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Thread: Dan Druff's 2020-2021 NBA Picks

  1. #121
    After going 1-5 on Thursday and Friday, I took Saturday off.

    I planned to give it a shot again today, but thought maybe one more day was better.

    I did look, and liked Minnesota +300. However, I decided to pass on it, since I felt I needed one more day, and because this was also likely to extend my losing streak, being a +300 bet, and I didn't want that demoralizing me.

    Final score:

    Minnesota 116, Toronto 112

    Would have been my biggest underdog hit of the season.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  2. #122
    Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    After going 1-5 on Thursday and Friday, I took Saturday off.

    I planned to give it a shot again today, but thought maybe one more day was better.

    I did look, and liked Minnesota +300. However, I decided to pass on it, since I felt I needed one more day, and because this was also likely to extend my losing streak, being a +300 bet, and I didn't want that demoralizing me.

    Final score:

    Minnesota 116, Toronto 112

    Would have been my biggest underdog hit of the season.
    I feel you Dan. Going through a tough patch too.
    Gotta keep firing.

  3. #123
    Last minute:

    Chicago +170 at Indiana
    Chicago/Indiana - Under 223.5
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  4. #124
    I should have had them both on Monday, but the game went into OT, killing my under.

    The +170 hit though, so I still won 0.7 units.

    Anyway, here's today's:

    I'm posting this 12 hours before game time.

    Sacramento -103 vs. Miami (Dragic doubtful, Leonard out, Barnes out, Holmes out)

    Sac +1 -115 or better is okay here too.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  5. #125
    Sac got clobbered yesterday, moving me to 2-7 in my last 9. Ouch.

    There are some hot and not-so-hot teams in the NBA right now.

    Phoenix is one of those hot teams. They reeled off 6 wins in a row, before finally losing by 4 to the equally hot Nets. They should easily handle the choking Pelicans today, and avenge their ugly 22-point loss to them on February 3.

    Phoenix -3.5 at New Orleans
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  6. #126
    The NBA has been heading in the direction of every-game-is-an-exhibition-game for awhile now. Players are in control. Coaches have become less authoritarian. Rest days and days off for minor ailments are common, and with the mega-possessions now routine every game, maybe even necessary. But I think covid has pushed the league into almost a full scale 72-game exhibition season. Some teams (Utah, Denver, the Lakers for a quarter a game, etc.) actually care night in and night out; but it's increasingly rare. It's become more art form and skill display than athletic contest.

    Timeouts get taken, not because coaches have anything real to say, but because that's what you're supposed to do when the other team has gone on a run.

    Anyway, my point is that yesterday's Miami/Sacramento game was classic. Multiple players out, combinations you would not see outside of an exhibition game, and coaches trying to plug people in at the wrong times because that's how they're supposed to manage minutes. Any team with Jimmy Butler on the floor will have some intensity, so Miami wins on cruise control. It was more exhibition than competition.

    And I think that's true for the majority of NBA games this year.

  7. #127
    Moneyline!!

    Chicago +270 at Philadelphia

    Simmons probable
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  8. #128
    1-1 yesterday. Phoenix won by 18 despite being down 11 after 3 (!!), and Chicago had a chance to tie in the final minute, but lost by 7.

    Today:

    Golden State -2 at Charlotte
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  9. #129
    Unbelievable bad beat on that Golden State game. They blew a late 10-point lead and Draymond's double-technical with 9s left led to a loss, despite having the ball with 16 seconds left, up 2.

    I can't believe I'm betting the Knicks as a favorite, but...

    NY -3 vs. Minnesota

    Also:

    Philadelphia -3 at Toronto

    Raptors streak will break tonight.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  10. #130
    1-1, winning Philly barely

    Today:

    Sacramento +210 at Brooklyn
    Minnesota +10.5 at Milwaukee
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  11. #131
    Two more, regarding the Philly/Toronto game:

    Philadelphia -2.5 at Toronto
    Philadelphia/Toronto - Under 222
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  12. #132
    2-2 yesterday

    Won both Philly bets, lost the other two

    Today:

    Houston at Cleveland - Over 220
    Atlanta +115 vs Boston (Kemba Walker out)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  13. #133
    One more:

    Toronto +112 at Miami

    Dragic questionable (and even if he plays, I imagine he will be rusty and held to a minutes limit)
    Lowry probable
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  14. #134
    1-2 yesterday, winning only Atlanta +115, for an 0.85 unit loss overall.

    Today:

    Sacramento -105 at New York (spread up to -1 ok)
    Denver -7.5 vs. Washington
    Memphis vs. Clippers - Under 225.5
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  15. #135
    1-2 again, winning only the Memphis under.

    *** MONEYLINE ALERT ***

    Miami +215 vs. Utah

    I need to pray that Adebayo, currently with some knee pain, will feel better today and play. He's listed as "questionable", but I'm leaning on the side of him playing. Tragic Dragic should be off the minutes restriction.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  16. #136
    Also:

    Memphis vs. Clippers - Under 224.5 (let's do yesterday's winner again)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  17. #137
    Two more:

    Golden State -6 vs. Charlotte (-6.5 ok)
    Toronto vs. Houston - Under 218.5 (Siakam out)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  18. #138
    And...............

    Let's make it an even 5

    Utah/Miami - Over 220 (220.5 ok)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  19. #139
    Nice day yesterday. Hit everything except the Houston under, going 4-1, plus one of the wins was +215, so I won almost 4 units.

    Got one for you right now... still looking at the rest.

    Philadelphia vs. Cleveland - Under 222
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  20. #140
    One more under:

    Oklahoma City vs. Denver - Under 220.5 (Milsap out, Harris out)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

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