Dan Druff's 2020-2021 NBA Picks

[monet]

Wild day, with the Brooklyn under coming back from the dead to barely cover, OKC blowing a 21-point halftime lead and barely squeaking into a 2-point win to give me a tie, and Memphis playing a tight one, taking a 5-point lead late, and then giving up 14 straight points to get crushed.

After the smoke cleared, I went 2-1-1 and picked up another +1.06 units.

That leaves me 21-13-2, +9.59 units since January 23, for a very nice 36-game run.

Nice!
Thanks for posting a record and running total.
I went back to last year but you didn't post that information.
Seems like a lot of work.
I suppose its easier if you just make the bets from your computer or phone.
+20 units per month wouldn't be so bad if you can maintain that average.

[Dan Druff]

Five games today despite the Superbowl.

I like one. It's early (10am PT).

Charlotte +105 vs. Washington

[Dan Druff]

Okay, as much as I hate low lines like this in 2021, I decided I like this last-minute under

Miami at New York - Under 207

[Dan Druff]

Wild day, with the Brooklyn under coming back from the dead to barely cover, OKC blowing a 21-point halftime lead and barely squeaking into a 2-point win to give me a tie, and Memphis playing a tight one, taking a 5-point lead late, and then giving up 14 straight points to get crushed.

After the smoke cleared, I went 2-1-1 and picked up another +1.06 units.

That leaves me 21-13-2, +9.59 units since January 23, for a very nice 36-game run.

Nice!
Thanks for posting a record and running total.
I went back to last year but you didn't post that information.
Seems like a lot of work.
I suppose its easier if you just make the bets from your computer or phone.
+20 units per month wouldn't be so bad if you can maintain that average.

I'm not going to get 20 units per month, betting the number of games I do. That would be impossible.

[monet]

I'm not going to get 20 units per month, betting the number of games I do. That would be impossible.

Understood.
What is the goal?
What should we expect the upside or average units won per season?
You are trying to be in the positive at the end of the season, correct?
Personally, I just fire in the book but I'd like to be a bit more precise.
Once again my main problem is that the Book doesn't give you much for total coin in.
Basically nothing.
Of course, I suppose a person could go around and pick up all the online bonuses.
Did you see the guy a few months back who had an elaborate online poker scheme.
He had over 1000 accounts lol, picking up bonuses and putting people in the whipsaw.
They say Cheaters never win but I beg to differ.

[dannyj]

Five games today despite the Superbowl.

I like one. It's early (10am PT).

Charlotte +105 vs. Washington

Nice call on this one Dan. And it wasn't even a nail biter.

Gave me a little more to blow on SB.

[monet]

Nice call on this one Dan. And it wasn't even a nail biter.

Gave me a little more to blow on SB.

Good Job Fellas.
I was going to bet it too but I decided to take my dogs for a walk, give them baths and nail trimmings.
Stupid Me.
Stupid Dogs.
Stupid Life.
Fuck!

[Dan Druff]

*** MONEYLINE ALERT ***

The Bucks are 4-0 in February, winning by blowout each time. They face the enigmatic Nuggets in Denver, now 1-3 in their last four (and looking bad in all of the three losses), and the Bucks are just a 3.5 favorite.

Do you think I'm picking Milwaukee?

Of course not. That would be the ploppy play.

Denver will surprise the Bucks and hand them their first February loss.

Also, tonight the Suns and Cavaliers face each other. In the past 6 games, Cavs have scored 81, 104, 100, 99, 105, 99. Phoenix has scored 114, 111, 109, 101, 109, 100. In three of those, Phoenix also held their opponent to 91-93 points. Going with the under for this and other reasons.


Phoenix vs. Cleveland - Under 214.5
Denver +140 vs. Milwaukee

[Dan Druff]

After a nice run of winning or breakeven days, I finally had a bad one. 0-2 yesterday, and neither were close.

Today:

*** MONEYLINE ALERT ***

Detroit +205 vs. Brooklyn

Durant out


More soon.

[monet]

I need to stop reading this thread.
It's going to make me create online accounts again and those are scary.
Click, Click, Click my money away.

[Dan Druff]

So far so good with Detroit, up 38-26 after 1. Long way to go, though, and the Nets can put up points quickly.

Here are two more I've been mulling over today, and have decided to fire:

Golden State -1 at San Antonio (Draymond "probable")
Philadelphia at Sacramento - Over 232

[Dan Druff]

Wire-to-wire win with Detroit +205, despite them almost blowing the lead a few times.

Golden State easily won.

Philly/Sac had 137 points and it looked like it was done. Then just 93 points in the second half, and the total falls on 230. I still would have won had Sac made one of their last 2 shots, as they would have fouled after.

Still, I had a 2-1 day with almost +2 units, basically making up for yesterday's loss.

[Dan Druff]

Chicago +120 vs. New Orleans
Washington vs Toronto - Over 234.5
Denver vs Cleveland - Under 219

I like the Chicago moneyline a lot.

[monet]

Chicago +120 vs. New Orleans
Washington vs Toronto - Over 234.5
Denver vs Cleveland - Under 219

I like the Chicago moneyline a lot.

Thank you for posting with adequate time to get to the book.
Interesting Note that you went against simpdog on the Denver/Cleveland game.

[Dan Druff]

I think I'm going to remove the trolling from this thread. If Half Smoke has an issue with me, he can start it in a separate thread. This thread is for my NBA picks.

Anyway, I went 2-1 today again, with the Cleveland under being the sole loser. Cleveland was held to a low score, but their defense was absolute crap, giving up over 130 points.

My strong record on dogs continues, as Chicago easily won despite a bad 2nd quarter.

[Dan Druff]

*** MONEYLINE ALERT ***

Last minute (well, last 10 minutes):

Houston +113 vs. Miami
Toronto +124 at Boston (reverse Trapper John pick)
Houston/Miami - Under 214

[Dan Druff]

Record on 2/5: 41-37-1, +7.27 units

2/6: 2-1-1 (+1.06 units)
2/7: 1-1 (+0.05 units)
2/8: 0-2 (-2.00 units)
2/9: 2-1 (+1.96 units)
2/10: 2-1 (+1.11 units)

Total 2/6-2/10: 7-5-1 (+2.18 units)

Grand Total: 48-42-2 (+9.45 units)

(Doesn't include today's games, which haven't completed yet)

[Dan Druff]

Okay, so after yesterday's 1-2 day (only the under won), let's have a comeback.

I have a moneyline for you... on a good team, for once!

Milwaukee +120 at Utah (Holiday out, Conley out)
Washington vs. New York - Over 219 (Beal out)
Dallas vs. New Orleans - Under 232.5

[monet]

I stopped watching the NBA about 10 years or so ago.
What the Fuck is going on?
Dallas 143 to NOLA 130???
The Bad Boys of Detroit would never allow such nonsense.

[dannyj]

I stopped watching the NBA about 10 years or so ago.
What the Fuck is going on?
Dallas 143 to NOLA 130???
The Bad Boys of Detroit would never allow such nonsense.

Even though I still bet NBA I'm liking it less and less every day. Constantly have to monitor who's in and who's out with a hangnail.

The Bad Boys of Detroit would not fly now because their common fouls would all be flagrants. Sad.

Also, I'm NOT betting against the Jazz tonight. Should not have got off that train.