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Thread: Dan Druff's 2022 MLB Picks

  1. #61
    Easily won yesterday. Let's make it 2 in a row.

    Milwaukee (Houser) +130 vs Toronto (Manoah)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  2. #62
    First pick in a week, after losing a week ago today.

    Starting soon:

    Oakland (Kaprielian) +154 at Seattle (M. Gonzales)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  3. #63
    Won the Oakland pick.

    Today:

    Miami (S. Alcantara) -142 vs Angels (Syndergaard)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  4. #64
    St. Louis (Mikolas) +149 at Atlanta (Fried)

    Won yesterday
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  5. #65
    Lost that last one.

    Very last minute:

    Cubs (K. Thomson) +120 vs Mets (Carrasco)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  6. #66
    Lost that last one in a blowout.

    Today starting very shortly:

    Baltimore (Wells) +130 vs. Yankees (Taillon)

    Note that Taillon has given up 5-6 ER in 3 of his last 5 starts.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  7. #67
    Lost that last pick on July 22.

    Let's jump back into some MLB.

    Battle of NL East titans.

    Atlanta (I. Anderson) +120 at NY Mets (T. Walker)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  8. #68
    I am only a recreational bettor. Used to be only football and college basketball but over the past couple years, I have spread to hockey and baseball. I love sports and spend my evening watching sports while my brother and other housemate are playing video games.

    I have been doing pretty well with this angle over the past month. I look at a team's record over the last 40 games and compare it to the season record, looking for a team that is playing better or worse than their season record, which influences the odds a great deal (along with starting pitcher).

    Let me give you a few examples. The most glaring is the Cincinatti Reds. They started the year 3 and 22, so were 20 games below .500 only 25 games in. But over the last 40 games they are playing .500 ball. Actually playing .500 ball over the last 80 games after that horrible start. So while they are playing .500 ball and winning half their games, they are anywhere from +140 to +200 or even more almost every day. +150 to +200 or more and winning roughly half their games has been my formula for success.

    Kansas City is another. Not quite as blatant as Cincinnati, but the Royals are 18-22 over their last 40 games. Almost .500. But quite a bit different than their record of 42-65, 23 games below .500. So almost every day, they are +150 or more and winning nearly half their games.

    There is also the reverse that I look for, a team with a very good season record not playing all that well over the last 40 games. New York Yankee are 33 games above .500 at 70-37, but 19-21 in their last 40. Every single day they are a huge money line favorite and are actually losing more than winning, so I have been playing their opponent.

    The reason I pick 40 games as opposed to their last 15 or 20 is a smaller sample can be skewed by playing a couple series in a row against top teams and/or an extended home stand or long road trip. If you look at the last 30 or 40, those things even out.

    Just some thoughts.
    Rob Singer / Robert Argentino: Failed Advantage Player, lifelong degenerate losing gambler and now failed gambling forums troll.

  9. #69
    Won yesterday, but it was a bit of a sweat despite a 8-0 lead!

    Today:

    Very last minute:

    Texas (Dunning) +105 vs Chicago (Kopech)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  10. #70
    Another last minute... fading former Dodger Mitch White:

    Minnesota (Bundy) +100 vs Toronto (White)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  11. #71
    Won both of those.

    Last minute:

    Baltimore (Lyles) +115 vs. Toronto (Kikuchi)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  12. #72
    Four in a row.

    Today:

    Pittsburgh (Keller) +132 vs Arizona (Bumgarner)

    MadBum isn't the same guy anymore, but that's old news. He's just been a complete mediocrity this season, and while his numbers are similar to that of Keller's, we've seen some nice work out of Keller in his last 2 outings. Both of these teams aren't good and are out of contention.

    You have time to bet this one.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  13. #73
    Won yet again.

    Starting soon:

    Texas (Dunning) -114 vs Seattle (M. Gonzales)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  14. #74
    Won again.

    Now:

    Baltimore (Bradish) +139 at Toronto (Kikuchi)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  15. #75
    7 wins in a row.

    Texas (Anihara) vs Oakland (Sears) - Under 8 -105
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

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