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Thread: Dan Druff's 2020-2021 NBA Picks

  1. #241
    Yeah that Dallas over was one of the two which won. The other was the Utah under. The other 3 lost. 2-3 day. Blah. Though honestly the Toronto one was a good pick and got screwed by an inexplicable scoring barrage in trash time.

    Just one today, at least so far from what I can see:

    Phoenix vs. San Antonio - Under 227
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  2. #242
    Won yesterday.

    Last minute:

    Portland at Charlotte - Under 216.5 (Lillard out, Hayward out, Graham out)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  3. #243
    Total through 4/10: 99-95-3 (+5.13 units)

    4/11: 0-2 (-2.00 units)
    4/12: 1-1 (-0.09 unuts)
    4/13: 3-0 (+2.73 units)
    4/14: 4-1 (+2.62 units)
    4/15: 1-0 (+0.91 units)
    4/16: 2-3 (-1.18 units)
    4/17: 1-0 (+0.91 units)
    4/18: 1-0 (+0.91 units)

    Total 4/11-4/18: 13-7 (+4.83 units)

    GRAND TOTAL: 112-102-3 (+9.96 units)

    I'm 38-17 since March 21
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  4. #244
    Boston -6.5 vs. Chicago (LaVine out, Walker/Smart questionable)
    Utah -7 vs. Lakers (Davis/Schoeder/Gasol/Conley/Gobert probable, Mitchell out)
    Oklahoma City at Washington - Over 232 (Hachimura/Dort out, Len questionable)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  5. #245
    1-2 yesterday, only winning the Utah pick.

    Light NBA schedule today.

    I have one for now:

    Atlanta vs. Orlando - Under 217.5 (Ennis out, Carter-Williams out, Gallinari out, Hunter out)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  6. #246
    Won yesterday.

    Today:

    Dallas vs. Detroit - Under 217 (Smith doubtful, Hardaway probable)
    Miami -1.5 at San Antonio (Olapido out, Iguodala out)
    Brooklyn at Toronto - Over 230.5 (Durant out, Harden out)
    Atlanta at New York - Over 219 (Gallinari out, Hunter out)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  7. #247
    2-2 with none being close. Easily won Miami -1.5 and the Atlanta over. Lost the other two by a wide margin.

    I've cooled down a bit, now 4-4 in last 8 picks.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  8. #248
    Charlotte at Chicago - Over 210
    Detroit at San Antonio - Over 217.5
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  9. #249
    0-2 yesterday

    Here's a moneyline pick -- something I had mostly abandoned (other than very even-moneyish types ones) as the season progressed, because they're a lot harder to hit once everything is more established.

    Anyway, this one is pretty aggressive, so I don't blame you if you do the spread (+10) instead.

    Houston +402 vs. Clippers (Leonard/Ibaka/Beverly out, House probable)

    I think Houston is pulling off an upset tonight. Or at least I think it enough to go +400 on it.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  10. #250
    Here's one totals pick, too:

    Brooklyn vs. Boston - Under 227.5 (Harden out, Durant/Brown questionable, Walker/Fournier doubtful)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  11. #251
    Almost scored that huge Houston win, as they were up by 7 in in the mid-4th, and they had a shot to tie in the final seconds. But it lost. Won the under.


    ---------------------

    Today.....

    Some NBA unders:

    Philadelphia vs. Milwaukee - Under 227.5 (227 ok) (Embiid questionable, Simmons out)
    Denver vs. Houston - Under 221 (Wall/Murray/Barton out, Wood doubtful)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  12. #252
    Here's a moneyline, less of a longshot than yesterday:

    Chicago +155 at Miami (Oladipo/LaVine/Dragic out, Williams probable)

    If you want to do +4 instead, that's cool too
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  13. #253
    I don't bet a lot of pro basketball, but decided to Today and got screwed before the game even began.

    76ers playing the 2nd of back to back against the bucks, having lost the first game Thursday. Ben Simmons has been out for 12 games and was supposed to play today. 76ers top bench player Harris, who also didn't play Thursday was also supposed to be back. Joel Embiid has been averaging 30 points last 5-6 games. Full 76ers roster, for fist time in a while.

    I made 3 bets halftime +4, game +7.5 and moneyline 76ers +260.

    Simmons was ruled out after I made my bets and Embiid ruled out 5 minutes (literally) before tip off. I already lost the halftime bet $550 and will lose the moneyline $500 and game straight bet $1100 for an ugly day and reminder why I don't bet pro basketball. How are you supposed to win, not knowing who is even playing.
    The fictitious, fairytales of Mdawg have been moved to the betting system voodoo section at WoV, proving that it is all make believe.

  14. #254
    Originally Posted by kewlJ View Post
    I don't bet a lot of pro basketball, but decided to Today and got screwed before the game even began.

    76ers playing the 2nd of back to back against the bucks, having lost the first game Thursday. Ben Simmons has been out for 12 games and was supposed to play today. 76ers top bench player Harris, who also didn't play Thursday was also supposed to be back. Joel Embiid has been averaging 30 points last 5-6 games. Full 76ers roster, for fist time in a while.

    I made 3 bets halftime +4, game +7.5 and moneyline 76ers +260.

    Simmons was ruled out after I made my bets and Embiid ruled out 5 minutes (literally) before tip off. I already lost the halftime bet $550 and will lose the moneyline $500 and game straight bet $1100 for an ugly day and reminder why I don't bet pro basketball. How are you supposed to win, not knowing who is even playing.

    Embiid, to me, would be the most unstoppable player in the league if his hoops IQ went up a few points. He always, literally always, does three or four really dumbass things each game -- usually back-to-basket stuff where he doesn't see a double team coming and he occupies the ball too long. Anyway, I don't really watch much NBA, but I did see the game where Embiid hyperextended something a couple of games ago. Every once in awhile, he's been limping after coming down. Doesn't last long -- three or four minutes, but he does not appear 100% to me.

    Anyway, with Harris and Simmons out, I guess they decided to sit Embiid, too. No sense killing him in a game where he was likely going to be the focus on offense and they weren't likely to win. If I were coaching, I would sit him.

    You can't trust pre-game reports -- I don't bet much NBA, but I do regularly check the FanDuel fantasy status stuff, and you cannot trust what you're told regarding likelihood of playing. You have to draw your own conclusions separate from the status reports. As the season winds down, this is likely to get more common.

    If the 76ers had an actual point guard, they would be really dangerous. But they don't. Simmons is a nice player, but he's not really a point guard. And the shot charts for Harris, Embiid, and Simmons overlap too much. The 76ers picked up the old dude (whose name evades me) as a fill-in at point, and I like him, but he's not a 35-minute a game point guard.

  15. #255
    1-2 yesterday, only winning Philly under.

    Today:

    Starting soon:

    Memphis vs. Portland - Over 235.5

    More coming shortly.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  16. #256
    Here's two aggressive moneyline bets. If you prefer the spread of +7-7.5 for both, I understand:

    Cleveland +240 at Washington
    Sacramento +260 at Golden State
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  17. #257
    Grizzlies game had 43 points in the 1st which was a disaster for such a high over total. Then the teams started scoring a lot, and the Blazers made an epic comeback from 12 down late, and it looked like fouling might take me over the edge.

    233 points, 8 seconds left, Portland down 7. Lillard fires a 3 which would seal it for me...

    Brick.

    Game over. Not a bad beat because this was losing the whole way, but still.

    McCollum also lost the ball at one point in the final 10 seconds or so which fucked me, because the game was closer and there would have been more fouling to end it.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  18. #258
    Really bad weekend for my underdogs. I went 0-4, with three of them having 6-7 point leads in the mid-4th. All of them lost. All of them had a chance to win in the final seconds, too.

    My one totals pick today also sucked, as the 1st quarter was terrible, and yet I almost still pulled it off... but not quite.

    0-3 day.

    That puts me at 2-8 in my last 10. I think I've had enough of these late season dogs. Too many "close but no cigar" moments. I'll go back to what I've been doing well, being totals and spreads. I'll leave the dog moneylines for the early season.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  19. #259
    Last minute:

    Atlanta at Detroit- Under 215.5
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  20. #260
    Cleveland at Toronto - Under 212.5

    Starting at 4:35pm PT
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

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