Dan Druff's 2022-2023 NBA picks

[Dan Druff]

Split 'em. Indiana was looking like it was going to cover but a last minute scoring spree killed it.

Now 43-50-2, -9.27 units


Today:

Brooklyn vs Boston - Under 225.5 (Brown, Horford, Durant OUT)

[redietz]

Those road favorites I mentioned as being undervalued went 3-1 or 3-0-1 today, depending on when you would have pulled the trigger on Atlanta. The lines are slightly but significantly light, and the distortion in the lines due to prior 2022/23 history provided the margin to win or push in three of the four games. GS wasn't close and was unaffected by the slightly distorted number.

[Dan Druff]

Won the Boston under.

Now 44-50-2, -8.36 units

[Dan Druff]

Toronto -7.5 vs Atlanta (Bogdanovic OUT)
Toronto / Atlanta - Under 231.5
Utah vs Philadelphia - Under 232.5 (Niang/Harris QUESTIONABLE, Marrkanen/Gay/Sexton OUT)

[Dan Druff]

Toronto got beat the whole way, but the under covered.

Philly/Utah was slightly on pace the whole way to cover, but a 62-point 4th made it barely lose.

1-2 day

Now 45-52-2, -9.45 units

[Dan Druff]

Portland vs Dallas - Under 222

[redietz]

Portland vs Dallas - Under 222

Since I mentioned the road favorite value in Post #90, road favorites have gone 22-13 ATS.

Now, unfortunately, it's time to back off that angle.

[Dan Druff]

Portland under didn't come close.

Now 45-53-2, -10.45 units


Today:
Denver -9.5 vs Minnesota
Houston vs Charlotte - Under 236.5
Oklahoma City vs Indiana - Under 238 -105

[Dan Druff]

Really got screwed on Houston under. 72 point 4th ruined what seemed to be a lock. 1-2 day, only winning Indiana under.

Now 46-55-2, -11.50 units

Today:

Brooklyn at Phoenix - Under 221
Porltand +1.5 -105 vs Philadelphia

[Dan Druff]

Lost both. Now 46-57-2, -13.50 units

Having a hard time in basketball this season.

First, a ploppy pick:

Sacramento -5.5 vs Oklahoma City

Now some totals:

Denver vs Indiana - Under 237
Brookylyn at Utah - Over 233

[Dan Druff]

Lost all 3.

Glutton for punishment.

Big time slump here in NBA. Might give up on the season if it continues.


Today:

Minnesota at Houston - Under 234

[Dan Druff]

Avoided the worst beat of the season by the skin of my teeth. 207 total with 56s to play, in a 7-point game. Somehow 26 points scored and I had to fade the final shot to win the under.

Today:

Cleveland -3.5 at NY Knicks

[Dan Druff]

More:

Phoenix vs Charlotte - Under 226.5


Was looking at Pelicans under but it just went off the board.

[Dan Druff]

Split 1-1, winning the Phoenix under despite a 70-point 3rd.

Today:

Minnesota at New Orleans - Under 229

[Dan Druff]

Won yesterday

Boston vs New York - Under 221

[Dan Druff]

Lost yesterday.

Today:

Oklahoma City vs Cleveland - Under 222
Miami vs Orlando - Under 219 -112

[Dan Druff]

Won both yesterday.

Today:

Atlanta vs Clippers - Under 231.5

[Dan Druff]

Lost the under in ugly fashion, as it was on pace to win until last minute fouling got me, and I lost by 1.5.

Today:

Toronto +2 at Phoenix

[Dan Druff]

Toronto was getting beat down, then they came back and took a 5-point lead in the 3rd, and somehow managed to blow it, despite still being ahead in the final minutes. Game didn't end up that close.

Today:

Chicago vs Clippers - Under 225.5

[Dan Druff]

Won the Chicago under easily.

Today:

Boston vs Brooklyn - Under 224