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Thread: Dan Druff's 2020-2021 NBA Picks

  1. #261
    Won both yesterday. Sorry I didn't give you guys much notice on those.

    Today:

    Charlotte vs. Milwaukee - Over 225.5
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  2. #262
    Lost yesterday thanks to very low scoring in final 7 minutes.

    Today:


    San Antonio at Miami - Over 213
    Chicago at New York - Over 209.5
    Clippers at Phoenix - Under 220
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  3. #263
    One more:

    Sacramento vs. Utah - Under 221.5
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  4. #264
    2-2 yesterday. Utah scored 154 points! Ouch! Chicago over just barely missed after looking good with 7 min to play.

    Today:

    Toronto at Denver - Under 218 (VanVallet/Trent/Boucher/Murray/Barton out, Porter probable)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  5. #265
    Lost yesterday.

    Today:

    I hate these ploppy big favorite spreads, but I'll make an exception today.

    Memphis -12.5 vs. Orlando (Cannady/Okeke/Carter-Williams/Jackson out, Allen doubtful)
    Sacramento at Lakers - Over 224.5
    Washington at Cleveland - Over 230.5
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  6. #266
    1-2 yesterday

    Starting soon:

    Memphis vs Orlando - Under 218
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  7. #267
    Lost on Friday, should have won though... bad luck at the end.

    We move on.

    Today:

    New York at Memphis - Over 221
    Utah vs. San Antonio - Under 220.5
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  8. #268
    2-0 yesterday.

    One today:

    Oklahoma City vs. Sacramento - Under 227 (Fox out, Barnes out)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  9. #269
    Won easily.

    Was in a 7-15 slump from 4/22-5/1, but won my last 3. Not quite as bad as it looks, because I did barely miss some big underdogs (one over +400) hitting.

    Still in the black, but not by that much.

    Through 4/18: 112-102-3 (+9.96 units)

    All wins below were spread/total, counted as -110

    4/19: 1-2
    4/20: 1-0
    4/21: 2-2
    4/22: 0-2
    4/23: 1-1
    4/24: 1-2
    4/25: 0-3
    4/26: 2-0
    4/27: 0-1
    4/28: 2-2
    4/29: 0-1
    4/30: 1-2
    5/01: 0-1
    5/03: 2-0
    5/04: 1-0

    Total 4/19-5/4: 14-19 (-6.27 units)

    Grand total: 126-121-3 (+3.69 units)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  10. #270
    Here's a ploppy pick:

    Milwaukee -4 vs. Washington (Hachimura out)


    That's all I got for now.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  11. #271
    Milwaukee was up by 8 going into the 4th, and was up by 5 in the final minute, and then Beal hit two 3s, and squeaked by with only a 1-point victory. They were up 4 in the final 5 seconds. Ugh.


    One pick today. Yesterday was brutal -- 2 picks, 2 screw jobs. But as a great man here says, "We move on."

    Brooklyn at Dallas - Over 235
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  12. #272
    Lost yesterday.

    Today:

    Minnesota at Miami - Over 227.5 (Butler playing)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  13. #273
    Won on Friday. Probably no picks today.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  14. #274
    Chicago +170
    Dallas -3.5
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  15. #275
    Also Dallas over 227.5
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  16. #276
    Looklng like 1-2 at best in those 3 picks.

    I'll throw one more on:

    Lakers vs. New York - Under 210
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  17. #277
    2-2 yesterday, won both totals, lost both spreads

    Today:

    You want to get a nice dog line against a Lakers team missing a ton of players, including Lebron and AD? Then read on.

    Houston +360 at Lakers
    Houston/Lakers - Under 221.5

    Out: Wall, Lebron, Davis, Schroder
    Questionable: Wood, House
    Probable: Gasol, Caldwell-Pope, Kuzma

    Lakers are a shit team without Lebron, AD, and Schoder.

    Houston is obviously a shit team at this point, too, but +360 is nice value here given who is playing.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  18. #278
    Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    2-2 yesterday, won both totals, lost both spreads

    Today:

    You want to get a nice dog line against a Lakers team missing a ton of players, including Lebron and AD? Then read on.

    Houston +360 at Lakers
    Houston/Lakers - Under 221.5

    Out: Wall, Lebron, Davis, Schroder
    Questionable: Wood, House
    Probable: Gasol, Caldwell-Pope, Kuzma

    Lakers are a shit team without Lebron, AD, and Schoder.

    Houston is obviously a shit team at this point, too, but +360 is nice value here given who is playing.

    This will be fascinating. I'm not sure what the Lakers are doing. Caruso is also listed as questionable. That means no point guard, back-up is hurt, and no LeBron. So who brings the ball up court, and how can they possibly run?

    Why would the Lakers not go with all hands on deck for this one? If they lose, they will almost assuredly be stuck in the play-in round games. I mean, if your guys can play, best to play them here and not save them for a single game (probably versus Golden State) where anything can happen. If LA wins, they have a real shot at avoiding the play-in games. Lose, and they are probably stuck.

    This should be a real godawful mess.

    Also wanted to add -- I don't have NBA ATS records in my head, so not sure, but it's pretty rare to find teams -20 ATS for a season, which is where Houston will be if they do not cover tonight. Depending on line move pushes, both Cleveland and Houston are in the -20 ATS boat. For as much as people talk about Detroit taking a dive this season, they're close to .500 ATS.
    Last edited by redietz; 05-12-2021 at 04:56 PM.

  19. #279
    Embiid is playing. He was ill, and they weren't sure if he was going to play. He is, and the Sixers are still a dog somehow.

    Philadelphia +115 (+2 ok) at Miami
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  20. #280
    Lost that one badly. Honestly not proud of that pick. Regretted it pretty soon after I made it, and not just because of the score.

    Today:

    Here's an injury-laden NBA game where I have a lean.

    Pelicans are missing Ingram, Williamson, Adams, and Ball. Warriors are missing Green, Curry, Wiggins, Oubre, and of course Thompson.

    I think the Pelicans have the edge here, according to my calculations/analysis.

    Also, while the Mavericks are missing Kleiber, the Raptors are without Siakam, Lowry, Anunoby, and VanVleet. Take the under.

    Toronto at Dallas - Under 219.5
    New Orleans +100 at Golden State (up to -1 ok)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

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