3 Rookie first rounders starting today, so I thought I’d look at historical comparisons for passing yards. These bets are usually-115 so they suck from the start.
CJ Stroud Hou (vs Baltimore) O/U 197.5
Bryce Young Car (vs Atlanta) O/U 203.5
Richardson Indy (vs Jax) O/U 194.5
I pulled up some recent numbers that may be comparable in todays game as these are only rookies who started in Week 1
Cam Newton has the record of 422 in 2011
Trevor Lawrence 332 in 2021
Herbert 311 in 2020
K Murray 308 in 2019
Mac Jones 281 in 2021
Wentz 278 in 2016
Zach Wilson 258 in 2021
Sam Darnold 198 in 2018
Joe Burrow 193 in 2020
Some surprisingly high numbers there to me. In todays 3 games I like the under on Stroud & Richardson and over on Young. Others could believe the Texans and Colts as underdogs will fall behind and have to play catch-up. That’s why it’s called gambling.