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Thread: Dan Druff's 2020-2021 NBA Picks

  1. #21
    Took it down yesterday, up to 12-12, +0.71 units.

    Won an over like a ploppy yesterday, so let's do two more:

    Philadelphia/Charlotte - Over 221.5
    Toronto/Boston - Over 218.5
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  2. #22
    One more. Let's make another pick related to the Hornets game:

    Charlotte +8
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  3. #23
    1-2 on Monday, only winning the Toronto over.

    Starting at 4:05 PT:

    Cleveland +180 (moneyline) at Orlando
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  4. #24
    Cavs blew out to a lead of over 10 points, then shit the bed and are getting slammed.

    Let's try to get it back with this:

    Sacramento/Chicago - Under 228.5
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  5. #25
    Lost on Wednesday

    Here's a last minute one for you:

    New Orleans -7.5 vs. Charlotte
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  6. #26
    New Orleans blew a 20 point lead

    Sad!

    Last minute moneyline:

    Phoenix +130 at Indiana

    More later
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  7. #27
    A moneyline for 5:05pm PT today:

    Minnesota +152 vs. San Antonio

    Note: Townes may return today, with limited minutes. Game time decision.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  8. #28
    So close to hitting both. Minnesota missed the final shot... twice -- first to win in regulation, then to tie in OT.

    Did hit the +130 Phoenix.

    Today:

    New York +185 (moneyline) vs. Denver
    San Antonio at Minnesota Part Deux - Under 231.5
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  9. #29
    1-1 the other day, winning the under.

    Thanks to the Harden trade, the Nets will be very shorthanded, with only 9 players on the roster. Harden can't play, Irving still out (lol), etc.

    I already discussed the Knicks.

    Starts in a few

    NY/Brooklyn - Under 217
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  10. #30
    If you missed that, here's one starting at 5:05 PT

    Memphis +119 (moneyline) at Minnesota

    Feels good to get a dog line against terrible Minnesota, even if they're against the crappy Grizzlies.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  11. #31
    1-1 on Wednesday, winning a surprising comeback with Memphis.

    Damn bookmakers must read this site.

    Remember that essay I posted about the absurdly low totals which keep occurring when two low-scoring teams play each other? Suddenly we're not seeing those sweet 206-212 lines anymore.

    Today's line on the Knicks/Cavs is 197.

    I still am firing under.

    Speaking of unders, let's also throw one on the late game tonight between the Kings and Clippers.


    NY at Cleveland - Under 197
    Clippers at Sacramento - Under 226.5


    Some people I know are tempted to fire Memphis again in the sequel against Minnesota. There are two reasons I'm leery about that one: 1) The Wolves are pissed that they tossed away a 12-point, end-3rd lead, where they lost by 11. I think they will actually play hard. 2) The line moved based upon the report that Morant might be back, but he might be rusty AND will almost surely be limited in minutes. I'm not touching it.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  12. #32
    How many dollars equal 1 unit?

  13. #33
    Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    1-1 on Wednesday, winning a surprising comeback with Memphis.

    Damn bookmakers must read this site.

    Remember that essay I posted about the absurdly low totals which keep occurring when two low-scoring teams play each other? Suddenly we're not seeing those sweet 206-212 lines anymore.

    Today's line on the Knicks/Cavs is 197.

    I still am firing under.

    Speaking of unders, let's also throw one on the late game tonight between the Kings and Clippers.


    NY at Cleveland - Under 197
    Clippers at Sacramento - Under 226.5


    Some people I know are tempted to fire Memphis again in the sequel against Minnesota. There are two reasons I'm leery about that one: 1) The Wolves are pissed that they tossed away a 12-point, end-3rd lead, where they lost by 11. I think they will actually play hard. 2) The line moved based upon the report that Morant might be back, but he might be rusty AND will almost surely be limited in minutes. I'm not touching it.
    I just want to note that readers should be aware of line moves. I happened to be watching the Kings total because of a promo available offshore. The 226 1/2 was the absolute low point for that line during the day. The line opened in the 231 range. I was looking for the Over, waited on it, but assumed incorrectly as it hit 226 1/2 two hours before game time that it might fall further. I got stuck with an Over 227 1/2.

    The problem with taking an Under 226 1/2 is that in practical terms, you were laying a teaser compared to the opening line.

  14. #34
    Yes, I knew I laid a late and moved line (and lost). Didn't end up mattering though.

    0-2 for the day
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  15. #35
    Moneyline alert!!

    The Bulls have played 4 very close games and barely come up short each time.

    Today they will break through and beat the Mavericks.

    Also under.

    So:
    Chicago +230 vs. Dallas
    Chicago/Dallas - Under 226
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  16. #36
    Nailed 'em both, for a nice 3.21 unit boost.

    Well since I'm up over 3 units today, why not give this one a shot:

    Utah -1.5 at Denver
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  17. #37
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    How many dollars equal 1 unit?
    Whatever you want it to be. All of my bets are considered 1 unit, though. This way there is no game-playing where certain picks are worth more than others.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  18. #38
    Utah won and covered, so I had a very nice day today. Here's an update on my record:

    On January 3, I was 12-12, up 0.71 units.

    Since then, here were my performances:

    1-2 (-1.09 units)
    0-2 (-2.00 units)
    0-1 (-1.00 units)
    1-1 (+0.30 units)
    1-1 (-0.09 units)
    1-1 (-0.09 units)
    0-2 (-2.00 units)
    3-0 (+4.12 units)

    Total 1/4-1/17 = 7-10 (-1.85 units)

    Total for season: 19-22 (-1.14 units)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  19. #39
    NBA coming up in a few mins:

    Milwaukee vs Brooklyn - Under 240.5
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  20. #40
    Well, that one didn't work out. First half was good, second half not so much. 248 total, so I lost by 7.5.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

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