing horrible even though they picked up Murray.
    Another thought is the Capitals.
    They just keep winning.
    Perhaps the over on that game... I dunno... just spitballin.
    Two things are trending from my understanding so far this season.
    The Over and Home Ice.
    I guess the Home Ice is most likely because of the last line change situation.

    Put 10 Dollars on it.
    Who Knows?
    You Never Know!!
    Last edited by monet; 02-04-2021 at 12:02 PM.

  16. #36
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    Originally Posted by dannyj View Post
    Good bet Monet.

    I pussed out and just took TBL to win in reg., parlayed with the Bruins ML.
    Escaped with the Boston comeback OT win.
    Nicely Done.
    I notice you bet with Dan on a good amount of the NBA Picks.
    Are you betting online or in Vegas or somewhere else?
    I miss the days of calling my bookie in Cleveland.
    The last Money Line I seen on that Tampa Bay game was -330.
    I get that you just parlay it but man that is so much to lay, I couldn't do it.
    You get better odds laying against the 4 or 10 on the dice table.
    I get it though.
    Action.

    I didn't post about it but I hit a two teamer before my slide for a couple grand.
    It was a miracle on both games.
    January 23 and I needed the Blues with the Jets on the Puck Line.
    The Jets were down 3-2 going into the third and scored 4 goals to cover.
    The Blues Game was the real miracle as they Covered with the Empty Netter with only 2 seconds left in the game.
    I didn't post about it because I didn't post beforehand and I was busy.
    After that miracle I went on a slide because I'm Stupid.
    I had a couple grand on the Tampa Bay game when they had a 4-1 lead over Nashville.
    Nashville went gangbusters in the last ten minutes and scored two goals to Screw Me.
    Tampa had a last second chance but missed.
    Puck Line is Fun.
    Of course the next game they covered but I got off them because once again... I'm Stupid.

    Anyways, after collecting my tickets today I decided to put in a Super Bowl Bet.
    I don't endorse the bet whatsoever, I just like the Under more than the Over.
    So I bet 660 to win 600 on the Under at 56 points.
    IMO, The Defense usually comes to play in the Super Bowl.
    The game could go well over but I like my chances.
    Either way it really doesn't matter as I bet like a Nancy once again.

    I like a couple hockey games today but I'm too tired now to make a run at the book.
    It isn't going anywhere so it really doesn't matter.
    I can lose tomorrow or the next day.
    Thanks for the interaction!

    If I was going to bet today I would look into the Canadians and the Blues with the Puck Line.
    The Canadians is another one of those -1.5 -125 type of bets though.
    I'm not sure but those are the two teams I would consider.
    Ottawa is still doing horrible even though they picked up Murray.
    Another thought is the Capitals.
    They just keep winning.
    Perhaps the over on that game... I dunno... just spitballin.
    Two things are trending from my understanding so far this season.
    The Over and Home Ice.
    I guess the Home Ice is most likely because of the last line change situation.

    Put 10 Dollars on it.
    Who Knows?
    You Never Know!!
    So, being in Oregon I'm wagering on Scoreboard, which is Oregon's online lotto thing that presently offers wagers on most pro sports worldwide. In general the lines are probably much worse than William Hill. At this time no college sports. No horse racing. That will probably change as they find out how much money they aren't making by not offering. Lol.

    I'm pretty small time with most bets being in the 25 to 50 range. When feeling frisky I'll bump to 100. Have gone as high as 500. Like you said, the action.

    Yesterdays TBL to win in regulation knocked the juice down to -255 coupled with the Bruins at -135 made the parlay +144. I am cognizant of the juice, but I didn't think it was horrible. WTF do I know I just like the action.

    I will follow Dan, but admittedly I hate betting NBA unders. I know that's where a lot of pros live due to ploppies loving the over. In general the NBA is TOUGH! It's not the same as years ago when players played every night. Now with the needed rest, and calf contusions, and hangnails one has to wait for the latest info to try to stay ahead but alas it's already in the line.

    I love football and now hockey much more. Baseball is also my thing, as I used to play in college a million years ago gives me a chance to feel like I can pick winners. Also, I didn't use to know shit or care about soccer, thought it was boring as hell. But now that I have the opportunity to bet on it I kinda love it. Have a great appreciation of it now. Especially EPL and other Euro trash countries. Hell, I'll even bet Turkish 3rd division games if it feels right. Action.

    Good luck on your SB under. I made a play on SB today also that I don't endorse. KC -3 @-115. Brady's probably a shoe in for MVP now. lol...

  17. #37
    I have more to comment on about your post but for now I love todays outcome.

    Capitals Lose.
    Canadians Lose.
    Blues Lose.
    I didn't Lose.

    Perfect Storm for me to get in action when they all play next.

  18. #38
    I see KC -3 is at -110 this morning. Should have waited. Probably be -2.5 by Sunday. People grabbing the GOAT.

  19. #39
    Originally Posted by dannyj View Post
    I see KC -3 is at -110 this morning. Should have waited. Probably be -2.5 by Sunday. People grabbing the GOAT.
    I'm trying to figure out how you got Tampa Bay Lighting at -255 when I seen it open at -330.
    That's pretty impressive.

    I wanted to clarify about betting like a little girl.
    It has nothing to do with how big the bet is.
    It has to do with something personal inside me.
    I find it very difficult to bet hundred dollar bills on a Sporting Event.
    Which is odd because I can bet 50 dollars to 250 dollars a spin on machines without a blink.
    Let's be honest... after it gets past 125 per spin I kind of start to get uncomfortable.
    But 50 dollars every time I push the button I can handle with ease.

    HOWEVER...

    The largest straight bet I ever made so far was 3300 to win 3000.
    It is so difficult to let the bills go from my pocket and fingers.
    So when I bet 300, 600 or even 1650 it is a very painful process.
    Also, I get lazy when you have to break up the bet to keep it under a grand moving from book to book.
    That's a lot of work.

    Alright... let us get greedy today and try a 3 team parlay.

    Nashville/Flordia = Over 5.5
    Tampa Bay -1.5
    Vegas -1.5

    Not sure if the lay off is going to help the Knights or hurt them.
    This bet is for my own personal fun and I can not be responsible if anyone bets along with me.
    Make it fun and bet against me.
    You people are supposed to give me Locks in this thread.
    This stupid thread turned into me touting my stupid picks.
    At least I don't charge any fees.
    Last edited by monet; 02-05-2021 at 12:47 PM.

  20. #40
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    Originally Posted by dannyj View Post
    I see KC -3 is at -110 this morning. Should have waited. Probably be -2.5 by Sunday. People grabbing the GOAT.
    I'm trying to figure out how you got Tampa Bay Lighting at -255 when I seen it open at -330.
    That's pretty impressive.

    I wanted to clarify about betting like a little girl.
    It has nothing to do with how big the bet is.
    It has to do with something personal inside me.
    I find it very difficult to bet hundred dollar bills on a Sporting Event.
    Which is odd because I can bet 50 dollars to 250 dollars a spin on machines without a blink.
    Let's be honest... after it gets past 125 per spin I kind of start to get uncomfortable.
    But 50 dollars every time I push the button I can handle with ease.

    HOWEVER...

    The largest straight bet I ever made so far was 3300 to win 3000.
    It is so difficult to let the bills go from my pocket and fingers.
    So when I bet 300, 600 or even 1650 it is a very painful process.
    Also, I get lazy when you have to break up the bet to keep it under a grand moving from book to book.
    That's a lot of work.

    Alright... let us get greedy today and try a 3 team parlay.

    Nashville/Flordia = Over 5.5
    Tampa Bay -1.5
    Vegas -1.5

    Not sure if the lay off is going to help the Knights or hurt them.
    This bet is for my own personal fun and I can not be responsible if anyone bets along with me.
    Make it fun and bet against me.
    You people are supposed to give me Locks in this thread.
    This stupid thread turned into me touting my stupid picks.
    At least I don't charge any fees.
    Ok, so lets review how I knocked the juice down on yesterdays TBL bet from -330 (or something close) to -255. It is because I bet the Lightning to win in regulation. That is excluding OT.

    Yesterdays TBL to win in regulation knocked the juice down to -255 coupled with the Bruins at -135 made the parlay +144.
    It is known as betting the 3 way line. Without OT there are three possible outcomes, either side and the draw. As I look at today's menu of options for the TBL game shows money line of -365 (ouch) but if I bet on Lightning to win in regulation it knocks juice down to -270. Still ouch but maybe a possible parlay leg.

    Not sure what I'm going to take yet. Was running around all morning with wife.

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