Dan Druff's 2023-2024 NBA picks

[Dan Druff]

Atlanta vs Denver - Over 242 -105

[Dan Druff]

Sacramento vs OKC - Over 244.5 -110

[Dan Druff]

Last minute NBA over

Denver vs Oklahoma City - Over 238.5 -110

[Dan Druff]

Results (All spreads/totals are unless otherwise stated)

11/15:
Washington vs Dallas - Over 243 - W +0.91
Lakers vs Sacramento - Over 235.5 - L -1.00

11/17:
Sacramento vs San Antonio - Over 238 - W +0.91
Atlanta vs Philadelphia - Over 236 - W +0.91
Milwaukee vs Charlotte - Over 240.5 - L -1.00
Utah vs Phoenix - Over 237 - W +0.91

11/20: Milwaukee at Washnington - Over 245 - W +0.91
11/21: Lakers vs Utah - Over 237.5 - L -1.00

11/22:
Atlanta vs Washington - Over 237 - W +0.91
Toronto at Indiana - Over 241 - W +0.91
Lakers vs Dallas - Over 240.5 - L -1.00

11/24:
Washington at Milwaukee - Over 246.5 - W +0.91
San Antonio at Golden State - Over 236 - L -1.00

11/25:
Atlanta at Washington - Over 250.5 - L -1.00
Dallas at Clippers - Over 237.5 - L -1.00

11/27: Detroit vs Washington - Over 237.5 - L -1.00
11/28: Atlanta at Cleveland - Over 237.5 - L -1.00
11/30: Atlanta at San Antonio - Over 248 -105 - W +0.95
12/1: San Antonio at New Orleans - Over 237.5 -107 - L -1.00
12/4: Kings vs Pelicans - Over 238.5 - W +0.91

12/6:
Toronto -4 vs Miami - L -1.00
Washington vs Philadelphia - Over 242 -115 - W +0.87

12/11: Atlanta vs Denver - Over 242 -105 - W +0.95
12/14: Sacramento vs OKC - Over 244.5 - W +0.91
12/16: Denver vs Oklahoma City - Over 238.5 - L -1.00

TOTAL: 13-12, -0.13 units

[Dan Druff]

Detroit at Atlanta - Over 246.5 -115
Washington at Sacramento - Over 249.5

[Dan Druff]

Hit 'em both to put me back up for the season.

Now 15-12, +1.65 units

[Dan Druff]

Washington at Portland - Over 238.5

[Dan Druff]

Memphis at New Orleans - Over 229.5

(yes this is my first over which isn't 235+)

[Dan Druff]

Got super lucky to win yesterday. Had 196 with 1:45 left.

Today:

NBA 241 OVERS

Toronto at Washington - Over 241
New York at OKC - Over 241

[Dan Druff]

Results:

Washington at Portland - Over 238.5 - L -1.00
Memphis at New Orleans - Over 229.5 - W +0.91
Toronto at Washington - Over 241 - L -1.00
New York at OKC - Over 241 - W +0.91

Total: 2-2, -0.18

Grand total: 17-14, +1.47 units

[Dan Druff]

San Antonio at Memphis - Over 236

[Dan Druff]

Detroit at Utah - over 240.5
Portland at Dallas - over 240

[Dan Druff]

Lakers vs Toronto - Over 236 -113 (236.5 -110 ok)

[Dan Druff]

Horrible first half, sub-100 coming into final minute. Yet it covered by 27. Go figure.

Today:

I hate lines over 250.

With that said, these two teams play basically zero defense. This one justifies the high line.

Washington at Indiana - Over 252 -115

[Dan Druff]

Lost big time yesterday on that pick.

Today, over on all 4 remaining games:

Milwaukee vs Boston - Over 247
Oklahoma City vs Portland - Over 236.5
Dallas vs New York - Over 233.5
Lakers vs Phoenix - Over 238.5

[Dan Druff]

Milwaukee vs Boston - Over 247 - L
Oklahoma City vs Portland - Over 236.5 - L
Dallas vs New York - Over 233.5 - W
Lakers vs Phoenix - Over 238.5 - screw job, had 236 with 91s and 2 free throws coming - L

Today:

The time for the end of NBA overs has come near. I stated about 8 weeks ago that the totals would substantially rise to account for the change in scoring, and indeed now we are seeing totals over 260, and over 240 is commonplace.

Yesterday I went 1-3, though honestly I deserved 2-2. Lakers game had 91s left, total was 236, and 2 free throws were being shot. Missed both, and everything else missed. Needed 239.

Anyway, I'm going with one today, and ignoring the Pacers/Hawks game, regardless of how tempting.

Toronto at Utah - Over 242.5 -108

[Dan Druff]

2023: 17-14, +1.47 units

2024:

1/2: San Antonio at Memphis - Over 236 - L -1.00

1/3:
Detroit at Utah - over 240.5 - W +0.91
Portland at Dallas - over 240 - L -1.00

1/9: Lakers vs Toronto - Over 236 -113 - W +0.88

1/10: Washington at Indiana - Over 252 -115 - L -1.00

1/11:
Milwaukee vs Boston - Over 247 - L -1.00
Oklahoma City vs Portland - Over 236.5 - L -1.00
Dallas vs New York - Over 233.5 - W +0.91
Lakers vs Phoenix - Over 238.5 - L -1.00

1/12: Toronto at Utah - Over 242.5 -108 - W +0.93

2024 subtotal: 4-6, -2.37 units

Grand total: 21-20, -0.90 units

[Dan Druff]

It's 2024 and every NBA team scores a ton, right?

Not so fast. In 3 of the past 6 Magic games, the total has been under 200. 5 of the past 6 under 211.

In 4 of the past 6 Cavs games, their opponent has scored 95 or fewer points.

Now these two are facing off. 215.5 is a great buy.

Orlando vs Cleveland - Under 215.5 -115

[Dan Druff]

Lost yesterday.

Indiana vs Denver - Under 237 +100

Starting soon

[Dan Druff]

Lakers at Houston - Over 235