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Thread: Smart Money

  1. #481
    Fucking Jinx!
    Anyone who seen the end of the Ranger game understands what I am talking about.
    Two Tickets Dead Now... 8 Teamer and a 2 Teamer.
    Got Greedy as usual with the Puck Line but at +224 I'm taking it every single time.
    Those with cooler heads would of taken the Money Line and Won the Game.
    Lost 300 on the day so far.
    Most of the other Parlays are on the Late Games.
    I need the Blues Puck Line or it all comes crashing down.
    I can't watch the game because Dish Network Sucks Ass.
    They are tied 3-3 going into the third as every time the Blues get up by 1 the Knights tie it back up.
    Gloria?

  2. #482
    Ok Knights.
    Why are you playing so hard for a game that don't mean shit.
    Whatever lol.
    It's over as the Blues are down 5-3 now.
    The only ticket I have left is the 100 dollar 4 teamer paying 20-1.
    Rockies are up but the Cards are down by 2.
    Looks like one of those total loss days losing a dime.
    That Hurts.
    Total Overall Loss = 1100

    And I spent 1100 on pool!
    Horrible Day.
    Why you're a real pool shark.
    Give this boy his money.
    We always pay what we lose, boy.
    We got no use for Pool Sharks around here!

  3. #483
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    Played on Loop ALL DAY LONG.

    Preacher – get me some bourbon. JTS Brown. No ice; no glass.

  4. #484
    Originally Posted by dannyj View Post
    Preacher – get me some bourbon. JTS Brown. No ice; no glass.
    Preach!
    Go down and get me some White Tavern Whiskey, a glass and some ice.
    Preach... Get it at Johnny's!

    Nice to see that you all know the lines to this movie.
    I've said this before at VCT so you'll have to excuse me.
    The interesting concept is that White Tavern Whiskey wasn't a real thing in real life.
    Therefore, many believed the writer put this in showing that Fats was hustling Eddie.
    Drinking Colored Water and acting a little tipsy.
    All the while Eddie was playing over 25 hours and drinking JTS Brown like a Fish getting drunk.
    JTS Brown was a real life whiskey at one time or another.
    Fat's knew all the angles.
    And, of course, Fats was a fictitious character but NY Fats screamed up and down that it was based on him.
    And claimed the name and made a ton of money off of it playing the real life player Mosconi who was more like the Fats character in the movie.
    Fast Eddie Parker said that Felson was based off of him and he made a bunch of money off the name.
    I'm pretty sure he started a brand of pool cues and such off of it.
    And the beat goes on and on and on.
    Just sharing what you all probably already know.
    Mosconi was a Fucking Alien though at the game of pool and straight pool.
    And he was great in the movie The Huster as well!

    Now I have a request for everyone no matter what side of the fence you stand.
    Stop telling people "good luck."
    Especially people who gamble mid level on up.
    Talk about the kiss of death.
    Nothing is worse than hearing those word and immediately start to lose every Fucking Bet lol.
    Phil Ivey hates when someone comes up to him at the dice table as he is mid bet.
    He gives you that look and tells you that if he starts losing now he is going to be one pissed off Mother Fucker.
    Same concept.
    Every time I hear someone tell me Good Luck right after a bet it is 100x worse than nails on a chalkboard.
    Of course it is hooey.
    You can't control the outcome by saying those words or walking up to a person.
    It is more an etiquette thing like telling someone Thank You.
    And you all can take "Thank You" and shove that up your ass too.
    You don't have to thank me.
    I do what I do because I want to do it.
    No thanks necessary.
    Now if someone says Best of Luck Kid... Best of Luck, I give them a pass because that is a line from Happy Gilmore but you better know how to say it properly, like Chubs!
    END TRANSMISSION
    Last edited by monet; 04-29-2022 at 10:25 PM.

  5. #485
    No NHL till Monday.
    Playoffs?
    Don't talk to me about playoffs.
    Playoffs!?
    You kidding me?
    Playoffs??
    I just hope we win another bet!


  6. #486
    Giants
    Rockies
    Dodgers
    Padres

    Mix it up however you guys want to for now.
    Usually the Run Line for me.

    Dodgers Run Line
    Rockies Run Line

    Sounds like a winner to me.

    The 4 Teamer on the Fun Line pays almost 11 to 1 on your dough.
    Lines aren't exactly up yet but from what I see this should be close.
    Looks like they are serious about a Dodger 2.5 Run Line Paying Even Money.

    dannyJ with his baseball expertise might have something else to give us.

    Wish I would of listened to my lock posts yesterday like Rockies and Dodgers.
    Easy Parlay and the Rockies paid +155 on the Run Line.
    Easy Straight Bet.
    I've been chopping as of late with a lot of losing.
    Don't worry.
    I'm about to zero back in as we circle around to bomb the target!
    Perhaps a few Straight Bets to get on that winning train and POW, hit them with a parlay when they aren't looking later next week.
    Straight Bets are allowed.
    Last edited by monet; 04-29-2022 at 10:43 PM.

  7. #487
    Went over the 8 Teamer.
    Went 4-4 with 3 dogs around +130 or better.
    The Dodgers were the -115 game.
    So betting all 8 straight like the Ditz, I would of won a a few hundred dollars or so.
    Just a ton of work getting all the tickets in and slowly dribbling them out when cashing under 3000 total.
    Not that it doesn't work it's just a lot of work.
    You got to get up early.
    You got make the bets.
    You got to go back to the book and cash out.
    Study a bit.
    Make more bets.
    Post at VCT...
    etc. etc. etc.
    Exhausting!

  8. #488
    Two Teamer

    Mets Run Line +170
    Rockies Run Line +110
    4.67 to 1 on your bluebacks.
    I plan to bet 400

    If you add the Dodgers Run Line in, it will pay 8 to 1

    6 Teamer All Home Teams and All Run Line

    Cards
    Giants
    Mets
    Rockies
    Dodgers
    Brewers

    Other teams I still like

    Padres Run Line (Hot to Trot)
    Yanks Run Line
    Tampa Bay Run Line
    Last edited by monet; 04-30-2022 at 03:52 AM.

  9. #489
    Good stuff.

    Wonder what you and Danny think about the NHL playoffs. I am a little hesitant to lay the 1 1/2 in the playoffs. But that could just be because I'm old.

  10. #490
    I’m going with
    Cardinals ml
    Padres ml
    Yanks rl
    Dodgers rl

    Pays almost 7-1
    I may look into alt RL -2.5 with Dodgers.
    Out.

  11. #491
    Originally Posted by regnis View Post
    Good stuff.

    Wonder what you and Danny think about the NHL playoffs. I am a little hesitant to lay the 1 1/2 in the playoffs. But that could just be because I'm old.
    Let you know on Monday.

  12. #492
    Originally Posted by regnis View Post
    Good stuff.

    Wonder what you and Danny think about the NHL playoffs. I am a little hesitant to lay the 1 1/2 in the playoffs. But that could just be because I'm old.
    Depends on who is playing.
    Stand By.

  13. #493
    I have a few tickets in today but too lazy to list them.
    I was out all night and had an appointment at 11 am to put a new water softener/conditioner and RO System in the house.
    Not only did they rob me but I went out to Chinatown to dry this new dumpling place and got robbed for 90 dollars.
    That place sucked.
    Never go back.
    At least I stiffed the servers.
    Feels Good Man.
    Bring back Harbor Seafood you bastards!

    Early NHL Picks.

    Hurricanes Money Line but I hate betting it straight at -120
    Lightning Money Line because Toronto plays like shit in the Playoffs.
    No Line up on the WILD yet but I'm taking the WILD in some fashion or another.
    I'm scared about the Oilers but they always blow the Playoffs too so I'll take the Kings on the Money Line in the first game.
    The Oilers are a 2 to 1 favorite in that game so I'm guessing you'll get +150 or so on the Kings.

  14. #494
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    I have a few tickets in today but too lazy to list them.
    I was out all night and had an appointment at 11 am to put a new water softener/conditioner and RO System in the house.
    Not only did they rob me but I went out to Chinatown to dry this new dumpling place and got robbed for 90 dollars.
    That place sucked.
    Never go back.
    At least I stiffed the servers.
    Feels Good Man.
    Bring back Harbor Seafood you bastards!

    Early NHL Picks.

    Hurricanes Money Line but I hate betting it straight at -120
    Lightning Money Line because Toronto plays like shit in the Playoffs.
    No Line up on the WILD yet but I'm taking the WILD in some fashion or another.
    I'm scared about the Oilers but they always blow the Playoffs too so I'll take the Kings on the Money Line in the first game.
    The Oilers are a 2 to 1 favorite in that game so I'm guessing you'll get +150 or so on the Kings.
    Jets are -200 ml tomorrow so I’m on the pl+130 all day long.

    Heading back home tomorrow. Waiting for overnight baseball sheets to come out. Bastards.

  15. #495
    Lose All Tickets Again today for another 600 dollar loss.
    Down 1700 total again.

    Tomorrow Could be the day.
    Today was opposite day.
    Should of seen that.

    4 Team Parlay

    Dodgers Run Line
    Mets Run Line
    Brewers Run Line
    Padres Run Line

    Want to make it a 5 Teamer?
    I like the OVER on the Rockies/Reds game.
    Why?
    Look at the two starting pitchers.

    Angels Run Line is also an alternative pick that looks good.

    Also I seen something new today that I didn't know about.
    It may have been a thing for awhile but I think it started this year.
    William Hill and SouthPoint and I suspect the El Cortel are forcing baseball wagers with No Listed Pitchers.
    This forces you to take the bet no matter who starts the game.
    EVIL SPORTSBOOK!!.
    I'm not taking that bet in baseball... Assholes.
    I hope this isn't a trend that catches on.
    It's not a good thing for the bettor.

    Also the SouthPoint and El Cortel are the most Evilist Son's of Bitches when it comes to drink tickets.
    They just flat out refuse to give you one red cent of comp for your action.
    Talk about FUCK YOU... I'm taking my money elsewhere.
    They don't even have the best lines.
    Who the Fuck do they think they are??
    Jackie is rolling around in his grave.
    Probably looking for a pan game or a 2/4 limit hold'em game at worst.
    Last edited by monet; 04-30-2022 at 10:41 PM.

  16. #496
    Monet,

    In case you missed my post today in the "Big Casino Wins" thread, that NL Over advice from the 27th was sound. Both leagues combined have Unders now 53 games above .500, but the NL Overs have shown a decent profit since the 27th. Check out the post there. I'm still firing today on the Overs (except Colorado, due to number 10 or above), but will regroup after today and possibly end the project.

  17. #497
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    Monet,

    In case you missed my post today in the "Big Casino Wins" thread, that NL Over advice from the 27th was sound. Both leagues combined have Unders now 53 games above .500, but the NL Overs have shown a decent profit since the 27th. Check out the post there. I'm still firing today on the Overs (except Colorado, due to number 10 or above), but will regroup after today and possibly end the project.
    WoW!
    Look it at you!!
    Amazing!
    Impressed.
    Nicely Done.
    I'm thinking that 5 and 6 teamer of mine helped to bring this out of you.
    That along with me starting to daily break down games and post up wagers.
    You all are welcome.
    Wish I could take advantage of this information.
    It would take so much work.
    I guess I could do it at the kiosk but FUCK that's like 50 to 100 tickets per day maybe.
    I'd literally have to dedicate 24 hours just to betting and cashing tickets every day and I would get a monster backlog.
    Of course I could go modern and do everything online but that means they track every Fucking dollar to my name.
    This game is close to poker.
    Slow but profitable with a ton of leg work that never ends.
    Last edited by monet; 05-01-2022 at 09:10 AM.

  18. #498
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    Monet,

    In case you missed my post today in the "Big Casino Wins" thread, that NL Over advice from the 27th was sound. Both leagues combined have Unders now 53 games above .500, but the NL Overs have shown a decent profit since the 27th. Check out the post there. I'm still firing today on the Overs (except Colorado, due to number 10 or above), but will regroup after today and possibly end the project.
    WoW!
    Look it at you!!
    Amazing!
    Impressed.
    Nicely Done.
    I'm thinking that 5 and 6 teamer of mine helped to bring this out of you.
    That along with me starting to daily break down games and post up wagers.
    You all are welcome.
    Wish I could take advantage of this information.
    It would take so much work.
    I guess I could do it at the kiosk but FUCK that's like 50 to 100 tickets per day maybe.
    I'd literally have to dedicate 24 hours just to betting and cashing tickets every day and I would get a monster backlog.
    Of course I could go modern and do everything online but that means they track every Fucking dollar to my name.
    This game is close to poker.
    Slow but profitable with a ton of leg work that never ends.

    Monet, and this relates to what you just said, the primary reason no winning handicapper is going to give away plays these days is that, if you do win, all of your posts are going to be data mined by programmers to determine how you win and what you are doing. If you post all of your plays, those plays will be profiled and categorized, and a year from now, other people are going to know how and why you are winning more precisely than you do.

    You just cannot do that without camouflage or cover or you risk self-immolation. The way to provide cover in terms of sports books is to try to middle games, so the volume of money devoted to trying to middle the games is on par or dwarfs the actual plays. But to do that without wasting money requires anticipating line moves and shopaholic skills.

  19. #499
    And to be precise (I know coach hates imprecision), I bet the interleague games at NL home parks as NL games and took the Overs. Those games are about a wash so far. Yesterday they lost. Today they are winning.

  20. #500
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    Monet, and this relates to what you just said, the primary reason no winning handicapper is going to give away plays these days is that, if you do win, all of your posts are going to be data mined by programmers to determine how you win and what you are doing. If you post all of your plays, those plays will be profiled and categorized, and a year from now, other people are going to know how and why you are winning more precisely than you do.

    You just cannot do that without camouflage or cover or you risk self-immolation. The way to provide cover in terms of sports books is to try to middle games, so the volume of money devoted to trying to middle the games is on par or dwarfs the actual plays. But to do that without wasting money requires anticipating line moves and shopaholic skills.
    Another Great Post from you!
    You really have been on a roll for the last week or two.
    And this post makes me want to close my account and never post on gambling forums again and never post another sports pick.

    However, there is one problem.
    I'm not doing anything.
    My handicapping strategy is the Tin Cup Strategy.
    GRIP IT AND RIP IT!
    Therefore, nobody and I mean nobody is going to figure out what I am doing because I'm not doing anything.
    I look at the board and I just know who will crush who.
    It certainly doesn't always work.
    And I was on an UnGodly Run for two weeks in April.
    You guys didn't see all the 2 and 3 Teamers I hit because the NHL Favorites were constantly covering over that span and the Dodgers covered the run line for 8 out of 9 games.
    And I was too busy winning to bother to come in here constantly and post and I didn't want to take the time to scan all those winning tickets just to prove a point.
    Way too much leg work for me.
    So worry not Pikachu, nobody will figure anything out or shut me down because its all just Fucking Throwing money at shit and see if it sticks.
    What could happen is the Casino tracks my wins and decides they just don't want my action for whatever reason but I doubt that would happen with the major players.
    In any case your post certainly is food for thought.
    Rockies/Reds OVER covers by a half a point as they scored 11 total.

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