Sports Picks

[Garnabby]

... who was it who said____________I'd rather be lucky than good__________?________________so very, very true.

“One grain of luck sometimes worth more than whole rice field of wisdom.” - Charlie Chan at the Circus (1936)

[Half Smoke]

“One grain of luck sometimes worth more than whole rice field of wisdom.” - Charlie Chan at the Circus (1936)

great quote Garnabby

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one of yesterday's picks - Jalen Duren didn't play - any bets don't count - no action

today - Twins at Orioles -

Manuel Margot under 1.5 hits __________-195

he's gone under that total 11 of 12 times this season and 18 of his last 22 at bats last season

the Orioles starting pitcher is mediocre - the Orioles bullpen is very tough


https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...bcategory=hits

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[Half Smoke]

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prop for today - NBA - Lakers/Pelicans -

Rui Hachimura over 4.5 rebounds -135

he's been over that total in his last 6 games and 8 out of his last 10 games


https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...egory=rebounds

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[Half Smoke]

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one more for today - Warriors/Kings - De'Aaron Fox under 3.5 three pointers made - 155 - he's been under that total in 30 of his last 38 games


https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...ategory=threes

[Half Smoke]

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one more for today - Warriors/Kings - De'Aaron Fox under 3.5 three pointers made - 155 - he's been under that total in 30 of his last 38 games


https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...ategory=threes

I am withdrawing my pick on Fox for today - second thoughts - hope that's allowed____ - he doesn't get a lot of threes - but it's a key game and he's just too good - my bad -

if anybody bet him because of my pick I still think they have a pretty good bet - just not up to par for me

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[Half Smoke]

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today -

royals/white sox -

Martin Maldonado under 0.5 hits_____________-140

he's a very light hitter batting just 0.65 and only 1.91 last season - he's gone hitless in 10 out of his last 12 games


https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...bcategory=hits




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[Half Smoke]

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today - 1:10 p.m.

Angels/Rays

Pitcher Ryan Pepiot under 6.5 strikeouts_______________-145

he's been under 6.5 Ks in 18 of his 21 starts in the last 3 seasons including this one

edit - they just worsened the line to -165 about one minute ago - it's still my pick


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https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...ikeouts-thrown


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[Half Smoke]

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Rangers/Braves

pitcher Andrew Heaney under 4.5 strikeouts_____________-135

he's been under 4.5 Ks in 13 of his last 14 starts

he's facing the Braves - the best hitting team in the MLB (in batting average)

in his last 15 starts he has only pitched over 4 innings in one game - and is very often pulled well before that - current era - 6.75


https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...=pitcher-props

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[Half Smoke]

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Caris LeVert over 11.5 points +102

he's been over 11.5 in 6 of his last 7 games - his last 4 are 16,18,18, and 21 - he averages 14

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https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...ategory=points

[Half Smoke]

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one more for today

Miles Mikolas to allow more than 5.5 hits______________-145

he's allowed more hits than that in 3 out of 4 starts this year and 22 out of his last 34

he's facing the Brewers who are the 3rd best hitting team in the MLB (batting average)


https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...y=hits-allowed

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[kewlJ]

I have been fading Mikolas since halfway through last season. Usually some combination of being against cardinals for game or first 5 innings or betting the opponent team run line over, or betting the over for both teams for the first 5 innings. Anything that can take advantage of the guy giving up 4 or 5 runs in 5 innings.

[Half Smoke]

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one last one for today

Lane Thomas a .195 hitter for the Nationals going under 1.5 total bases________________-180

he's been under that total 15 of 19 times this year

he's facing starter Ronel Blanco of the Astros who has a 0.86 era


https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...ry=total-bases


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[MDawg]

The Gossage—Vardebedian Papers


Two people pretending to place sports bets, both cheating.

[Half Smoke]

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Pablo Reyes slumping for the Red Sox batting just .167 under 1.5 total bases______________-145

he's been under that total in 14 of his 15 games this year

facing Martin Perez of the Pirates who currently has a 2.55 era_____________1:35


https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...ry=total-bases


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[Half Smoke]

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gonna make tomorrow's pick - a non prop pick - early, because I think the line may get a lot worse as we approach game time

Bruins -135 over Maple leafs___________playoff game in TD Garden

Bruins crushed them on Saturday and beat them in all 4 regular season games



https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/leagues/hockey/nhl


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[Half Smoke]

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the pick on Reyes lost

.going to try and get some of that loss back

Darius Vines Braves pitcher tonight - under 2.5 earned runs allowed_________-120

he's played in 6 games in the majors and given up just 10 runs - only played 1 game this year and gave up just one run in four innings




https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...d-runs-allowed


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