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Thread: Advantage Keno Play

  1. #1
    So, I found a huge advantage play in a live keno game. Who would be the best person to direct me on how to exploit it? Rob Singer? Someone else here? Should I just reveal it here and get everyone's advice or keep it to myself and one or two of you experts? Decisions, decisions. I'll go with whatever the group suggests.

  2. #2
    Originally Posted by unowme View Post
    Should I just reveal it here.
    Yes...just reveal it here.

  3. #3
    What a disappointment. i thought you all were a bunch of sharps looking for an edge. And I come here offering to share my discovery with the group and only coach belly has any intellectual curiosity. I guess you're all more interested in insulting each other than discussing how to take advantage of a flawed game.

    Since there doesn't appear to be anyone else who is interested in the potential for free money, I guess I'll just have to share what I have found only with 'coach belly' via private message. I only ask that he review my findings and report back to this thread that indeed "I found a huge advantage play in a live keno game" exactly as I stated in the first sentence of this thread. Maybe I'll give it one more day in the off chance there's another 'playa' here.

  4. #4
    If you really have such a thing, and this isn't a troll job, feel free to PM it to me.

    Or just post it here.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  5. #5
    Originally Posted by unowme View Post
    What a disappointment. i thought you all were a bunch of sharps looking for an edge. And I come here offering to share my discovery with the group and only coach belly has any intellectual curiosity. I guess you're all more interested in insulting each other than discussing how to take advantage of a flawed game.

    Since there doesn't appear to be anyone else who is interested in the potential for free money, I guess I'll just have to share what I have found only with 'coach belly' via private message. I only ask that he review my findings and report back to this thread that indeed "I found a huge advantage play in a live keno game" exactly as I stated in the first sentence of this thread. Maybe I'll give it one more day in the off chance there's another 'playa' here.
    It's probably more people are wondering how you could recognize an advantage without being able to figure out how to profit from it. Now if you are trying to figure out how to get maximum value before whatever the advantage is gets taken away. Then that's a different question. Anyhow, it's up to you to decide what you want to do.

    Keep in mind disclosing anything on a public forum is never going to be beneficial to an advantage player. Unless you want to have a pack of locusts eating every blade of grass related to whatever play you are disclosing.....RIP
    FraudJ's word is worth less than the prop cash in Singer's safe...RIP

  6. #6
    Originally Posted by unowme View Post
    What a disappointment. i thought you all were a bunch of sharps looking for an edge. And I come here offering to share my discovery with the group and only coach belly has any intellectual curiosity. I guess you're all more interested in insulting each other than discussing how to take advantage of a flawed game.

    Since there doesn't appear to be anyone else who is interested in the potential for free money, I guess I'll just have to share what I have found only with 'coach belly' via private message. I only ask that he review my findings and report back to this thread that indeed "I found a huge advantage play in a live keno game" exactly as I stated in the first sentence of this thread. Maybe I'll give it one more day in the off chance there's another 'playa' here.
    It's pretty simple:

    1.) I saw this, but I wasn't going to bother to log in (phone) just to respond. I couldn't do the math on my phone anyway and going to bed at a reasonable time (relative to when I saw it) was more important to me than doing free math work, sorry.

    2.) I don't know you that well, so it seemed like a possible troll.

    3.) If you're not going to reveal it publicly, then I have no interest. I don't want it shared with me privately because there's a high probability that, should anyone else figure it out, I'll be blamed for sharing it even if I didn't.

    With that, if you want to post it publicly, I am happy to look at it. If you want to later Edit the post if we find that it's good, perhaps Druff would allow for that.

  7. #7
    Originally Posted by MaxPen View Post
    It's probably more people are wondering how you could recognize an advantage without being able to figure out how to profit from it. Now if you are trying to figure out how to get maximum value before whatever the advantage is gets taken away. Then that's a different question.
    .
    Actually that was my exact question....advice on how you would exploit it. I gamble once a year, but I do math every day. And you're right about maybe not publishing it in an open forum. It doesn't really impact me since I wouldn't be able to really take advantage of it anyway, I thought it would be cool to give it to a few people who might be able to. Advantage casino play is just not my bag except for once a year and then it's for very small stakes and fun. I did send it to Dan to see if he agrees that I observed a really interesting phenomenon that could potentially be exploited. We'll see what he says about it.

  8. #8
    Originally Posted by Mission146 View Post

    It's pretty simple:

    1.) I saw this, but I wasn't going to bother to log in (phone) just to respond. I couldn't do the math on my phone anyway and going to bed at a reasonable time (relative to when I saw it) was more important to me than doing free math work, sorry.
    I know the math. I live for math. I just didn't know the best way to take advantage of the situation.

  9. #9
    Originally Posted by unowme View Post
    Originally Posted by Mission146 View Post

    It's pretty simple:

    1.) I saw this, but I wasn't going to bother to log in (phone) just to respond. I couldn't do the math on my phone anyway and going to bed at a reasonable time (relative to when I saw it) was more important to me than doing free math work, sorry.
    I know the math. I live for math. I just didn't know the best way to take advantage of the situation.
    In terms of looking for the best angle? If you post it publicly, then I'm happy to offer my opinion.

  10. #10
    Originally Posted by unowme View Post
    What a disappointment. i thought you all were a bunch of sharps looking for an edge. And I come here offering to share my discovery with the group and only coach belly has any intellectual curiosity. I guess you're all more interested in insulting each other than discussing how to take advantage of a flawed game.

    Since there doesn't appear to be anyone else who is interested in the potential for free money, I guess I'll just have to share what I have found only with 'coach belly' via private message. I only ask that he review my findings and report back to this thread that indeed "I found a huge advantage play in a live keno game" exactly as I stated in the first sentence of this thread. Maybe I'll give it one more day in the off chance there's another 'playa' here.
    Don't feel bad. I posted about an offshore sports book that offered up to matching $200 free play back if you lost the Monday Night game. And they were doing it every week! Nobody even said "Thanks!"

    The result? Since the offshore read that I posted it, I got excommunicated from the free play offer for spreading the wealth. Pretty funny.

  11. #11
    "A huge advantage play in a live keno game?"

    You think you found a way to overcome the 25% house percentage?

    Do tell...

    *This ought to be good.*
    What, Me Worry?

  12. #12
    Originally Posted by MisterV View Post
    "A huge advantage play in a live keno game?"

    You think you found a way to overcome the 25% house percentage?

    Do tell...

    *This ought to be good.*

    I don't know if there is some standard payable for live keno but video keno (the vanilla kinda, not Caveman keno etc.) can go as low as 6.x%.

    But also this is live keno so it may be some procedural error like allowing you to choose numbers after the first has already been called.

  13. #13
    Originally Posted by smurgerburger View Post
    I don't know if there is some standard payable for live keno but video keno (the vanilla kinda, not Caveman keno etc.) can go as low as 6.x%.
    This (video) pay schedule exists at some of the looser casinos. South Point, etc:

    Name:  video keno pays.png
Views: 456
Size:  3.1 KB

    The 6-spot above is 5.01% house edge.

    Often you'll see the schedule trimmed to 3/4/70/1600, which is 7.33% HE.

    Wizard has a scouting guide which mentions a couple of selections <5% HE. Cleopatra Keno can pay 95.25 on the 4-spot, and Caveman Keno 8x can pay 95.36 also on the 4. I haven't looked to see whether they exist in the wild.

    Mathematically it doesn't matter which numbers you pick, but my next-door neighbor has had her best results on patterns in the shape of a bunny rabbit.

  14. #14
    It could be given here without stating the casino. That would do lots towards not neutering the play. Seems like most exploiting would be done by math at all levels which makes me wondethus. why this is so strange.

    But yes reach out to Rob Singer. Outside of tableplay he is the most solid mathematician on here. Speaking of Singer I was going to ask him to give us another peek into his life as this place has become rather dead.
    It is official. Redietz will never be on Dan Druff's podcast. "too much integrity"

  15. #15
    Originally Posted by unowme View Post
    only coach belly has any intellectual curiosity.
    First time I've been accused of that.

  16. #16
    Originally Posted by accountinquestion View Post
    It could be given here without stating the casino. That would do lots towards not neutering the play. Seems like most exploiting would be done by math at all levels which makes me wondethus. why this is so strange.

    But yes reach out to Rob Singer. Outside of tableplay he is the most solid mathematician on here. Speaking of Singer I was going to ask him to give us another peek into his life as this place has become rather dead.
    Yeah, the tunnel dwelling surfer male prostitute fraud pretty much went full retard with his latest claims about 2 news stations featuring his backroom story. Despite being the number one liar he certainly lacks the entertainment factor Singer has.
    FraudJ's word is worth less than the prop cash in Singer's safe...RIP

  17. #17
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    Originally Posted by unowme View Post
    What a disappointment. i thought you all were a bunch of sharps looking for an edge. And I come here offering to share my discovery with the group and only coach belly has any intellectual curiosity. I guess you're all more interested in insulting each other than discussing how to take advantage of a flawed game.

    Since there doesn't appear to be anyone else who is interested in the potential for free money, I guess I'll just have to share what I have found only with 'coach belly' via private message. I only ask that he review my findings and report back to this thread that indeed "I found a huge advantage play in a live keno game" exactly as I stated in the first sentence of this thread. Maybe I'll give it one more day in the off chance there's another 'playa' here.
    Don't feel bad. I posted about an offshore sports book that offered up to matching $200 free play back if you lost the Monday Night game. And they were doing it every week! Nobody even said "Thanks!"

    The result? Since the offshore read that I posted it, I got excommunicated from the free play offer for spreading the wealth. Pretty funny.
    Isn't one of your common criticisms of us that we don't post under our real names? I'm not saying that's why they put the two together, necessarily, but it sure didn't make it less likely.

  18. #18
    Originally Posted by Mission146 View Post
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    Originally Posted by unowme View Post
    What a disappointment. i thought you all were a bunch of sharps looking for an edge. And I come here offering to share my discovery with the group and only coach belly has any intellectual curiosity. I guess you're all more interested in insulting each other than discussing how to take advantage of a flawed game.

    Since there doesn't appear to be anyone else who is interested in the potential for free money, I guess I'll just have to share what I have found only with 'coach belly' via private message. I only ask that he review my findings and report back to this thread that indeed "I found a huge advantage play in a live keno game" exactly as I stated in the first sentence of this thread. Maybe I'll give it one more day in the off chance there's another 'playa' here.
    Don't feel bad. I posted about an offshore sports book that offered up to matching $200 free play back if you lost the Monday Night game. And they were doing it every week! Nobody even said "Thanks!"

    The result? Since the offshore read that I posted it, I got excommunicated from the free play offer for spreading the wealth. Pretty funny.
    Isn't one of your common criticisms of us that we don't post under our real names? I'm not saying that's why they put the two together, necessarily, but it sure didn't make it less likely.
    In addition to redietz's claim, opening up a gambling account for $200 is simply not worth the time of many of us. Given the fact that it could expose me to him then it us clearly not worth it.

    As a sharp acquaintance of mine suggested to me early on about redietz - it really seems likely he salivates over our names so that he'd have some sort of leverage. That coming from someone (redietz) who seems to lack an understanding of all the various reasons actual gamblers have no desire to reveal their names.
    Last edited by accountinquestion; 01-19-2024 at 12:55 PM.
    It is official. Redietz will never be on Dan Druff's podcast. "too much integrity"

  19. #19
    Originally Posted by accountinquestion View Post
    But yes reach out to Rob Singer. Outside of tableplay he is the most solid mathematician on here. Speaking of Singer I was going to ask him to give us another peek into his life as this place has become rather dead.
    I've known Singer (and I knew Alan Mendelson) since Rob was trolling Las Vegas Advisor Forums 20 years ago. So, my suggestion in the original post to solicit Rob's advice might have been a little sarcasm to brighten everyone's day.

  20. #20
    Originally Posted by unowme View Post
    Originally Posted by accountinquestion View Post
    But yes reach out to Rob Singer. Outside of tableplay he is the most solid mathematician on here. Speaking of Singer I was going to ask him to give us another peek into his life as this place has become rather dead.
    I've known Singer (and I knew Alan Mendelson) since Rob was trolling Las Vegas Advisor Forums 20 years ago. So, my suggestion in the original post to solicit Rob's advice might have been a little sarcasm to brighten everyone's day.
    It runs many levels deep.
    It is official. Redietz will never be on Dan Druff's podcast. "too much integrity"

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