Dan Druff's 2020-2021 NBA Picks

[Dan Druff]

Last minute degen pick

Lakers/Clippers - Under 220 (219 ok)

[Dan Druff]

Lost yesterday.

Today:

Mliwaukee/Boston - Under 223.5

More later.. maybe

[Dan Druff]

Also:

Sacramento +7.5 at Denver

[Dan Druff]

Split 'em, with Sac winning outright, and the Boston under losing by a lot.

Today's morning game:

New Orleans +140 (moneyline) at Miami

[Dan Druff]

New Orleans actually roared back from down almost 20 in the 3rd, to bring it within 6 in the mid-4th. Then they fell apart. Oh well.

I have one more:

Boston/Brooklyn - Over 230

[Dan Druff]

0-2 yesterday. Ugh.

Admittedly off to a bad start this week, but I do like this one:

Memphis -1.5 vs. Atlanta

[Dan Druff]

Horrendous start. Lost again.

If any of you lost today in NFL and want to get even by tailing an NBA bettor who got clobbered this week, go for this one:

Phoenix -3.5 vs. Sacramento

Bizarre back-to-back same matchup in same venue, 2 consecutive days.

Sac won yesterday, Phoenix should take it today.

[Dan Druff]

Won yesterday.

Weird Houston/Denver game tonight.

Houston is super-short-handed due to both injuries and COVID. John Wall, Eric Gordon, and 4 others are out.

Denver hasn't looked very good, though they took Kings to OT before losing. (It should be noted that Denver was a 7.5 point favorite in that game, however -- one of the only two picks I've won so far!)

I can't even predict how this will go, regarding the spread, which is Denver -6.5. Easier to predict is that this won't be a defensive contest, and the shorthanded Rockets aren't going to assert themselves defensively, while the Nuggets just haven't played much defense thus far.

The money has all gone the other way so far, but I'm going to be a ploppy and still fire the over, which has moved down several points since earlier today. I rarely do this, but I feel the money is on the wrong side of this one.

Houston/Denver - Over 221.5

[Dan Druff]

There we go.

Bet like a ploppy and won. Really liked the pick though.

Won 2 in a row now, slowly getting back toward even, with a 3-5 record to start the year.

[Dan Druff]

Last minute:

New York vs. Cleveland - Over 216

[Dan Druff]

Bad first quarter for me, as Cleveland couldn't score. I knew I should've gone with the Knicks spread instead. Cleveland's 3-0 is so hollow.

Okay, here's a second over:

Orlando vs. OKC - Over 218

[Dan Druff]

Split 'em, with Orlando over winning.

Now 4-6.

Last minute:

Boston -7 vs. Memphis

Both teams down players, but Memphis has no Morant and Jackson and a ton of others, and should really struggle today. Tatum IS playing.

[Dan Druff]

Easy win yesterday, moving me to 5-6.

Today:

Philadelphia -3.5 vs. Orlando

New York at Toronto - Under 215.5

[Dan Druff]

Both were blowout covers.

That's 3 super easy wins in a row. Nice way to close out the year. My awful 1-5 start is now a more respectable 7-6.

[Dan Druff]

3 picks for the 4pm PST games coming up. Hurry!

Charlotte -4 vs Memphis (-4.5 ok)
Miami -1.5 at Dallas
Boston at Detroit - Over 213.5

[Dan Druff]

One more:

Atlanta at Brooklyn - Under 244.5

Starts in 30 min

[Dan Druff]

1-3 so far, only winning Atlanta under.

I am of the belief that the Warriors will pull a (small) upset tonight.

I'm going to fire on the moneyline.

Golden State +145 vs. Portland

[Dan Druff]

Ugly 1-4 day

Here's a few NBA for today, starting very shortly:

OKC/Orlando - Under 216.5
OKC +170 moneyline
New York/Indiana - Under 215

FYI: NY has scored 95 or fewer in 3 of 5 games, and has allowed 100 or fewer in 2 of 5 games

[Dan Druff]

Toronto / New Orleans - Under 215.5

Somehow all the money is coming in on the over on this one, but I don't see it.

I think it's because some believe Siakam will be fired up when coming back from his 1-game suspension. Still, this is a matchup of two teams who usually can't score.

New Orleans has scored under 100 in 3 of their 5 games, and Toronto has also been held to 100 or fewer in 3 of their first 4 games.

Let's also throw the Toronto -1 in there, as well, as I also believe Siakam will have a big game.

[Dan Druff]

Wish I didn't fire on Toronto because both lost, while my first 3 earlier picks all won, including the +170.

I'm now 11-12 but only 0.29 units down.

Here's one with a ton of time before tipoff:

Portland at Golden State - Over 235 (235.5 ok)