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Thread: Dan Druff's 2022-2023 NCAA Football picks

  1. #21
    Totals for Friday:

    UAB at Western Kentucky - Over 58.5


    And some totals for Saturday:

    North Texas at UTSA - Over 72.5
    Toledo at Buffalo - Under 57
    Boston College at Wake Forest - Under 60.5
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  2. #22
    Regarding my remaining NCAAF bets, I haven't actually fired LSU yet. I made it as a pick, and it will stand either way regarding my record, but I am not personally betting it now. I've changed my mind. So if you haven't bet it yet, I no longer recommend it.

    Add this total pick to today, as well:

    Texas at Oklahoma State - Under 60
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  3. #23
    UAB failed to cover the over (by a wide margin), and stopped scoring after the early 2nd, losing the game by 3. So that's 0-2 on Friday, with a shitload of picks still to resolve today.

    Right now I stand at 6-9-1, down 2.68 units.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  4. #24
    Saturday:

    North Texas at UTSA - Over 72.5 - LOSS
    Toledo at Buffalo - Under 57 - LOSS
    Boston College at Wake Forest - Under 60.5 - WIN
    Bowling Green +205 at Central Michigan - WIN
    UL Monroe +210 at Army - LOSS
    Baylor -10 vs Kansas - WIN
    LSU -2.5 vs Ole Miss - WIN
    Texas at Oklahoma State - Under 60 - LOSS
    Vanderbilt +14 -105 at Missouri - WIN
    Kansas State +145 at TCU - LOSS
    Louisville -2.5 vs Pittsburgh - WIN

    6-5, +1.62 units

    Overall: 12-14-1. down 1.06 units
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  5. #25
    The two games where you and I were at loggerheads were LSU and the Texas total. I lost with Ole Miss +8 teased to Open and won with the Texas/Oklahoma State Over teased to Wash (Pick) vs. Cal.

    There had been indications that the Ole Miss defense was reverting to previous years' lousy form, but I did not expect them to unravel so completely. I guess the Vanderbilt game set an ominous tone, but I really didn't see yesterday coming. They never stopped them...at all. I love the LSU transfer from ASU QB, by the way. Three years ago, he won some games for ASU that were extraordinary, especially one versus a real good Michigan State team where they got pushed all over the field and beaten up, but he made about half a dozen Michael Vick-ish runs to save the day.

  6. #26
    Washington State +240 vs Utah (+7 ok)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  7. #27
    Lost the Washington State pick. Now 12-15-1, -2.06 units.

    Today:

    Notre Dame +103 at Syracuse
    Kansas State -1.5 vs Oklahoma State
    Louisville +145 vs Wake Forest
    Missouri +150 at South Carolina
    Eastern Michigan +215 vs Toledo
    Charlotte +15.5 at Rice
    Tulsa -102 vs SMU
    Massachusetts +103 vs New Mexico State
    Georgia -23.5 vs Florida (ploppy pick)

    Totals:
    Navy vs Temple - Over 41.5
    Boise State vs Colorado State - Under 42.5 -115
    San Diego State at Fresno State - Over 43
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  8. #28
    7-5 on the games last week, up 2.62 units.

    Winners were: Notre Dame, Kansas State, Louisville, Missouri, Charlotte, and totals on Navy and SD State.

    Presently 19-20-1, +0.56 units
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  9. #29
    Today:

    Massachusetts at Connecticut - Under 40
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  10. #30
    Made me nervous when terrible UMass broke out to 10 points in the first 1.5 quarters, but they were shut out the rest of the way. They had a shot at a meaningless touchdown at the end, down 27-10, which would've killed my bet. But they threw an INT, and that was that.

    Winner.

    Now 20-20-1, +1.47 units
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  11. #31
    Here's today's picks. Very moneyline dog heavy, so a lot of variance here.

    Totals:
    Purdue vs Iowa - Under 39.5
    Northwestern vs Ohio State - Under 55.5
    Miami Florida vs Florida State - Over 53.5

    Spread:
    Marshall -3.5 at Old Dominion
    Kansas -1 vs Oklahoma State
    SMU -3.5 -106 vs Houston

    Moneylines:
    Tulsa +230 vs Tulane
    Texas Tech +260 at TCU
    Virginia +240 vs North Carolina
    Iowa +150 at Purdue
    James Madison +230 at Louisville
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  12. #32
    Results today:

    Here's today's picks. Very moneyline dog heavy, so a lot of variance here.

    Totals:
    Purdue vs Iowa - Under 39.5 - WON
    Northwestern vs Ohio State - Under 55.5 - WON
    Miami Florida vs Florida State - Over 53.5 - LOST

    Spread:
    Marshall -3.5 at Old Dominion - WON
    Kansas -1 vs Oklahoma State - WON
    SMU -3.5 -106 vs Houston - WON

    Moneylines:
    Tulsa +230 vs Tulane - LOST
    Texas Tech +260 at TCU - LOST
    Virginia +240 vs North Carolina - LOST
    Iowa +150 at Purdue - WON
    James Madison +230 at Louisville - LOST

    Obviously those moneylines dragged me down. I didn't think I'd have a winning day going 1-4, especially winning the lowest moneyline out of the five, but I did thanks to a 5-1 day otherwise. I thought it might be 6-0 but Florida/Miami scoring died in the 2nd half, after 34 in the first.

    Speaking of scoring, SMU gave up 63 points, yet still easily won 77-63. Not what I expected, but I'll take it.

    I finish 6-5 today, +1.08 units

    I'm now 26-25-1, +2.55 units
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  13. #33
    Today:

    Central Michigan -2 -116 vs Buffalo (-2.5 -110 ok)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  14. #34
    In fact, I'm throwing another pick into the mix involving that game, making it brutal to sweat.

    Central Michigan vs Buffalo - Under 53.5 -112 (53 -110 ok)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  15. #35
    Connecticut +13.5 vs Liberty
    Washington +12.5 at Oregon
    Wake Forest -4 vs U North Carolina
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  16. #36
    Indiana at Ohio State - Over 61.5
    LSU at Arkansas - Under 59.5
    Louisiana Tech at UTSA - Over 69
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  17. #37
    I made a big boo-boo. I fat-fingered a mobile interface for a book which makes it way too easy to accidentally bet "max", so I ended up firing 5x what I meant to fire.

    Shit.

    That's the Indiana game, which got off to a great 28 point 1st quarter, but then the scoring died. 49 points headed into Q4, with OSU up 42-7. Need 13 points.

    While I sweat this, here's some more picks:

    Charlotte +300 at Middle Tenn (+9.5 ok)
    UAB -6.5 vs North Texas
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  18. #38
    Connecticut +13.5 vs Liberty - W (outright)
    Washington +12.5 at Oregon - W (outright)
    Wake Forest -4 vs U North Carolina - L
    Indiana at Ohio State - Over 61.5 - W
    LSU at Arkansas - Under 59.5 - W
    Louisiana Tech at UTSA - Over 69 - L
    Charlotte +300 at Middle Tenn (+9.5 ok) - L (9.5 would've also lost)
    UAB -6.5 vs North Texas - W

    Funny that I picked Charlotte for the moneyline, which lost, yet my two other dog picks I went with the pointspread, and both won outright in what would've been great payouts. Wake Forest disappointed a lot of sharp bettors today. Lousiana Tech over seemed to be on pace to easily hit, then it died. Better that one failed than the Indiana over, where I accidentally bet 5x too much, and it won for me.

    My posted NCAAF picks record today was 5-3, +1.55 units, but my real life results were 5-3, +5.55 units! Obviously I'm only counting 0.55 for purposes of tracking my record.

    On Wednesday, I went 1-1, hitting the spread but losing the under, so that takes me down 0.16 units.

    Overall I'm 32-29-1, +3.94 units
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  19. #39
    Ball State +150 vs Ohio U
    Ball State vs Ohio - Over 57.5
    Toledo vs Bowling Green - Under 46.5
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  20. #40
    0-3 yesterday. Ouch.

    I fall to 32-32-1, +0.94 units overall

    Today:

    Miami Ohio -105 at Northern Illinois
    Miami Ohio at Northern Illinois - Under 44
    Western Michigan at Central Michigan - Under 49.5
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

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