Dan Druff's 2024 MLB picks

[Dan Druff]

Lost yesterday

Last minute:

Yankees (Gil) vs Cleveland (M. Boyd) - Under 8 -115

[Dan Druff]

Buehler alert

I'm going to keep fading his performance until I see evidence that he is right.

Walker Buehler Over 2.5 earned runs +106 (Betonline props section for the individual game, if you need to find this bet)

[Dan Druff]

Won the prop, lost the other

Philadelphia (T. Walker) +117 at Kansas City (Wacha)

[Dan Druff]

Lost yesterday

St. Louis (S. Gray) at Minnesota (P. Lopez) - OVER 7.5 -115

[Dan Druff]

Minnesota -141 vs St. Louis

Why?

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/#!/x/status/1827756909983563882

[Dan Druff]

Minnesota blew it in the 9th. Was up 2-1. Sad!

Today:

Colorado (Feltner) -110 vs Miami (E. Cabrera)

[Dan Druff]

Won above bet.


---


Sorry Walker, but until I see evidence that you've legit recovered from your 2nd TJ surgery, I'm going to keep hitting these.

Walker Buehler Over 2.5 earned runs (versus Baltimore) +106

[Dan Druff]

Won pick above.

Dodgers are sending out Bobby Miller. He struck out 9 Rays last time, but the Rays can't hit. He still coughed up 2 HR. He hasn't yet proven he's "back" since the injury earlier in the yera.

Cade Povich is going for the Orioles, who hasn't had a strong start in the Majors in quite some time. He gave up 5 ER last time out.

Admittedly, the Dodgers are fielding a bad lineup tonight, with the 4-9 spots being a bunch of scrubs (after Ohtani, Betts, Teoscar), so there's a chance they will scuffle against the shaky rookie Povich.

I still think we will get 5+ runs between them in the first 5.

Dodgers (B. Miller) vs Baltimore (Povich) - OVER 5 -110 FIRST 5 INNINGS

[Half Smoke]

-Sorry Walker, but until I see evidence that you've legit recovered from your 2nd TJ surgery, I'm going to keep hitting these.

Walker Buehler Over 2.5 earned runs (versus Baltimore) +106

then you reported:

Won pick above.

but according to the link Buehler only gave up 2 earned runs - is it a mistake__________?_______per the link he gave up 4 runs total but only 2 earned runs


https://www.baseball-reference.com/p...uehlwa01.shtml


.

[Dan Druff]

Oakland (J. Estes) at Texas (Bradford) - Under 8.5 -115

[Dan Druff]

-Sorry Walker, but until I see evidence that you've legit recovered from your 2nd TJ surgery, I'm going to keep hitting these.

Walker Buehler Over 2.5 earned runs (versus Baltimore) +106

then you reported:

Won pick above.

but according to the link Buehler only gave up 2 earned runs - is it a mistake__________?_______per the link he gave up 4 runs total but only 2 earned runs


https://www.baseball-reference.com/p...uehlwa01.shtml


.

That's so strange.

I saw he had allowed 3 ER and someone on my other site saw it too, and congratulated me on the win. I stopped looking at that point.

Something must have changed later. Either it was an error in initial reporting, or a scoring change. Sucks.

Guess it was a loss.

[Dan Druff]

Welcome to another exciting installment of "Druff taking advantage of injured pitchers".

Today our subject is Steven Matz.

He was awful during the first month of the season. Then... he got hurt. For a long time. His return is today, over 4 months later.

His first 4 rehab starts went very well, but his last one did not.

Aaron Civale has pitched fairly well in his last 4 starts, including two zero-run outings in his past 3 games. The Cardinals are not a good team, despite somehow being at .500. Their fan base absolutely hates this team, and has been staying home in recent months.

Normally I don't like big favorites, but I'll make an exception here.


Milwaukee (Civale) -150 vs St. Louis (Matz)

[Dan Druff]

Dodgers against Angels tonight in Anaheim.

Walker Buehler is going. 'Nuff said.

Reid Detmers was terrible during the first two months of the season, then was sent down to Salt Lake, and had a 5.54 ERA and 1.40 WHIP across 78 innings with Salt Lake this season. He has been better over his last three starts with a 1.29 ERA, 0.86 WHIP and 29/7 K:BB across 21 innings, but playing the Dodgers is a big jump from that.

An evenish money bet for these two together giving up 5+ is a good one. Oh, and it's a hot day in Anaheim.

Angels (Detmers) vs Dodgers (Buehler) - OVER 5 -110 FIRST 5 INNINGS

[Dan Druff]

Lost both both.

Tonight:

St. Louis (Fedde) vs Seattle (Bryce Miller) - Under 7.5 -125

[Dan Druff]

Won -- and it was way too close for comfort. 3-1 game after 8. Seattle got 3 in the 9th and threatened more, and St. Louis even got a runner on in the bottom of the 9th. Final score 6-1. Phew!

Today:

San Francisco (Webb) +110 at San Diego (Cease)

[Dan Druff]

Got 2 picks for you. One soon, one later.

The soon is Cleveland over. Cantillo the starter is a scrub, and the White Sox's Shuster is just an opener. It is expected that Nick Nastrini, another scrub, will get the bulk of innings.

The later is another over -- Dodgers. Walker Buehler again, and he's accompanies by the awful Kyle Hendricks.

Cleveland (Cantillo) at White Sox (opener/Nastrini) - OVER 9 -110

Dodgers (Buehler) vs Cubs (Hendricks) - OVER 5.5 -105 FIRST 5 INNINGS

[Dan Druff]

Mets (J. Quintana) at Philadelphia (Nola) - Under 8.5 -105 (up to Under 8 -110 ok)

[Dan Druff]

NY Mets (Megill) vs Washington (Parker) - Under 7.5 -110

[Dan Druff]

Lost yesterday due to Washington giving up a lot of runs

Kansas City (Marsh) +122 vs Detroit (Skubal)

[Dan Druff]

Slumping recently.

Starting soon...

We've got Cal Quantrill who returned from the DL and looked terrible.

We've got Walker Buehler who didn't too terribly last time out, but also walked 5.

Dodgers (Buehler) vs Colorado (Quantrill) - Over 5 -105 FIRST 5 INNINGS