Originally Posted by
dannyj
Originally Posted by
redietz
Well, it took some work, but I lost a teaser Over 33 by a 16-16 count today. Actually, it took a great deal of work. Missed PAT, missed FGs, and a winless team trying to win in overtime while the 5-3 team was happy with the tie. It also required a bevy of well-timed offensive holding calls throughout the last 20 minutes of the game.
That is one for the books. I guess I mean that literally because the books kept my money.
That's an extraordinarily tough loss Red.
I refer you to a quote by a wiser man than me.
"betting parlays is either a sign of being stupid or lazy or both"
Now, now, danny, a teaser is not a parlay. I've found that teasers (if you can keep them open in perpetuity) for low NFL totals are a worthwhile endeavor, especially if the line has moved in your favor. That's why for many years teasers were not allowed on NFL totals in Las Vegas. The main reason parlays are stupid or lazy is that in LV, you cannot keep them open in perpetuity, so you are never guaranteed optimal numbers, which creates a long-term severe cost.
This may be my final year for teasers on any kind of regular basis anyway, as the two offshores with the best teaser odds have shortened the ability to keep the teasers open from "forever" to "close it by Monday night" -- ouch -- and the places that still allow open in perpetuity or 90 days have worsened their teaser odds this season, making them unplayable. All of this just happened in the last three months, so one must adjust. The implications of these changes, of course, are that the offshores either were not making money on the "open forever" teasers or the bookkeeping was too much of a hassle or both.
Boz, I'll tell what's dropped off -- how can kickers miss so many PATs? WTF? I shopped 'til I dropped to ensure I had an Over 33 and not a 33 1/2 on that Pitt deal, and it came down to a missed PAT. Double ouch.
Here's a link to maybe my worst extra point beating of my life:
https://theskepticalgambler.blogspot...g-in-rain.html