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Thread: Stock Market Sentiment

  1. #1
    .

    since 1999, not including this year, the Dow has gone up in 17 years and down in 6 years
    this strong upward historical movement is also reflected in the S&P 500

    that's a very strong indication of the strength of the market as a whole

    this very interesting link tracks investor sentiment towards the future

    according to it:

    51.4% are now bullish - 27.1% are neutral - and 21.5% are bearish

    of course, the bulls could be wrong - but I don't believe this is meaningless - it has some value imo

    there is a great book by James Surowiecki called "The Wisdom of the Crowds"

    in the book he shows in various ways that the opinions of the masses very often turn out to be correct - often more correct than the opinions of so called experts



    https://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey

    .
    please don't feed the trolls

  2. #2
    Gold Don Perignom's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by Half Smoke View Post
    of course, the bulls could be wrong - but I don't believe this is meaningless - it has some value imo
    Yes, the value is that it's usually wrong. From your link:

    If you're looking at the AAII Investor Sentiment Survey for guidance on the possible future direction of the market, it's important to understand that it is deemed a contrarian indicator.

  3. #3
    The wisdom of the crowd is a true and tested phenomenon, however in the case of the Stock Market, I don't think you want to be doing what everyone else is doing. Especially since whatever godly-high percentage of people lose money.

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