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Thread: Dan Druff's 2020-2021 NBA Picks

  1. #221
    One more

    I picked this and moments later, line jumped 1.5. Annoying. Still like it.

    Houston vs. Dallas - Over 225
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  2. #222
    1-1 yesterday, neither close. Both games went way under.

    Today:

    Dallas -1.5 vs Milwaukee (Giannis doubtful, Tucker out, Porzingis & Kleiber questionable) (-2 ok)
    Clippers vs. Phoenix - Under 221 (220.5 ok)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  3. #223
    2-0 yesterday.

    Now 24-9 since March 21.

    Today:

    Clippers vs. Houston - Under 221.5
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  4. #224
    Lost yesterday.

    Today:

    Cleveland vs. Toronto - Over 219 (VanVleet out, Allen out, Nance out, Lowry questionable)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  5. #225
    87 points for Toronto in the first half! Suffice to say the over won.

    Today:

    Memphis -3 vs. Indiana (Turner out, -3.5 ok)
    Clippers vs. Detroit - Under 216 (Grant questionable, Kawhi out, Beverley out, Ibaka out, Rondo questionable)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  6. #226
    Record through 4/10 (not including today's games):

    Record on 3/11/21:
    71-75-3 (-0.35 units)

    3/12: 0-1 (-1.00 units)
    3/13: 2-1 (+0.82 units)
    3/14: 0-1 (-1.00 units)
    3/15: 0-2 (-2.00 units)
    3/16: 0-2 (-2.00 units)
    3/17: 0-1 (-1.00 units)
    3/19: 1-1 (-0.09 units)
    3/20: 0-1 (-1.00 units)
    3/21: 1-0 (+0.91 units)
    3/22: 1-1 (-0.09 units)
    3/23: 2-0 (+1.82 units)
    3/24: 1-1 (-0.09 units)
    3/25: 1-0 (+0.91 units)
    3/26: 1-0 (+0.91 units)
    3/27: 3-1 (+1.73 units)
    3/29: 2-0 (+1.82 units)
    3/30: 1-0 (+0.91 units)
    3/31: 2-1 (+0.82 units)
    4/1: 2-0 (+1.82 units)
    4/2: 2-2 (-0.18 units)
    4/3: 0-1 (-1.00 units)
    4/6: 2-1 (+0.82 units)
    4/7: 1-1 (-0.09 units)
    4/8: 2-0 (+1.82 units)
    4/9: 0-1 (-1.00 units)
    4/10: 1-0 (+0.91 units)

    Total 3/12-4/10: (28-20, +5.48 units)

    Grand total: 99-95-3 (+5.13 units)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  7. #227
    0-2 yesterday.

    Let's try again.

    Houston at Phoenix - Over 229
    Denver -4.5 at Golden State
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  8. #228
    1-1, easily winning the over, easily losing the Denver spread pick.

    Lots of time to bet this one:

    Portland vs. Boston - Over 230
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  9. #229
    Two more

    Utah vs. OKC - Under 222
    Clippers vs. Indiana - Over 233
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  10. #230
    Won the Clippers over and Utah under easily.

    Bizarre game with Boston/Portland. Scoring was weak in the 4th and I thought I was going to end up getting screwed.

    113-112 with 8.5 seconds left, needing 230 to tie. Boston, with the ball and the 1-point lead, had wasted all the time they could, and Tatum took a tough 26-foot shot with a guy in his face at the last second, and HIT.

    Still 116-112 and needing Portland to score. Norman Powell sunk a 31-foot (!!) three with 5.4, and the total was 231. So obviously at that point I could relax and the victory was sealed. But I kept watching the game just for fun.

    Down 116-115, after an intentional foul, Marcus Smart missed BOTH free throws, but Portland couldn't score in the final 3.5, especially with no timeouts left, and that ended up being the final.

    Squeaked by with the narrow win, to have a perfect 3-0 day (and I won in MLB, too).
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  11. #231
    Got two so far.

    Indiana at Houston - Over 233.5 (House out, McDermott & Turner questionable)
    Washington -2.5 at Sacramento (Holmes doubtful, Hield questionable)

    The Brooklyn game is worth watching, as 5 players are questionable, including Durant and Kyrie who have a major impact on the scoring. Steve Kerr has already hinted that both stars might be out (Kyrie has weird "personal issues", and Durant might get rest in this back-to-back), Aldridge is sick, and Griffin may get rest as well. Reserve Chiozza hurt his hand, and may not be available, which would be notable if so many other players are missing. Right now I'm not going to fire on it, but I might go under later.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  12. #232
    Another NBA

    Detroit vs. Clippers - Under 218.5

    Also, despite the loss of a point since I last posted, I've decided to gamble on the Philly under.

    Philadelphia vs. Brooklyn - Under 226.5
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  13. #233
    Okay, a fifth NBA game:

    Denver -5 vs. Miami (-5.5 ok)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  14. #234
    4-1, with none being close. The only loss was the Brooklyn under. The only drama was whether Clippers went to OT (fortunately they didn't).

    Now 7-1 in past 2 days, and 33-14 since March 21. Suffice to say I'm seeing the NBA well in the past 4 weeks.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  15. #235
    Sacramento vs. Phoenix - Over 234
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  16. #236
    Helluva job, Todd. This NBA run of your has been consistent and solid. Some of the occasional losses seem to be when teams are missing offense, you take the Under, and the pace actually increases with the subs in the game although firepower is absent. No way to anticipate that. You would think with a reduced rotation, players' legs would get tired in the fourth and offenses would suffer, but that's not consistently happening.

    Great job. Really well done.

  17. #237
    Appreciate the compliment redietz, especially coming from you. Very nice 4 weeks for sure.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  18. #238
    Won the over yesterday, but a tepid 4th made it WAY closer than it should have been.

    Five picks today:

    New York at Dallas - Over 211
    Utah vs. Indiana - Under 233 (Turner, McDermott questionable)
    Portland -2.5 at San Antonio
    Portland/San Antonio - Over 234.5
    Orland at Toronto - Under 212.5 (Siakam/Lowry/Carter-Williams/Anunoby out, Bembry/Trent doubtful, VanVleet probable)

    ^^^ speaking of missing offenses with that last one...
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  19. #239
    Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Won the over yesterday, but a tepid 4th made it WAY closer than it should have been.

    Five picks today:

    New York at Dallas - Over 211
    Utah vs. Indiana - Under 233 (Turner, McDermott questionable)
    Portland -2.5 at San Antonio
    Portland/San Antonio - Over 234.5
    Orland at Toronto - Under 212.5 (Siakam/Lowry/Carter-Williams/Anunoby out, Bembry/Trent doubtful, VanVleet probable)

    ^^^ speaking of missing offenses with that last one...

    That angle I mentioned previously (4-1 top five thus far, I think), is with you on the Dallas Over as a top five play.

  20. #240
    By the way, when I say "top five play," I don't mean for the day or the week. I mean for the season. So that Dallas Over displaced a previous play as a top five play. The top six are now 5-1, and obviously the top five are still 4-1.

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