Totals for Friday:
UAB at Western Kentucky - Over 58.5
And some totals for Saturday:
North Texas at UTSA - Over 72.5
Toledo at Buffalo - Under 57
Boston College at Wake Forest - Under 60.5
Totals for Friday:
UAB at Western Kentucky - Over 58.5
And some totals for Saturday:
North Texas at UTSA - Over 72.5
Toledo at Buffalo - Under 57
Boston College at Wake Forest - Under 60.5
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Regarding my remaining NCAAF bets, I haven't actually fired LSU yet. I made it as a pick, and it will stand either way regarding my record, but I am not personally betting it now. I've changed my mind. So if you haven't bet it yet, I no longer recommend it.
Add this total pick to today, as well:
Texas at Oklahoma State - Under 60
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UAB failed to cover the over (by a wide margin), and stopped scoring after the early 2nd, losing the game by 3. So that's 0-2 on Friday, with a shitload of picks still to resolve today.
Right now I stand at 6-9-1, down 2.68 units.
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Saturday:
North Texas at UTSA - Over 72.5 - LOSS
Toledo at Buffalo - Under 57 - LOSS
Boston College at Wake Forest - Under 60.5 - WIN
Bowling Green +205 at Central Michigan - WIN
UL Monroe +210 at Army - LOSS
Baylor -10 vs Kansas - WIN
LSU -2.5 vs Ole Miss - WIN
Texas at Oklahoma State - Under 60 - LOSS
Vanderbilt +14 -105 at Missouri - WIN
Kansas State +145 at TCU - LOSS
Louisville -2.5 vs Pittsburgh - WIN
6-5, +1.62 units
Overall: 12-14-1. down 1.06 units
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The two games where you and I were at loggerheads were LSU and the Texas total. I lost with Ole Miss +8 teased to Open and won with the Texas/Oklahoma State Over teased to Wash (Pick) vs. Cal.
There had been indications that the Ole Miss defense was reverting to previous years' lousy form, but I did not expect them to unravel so completely. I guess the Vanderbilt game set an ominous tone, but I really didn't see yesterday coming. They never stopped them...at all. I love the LSU transfer from ASU QB, by the way. Three years ago, he won some games for ASU that were extraordinary, especially one versus a real good Michigan State team where they got pushed all over the field and beaten up, but he made about half a dozen Michael Vick-ish runs to save the day.
Washington State +240 vs Utah (+7 ok)
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Lost the Washington State pick. Now 12-15-1, -2.06 units.
Today:
Notre Dame +103 at Syracuse
Kansas State -1.5 vs Oklahoma State
Louisville +145 vs Wake Forest
Missouri +150 at South Carolina
Eastern Michigan +215 vs Toledo
Charlotte +15.5 at Rice
Tulsa -102 vs SMU
Massachusetts +103 vs New Mexico State
Georgia -23.5 vs Florida (ploppy pick)
Totals:
Navy vs Temple - Over 41.5
Boise State vs Colorado State - Under 42.5 -115
San Diego State at Fresno State - Over 43
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7-5 on the games last week, up 2.62 units.
Winners were: Notre Dame, Kansas State, Louisville, Missouri, Charlotte, and totals on Navy and SD State.
Presently 19-20-1, +0.56 units
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Today:
Massachusetts at Connecticut - Under 40
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Made me nervous when terrible UMass broke out to 10 points in the first 1.5 quarters, but they were shut out the rest of the way. They had a shot at a meaningless touchdown at the end, down 27-10, which would've killed my bet. But they threw an INT, and that was that.
Winner.
Now 20-20-1, +1.47 units
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Here's today's picks. Very moneyline dog heavy, so a lot of variance here.
Totals:
Purdue vs Iowa - Under 39.5
Northwestern vs Ohio State - Under 55.5
Miami Florida vs Florida State - Over 53.5
Spread:
Marshall -3.5 at Old Dominion
Kansas -1 vs Oklahoma State
SMU -3.5 -106 vs Houston
Moneylines:
Tulsa +230 vs Tulane
Texas Tech +260 at TCU
Virginia +240 vs North Carolina
Iowa +150 at Purdue
James Madison +230 at Louisville
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Results today:
Here's today's picks. Very moneyline dog heavy, so a lot of variance here.
Totals:
Purdue vs Iowa - Under 39.5 - WON
Northwestern vs Ohio State - Under 55.5 - WON
Miami Florida vs Florida State - Over 53.5 - LOST
Spread:
Marshall -3.5 at Old Dominion - WON
Kansas -1 vs Oklahoma State - WON
SMU -3.5 -106 vs Houston - WON
Moneylines:
Tulsa +230 vs Tulane - LOST
Texas Tech +260 at TCU - LOST
Virginia +240 vs North Carolina - LOST
Iowa +150 at Purdue - WON
James Madison +230 at Louisville - LOST
Obviously those moneylines dragged me down. I didn't think I'd have a winning day going 1-4, especially winning the lowest moneyline out of the five, but I did thanks to a 5-1 day otherwise. I thought it might be 6-0 but Florida/Miami scoring died in the 2nd half, after 34 in the first.
Speaking of scoring, SMU gave up 63 points, yet still easily won 77-63. Not what I expected, but I'll take it.
I finish 6-5 today, +1.08 units
I'm now 26-25-1, +2.55 units
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Today:
Central Michigan -2 -116 vs Buffalo (-2.5 -110 ok)
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In fact, I'm throwing another pick into the mix involving that game, making it brutal to sweat.
Central Michigan vs Buffalo - Under 53.5 -112 (53 -110 ok)
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Connecticut +13.5 vs Liberty
Washington +12.5 at Oregon
Wake Forest -4 vs U North Carolina
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Indiana at Ohio State - Over 61.5
LSU at Arkansas - Under 59.5
Louisiana Tech at UTSA - Over 69
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I made a big boo-boo. I fat-fingered a mobile interface for a book which makes it way too easy to accidentally bet "max", so I ended up firing 5x what I meant to fire.
Shit.
That's the Indiana game, which got off to a great 28 point 1st quarter, but then the scoring died. 49 points headed into Q4, with OSU up 42-7. Need 13 points.
While I sweat this, here's some more picks:
Charlotte +300 at Middle Tenn (+9.5 ok)
UAB -6.5 vs North Texas
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Connecticut +13.5 vs Liberty - W (outright)
Washington +12.5 at Oregon - W (outright)
Wake Forest -4 vs U North Carolina - L
Indiana at Ohio State - Over 61.5 - W
LSU at Arkansas - Under 59.5 - W
Louisiana Tech at UTSA - Over 69 - L
Charlotte +300 at Middle Tenn (+9.5 ok) - L (9.5 would've also lost)
UAB -6.5 vs North Texas - W
Funny that I picked Charlotte for the moneyline, which lost, yet my two other dog picks I went with the pointspread, and both won outright in what would've been great payouts. Wake Forest disappointed a lot of sharp bettors today. Lousiana Tech over seemed to be on pace to easily hit, then it died. Better that one failed than the Indiana over, where I accidentally bet 5x too much, and it won for me.
My posted NCAAF picks record today was 5-3, +1.55 units, but my real life results were 5-3, +5.55 units! Obviously I'm only counting 0.55 for purposes of tracking my record.
On Wednesday, I went 1-1, hitting the spread but losing the under, so that takes me down 0.16 units.
Overall I'm 32-29-1, +3.94 units
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Ball State +150 vs Ohio U
Ball State vs Ohio - Over 57.5
Toledo vs Bowling Green - Under 46.5
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0-3 yesterday. Ouch.
I fall to 32-32-1, +0.94 units overall
Today:
Miami Ohio -105 at Northern Illinois
Miami Ohio at Northern Illinois - Under 44
Western Michigan at Central Michigan - Under 49.5
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