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Thread: Dan Druff's 2020-2021 NBA Picks

  1. #81
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    Originally Posted by mcap View Post
    Man you lucked out last night druff. Crazy, improbable finish to the wizards nets game.
    NHL = Stupid
    NBA = Entertainment
    That's why they changed the name WWF to WWE . . . . They should change the NBA to NBE

  2. #82
    Originally Posted by mcap View Post
    Man you lucked out last night druff. Crazy, improbable finish to the wizards nets game.
    Yeah, was watching it! While my under was embarrassing (literally lost by almost 50), pretty amazing that I won by 3 in regulation when Washington was down 5 with 12 seconds left. Also, that one shot by Brooklyn with like 1 second left, which rolled around the hoop before popping out, would have pushed this the otehr way had it fallen.

    One of my luckiest wins in a long time.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  3. #83
    *** MONEYLINE ALERT ***

    The Suckramento Kings had run off 3 nice games in a row, before choking off a lead against the Heat, and barely coming up short in a 4th quarter comeback attempt.

    Now they face the New Orleans Pelicans, a team which has its moments but usually isn't very good.

    This one looks more like a coin flip to me, but you get a nice moderate dog line, so I like it.

    Sacramento +137 at New Orleans
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  4. #84
    Won the pick, though it was looking bad at one point, with Sac down 10 in the early 4th. However, the turned it on hard at the end and won by 9.

    The Pelicans are big chokers, which was part of the reason for the pick.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  5. #85
    Toronto -6.5 at Orlando



    Aaron Gordon is out for the Magic, which is a garbage team even when he's there.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  6. #86
    Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Won the pick, though it was looking bad at one point, with Sac down 10 in the early 4th. However, the turned it on hard at the end and won by 9.

    The Pelicans are big chokers, which was part of the reason for the pick.

    New Orleans looks like a classic NBA team with oodles of firepower but whose players don't really give a rat's ass about playing a shred of defense or winning. They just want their minutes. And really, they do have a lot of firepower.

    I don't ever have much to say about the NBA, but the team I can stomach watching because they are a team is Utah.

  7. #87
    Skill sets of Pelicans just aren’t complimentary offensively. Plenty of talented players but no upper tier catch and shoot players, several complete non shooters in the starting five, Adams particularly as well as lack of overall shooting clogs the lane for Zion. Defense actually isn’t horrible both of their starting guards are quality defenders, Adams is average. Backups are pretty bad on d I guess.

    5 of Utah’s 8 primary rotation players have been playing together forever Mitchell, Ingles, Favors, Gobert, O’Neal’s all been there 4+ years other than one season in NOLA for Favors, the other three in second season there.
    Last edited by mcap; 02-02-2021 at 09:03 PM.

  8. #88
    Originally Posted by mcap View Post
    Skill sets of Pelicans just aren’t complimentary offensively. Plenty of talented players but no upper tier catch and shoot players, several complete non shooters in the starting five, Adams particularly as well as lack of overall shooting clogs the lane for Zion. Defense actually isn’t horrible both of their starting guards are quality defenders, Adams is average. Backups are pretty bad on d I guess.

    5 of Utah’s 8 primary rotation players have been playing together forever Mitchell, Ingles, Favors, Gobert, O’Neal’s all been there 4+ years other than one season in NOLA for Favors, the other three in second season there.

    Adams has been a turnover machine recently, which really short circuits any value he has. Utah's individual players have deficiencies, but they cover for each other. Mitchell plays little defense, but it's okay. The starting point guard can only do a subset of things, but he does them well. And they appear to be well conditioned, which is probably rare in this era of covid. New Orleans either doesn't care much in crunch time or appears to run out of collective gas. Maybe it is conditioning.

  9. #89
    Won yesterday.

    No moneylines today.

    OKC vs. Houston - Under 222 (Wall, Alexander, Hill out)
    Milwaukee vs. Indiana - Over 233.5
    Sacramento vs. Boston - Under 224 (Walker out)
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  10. #90
    2-1 yesterday. Close with the third one (Sac under), but lost by 3.

    Still deciding on Lakers. May go under. Right now I'm undecided and can't fire.

    Not a whole lot I like today.

    I'm looking at Philly.

    I typically hate favorite lines like 10 because you can be right on the money in your predictions for the game, but get screwed by trash time. Too much variance in these type of picks.

    This is my first one like that in the 2020-2021 season, and it's because Portland is decimated by injuries. No McCollum, no Nurkic, no Derrick Jones, and most importantly, no Lillard. Even Nassar Little is out.

    Simmons is out, announced at 3:10pm PST. Line went from 10.5 to 9.5, now back to 10.

    Philadelphia -10 vs. Portland
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  11. #91
    Atlanta was at 227 earlier. I passed. Upon re-analysis of the game, I decided I like the under. I could've had 226. Now it's 221.5. Just out of principle, I want to lay off, but I can't. I think this is going under.

    Trae Young out, De'Andre Hunter out

    Atlanta vs. Utah - Under 221
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  12. #92
    1-1, winning the Atlanta under, losing Philly both big time.

    Here's one to start off, beginning at 5:05pm PT:

    Minnesota -2.5 at Oklahoma


    I may have more.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  13. #93
    Another:

    Phoenix vs. Detroit - Under 213
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  14. #94
    Okay, back to the Minnesota game.

    I'm going to make a second pick on it -- an over. Not really a ploppy pick because these isn't a sexy matchup for the public to bet over, but I feel it's going over nonetheless, after analyzing the game a bit further.

    Minnesota vs. OKC - Over 220.5
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  15. #95
    2-1 yesterday, only losing the OKC over. Minnesota was close but barely covered.

    Today:

    Remember when Memphis won 7 in a row, and then had two not-very-good games following? They'll get back in the win column today:

    Memphis +100 at New Orleans (+1/+1.5 spread ok)

    More coming shortly
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  16. #96
    The Hawks struggled last time out with no Trae Young, but he's BACK today.

    I like this one a lot. The Raptors, back-to-back on the road and off a tiring game yesterday, are going to lose to Atlanta.

    Atlanta +115 vs. Toronto
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  17. #97
    Finally:

    Yesterday, I had the T-Wolves in a tough contest against the Thunder. They barely covered the -2.5 by securing a victory by 3 (though I rooted for the final 3-pointer by OKC at the buzzer, because OT would have virtually guaranteed me a win on the over, while giving me a shot to still win the Wovles bet).

    Anyway, OKC is going to come back strong today to split the dual game series with the Wolves.

    OKC -2 vs. Minnesota
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  18. #98
    Okay, I lied. One more.

    Look at Brooklyn/Philly

    Durant is out.
    Kyrie is out.
    Embiid is sore and will either be out or not 100%.

    I think the Nets over train is about to derail.

    Unfortunately I noticed this late, and the line has slipped.

    Brooklyn vs. Philadelphia - Under 234 (233.5 ok)
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  19. #99
    Coming into today:

    Record on 1/22: 22-25 (-1.26 units)

    Since then:
    1/23: 1-1 (-0.09 units)
    1/24: 2-0 (+1.82 units)
    1/25: 2-1 (+1.61 units)
    1/26: 2-0 (+1.82 units)
    1/27: 1-1-1 (-0.09 units)
    1/28: 1-2 (-1.09 units)
    1/29: 1-2 (-0.40 units)
    1/30: 1-1 (-0.09 units)
    1/31: 1-1 (+1.21 units)
    2/1: 1-0 (+1.37 units)
    2/2: 1-0 (+0.91 units)
    2/3: 2-1 (+0.82 units)
    2/4: 1-1 (-0.09 units)
    2/5: 2-1 (+0.82 units)

    Total 1/23-2/5: (19-12-1, +8.53 units)

    Grand total: 41-37-1, +7.27 units

    (Note: Every bet is 1 unit)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  20. #100
    Wild day, with the Brooklyn under coming back from the dead to barely cover, OKC blowing a 21-point halftime lead and barely squeaking into a 2-point win to give me a tie, and Memphis playing a tight one, taking a 5-point lead late, and then giving up 14 straight points to get crushed.

    After the smoke cleared, I went 2-1-1 and picked up another +1.06 units.

    That leaves me 21-13-2, +9.59 units since January 23, for a very nice 36-game run.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

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