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Thread: The Biden-Pocalypse

  1. #21
    Originally Posted by kewlJ View Post
    As I write this at 6am Friday, July 12, today feels like the end of the Biden saga, meaning re-election campaign to me. It feels like by sundown he will not be running for re-election. Being stubborn, Mr Biden could possibly drag it into the weekend, but today just feels like the day to me.
    Biden watch 2. Last Friday I posted the above, noting that it could drag into the weekend. Well then on Saturday, an assassination attempt on ex-President Trump changed everything, buying Biden more time as he was forced to make some presidential comments and speeches.

    Well, now almost a week later, we are back to where we were last Friday. Don't know if it is going to happen Today (thursday) or Tomorrow, or if stubborn old Joe drags us through the weekend, but this is going to happen. It is probably going to take Barack Obama to give him that final kick in the pants, which Obama has been reluctant to do.

    The reason this HAS to happen is the polls that came out yesterday which can be seen at RCP today. They called them swing states, but they included several states like Ohio, North Carolina, which aren't really swing states. But Pa, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, Virginia, plus the previous mentioned Ohio, and North Carolina. In every single poll Biden is down 4-7 points. And here is the really bad part for Dems. Most of these states have senate races, with democratic incumbent senators. And polled separately, the democratic senators are winning every single one of these states. That is proof of President Biden underperforming by 10 points.

    BUT, the elections do not happen separately. Because they happen together, Biden will drag each and every one of these Senators down with him, along with dozens of house races. THAT is why the Democrats have to remove him. Not because he will lose, but because he takes everyone down with him. Maybe Harris will as well, but we don't know that yet. Just maybe she will be a little more competitive and even if she loses, not drag the whole boat down with her. THAT is what the democrats have to find out.

    Oh and the betting Markets are the real indicator that this is going to happen. More so that polls. Polls can be made so say what the polling people want. Betting markets tell where people are putting their money, not their heart.

    And full disclosure: I do have a betting interest in Harris becoming the democratic Nominee, which I made several weeks ago. And it has nothing to do with preference. It has to do with what I felt HAD to happen. Biden had to be removed and they had to go to Harris. They can't jump over her for fear of pissing off the blacks AND losing the 100 million dollars the Biden-Harris campaign has on hand. If they pick her, she can have access to that money. Anyone else can't.
    Last edited by kewlJ; Today at 09:56 AM.
    Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".

  2. #22
    Maybe Uncle Joe can convince Hunter to shoot him, too, in the ear, but with a BB gun not an AR-15, and thus gain sympathy for the alleged "assassination attempt."

    Normally it would be tough to pull this off, what with Joe having Secret Service protection, but given their recent performance in Butler they'd likely miss seeing (let alone stopping) a cement mixer speeding full bore toward our fearless leader.

    Heck, Hunter was his dad's bag man before so why not be his "attempted assassin" next?

    Whatever it takes for the Biden clan to retain power...hello "sympathy."
    What, Me Worry?

  3. #23
    Originally Posted by MisterV View Post
    Maybe Uncle Joe can convince Hunter to shoot him, too, in the ear, but with a BB gun not an AR-15, and thus gain sympathy for the alleged "assassination attempt."

    Normally it would be tough to pull this off, what with Joe having Secret Service protection, but given their recent performance in Butler they'd likely miss seeing (let alone stopping) a cement mixer speeding full bore toward our fearless leader.

    Heck, Hunter was his dad's bag man before so why not be his "attempted assassin" next?

    Whatever it takes for the Biden clan to retain power...hello "sympathy."
    Just an opinion, but I don't think Trump is getting or will get much of a sympathy vote bumps, as say Ronald Reagan did. Everything with Trump is already baked in. 40 some % support him and like him, 40 some percent (slightly more I believe) can't stand him and won't vote for him. And sympathy isn't going to change those numbers.

    What has changed those numbers just a few points, and that is all it takes, is just a few independents feeling like one guy just is not mentally capable of doing the job. Once you remove that nuance, I think you go right back to a razor thin race.
    Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".

  4. #24
    Two things, one of which I'm proud. Not so much the other.

    1) This was written on the 14th. I got most things right vis-a-vis the assassination attempt. I went out on a limb on a couple of observations before most people did, but I know people who shoot (professionally), so thought I was correct. Most of what I said was verified later. A lot of reporting is about getting things right while writing under deadline.

    https://theskepticalgambler.blogspot...of-donald.html

    2) I'm a little embarrassed to be this cold-blooded, but as soon as I realized Trump had survived, I plunked down money on him. I had held off because I always thought Michelle Obama might enter the fray. But I got a couple bucks down at Even money one offshore and another couple hundred down at -190 at Northbet. At the time, most places had it off the board. That is cold, as they say, but it'll finance my next Vic and Anthony's excursion, so what the hell.

    As Rob likes to remind us, we little people can't be choosers.

  5. #25
    You got money down on Trump at Even money after he was shot? Sounds like BS as Trump hasn't been even money for months. But whatever.

    And the you put more money at -190. Good for you. Buy stocks at high point. Great strategy.

    My wagers aren't necessarily about winning. I have one on Harris to win and one on Dems to win. As soon as Harris becomes the candidate, that wager becomes a winning wager with hedging opportunities. My second wager will become a winner as soon as the race tightens for whatever reason....and it will. A hundred different things could happen or be said between now and November that would cause the race to tighten and that is all I need.

    Buy high. Great strategy.
    Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".

  6. #26
    Originally Posted by kewlJ View Post
    You got money down on Trump at Even money after he was shot? Sounds like BS as Trump hasn't been even money for months. But whatever.

    And the you put more money at -190. Good for you. Buy stocks at high point. Great strategy.

    My wagers aren't necessarily about winning. I have one on Harris to win and one on Dems to win. As soon as Harris becomes the candidate, that wager becomes a winning wager with hedging opportunities. My second wager will become a winner as soon as the race tightens for whatever reason....and it will. A hundred different things could happen or be said between now and November that would cause the race to tighten and that is all I need.

    Buy high. Great strategy.
    God, you are such a moron. "Sounds like BS?" When have I ever quoted a number here that was wrong in 10,000 posts?

    Tell you what. I'll bet you 10K, 20K, whatever, that I got Trump at Even money. Or even 1K and a $6.50 cup of Golden Nugget Starbucks coffee.

    Now don't go and die on me or get robbed or have your money stolen in a backroom or something before you make the wager. Todd can hold the funds. Better yet, MDawg can hold the funds. MDawg, you up for this?

    Get the money to Todd or MDawg. I'll meet either and provide the dated "Bet Pending" in person. Unless you survive your latest back-rooming, stabbing, Covid, arm-breaking, or death and can do it in person. I'm flexible. And please tell Count Dracula I said hello. I know many undead, but you and he are my faves.
    Last edited by redietz; Today at 01:54 PM.

  7. #27
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    Originally Posted by kewlJ View Post
    You got money down on Trump at Even money after he was shot? Sounds like BS as Trump hasn't been even money for months. But whatever.

    And the you put more money at -190. Good for you. Buy stocks at high point. Great strategy.

    My wagers aren't necessarily about winning. I have one on Harris to win and one on Dems to win. As soon as Harris becomes the candidate, that wager becomes a winning wager with hedging opportunities. My second wager will become a winner as soon as the race tightens for whatever reason....and it will. A hundred different things could happen or be said between now and November that would cause the race to tighten and that is all I need.

    Buy high. Great strategy.
    God, you are such a moron. "Sounds like BS?" LOL. When have I ever quoted a number here that was wrong in 10,000 posts? I will bet you your net worth that I got money on Trump at Even money after the shooting. And here's the kicker for KJ haters. I bet it at a site where KJ claims to have had an account. Of course, KJ claims many things.

    Tell you what. I'll bet you 10K, 20K, whatever, that I got Trump at Even money. And we can bet another 10K, 20K, whatever, that it's a site where you claim to have had an account.

    Now don't go and die on me or get robbed or have your money stolen in a backroom or something before you make the wager. Todd can hold the funds. Better yet, MDawg can hold the funds. MDawg, you up for this?
    Yeah, the old "I will bet you your net worth", internet forum pissing contest (that has NEVER happened).

    We will just keep track as things unfold and update.

    My two wagers are Democrats win the election @ +240 and Harris to win @ +650 (wish I had bet @ +900 but I didn't)

    You have Trump to win at even money (or so you say) and another bet at -190.

    Easy peasy. We will see how it goes and I will update the day I make any hedging bets.

    I intend to win both my wagers (combined with hedging opportunities, whoever wins the election)
    Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".

  8. #28
    I am so goddamn sick of you, kewlJ. You said, "Sounds like BS as Trump hasn't been even money for months." As if you, some anonymous internet maroon who spews bullshit left and right regarding damned near everything, knows what the odds have been with your omniscient scouting.

    Instead of coming to the conclusion that maybe the guy who has gambled on offshore sites for more years than you've been alive is correct, you decide that it sounds like BS. This from the guy who fakes his own death and makes shit up every other post.

    Put up some fucking money on that BS crack or say, "I was fucking wrong and have too big a mouth for my wallet." Or I swear I will track your ass down, and you will wish you were in the South Point backroom again.

    And unlike Rob or MDawg, I will track you down. Bet on it.

  9. #29
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    I am so goddamn sick of you, kewlJ. You said, "Sounds like BS as Trump hasn't been even money for months." As if you, some anonymous internet maroon who spews bullshit left and right regarding damned near everything, knows what the odds have been with your omniscient scouting.

    Instead of coming to the conclusion that maybe the guy who has gambled on offshore sites for more years than you've been alive is correct, you decide that it sounds like BS. This from the guy who fakes his own death and makes shit up every other post.

    Put up some fucking money on that BS crack or say, "I was fucking wrong and have too big a mouth for my wallet." Or I swear I will track your ass down, and you will wish you were in the South Point backroom again.

    And unlike Rob or MDawg, I will track you down. Bet on it.
    Or I swear I will track your ass down, and you will wish you were in the South Point backroom again. And unlike Rob or MDawg, I will track you down. Bet on it.

    The very same physical threat that Moses made and attempted to implement. AND was banned from this site for.

    What the fuck is the matter and has happened to you Redietz?
    Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".

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