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Thread: World Game Protection

  1. #1
    A few weeks ago I was tipped off that my name was mentioned in a podcast on multi-carders. So my first statement is I've always been a lone wolf advantage player. I've never multi-carded. No one has ever used my cards and I've never used anyone else's cards. I do not partner with anyone at gambling.

    Willie Allison is the person that mentioned my name. I have been following him on X for a couple of years. He reports crimes in and around casinos. He evidently follows me on X as he mentioned my name. Here's his bio:

    https://cdcgaming.com/commentary/fac...ection-leader/

    He podcasts with another casino surveillance expert name Darren Hoke. I'm going to try to post up some links to their podcasts. I think some of you will find some of them interesting.
    "More importantly, mickey thought 8-4 was two games over .500. Argued about it. C'mon, man. Nothing can top that for math expertise. If GWAE ever has you on again, you can be sure I'll be calling in with that gem.'Nuff said." REDIETZ

  2. #2
    How Slot Player Syndicates Are Fleecing Freeplay Promotions:

    https://fast.wistia.com/embed/channe...aid=b0gihuysjc
    Last edited by mickeycrimm; 09-30-2023 at 07:14 AM.
    "More importantly, mickey thought 8-4 was two games over .500. Argued about it. C'mon, man. Nothing can top that for math expertise. If GWAE ever has you on again, you can be sure I'll be calling in with that gem.'Nuff said." REDIETZ

  3. #3
    Casino Professional's Guide To Backing Off Card Counters. Bill Zender joins Willie and Darren in this podcast.

    https://fast.wistia.com/embed/channe...aid=gfrw47mija
    "More importantly, mickey thought 8-4 was two games over .500. Argued about it. C'mon, man. Nothing can top that for math expertise. If GWAE ever has you on again, you can be sure I'll be calling in with that gem.'Nuff said." REDIETZ

  4. #4
    How Easy Is It To Cheat Roll Playing Craps:

    https://fast.wistia.com/embed/channe...aid=je34ps46mo
    "More importantly, mickey thought 8-4 was two games over .500. Argued about it. C'mon, man. Nothing can top that for math expertise. If GWAE ever has you on again, you can be sure I'll be calling in with that gem.'Nuff said." REDIETZ

  5. #5
    How Much Of A Threat Is Visual Roulette Prediction?

    https://fast.wistia.com/embed/channe...aid=t75930grfi
    "More importantly, mickey thought 8-4 was two games over .500. Argued about it. C'mon, man. Nothing can top that for math expertise. If GWAE ever has you on again, you can be sure I'll be calling in with that gem.'Nuff said." REDIETZ

  6. #6
    The Pro And Cons Of Players Using Cell Phones at Tables:

    https://fast.wistia.com/embed/channe...aid=05628dp1c0
    "More importantly, mickey thought 8-4 was two games over .500. Argued about it. C'mon, man. Nothing can top that for math expertise. If GWAE ever has you on again, you can be sure I'll be calling in with that gem.'Nuff said." REDIETZ

  7. #7
    How Social Engineers Are Scamming Casino Cages:

    https://fast.wistia.com/embed/channe...aid=5ep9i67fne
    "More importantly, mickey thought 8-4 was two games over .500. Argued about it. C'mon, man. Nothing can top that for math expertise. If GWAE ever has you on again, you can be sure I'll be calling in with that gem.'Nuff said." REDIETZ

  8. #8
    What To Do If You Get Hit With Counterfeit Chips:

    https://fast.wistia.com/embed/channe...aid=e0c4m2u88k
    "More importantly, mickey thought 8-4 was two games over .500. Argued about it. C'mon, man. Nothing can top that for math expertise. If GWAE ever has you on again, you can be sure I'll be calling in with that gem.'Nuff said." REDIETZ

  9. #9
    It seems like a good listen; let's find out. (This is the multi-card one)

    Oh, right, you're not talking to me. Oh well. I'll talk to everyone else.

    INTRO-3:00: Well, there it is from a dark sider for any fucking retards who don't believe that substantial money is made by multi-carding. I really don't understand people who would claim this doesn't happen anyway.

    "In some cases, it can be as much as 200% advantage."

    What does he mean by that? Is he saying that the expectation is that the card runner will ultimately triple his coin-in? A 200% advantage would be I play $5,000 coin-in and my expectation is to profit $10,000.

    Hmm...I guess he might be right, in some cases. 200% of all initial coin-in sounds kind of high to me, though. Often more than 100% of all initial coin-in, for sure.

    3:00-5:00: He says that it would, "Have to be in that $100 average range," to generate offers. I assume he is referring to ADT. I don't even think that is strictly true unless some of the places I've done it simply treat everything as slots and grade the ADT as 10% of all coin-in. Even then, there are offers at tiers below the tier that I was doing there, which took less coin-in. He should just say it varies. There's really no minimum. Shit, there might even be some places thay would E-Mail you $5 Free Play, or something, even if you got a card without ever playing anything. Who knows? There's no one answer.

    5:00-8:00: All accurate.

    8:00-10:00: "The programs aren't designed to reward the player who takes advantage of it; the programs are designed to reward our loyal customers-the loyal customers who walk through our door and play every time."

    Why doesn't this guy just say to reward the long-term losing gamblers? REWARD!? They aren't, 'Designed,' to reward anyone. They are designed to create the perception of value for losing gamblers so that they will return. How disingenuous!

    10:00-17:00:. This is mostly fine. He does mention people just going up and saying, "My name is XXXXXX XXXXXX," and getting a player's club card without presenting ID. He says that's an exception to the rule, but that's one hell of a weird exception when it happens at all. What is someone running cards going to do? Is he saying they are going to try every Players Club representative until he gets the one that doesn't check ID? I guess that would be theoretically possible, but I seriously doubt it. Too much exposure to test a long shot outcome, for one thing.

    If I had to guess, when that happens at all, the players club representative almost certainly has to be in on it. It's not something that I think someone would risk exposure just to test all willy-nilly.

    After that, he talks about fake ID's. I don't think that happens often. I have certainly never seen that happen. For one thing, I think you're getting into criminal territory, at that point. The times I have actually gone to the desks and gotten cards, the person was the one doing it and presented their own ID. Generally, the individual is compensated for the card and agrees to what's going on. When I've taken people, without getting into too much detail, I've always given them an idea of what the benefit is to the purchaser. Even though I doubt anything worse than simply being 86'ed would ever happen to the cardholder, I do want them to be making an informed decision.

    Another thing that can sometimes happen is that hosts might print cards for people who have not arrived yet, but then that's on the host. Somebody could also know a host and get cards printed that way. Either way, anything that is NOT fake ID sounds like a staff training issue or surveillance/oversight issue...so you really can't blame the multi-card people for that.

    17:00-21:00: Haha! I know who he's talking about!

    21:00-22:00: I guess I don't know who he's talking about. The people I'm thinking of would not use fake ID's. Maybe he means THEIR OWN ID's are fake. I guess that's possible; how would I know?

    22:00-25:00:. This guy is mostly being fair, so far. If he just wanted to make folks look bad, then he would say people are using stolen cards. As he correctly points out, cards that have already been used wouldn't have any value to people unless they somehow knew the offers were good. They'd also have no way of changing the PIN as long as staff is doing their job. Finally, you'd have the problem that the person would likely complain about their offers being gone, then staff would go to surveillance and would see who used the card and would know the card had been stolen. That would cook an entire operation, potentially.

    So, I will say I appreciate him being honest and saying nobody is using stolen cards. Generally speaking, ignoring this fake ID thing...which I have literally never seen happen...these people give their permission for the AP's to use the cards. Obviously, the AP's HOPE that these people do not go in and claim their offers are being stolen. Any of these people getting the players cards, if they were underhanded, clever and savvy, could do just that and would end up with the offers.

    But, even that wouldn't make much sense for them to do. What would make the most sense is for them to simply change the PIN and ignore calls and texts, then they would get the offers.

    25:00-28:00: People who have never done anything along these lines will find these three minutes very interesting.

    28:00-31:00: A 5% edge is a lot. Almost as high as double-zero Roulette. I don't think there are very many people doing this at only 5%, all things considered. Way too low.

    31:00-35:00: The host suggests nobody is watching us because there's nothing to watch for. First of all, that's not strictly true. They start looking for us, but usually not until they have actually realized that they are being hit and have been being hit for quite some time. Secondly, depending on what, specifically, we are doing...or where we are at in the process...there are tells they could look for. We don't necessarily do things just like anyone else would. We try to blend, obviously, but there are some tells if you know what you're looking for.

    In fact, if someone is recruited to get a card (as opposed to already working with that person or team) then there are some smack you in the face obvious tells even when they are signing up for the card. I obviously won't say what those are, but they exist. The people would just have to know what to look for and actually document it.

    35:00-35:30 This host is obsessed with, 'Homeless people.' I'm sure you'd sometimes use homeless people, but generally, the people getting cards have not been homeless in anything I have participated in. Why would I go around asking random homeless people? No. They are not making $15/hour and the person whose name the card is in generally doesn't do any playing or touch any money. In fact, the playing is often not even done on the same day that the card is obtained...unless there's some sort of active promotion unrelated to backend mail.

    If I were to take someone out to Atlantic City, for example, 12 hours round trip, and they get food + $500, then that is $41.67/hour. They're also not homeless. They're just a person who could use $500 for one day of sitting in a car. You don't have to be homeless for that to have value to you.

    On a local play that needed cards, I think they were paying $75 per card and it was a total of an hour and a half for the people from my neck of the woods (at the time). That's $50/hour. That's also a decade ago. If the same play happened now, I would want that they be offered $125 MINIMUM or I would refuse to even ask anyone.

    35:00-39:00: MISSOURI!!!??? What's good in Missouri? I've never heard Missouri. Probably Harrah's NKC, or something, CET properties might still market completely independently in local/regional places, but if they don't now, they definitely did before.

    39:00-40:00: I told you guys the sky can see our phones. Some people didn't believe me that the cameras were good enough on that. Some people I've worked with have known that. They could also see them almost a decade ago. The guy being interviewed is right. I only know because I could almost do it with the hotel's cameras...and those cameras were shit. If it was a picture, I could zoom and tell what the picture was of. I couldn't quite read text, but that was usually because of glare. If I had any editing know-how, then I probably could have cleaned the glare up somehow.

    SO IF WE WORK ON ANYTHING ELSE QUIT FUCKING TEXTING ME WHEN I AM INSIDE!!! THE RESULTS WILL BE THE RESULTS. You know who you are. LOL

    40:00-43:00: Is it illegal? "No." This guy is fair. There are ways it could become illegal, which he gets into, but it is not illegal in and of itself.

    And it's ABSOLUTELY NOT FUCKING WIRE FRAUD!!! FUCK YOU, OCEAN RESORT ATLANTIC CITY SECURITY GUY!!! NO, I DON'T FEEL BAD FOR CALLING YOU THAT.

    43:00-45:00: I read that as he had forty cards on him when they popped him. Anyone interpret that differently? My advice is don't do that. You should have, at most, two on your person at any given time. Just imo.

    45:00-49:00 Some guys might already know this stuff, but even people on the AP end of things should listen to this. Do not do social media (publicly viewable) under your actual names. Or, if you do, DO NOT be friends with anyone on the socials who are in your operation.

    49:00-51:00: Smart. I'm shocked it took as long as it did for them to figure that one out.

    51:00: Well, anyone who wants to know a non-LV and non-AC area that was good can now. Probably still good. You're going to need to take some precautions since they're looking for it now.

    51:00-55:00: We call that, "No-Mailed." You're not 86'ed. Nice. One play I was on the casino just went absolutely nuclear with trespasses and almost certainly 86'ed people who had nothing to do with us, any other team and probably weren't even actually trying to exploit the promotion! LOL. I'm not laughing at the people; I'm just laughing that the casino would do that.

    55:00-55:30: I think they're more worried about their name (and maybe picture) hitting searchable things that they are a petty charge for defiant trespass.

    Good recommendation, Mick; it is weird that you were brought up. I guess they were just naming someone who discusses plays. Yeah, I've never heard of you to multi-card.

    I'd recommend this for everyone. Most people who have done this won't learn anything new. Maybe one or two things. Great video for people who don't know how it works.
    Last edited by Mission146; 09-30-2023 at 10:04 AM.

  10. #10
    About multi carding, Darkoz said he started multicarding when he had basically lost ALL of his money in a Casino and was already on the bus headed home and realized he forgot his Player's Club Card in his machine. He went back to the Casino and lo and behold, some random gambler was playing hard on his Player's Club Card without even realizing it. Darkoz said that the random gambler earned him like $50 in points and $50 in free play when he was basically broke before the random gambler played hard on his Player's Club Card and that's how he got the idea to do the multi carding thing. IIRC, a bunch of his acquaintances play on each other's cards or something like that and split the promotional profits like free play or something like that .
    https://photos.app.goo.gl/Zk2WAFzDcrJ7pjNB7

    Take comfort in the fact that no one is actually backing up his wishes to have you permanantly banned.


    Smart is knowing a Tomato is a fruit.

    Wise is knowing a Tomato doesn't belong in a fruit salad.



    I am glad to get my full posting rights back! Thank you Dan!

  11. #11
    Something like that. Watch the video; you'll like it.

  12. #12
    Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post
    A few weeks ago I was tipped off that my name was mentioned in a podcast on multi-carders. So my first statement is I've always been a lone wolf advantage player. I've never multi-carded. No one has ever used my cards and I've never used anyone else's cards. I do not partner with anyone at gambling.

    Willie Allison is the person that mentioned my name. I have been following him on X for a couple of years. He reports crimes in and around casinos. He evidently follows me on X as he mentioned my name. Here's his bio:

    https://cdcgaming.com/commentary/fac...ection-leader/

    He podcasts with another casino surveillance expert name Darren Hoke. I'm going to try to post up some links to their podcasts. I think some of you will find some of them interesting.
    Thanks Mickey. It looks like he has non-podcast videos which are also interesting:
    https://www.willyallison.com/videos

    Name:  3QDHNnN.png
Views: 458
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  13. #13
    Here's a quote of Coach Belly in another thread:

    "Within the first 2 minutes of the podcast, the guest asserts that coin-in creates an illusion of play. I wonder what constitutes actual play, if coin-in is an illusion."

    Darren Hoke could have explained it better.

    A knowledgeable player goes into a casino and signs up for the card. He then goes and finds a $5 denom video poker game around 98%. He sits down and runs about 100K in action. Probably take him about 6 hours. The theoretical loss on the 100K wager is 2K but there is going to be some fluctuation to it.

    What Hoke was talking about was how one creates the ILLUSION of being a sucker gambler running a big wager in a short amount of time on a 98% game. That "sucker" is the type of player they want in the casino.

    About a month later he gets a mail offer for 1K per week in freeplay. They don't know that this player is just going to run off the 1K per week in freeplay, without giving any other action, for as long as they send it. It could be 3 months, or 6 months, even longer.

    So for 3 months he would get 12K in freeplay. All for a theoretical 2K upfront loss. It works out to about a 10% edge. For 6 months it's over 22%.

    This is how it worked when it first started. Who knows all the tricks the multi-carders have today.
    Last edited by mickeycrimm; 10-02-2023 at 04:20 PM.
    "More importantly, mickey thought 8-4 was two games over .500. Argued about it. C'mon, man. Nothing can top that for math expertise. If GWAE ever has you on again, you can be sure I'll be calling in with that gem.'Nuff said." REDIETZ

  14. #14
    Originally Posted by Mission146 View Post
    It seems like a good listen; let's find out. (This is the multi-card one)

    Oh, right, you're not talking to me. Oh well. I'll talk to everyone else.

    INTRO-3:00: Well, there it is from a dark sider for any fucking retards who don't believe that substantial money is made by multi-carding. I really don't understand people who would claim this doesn't happen anyway.

    "In some cases, it can be as much as 200% advantage."

    What does he mean by that? Is he saying that the expectation is that the card runner will ultimately triple his coin-in? A 200% advantage would be I play $5,000 coin-in and my expectation is to profit $10,000.

    Hmm...I guess he might be right, in some cases. 200% of all initial coin-in sounds kind of high to me, though. Often more than 100% of all initial coin-in, for sure.

    3:00-5:00: He says that it would, "Have to be in that $100 average range," to generate offers. I assume he is referring to ADT. I don't even think that is strictly true unless some of the places I've done it simply treat everything as slots and grade the ADT as 10% of all coin-in. Even then, there are offers at tiers below the tier that I was doing there, which took less coin-in. He should just say it varies. There's really no minimum. Shit, there might even be some places thay would E-Mail you $5 Free Play, or something, even if you got a card without ever playing anything. Who knows? There's no one answer.

    5:00-8:00: All accurate.

    8:00-10:00: "The programs aren't designed to reward the player who takes advantage of it; the programs are designed to reward our loyal customers-the loyal customers who walk through our door and play every time."

    Why doesn't this guy just say to reward the long-term losing gamblers? REWARD!? They aren't, 'Designed,' to reward anyone. They are designed to create the perception of value for losing gamblers so that they will return. How disingenuous!

    10:00-17:00:. This is mostly fine. He does mention people just going up and saying, "My name is XXXXXX XXXXXX," and getting a player's club card without presenting ID. He says that's an exception to the rule, but that's one hell of a weird exception when it happens at all. What is someone running cards going to do? Is he saying they are going to try every Players Club representative until he gets the one that doesn't check ID? I guess that would be theoretically possible, but I seriously doubt it. Too much exposure to test a long shot outcome, for one thing.

    If I had to guess, when that happens at all, the players club representative almost certainly has to be in on it. It's not something that I think someone would risk exposure just to test all willy-nilly.

    After that, he talks about fake ID's. I don't think that happens often. I have certainly never seen that happen. For one thing, I think you're getting into criminal territory, at that point. The times I have actually gone to the desks and gotten cards, the person was the one doing it and presented their own ID. Generally, the individual is compensated for the card and agrees to what's going on. When I've taken people, without getting into too much detail, I've always given them an idea of what the benefit is to the purchaser. Even though I doubt anything worse than simply being 86'ed would ever happen to the cardholder, I do want them to be making an informed decision.

    Another thing that can sometimes happen is that hosts might print cards for people who have not arrived yet, but then that's on the host. Somebody could also know a host and get cards printed that way. Either way, anything that is NOT fake ID sounds like a staff training issue or surveillance/oversight issue...so you really can't blame the multi-card people for that.

    17:00-21:00: Haha! I know who he's talking about!

    21:00-22:00: I guess I don't know who he's talking about. The people I'm thinking of would not use fake ID's. Maybe he means THEIR OWN ID's are fake. I guess that's possible; how would I know?

    22:00-25:00:. This guy is mostly being fair, so far. If he just wanted to make folks look bad, then he would say people are using stolen cards. As he correctly points out, cards that have already been used wouldn't have any value to people unless they somehow knew the offers were good. They'd also have no way of changing the PIN as long as staff is doing their job. Finally, you'd have the problem that the person would likely complain about their offers being gone, then staff would go to surveillance and would see who used the card and would know the card had been stolen. That would cook an entire operation, potentially.

    So, I will say I appreciate him being honest and saying nobody is using stolen cards. Generally speaking, ignoring this fake ID thing...which I have literally never seen happen...these people give their permission for the AP's to use the cards. Obviously, the AP's HOPE that these people do not go in and claim their offers are being stolen. Any of these people getting the players cards, if they were underhanded, clever and savvy, could do just that and would end up with the offers.

    But, even that wouldn't make much sense for them to do. What would make the most sense is for them to simply change the PIN and ignore calls and texts, then they would get the offers.

    25:00-28:00: People who have never done anything along these lines will find these three minutes very interesting.

    28:00-31:00: A 5% edge is a lot. Almost as high as double-zero Roulette. I don't think there are very many people doing this at only 5%, all things considered. Way too low.

    31:00-35:00: The host suggests nobody is watching us because there's nothing to watch for. First of all, that's not strictly true. They start looking for us, but usually not until they have actually realized that they are being hit and have been being hit for quite some time. Secondly, depending on what, specifically, we are doing...or where we are at in the process...there are tells they could look for. We don't necessarily do things just like anyone else would. We try to blend, obviously, but there are some tells if you know what you're looking for.

    In fact, if someone is recruited to get a card (as opposed to already working with that person or team) then there are some smack you in the face obvious tells even when they are signing up for the card. I obviously won't say what those are, but they exist. The people would just have to know what to look for and actually document it.

    35:00-35:30 This host is obsessed with, 'Homeless people.' I'm sure you'd sometimes use homeless people, but generally, the people getting cards have not been homeless in anything I have participated in. Why would I go around asking random homeless people? No. They are not making $15/hour and the person whose name the card is in generally doesn't do any playing or touch any money. In fact, the playing is often not even done on the same day that the card is obtained...unless there's some sort of active promotion unrelated to backend mail.

    If I were to take someone out to Atlantic City, for example, 12 hours round trip, and they get food + $500, then that is $41.67/hour. They're also not homeless. They're just a person who could use $500 for one day of sitting in a car. You don't have to be homeless for that to have value to you.

    On a local play that needed cards, I think they were paying $75 per card and it was a total of an hour and a half for the people from my neck of the woods (at the time). That's $50/hour. That's also a decade ago. If the same play happened now, I would want that they be offered $125 MINIMUM or I would refuse to even ask anyone.

    35:00-39:00: MISSOURI!!!??? What's good in Missouri? I've never heard Missouri. Probably Harrah's NKC, or something, CET properties might still market completely independently in local/regional places, but if they don't now, they definitely did before.

    39:00-40:00: I told you guys the sky can see our phones. Some people didn't believe me that the cameras were good enough on that. Some people I've worked with have known that. They could also see them almost a decade ago. The guy being interviewed is right. I only know because I could almost do it with the hotel's cameras...and those cameras were shit. If it was a picture, I could zoom and tell what the picture was of. I couldn't quite read text, but that was usually because of glare. If I had any editing know-how, then I probably could have cleaned the glare up somehow.

    SO IF WE WORK ON ANYTHING ELSE QUIT FUCKING TEXTING ME WHEN I AM INSIDE!!! THE RESULTS WILL BE THE RESULTS. You know who you are. LOL

    40:00-43:00: Is it illegal? "No." This guy is fair. There are ways it could become illegal, which he gets into, but it is not illegal in and of itself.

    And it's ABSOLUTELY NOT FUCKING WIRE FRAUD!!! FUCK YOU, OCEAN RESORT ATLANTIC CITY SECURITY GUY!!! NO, I DON'T FEEL BAD FOR CALLING YOU THAT.

    43:00-45:00: I read that as he had forty cards on him when they popped him. Anyone interpret that differently? My advice is don't do that. You should have, at most, two on your person at any given time. Just imo.

    45:00-49:00 Some guys might already know this stuff, but even people on the AP end of things should listen to this. Do not do social media (publicly viewable) under your actual names. Or, if you do, DO NOT be friends with anyone on the socials who are in your operation.

    49:00-51:00: Smart. I'm shocked it took as long as it did for them to figure that one out.

    51:00: Well, anyone who wants to know a non-LV and non-AC area that was good can now. Probably still good. You're going to need to take some precautions since they're looking for it now.

    51:00-55:00: We call that, "No-Mailed." You're not 86'ed. Nice. One play I was on the casino just went absolutely nuclear with trespasses and almost certainly 86'ed people who had nothing to do with us, any other team and probably weren't even actually trying to exploit the promotion! LOL. I'm not laughing at the people; I'm just laughing that the casino would do that.

    55:00-55:30: I think they're more worried about their name (and maybe picture) hitting searchable things that they are a petty charge for defiant trespass.

    Good recommendation, Mick; it is weird that you were brought up. I guess they were just naming someone who discusses plays. Yeah, I've never heard of you to multi-card.

    I'd recommend this for everyone. Most people who have done this won't learn anything new. Maybe one or two things. Great video for people who don't know how it works.
    Lol if I wasn’t so paranoid we could shared info and my guy on the ground in AC could have worked with you. Maybe I wouldn’t have left 250k on the table after The shit hit the fan. Hall of fame play a few years back.

    O and I wouldn’t leave my house for a 5 percent edge

  15. #15
    Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post
    Here's a quote of Coach Belly in another thread:

    "Within the first 2 minutes of the podcast, the guest asserts that coin-in creates an illusion of play. I wonder what constitutes actual play, if coin-in is an illusion."

    Darren Hoke could have explained it better.

    A knowledgeable player goes into a casino and signs up for the card. He then goes and finds a $5 denom video poker game around 98%. He sits down and runs about 100K in action. Probably take him about 6 hours. The theoretical loss on the 100K wager is 2K but there is going to be some fluctuation to it.

    What Hoke was talking about was how one creates the ILLUSION of being a sucker gambler running a big wager in a short amount of time on a 98% game. That "sucker" is the type of player they want in the casino.

    About a month later he gets a mail offer for 1K per week in freeplay. They don't know that this player is just going to run off the 1K per week in freeplay, without giving any other action, for as long as they send it. It could be 3 months, or 6 months, even longer.

    So for 3 months he would get 12K in freeplay. All for a theoretical 2K upfront loss. It works out to about a 10% edge. For 6 months it's over 22%.

    This is how it worked when it first started. Who knows all the tricks the multi-carders have today.
    Sorry, but what casino will take you for a big loser until you do? Wishful thinking.

    Certainly, not enough whales around for the casinos to thus act up even if a few fakes slide through.

    But even then, every one and his monkey would be doing it.
    Garnabby + OppsIdidItAgain + ThomasClines (or TomasHClines) + The Grim Reaper + LMR + OneHitWonder + Bill Yung + 1HitWonder ---> GOTTLOB1 = Praise to God!

    Blog at https://garnabby.blogspot.com/2023/08/blog-post.html

  16. #16
    Originally Posted by Gottlob1 View Post
    Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post
    Here's a quote of Coach Belly in another thread:

    "Within the first 2 minutes of the podcast, the guest asserts that coin-in creates an illusion of play. I wonder what constitutes actual play, if coin-in is an illusion."

    Darren Hoke could have explained it better.

    A knowledgeable player goes into a casino and signs up for the card. He then goes and finds a $5 denom video poker game around 98%. He sits down and runs about 100K in action. Probably take him about 6 hours. The theoretical loss on the 100K wager is 2K but there is going to be some fluctuation to it.

    What Hoke was talking about was how one creates the ILLUSION of being a sucker gambler running a big wager in a short amount of time on a 98% game. That "sucker" is the type of player they want in the casino.

    About a month later he gets a mail offer for 1K per week in freeplay. They don't know that this player is just going to run off the 1K per week in freeplay, without giving any other action, for as long as they send it. It could be 3 months, or 6 months, even longer.

    So for 3 months he would get 12K in freeplay. All for a theoretical 2K upfront loss. It works out to about a 10% edge. For 6 months it's over 22%.

    This is how it worked when it first started. Who knows all the tricks the multi-carders have today.
    Sorry, but what casino will take you for a big loser until you do? Wishful thinking. Certainly, not enough whales around for the casinos to thus act up even if a few fakes slide through. But even then, every one and his monkey would be doing it.
    When you are a new player they are not looking at what you won or lost because, with the variance involved, it's not really a good indicator. They look at the amount of your wager and their theoretical edge against you.

    Did you not listen to the podcast? It's two casino security experts talking about how the casinos are getting fleeced by knowledgeable players working freeplay.
    "More importantly, mickey thought 8-4 was two games over .500. Argued about it. C'mon, man. Nothing can top that for math expertise. If GWAE ever has you on again, you can be sure I'll be calling in with that gem.'Nuff said." REDIETZ

  17. #17
    Originally Posted by Seedvalue View Post

    Lol if I wasn’t so paranoid we could shared info and my guy on the ground in AC could have worked with you. Maybe I wouldn’t have left 250k on the table after The shit hit the fan. Hall of fame play a few years back.

    O and I wouldn’t leave my house for a 5 percent edge
    Paranoid? You and me both. LOL.

  18. #18
    Originally Posted by Gottlob1 View Post
    Sorry, but what casino will take you for a big loser until you do? Wishful thinking.

    Certainly, not enough whales around for the casinos to thus act up even if a few fakes slide through.

    But even then, every one and his monkey would be doing it.
    That's not true for several different reasons:

    1. You could spell out EXACTLY how to do it, exact machines and exact coin-in numbers---and half of the idiot trolls who populate non-WoV Forums would still simply deny that any of it is true. That's despite the fact that now you have a Dark Sider directly saying it's true. I'm not calling you an idiot, by the way; I don't recall if you ever said we were lying about shit.

    2. People have holes. Even many AP's have huge holes. If there's someone who loses all of his money to casinos NOW that person could get into multi-carding (or just trying to run one card profitably) and that person would STILL, most likely, lose all of his money to casinos.

    Even some of the guys that do this have significant holes. Often Table Games, but I've also known someone who plays UX for no reason sometimes. Another one where I have seen a guy (who wasn't a multi-carder) donk off his money was the Electronic Roulette with the big titties, of all things. Double-fucking-zero. Didn't even have his card in. Imagine my disappointment! I thought he must have found the glitch of a lifetime. Nope. Just playing the damn thing.

    3. Most people would have neither the desire nor the discipline to hit them particularly hard. If you count travel time, doing MC is more than full-time hours for a lot of these guys.

    4. Casinos just care about coin-in and typically generate offers based on ADT, which means Average Daily Theoretical. If you only gamble there one day on a card, and hit the top tier (or second top tier) for ADT, then you are going to get offers accordingly. The casino doesn't generate the offers expecting them to all get, 'Picked up,' and even if a casual gambler did, then the offers are generated on the notion that the player will maintain that sort of ADT every visit.

    It's a system that works fine probably more than 90% of the time. Even if a casual gambler picked up the offers and bounced every time, it wouldn't really hurt the casinos. If he played, but played significantly less, then his offers would go down with the next set of offers, which we call a, 'Cycle' of offers. That's what I call it, anyway.

    There are even some casinos where you can maintain a card level profitably, but you're taking a thimble of water out of the ocean if you're doing that. They'd never notice or care about you.

    Anyway, that's how the casinos market. You have a casino guy telling you that's how they market. You can be like some of these other retards, or not be like them; the choice is yours.

    As a side point, some casinos only care about coin-in (and don't really differentiate ADT by game type) or care about ADT, but since they just give a flat percentage ADT based on coin-in (because they don't care about game type) it accomplishes the same thing for the card runner. That's probably more common in less sophisticated (system) casinos.

    Another exception is some casinos, though this one is REALLY rare, do care about actual loss. Of course, there are ways to make it look like you lost more than you did---as far as what the card would say you lost.
    Last edited by Mission146; 10-03-2023 at 07:45 AM.

  19. #19
    Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post
    Originally Posted by Gottlob1 View Post
    Sorry, but what casino will take you for a big loser until you do? Wishful thinking. Certainly, not enough whales around for the casinos to thus act up even if a few fakes slide through. But even then, every one and his monkey would be doing it.
    When you are a new player they are not looking at what you won or lost because, with the variance involved, it's not really a good indicator. They look at the amount of your wager and their theoretical edge against you.

    Did you not listen to the podcast? It's two casino security experts talking about how the casinos are getting fleeced by knowledgeable players working freeplay.
    Ah, but the variance, however large, isn't a factor in determining what you've won, or lost. I mean, after you've, say, lost X dollars, then the next set of spins or whatever are still independent events. You might say that things will work out to a particular amount up, or down, within the next set, too, but, that would be a whole new, independent set of results. Hence, it's not quite right to claim that if a player loses X dollars after so many spins, if not that many, relatively speaking, then things will level off with the next set of spins.

    No, I didn't watch the video, but, Mission doesn't appear to be making a lot of money by it, and, Seedvalue, a lot more talk than money.
    Garnabby + OppsIdidItAgain + ThomasClines (or TomasHClines) + The Grim Reaper + LMR + OneHitWonder + Bill Yung + 1HitWonder ---> GOTTLOB1 = Praise to God!

    Blog at https://garnabby.blogspot.com/2023/08/blog-post.html

  20. #20
    Originally Posted by Gottlob1 View Post
    Ah, but the variance, however large, isn't a factor in determining what you've won, or lost. I mean, after you've, say, lost X dollars, then the next set of spins or whatever are still independent events. You might say that things will work out to a particular amount up, or down, within the next set, too, but, that would be a whole new, independent set of results. Hence, it's not quite right to claim that if a player loses X dollars after so many spins, if not that many, relatively speaking, then things will level off with the next set of spins.

    No, I didn't watch the video, but, Mission doesn't appear to be making a lot of money by it, and, Seedvalue, a lot of talk.
    Did I claim to be making a lot of money?

    First, I don't really give a shit about money.

    Second, I haven't multi-carded for my own purposes for years.

    Third, when I did multi-card for myself, it was an intentionally very small setup. I figured I'd just fly under the radar. I worked basically alone on it.

    Fourth, I make about half of my money writing.

    Fifth, online is pretty good right now and PA skill games have been pretty decent.

    Sixth, I really don't like spending a lot of time in casinos. It depresses me, mostly.

    So, I've never done anything large scale as the top guy. I have no desire to do so. Even if I could make huge money, what would I need any of it for? What would I do with it? I'm perfectly happy just to get by and have more time for intellectual pursuits of more interest to me, thank you. I have no desire to get rich; it's just a job gambling/writing and that's how I treat it. Guys like SeedValue, and others, live for this shit---he'll tell you as much.
    Last edited by Mission146; 10-03-2023 at 07:47 AM.

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