Team win totals are out today. They actually leaked out last night which is pretty normal.
I look for a team that finished last in their division last year, that I beleive is better than that finish and playing a last place schedule, should improve pretty easy on their win total. Last years team was my Phila Eagles who easily went over 6.5.
This year I saw several candidates. Giants, Panthers, Ravens, Broncos.
The Broncos number jumped up way to much from 7 to 10 with Russell Wilson.
I personally can't bet and route for the Giants, who are in the Eagles division. (although that may be a good bet)
That leaves two, Panthers and Ravens. I bet both an hour ago before the lines move. For those not familiar the win total doesn't move, but the amount you pay for that win number (-110) does move and often dramatically as soon as people jump on a number that seems low.
For those not familiar with the scheduling, aspect. Each Team plays the other teams in their division twice. That is 6 games. Each division plays the 4 teams from one NFC division and the 4 teams from one AFC division which rotates annually. Like for the Eagles and other NFC east teams they play the 4 teams from AFC east and 4 teams from the NFC west. That is 8 more games for a total of 14. The last 3 games are the ones that are determined by where you finished in your division. If you finished last, those final 3 games will be against 3 other teams that finished last in their division, So in total each division last place team will play 5 other teams that finished last. That is a good starting point for improving wins from previous year.
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