Dan Druff's 2023-24 NFL picks

[Dan Druff]

Presently 7-4, +3.22 units after the ugly 0-3 last week.

[Dan Druff]

FOLKS

Everyone is ignoring the dual 0-3 shitshow game known as Vikings vs Panthers.

I am here to tell you that Kirk Cousins and the Vikings will finally get their victory today. They may have bricked it in the preseason AND the first three games of the regular season, but they're going to win this one.

I have no opinion on the other dual 0-3 shitshow, known as Bears versus Broncos.

Minnesota -4.5 at Carolina

[Dan Druff]

Okay, I got one more.

Philadelphia vs Washington - Under 43.5 -115

[Dan Druff]

Jets +8 -110 vs Kansas City

[Dan Druff]

Squeaaaaaaaaaaked by with 2 of the 3.

Minnesota was trailing and just looking horrible. Kirk Cousins threw TWO interceptions near the goal line, one which went for a return TD, and the other which went for a return FG. He also fumbled at the goal line.

But somehow Carolina's awfulness allowed Minnesota to escape 21-13 in a comeback victory, though they had to fade the final play where Carolina could have easily tied it.


I lost the Philly under.


Then later, the Jets fell behind 17-0, came back to make it 20-20, but again it came down to one of the final plays of the game. Chiefs had it 3rd and 8 on the 11 yard line, up 23-20. Mahomes got away and seemed sure to score a rushing TD with less than 2 minutes left, but instead he went down on purpose at the 2 yard line. Why? Because that gave KC a first down, and they were able to just knee it the rest of the way.

Ugly 2-1 day, but I'll take it.

Now 9-5, +4.04 units

[kewlJ]

Squeaaaaaaaaaaked by with 2 of the 3.

Minnesota was trailing and just looking horrible. Kirk Cousins threw TWO interceptions near the goal line, one which went for a return TD, and the other which went for a return FG. He also fumbled at the goal line.

But somehow Carolina's awfulness allowed Minnesota to escape 21-13 in a comeback victory, though they had to fade the final play where Carolina could have easily tied it.


I lost the Philly under.


Then later, the Jets fell behind 17-0, came back to make it 20-20, but again it came down to one of the final plays of the game. Chiefs had it 3rd and 8 on the 11 yard line, up 23-20. Mahomes got away and seemed sure to score a rushing TD with less than 2 minutes left, but instead he went down on purpose at the 2 yard line. Why? Because that gave KC a first down, and they were able to just knee it the rest of the way.

Ugly 2-1 day, but I'll take it.

Now 9-5, +4.04 units

I was a little surprised you took the Eagles/Wash under. I bleed Eagles green and the Eagles defense just in not very good. The only thing stopping them from being among the league worst is that the defensive line which is a strength creates a fumble or two among their sakes and there is often an interception also because of the defensive line pressure. So a couple turn overs keeps opponent's numbers down and even at that they give up 24 points a games. And the Eagles offense scores 30 a game and they aren't even playing as good as they can. So unless the O/U gets up over 50, I am taking the over.

I don't often pick against you, but with me making my picks on Friday night for the 5% vig, it is happening more and more this year. If you pick a team I have already picked, I will double up. But if you pick the opposite of what I have already bet, I just let my bet ride. That is the best I can do, taking advantage of your plays. Here is to hoping you keep it going.

[Dan Druff]

I predicted coming into this season that Minnesota would be a failteam, and indeed they are.

They finally got a victory last week after struggling through a game with terrible Carolina.

Somehow I'm dumb enough to pick them for a third time this year, and actually the moneyline against the mighty Chiefs.

Screw Taylor Swift.

For the moment, that's my only pick today.

Minnesota +160 vs Kansas City (+3 ok)

[Dan Druff]

Lost that Minnesota above... so why not go against the Chiefs again?

Anyway, I hate firing on bad teams, but I think this one will cover tonight.

Denver +10.5 -105 vs Kansas City

Kelce WILL play, in all likelihood, with a heavily taped sprained ankle. This could easily be a liability for KC.

[Dan Druff]

Tampa vs Detroit - Under 43.5 -110

[Dan Druff]

Denver -1 -110 vs Green Bay

[Dan Druff]

Green Bay +1 vs Minnesota
Houston vs Carolina - Over 43 -110

[Dan Druff]

Carolina +110 vs Indianapolis
Buffalo at Cincinnati - Over 50.5 -110

[Dan Druff]

Ouch... 0-2 above

Today:

Carolina +156 at Chicago

[Dan Druff]

Arizona vs Atlanta - Over 43.5 -110

[Dan Druff]

Won that over.

Tonight:

There has long been a discussion this season that the Bengals are overrated, even with Burrow recovering from his earlier calf injury.

Now there's talk that they are covering up something being wrong with his right hand: https://nypost.com/2023/11/16/sports...thing-on-hand/

Both the Bengals and Ravens are coming off disappointing losses as favorites on Sunday, with the Texans beating the Bengals (and eliminating us from the Circa Survivor contest), and the Browns slipping by the Ravens. Both teams were at home, and both games ended up close.

Bad right hand or not, I think this one goes to Baltimore.

Baltimore -3.5 -110 vs Cincinnati

[Don Perignom]

Now there's talk that they are covering up something being wrong with his right hand

According to lip readers, Burrow said "I felt a pop." Referring to his injury hopefully.

I only had a prop bet on the game, but got lucky. Needed Mark Andrews under 57.5, and fortunately the bulk of the receiving yards went to Odell Beckham. Andrews finished with only 23.

[Don Perignom]

Andrews finished with only 23.

This is what happens when you don't watch the games. I won my bet because Andrews was knocked out with a severe lower leg injury on a rough hit.

I didn't have anything to do with it.

Burrow is also out for the season, due to a "completely new injury."

[Dan Druff]

Rams -1.5 -112 vs Seattle

[Dan Druff]

Denver -2.5 -110 vs Minnesota

*** I have been very bad at Minnesota games this year

[Dan Druff]

Lost involving Minnesota again.

Thanksgiving:

Detroit -8 -110 vs Green Bay