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Thread: Dan Druff's 2020-2021 NBA Picks

  1. #41
    Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Utah won and covered, so I had a very nice day today. Here's an update on my record:

    On January 3, I was 12-12, up 0.71 units.

    Since then, here were my performances:

    1-2 (-1.09 units)
    0-2 (-2.00 units)
    0-1 (-1.00 units)
    1-1 (+0.30 units)
    1-1 (-0.09 units)
    1-1 (-0.09 units)
    0-2 (-2.00 units)
    3-0 (+4.12 units)

    Total 1/4-1/17 = 7-10 (-1.85 units)

    Total for season: 19-22 (-1.14 units)
    I'm confused.
    How do you win or lose .09 units or 4.12 units?
    Let's say that a unit is 100 dollars so you are up 185 dollars for the season thus far or if a unit is 1 dollar you are up $1.85?
    Units confuse me just like the metric system.
    So much easier for me to deal in cash and round numbers.

    I haven't made a bet in the last few days.
    I'm looking at the Rangers and the Avalanche today as my best choices.
    Probably just the Puck Line and Avalanche as it seems the easiest.
    Still undecided though.
    I have two tickets from the Packers game I still need to cash.
    That's over 3,400 dollars just sitting at the Book waiting for me to pick up.
    I have no idea how many units that would be.

    Cosmo owes me $1,470 of that amount and they have the 5000 point key game and monster free play to pick up so I guess I need to drag my lazy ass over there.
    Fast Pay should be implemented in every Casino in the world!
    Last edited by monet; 01-19-2021 at 09:11 AM.

  2. #42
    Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Whatever you want it to be. All of my bets are considered 1 unit, though. This way there is no game-playing where certain picks are worth more than others.
    I sort of get it.
    I don't understand how you get fractions of units though.
    Maybe the juice you have to lay isn't always in dimes.
    I also don't understand how many units per game you bet?
    Are you stating that you bet the same unit per event?

  3. #43
    *** MONEYLINE ALERT ***

    This is a big one. The Kings will break through tonight and catch the Clippers sleeping.

    Sacramento +428 at Clippers



    Also... Dallas will win.

    Dallas -1.5 at Indiana


    (In case you're wondering, I lost the under 2 days ago.)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  4. #44
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Whatever you want it to be. All of my bets are considered 1 unit, though. This way there is no game-playing where certain picks are worth more than others.
    I sort of get it.
    I don't understand how you get fractions of units though.
    Maybe the juice you have to lay isn't always in dimes.
    I also don't understand how many units per game you bet?
    Are you stating that you bet the same unit per event?
    Here's how I'm doing it for the purposes of record keeping here:

    Each time I lose, I lose 1 unit no matter what. So if I bet a +425 underdog, I will win 4.25 units if the pick wins, and I will lose 1 unit if the pick loses.

    With a spread, I'm assuming a line of -110. Sometimes it's higher, sometimes it's lower, but it averages -110, and that's standard for a spread line, so I'm just assuming that to make it easier. So if I win a spread pick, I get 0.91 units. If I lose the spread pick, I lose 1 unit.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  5. #45
    I apologize for hijacking your thread Druff, I get the impression this is the only thread you read, so here it goes. Head on over to the NEWELL thread, lots of action, your opinion is welcomed. Things are heating up. Not quite to the same extent as your CHRISSY thread though, Join us.

  6. #46
    ..................


    this is what you posted on 2/25/2019


    Originally Posted by DanDruff View Post

    (I'll figure out my record soon.)

    but you never did - you never posted your NBA final results for preceding years

    I also don't believe you ever posted your MLB results for the last 3 years



    how come?
    Last edited by Half Smoke; 01-21-2021 at 03:13 AM.
    Of course what I'm saying is true. I saw it ON THE INTERNET.

  7. #47
    So Sacramento didn't quite play like I thought. +428 didn't win for me, though that's the reason it's +428.

    Dallas pick was gold.

    I seem to have horrible timing with Knicks unders, but after my last Knicks under took a loss, their totals have been 180 and 175. Safe to say those were unders.

    NY at Golden State - Under 214.5
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  8. #48
    Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    So Sacramento didn't quite play like I thought. +428 didn't win for me, though that's the reason it's +428.

    Dallas pick was gold.

    I seem to have horrible timing with Knicks unders, but after my last Knicks under took a loss, their totals have been 180 and 175. Safe to say those were unders.

    NY at Golden State - Under 214.5
    The Mav's pick was gold.

    I watch a lot of Kings games, I guess, due to the region I'm in. I sprinkled a little on the ML and they didn't disappoint for about a half. D. Fox was playing great and then Buddy threw away a pass or two and they just fell apart and the clippers pounded them.

    Bold pick though, which admittedly, the degen in me liked.

  9. #49
    Lakers +102 at Milwaukee

    Starting at 4:35pm PT
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  10. #50
    Originally Posted by dannyj View Post
    Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    So Sacramento didn't quite play like I thought. +428 didn't win for me, though that's the reason it's +428.

    Dallas pick was gold.

    I seem to have horrible timing with Knicks unders, but after my last Knicks under took a loss, their totals have been 180 and 175. Safe to say those were unders.

    NY at Golden State - Under 214.5
    The Mav's pick was gold.

    I watch a lot of Kings games, I guess, due to the region I'm in. I sprinkled a little on the ML and they didn't disappoint for about a half. D. Fox was playing great and then Buddy threw away a pass or two and they just fell apart and the clippers pounded them.

    Bold pick though, which admittedly, the degen in me liked.
    Yeah I had hope for the Kings after the first half. They really hung in there, and then the 3rd quarter was just a disaster. I didn't even bother to watch the 4th because I knew it was toast.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  11. #51
    Originally Posted by Half Smoke View Post
    ..................


    this is what you posted on 2/25/2019


    Originally Posted by DanDruff View Post

    (I'll figure out my record soon.)

    but you never did - you never posted your NBA final results for preceding years

    I also don't believe you ever posted your MLB results for the last 3 years



    how come?


    no answer from the proud KING of vegascasinotalk.com

    so I'll answer for him

    because he got beat all those years - and didn't want to post it for everybody to see
    Of course what I'm saying is true. I saw it ON THE INTERNET.

  12. #52
    Lakers pick won, NY under lost thanks to a 71 point first.

    Just one today:

    Denver -105 at Phoenix (+1 spread up to -115 ok also)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  13. #53
    Originally Posted by Half Smoke View Post
    Originally Posted by Half Smoke View Post
    ..................


    this is what you posted on 2/25/2019


    Originally Posted by DanDruff View Post

    (I'll figure out my record soon.)

    but you never did - you never posted your NBA final results for preceding years

    I also don't believe you ever posted your MLB results for the last 3 years



    how come?


    no answer from the proud KING of vegascasinotalk.com

    so I'll answer for him

    because he got beat all those years - and didn't want to post it for everybody to see
    No, I just got lazy and didn't feel like going back and computing it all.

    I'm trying to be better about it this season, as you probably see. In fact I'll update in the next post, even though I'm still (a little bit) down.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  14. #54
    As of 1/17: 19-22 (-1.14 units)

    Since then:
    0-1 (-1.00 unit)
    1-1 (-0.09 units)
    1-1 (+0.02 units)
    1-0 (+0.95 units)

    Total action since 1/17: 3-3 (-0.12 units)

    Grand total: 22-25 (-1.26 units)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  15. #55
    *** MONEYLINE ALERT ***

    The Detroit Pistons are 3-10, but they're actually better than that, especially recently.

    They've played the last 3 games close:

    - They lost by 1 yesterday to Houston

    - They lost the previous game in OT to Atlanta

    - They were up 61-55 against Miami in the game before that, before a bad 3rd sunk them. They still finished within 6.

    There is some belief that Griffin may sit today (this hasn't been announced, but it might happen). However, Griffin isn't the same player he once was, and Jerami Grant has taken his role to a large degree. Griffin is averaging just 32 minutes, and losing him isn't nearly the same impact it once was. So while I'd rather see him suit up, this doesn't worry me.

    Both the Pistons and the 76ers are playing back-to-back games, but Philly had to travel to Detroit, whereas the Pistons are playing their second consecutive home game.

    Detroit +250 vs. Philadelphia
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  16. #56
    Let's throw in a total to go along with it.

    Brookyln hasn't been playing any defense lately. Totals (ignoring OT) in last 4 games: 237, 248, 254, 238

    Durant is probable.

    Miami at Brooklyn - Over 231 (231.5 ok)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  17. #57
    OK, so the Brooklyn over worked out yesterday, and in fact it had a very bizarre finish. Going into the final 68 seconds, the over hadn't hit yet.

    The game didn't go into OT, yet COVERED BY 21 POINTS, because 22 points scored in those 68 seconds. Insane.

    Detroit hung there with Philly the entire game, and in fact had a 12-point early lead, but ultimately lost by 4. They even had a decent shot at OT, as Philly had the ball up just 2 with 28 seconds left.

    Here's my first pick for the day. There may be others.

    Boston -6 vs. Cleveland

    The Cavs have looked surprisingly good the last few games, but today's going to be the letdown.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  18. #58
    In addition to my Boston spread pick, I'm going to throw in an under on the Charlotte game.

    Keep in mind I've been weakest at unders this season. But if you're feeling adventurous:

    Charlotte at Orlando - Under 214

    Aaron Gordon is questionable, as he has some hip issues.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  19. #59
    Good calls Dan. I came along on both.

    The Hornets under got a little dicey as I thought they were headed to OT.

    I love the Celtics and they were due for a rout like that, but taking the points with the Cavs was kinda the en vogue pick. Glad I took your advice.

  20. #60
    2-0 day yesterday

    *** MONEYLINE ALERT ***

    Yes, you have time to place this one.

    Chicago +142 vs. Boston

    Boston played yesterday and scored 141 points. Kemba Walker is out resting.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

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