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Thread: Smart Money

  1. #401
    Capitals look horrible.
    Might lose this one.
    Already lost 300 on a 5 teamer and 300 on a 4 teamer.
    I bet 900 to win 1700 and some change on the 2 Team Capitals Puck Line with the WILD Puck Line.
    If this doesn't pan out I'm back in the hole for 1500.

    Already have tomorrow's picks but not sure about the specific order and what exactly I will bet.

    Top 3

    Penguins Puck Line
    Stars Puck Line
    Blues Puck Line

    Secondary 2

    Hurricanes Puck Line
    Kings Puck Line

    MLB

    San Fran Run Line
    Oakland A's Money Line at -130
    You know the drill... Run Line for better pay with No Fear.

    Missed betting on the Dodgers today as well but I thought San Diego would give a better fight.
    Dodgers Money Line pretty good at -120

  2. #402
    Nevermind... I guess I just win again.
    I netted $1,181.25
    Nice Empty Net Goal Caps!
    Capitals Win 2-0.

    Fucking Blue Jays spoiled my bigger tickets.
    As I went 4 for 5 today on my bets and 4 for 6 on picks posted.
    Oh well.
    Nobody can beat a 30% drop anyway.
    If you like money... Do Not Bet Parlays.

    Did anyone bet the minus minus two teamer with me?
    I hope so.
    I hope you got some drink tickets for your trouble.
    Attached Images Attached Images  

  3. #403
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    Capitals look horrible.
    Might lose this one.
    Already lost 300 on a 5 teamer and 300 on a 4 teamer.
    I bet 900 to win 1700 and some change on the 2 Team Capitals Puck Line with the WILD Puck Line.
    If this doesn't pan out I'm back in the hole for 1500.

    Already have tomorrow's picks but not sure about the specific order and what exactly I will bet.

    Top 3

    Penguins Puck Line
    Stars Puck Line
    Blues Puck Line

    Secondary 2

    Hurricanes Puck Line
    Kings Puck Line

    MLB

    San Fran Run Line
    Oakland A's Money Line at -130
    You know the drill... Run Line for better pay with No Fear.

    Missed betting on the Dodgers today as well but I thought San Diego would give a better fight.
    Dodgers Money Line pretty good at -120
    I guess we should scratch the Kings.
    Ducks are rested and have played them hard.
    Yes they lost one game 4-1.
    In Theory the Kings at Home vs the Ducks should cover the Puck Line but I'm gonna scratch it.

    The best two teamer is another minus minus with the Blues and Stars.
    I'd throw in the Penguins just out of principle because I have nothing but disdain for the current Red Wings.

    3 Team Parlay

    Pittsburgh -1.5 -120
    Stars -1.5 - 110
    Blues -1.5 -150

    Pays 4.8 to 1
    That's a pretty darn good bet but not massive value.

    Pittsburgh/Detroit could easily go over 6.5
    I side with the OVER on this game.

    Tampa Bay at -1.5 +150 is so damn tempting after watching them shell Toronto 8-1.
    They are at Home and I never have faith in the Nashville Cats even though they usually play the Lightning tough.
    It's just that 3 to 2 on your dough is one of those bets you can make all day long.
    Win or Lose doesn't really matter.

    The Devil(s) like to mess with me all the time but how can you not bet the Hurricanes to smash them?
    Just out of principle yet again.

    I still like San Fran.
    You have to bet them on the Run Line if you are going to bet them.

    The A's should bounce back and on the Money Line they are a good bet to add to a parlay ticket.

    The Fucking Dodgers are lights out.
    How the Fuck are you and Dan Druff not cleaning up on the Dodgers?
    Run Line is superior but even at -120 on the Money Line is worth the gamble.

    I'm sorry I couldn't get very specific on what to do exactly but I gave you all enough information here for you to make your own decisions.
    A Ditz style of all Straight Bets could work but you have to lay juice on almost every game and that is nothing but asking for PAIN.
    You have to parlay this shit to get any value from it if you are going to dip your toes in the book.
    Even if said parlay has a 30% vig.
    If that shit bothers you, you have to go vulture, hole card, lie, cheat, steal and or kill.
    Last edited by monet; 04-23-2022 at 05:58 AM.

  4. #404
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    I guess we should scratch the Kings.
    Ducks are rested and have played them hard.
    Yes they lost one game 4-1.
    In Theory the Kings at Home vs the Ducks should cover the Puck Line but I'm gonna scratch it.

    The best two teamer is another minus minus with the Blues and Stars.
    I'd throw in the Penguins just out of principle because I have nothing but disdain for the current Red Wings.

    3 Team Parlay

    Pittsburgh -1.5 -120
    Stars -1.5 - 110
    Blues -1.5 -150

    Pays 4.8 to 1
    That's a pretty darn good bet but not massive value.

    Pittsburgh/Detroit could easily go over 6.5
    I side with the OVER on this game.

    Tampa Bay at -1.5 +150 is so damn tempting after watching them shell Toronto 8-1.
    They are at Home and I never have faith in the Nashville Cats even though they usually play the Lightning tough.
    It's just that 3 to 2 on your dough is one of those bets you can make all day long.
    Win or Lose doesn't really matter.

    The Devil(s) like to mess with me all the time but how can you not bet the Hurricanes to smash them?
    Just out of principle yet again.

    I still like San Fran.
    You have to bet them on the Run Line if you are going to bet them.

    The A's should bounce back and on the Money Line they are a good bet to add to a parlay ticket.

    The Fucking Dodgers are lights out.
    How the Fuck are you and Dan Druff not cleaning up on the Dodgers?
    Run Line is superior but even at -120 on the Money Line is worth the gamble.

    I'm sorry I couldn't get very specific on what to do exactly but I gave you all enough information here for you to make your own decisions.
    A Ditz style of all Straight Bets could work but you have to lay juice on almost every game and that is nothing but asking for PAIN.
    You have to parlay this shit to get any value from it if you are going to dip your toes in the book.
    Even if said parlay has a 30% vig.
    If that shit bothers you, you have to go vulture, hole card, lie, cheat, steal and or kill.
    Ok I got it now.
    Simple.

    The 5 hockey games all Puck Line + San Fran Run Line + A's and Dodgers Money Line for the 8 Teamer = bet 100 dollars

    Take off all the MLB games and bet all 5 Hockey Games Puck Line for 200 dollars.

    Now, just the 3 Team Parlay paying 4.8 to 1 with a bet of 700 dollars for a $3,360 payday.
    Probably best to spread it out between two 350 dollar tickets at two different joints.

    The worst that can happen is I lose a grand.
    Which means I still have 181 dollars and 25 cents from yesterdays win.
    I can do a lot with 181 dollars.
    Bowling and Pinball is cheap.

  5. #405
    I decided to bet more than the original plan.

    2 Team 300 dollar Parlay because I liked the plus plus payout.

    Hurricanes -1.5 +112
    Lightning -1.5 +158

    To Win: $1,340.90

    San Francisco covered so that's one in the clubhouse for us but I was unable to put it on an additional 3 Teamer so I bet a 2 Team minus minus.

    Dodgers Money Line -112
    Athletics Money Line -128

    300 to win 711.50

    I'm upside down as I have 1900 in total action so If I don't get anything back I'll be stuck 700 and some change.
    May the best teams win!

    EDIT: Oooops... I didn't realize some of the games went off already.
    Penguins covered easy and the OVER came in.
    I may have told you so on this one... maybe.
    Forget my Hurricane/Lighting Parlay as the final 3-2 OT score has blown that idea.
    That means the 8 Teamer is a loss of 100 + 300 = negative 400 so far.
    5 Teamer is down in Flames too... thanks Devil(s)... = negative 600.

    Two tickets still alive and in reality it's the 3 Teamer with the Stars, Pens and Blues that we are really banking on.
    Last edited by monet; 04-23-2022 at 01:10 PM.

  6. #406
    lol lol lol lol lol lol lol

    I'm a true believer in betting against the Pirates for the last 30 some odd years.
    Every since I had to stomach the curse of Sid Bream.
    I still wake up in cold sweats over that 9th inning come back and slide.
    21-0 lol lol lol confirms that my belief still holds up.
    And the Reds truly are Fucked... losing again 5-0 to the Cards.
    Where was I on these two games... dipshit?
    Oh and Tampa Bay is Lighting Up the Lamp now 2-0.
    If I knew the Predators were going to wear those God Awful Uniforms I would of bet it straight.
    Actually, at -1.5 +150 it was always a great value.


  7. #407
    Oh No!
    I've lost my powers.
    A's get wrecked 2-0 killing another 300 dollar ticket.
    Dallas has horrible uniforms on like the Predators and they get a goal reversed, give up an early goal after that down 1-0.
    It's a Fucking Nightmare.
    Gonna lose 1600 negating my 1180 dollar win yesterday putting me in the hole for 420 dollars.
    Mother Fucker... I'm Stuck like Chuck!
    Perhaps it's time to run to the book and bet St. Louis -2.5 -105
    I'm panicking... keep it together... keep it together... K... I... T... Keep it together.
    If you never watched Bowfinger... I highly recommend it.


  8. #408
    If I can get my ass in gear I'm going back to the book.

    Canucks Money Line +175
    Blues Puck Line -1.5 -160
    Kings Puck Line -1.5 EVEN

    280 to win 2222.5

    Oh Fuck Me... that's Four Deuces... That's a Lock... I'm betting that!

  9. #409
    How da Fuck did dat happen?
    I was at the book cussing out the bartender because he refused to give me the cans of Clamato.
    I said do you have to pour out a bottle of water?
    Do you have to pour out a bottle of beer.
    What the Fuck is so special about a can of clamato that I can't have the can and a glass of ice.
    MotherFuckers!?!?

    So the Stars are down 2-0 and now when I get home they are up 3-2 at the end of 2 lol.
    My ticket is still live!
    Woot!

  10. #410
    Alright.
    Looks like we are going to lose 1980 as I bet 380 on that last 3 teamer which puts me down 800 dollars in the hole now.
    Sucks.
    Try to swing for the fences next time.
    2000 dollar swing in the wrong direction.
    My life sucks.
    I blame the Cheating Niggers and Redskins that ZenKing warned us about.
    Damn Injuns and their Wampum!

  11. #411
    4 Teams for tomorrow.
    Do what you want with them.

    Penguins Puck Line
    WILD Money Line at -120
    St. Louis Cardinals Run Line
    San Fran Giants Run Line

    Alternate Picks

    Tampa Bay Devil Rays Run Line
    NJ Devils Puck Line
    Capitals Money Line
    Blues Puck Line

  12. #412
    Not too bad actually on the picking for today.
    Yes I lost every bet but the picking went 5-5 if you count the LA Kings Puck Line and the OVER on the Penguin Game.
    As I said before Tampa Bay had the best value with the Puck Line at +150 but I didn't pull the trigger.
    Live and Learn, Live and Learn.
    Kudos to the Calgary Flames covering the Puck Line winning 6-3.
    If I knew that Vancouver was going to come out and stand around all game I would never of taken them as a dog.
    I'm pretty sure their food and drinks were spiked from the Flames Players.
    Fucking Blues Fucking up a 4-1 Lead.
    At least the Kings and Ducks tried to kill each other with 5 seconds left in the game.
    That was entertaining.
    And that Stars/Kraken game was insane.
    Complete opposite compared to the Flames game as the Stars and Kraken were flying around trying to plaster each other into the boards all game long.

  13. #413
    I see you in here dannyj... whatcha thinking... got anything juicy?

  14. #414
    Can't tell you how bad the Blues fucked me last night. I was cruising, had three tickets down to last play on STL PL. Oh well...
    I love the Blues and believe they will be a major factor in playoffs but the Binnington trust factor went waaaay down.

    I got all the usual suspects today.

    Pens PL
    Avs PL
    Blues PL (Husso back in net)

    I'm also looking at,
    Oilers PL
    Wild PL +195 (actually like this one a lot as Preds back up will probably be in net)

    Also looking at fading Gerrit Cole again.
    Indians RL -125
    Dodgers RL +115


    Locked in but now I see Av’s are without a couple of key wingers, Landeskog & Rantenan.
    Gonna be dicey.

    Day before yesterday I was on Cubs RL vs Pirates. Nothing. Stayed away yesterday. Nertz!
    Last edited by dannyj; 04-24-2022 at 09:13 AM.

  15. #415
    Originally Posted by dannyj View Post
    Can't tell you how bad the Blues fucked me last night. I was cruising, had three tickets down to last play on STL PL. Oh well...
    I love the Blues and believe they will be a major factor in playoffs but the Binnington trust factor went waaaay down.

    I got all the usual suspects today.

    Pens PL
    Avs PL
    Blues PL (Husso back in net)

    I'm also looking at,
    Oilers PL
    Wild PL +195 (actually like this one a lot as Preds back up will probably be in net)

    Also looking at fading Gerrit Cole again.
    Indians RL -125
    Dodgers RL +115


    Locked in but now I see Av’s are without a couple of key wingers, Landeskog & Rantenan.
    Gonna be dicey.

    Day before yesterday I was on Cubs RL vs Pirates. Nothing. Stayed away yesterday. Nertz!
    Thanks for the reply!
    Looks like we are overlapped so I forgo all your picks and information.

    Plus I did something really stupid.
    I thought to myself today that I would play like the Ditz and that is what I did.
    However, when I pulled into my garage I got a really sick feeling in my stomach.
    This type of wagering is for massive quantity so that you can cut all the variance out and push your return percentage.
    You literally have to bet like this everyday and constantly be in the book.
    Something like TomG stated that he bet over 1000 wagers a month or something like that.
    I Hate this style.
    WTF was I thinking??
    FUCK!
    Oh well, locked in now and I have something like 20 Fucking Tickets.
    Hate this Bullshit.
    Anyways, here are the totals.
    I'm not posting these ticket pictures.
    That's too much work.

    Rays -1.5 +128 500 to win 640
    Cardinals -1.5 +108 500 to win 560
    Giants -1.5 -120 600 to win 500
    Blues -1.5 +115 500 to win 575
    WILD -1.5 +208 400 to win 832
    Capitals -1.5 +213 400 to win 852
    Penguins -1.5 -103 600 to win 582.85
    New Jersey Luciferians -1.5 +148 500 to win 740
    Hartford Whalers -1.5 +144 500 to win 720

    Couldn't help myself as I had 200 extra left from the gumband...
    3 Team Parlay
    Penguins -1.5 -103
    WILD -113
    Blues -1.5 +115
    200 to win 1397.45

    I pray to the Lord God that I only lose a thousand.
    What the Fuck am I in here... 4700 dollars... FUCK ME... HELP!!!
    I'd like to cancel all wagers please and get a refund... thanks.
    Last edited by monet; 04-24-2022 at 10:59 AM.

  16. #416
    Oh Great.
    Horrible Start on these early games.
    I'm Fucked.
    I'm gonna be so Fucking buried in the book after today and they won't even give me a Steak Dinner for all that action.
    Welp, 4700 + 800 is only negative 5600.
    I can dig myself out of that within the next 2 years... maybe.

  17. #417
    I really hate you Satan.
    When I bet on you, you lose.
    When I bet against you, you not only win but you crush your opponent.
    Fuck You!

    At least the Hurricanes got TWO Empty Net Goals.

    New Jersey Loss = -500
    Hurricane Win = +720
    Total with 7 more games to go = +220

    EDIT: Devil Rays Cover... At least I can count on one Devil around here... 220 + 640 = +860 so far... LET'S GO!!!!
    Wait... I get the 500 back on this one so am I up 1360... maybe... Fuck, I don't know how to math.
    Last edited by monet; 04-24-2022 at 01:15 PM.

  18. #418
    Wrong day to fade yanks. Geez!

  19. #419
    Originally Posted by dannyj View Post
    Wrong day to fade yanks. Geez!
    Feels Bad Man.
    At least you can still add numbers together.
    I've lost my ability to count.
    Much more simple to just count up your money at the end of the day.
    That's how you see who is best.
    Movie Quote from Bert Gordon and the Hustler.

  20. #420
    Cardinals Lose but the Giants Cover easy which is basically a wash but I get the 600 back.
    Let's just do a running count.

    I'm in 4700

    Hurricanes Cover = 500 + 720 = 1220
    Devil Rays Cover = 500 + 640 = 1140
    San Fran Faggots Cover = 600 + 500 = 1100

    So at the very least I get back 1220 + 1140 + 1100 = 3460

    Penguins playing Slow and Tired down 2-0 but I still got the Blues, Capitals and WILD to try and recover to at least break even.
    I need 1240 to break even.
    I don't like playing like this.
    Boring!

    Don't get me wrong... I see it... it's a much more logical and safe approach.
    Too Professional.

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