Dan Druff's 2022-2023 NBA picks

[Dan Druff]

Golden State vs Portland - Over 233

[Dan Druff]

Lost in a heartbreaker, with a surprisingly slow 4th quarter.

Now 35-41-2, -7.52 units

[Dan Druff]

Chicago vs Cleveland - Under 224

[Dan Druff]

Winner. Had to fade OT happening, but it ended in regulation. Otherwise easy win.

Now 36-41-2, -6.61 units

[Dan Druff]

Battle of the two conference leaders.

Boston -2 -108 at Denver

Murray is questionable, Gordon is probable but hurting.


Also:

Memphis vs Sacramento - Under 238.5

[Dan Druff]

Split 'em, and neither were close. Sac under won, Boston lost.

Now 37-42-2, -6.70 units

Toronto -2 at Indiana

[Dan Druff]

More today:

Minnesota vs Denver - Under 232.5 (232 ok)
Clippers vs Miami - Under 218.5

[Dan Druff]

Phoenix at Cleveland - Under 216
Toronto vs Milwaukee - Under 224

[Dan Druff]

Wow... that Phoenix under pick looking great so far. 21 points in 10 minutes.

Here are two more picks, this time on sides:

Portland -1 at Minnesota
Miami -8.5 -109 at Lakers (Lebron, Walker, and of course still Davis OUT)

[redietz]

Wow... that Phoenix under pick looking great so far. 21 points in 10 minutes.

Here are two more picks, this time on sides:

Portland -1 at Minnesota
Miami -8.5 -109 at Lakers (Lebron, Walker, and of course still Davis OUT)

Dan,

I give your approach the thumbs up. Looking at the numbers as they sit right now for the season, I think all of the value is in the Unders going forward, at least in the immediate future. Also, the Laker game as a case in point, it looks as if the home underdogs have done so well that the opening lines have been distorted, so the value lies with the road favorites. You laid -8 1/2, but this line opened -5 or thereabouts. The line should never have been that low to open because it was fairly clear who was or wasn't playing.

[Dan Druff]

Sadly neither of my sides worked out. Portland had a comeback going but they blew it.

Both unders were easy covers, but I had to sweat the Bucks because it went to OT and almost to 2OT. Actually could've still covered the under in 2OT, but fortunately it ended at OT.

The other day, Clippers under covered, but Timberwolves under barely lost after looking good for awhile. Also lost the Toronto pick.

Now 40-46-2, -7.97 units

[redietz]

Well, I owe Dan a dinner. I never bet NBA, but I was intrigued by the home-dog distorted line angle and took the three road favorites tonight. All three cashed. If Dan weren't betting this stuff, I never would have noticed.

I didn't bet much (I never would on NBA), but it'll cover my next LV excursion.

[Dan Druff]

Be glad to meet you sometime, redeitz.

Here's an under:

Milwaukee vs Charlotte - Under 230 (Hayward OUT)

[Dan Druff]

Lost that one big.

Now 40-47-2, -8.97 units


Today:

Utah at Chicago - Over 239

[Dan Druff]

Utah/Chi had a bad first half (102), but ultimately it covered by 5.

Now 41-47-2, -8.06 units

[Dan Druff]

Last minute:

Oklahoma -4 -115 vs Dallas (Doncic out)

[Dan Druff]

Hopefully I'll finally catch fire in NBA. Just haven't had any kind of extended winning streak. I did win yesterday, with Oklahoma leading most of the way, coming up with an 11 point victory.

Now 42-47-2, -7.19 units

[Dan Druff]

PLOPPY MONDAY

Memphis -12 -115 vs San Antonio

[Dan Druff]

Memphis only won by 8, couldn't put shitty Spurs away

Now 42-48-2, -8.19 units

Today:

Oklahoma City +110 at Miami (Herro, Lowry, Martin, Adebayo OUT) (+2 ok)
Portland vs Orlando - Under 228.5

Miami has almost entire starting lineup out. OKC just beat a Dallas team missing Doncic. This is kinda similar.

[Dan Druff]

OKC up 7 with 1:42 and they blew it.

Even worse, they had the ball up 2 with 17s and turned it over.

112-111 final, heat win

So ugly

Went 1-1 yesterday (should've been 2-0).


Today:

Two unders.

Indiana at New York - Under 226.5
Miilwaukee at Atlanta - Under 227.5