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Thread: Dan Druff's 2024-25 NFL picks

  1. #41
    Originally Posted by MDawg View Post
    AxelWolf already publicly and privately stated that he debunked all of UNKewlJ's fraudulent sports bets claims.

    Originally Posted by MDawg View Post
    What’s crazy about all this is that any normal person would realize that his ever changing story and desperate attempts to put out fires is just confirming that his story is false, and making him look even worse, but a sociopathic liar can’t help himself, and keeps lying just to cover up other lies.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  2. #42
    Minnesota -6 -110 vs Atlanta
    Miami -6 -115 vs NY Jets
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  3. #43
    My big game today is Carolina +13.5 against my Eagles. I rarely bet against the Birds but it is just too many points. Carolina has been playing better last month. I think the Eagles will win but Carolina will hang around. I could also see a backdoor cover with a late Carolina score.

    So that said, it will probably be a blowout. Lol
    Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".

  4. #44
    Good call above on the Panthers.



    Hear me out -- I like the woeful Cowboys tonight.

    - Jake Ferguson BACK

    - Cowboys defense seems to have improved over the past 2 games

    - Cowboys have, in general, looked a lot better the past 2 games

    - Bengals have only beaten the Raiders, Browns, Panthers, and Giants -- all teams with 2-3 victories total. They have yet to beat any team except the very bottom of the barrel.

    - Dallas is at home and you get dog money



    Dallas +198 vs Cincinnati (+4.5 ok)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  5. #45
    Lost Dallas on an awful beat at the very end of the game.

    Today:

    Tennessee vs Cincinnati - Under 46.5 -110
    Denver vs Indy - Under 43.5 -110
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  6. #46
    Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Lost Dallas on an awful beat at the very end of the game.

    Today:

    Tennessee vs Cincinnati - Under 46.5 -110
    Denver vs Indy - Under 43.5 -110

    Two things:

    1) I teased that Titans/Bengals Under myself. Ouch and double ouch. Holy mother.
    2) That awful Dallas beat you mentioned got me the exact score of the Monday Night game, which YouWager rewards by splitting 10K up among everyone who got it. One man's horrific beat is another man's lucky-as-hell financing of some steak dinners.

    That was a terrible loss, by the way. Ridiculous.

  7. #47
    How about this one. Not a terrible bad beat, but I will call it an annoying beat.

    Washington/New Orleans over 44. Saints score with no time left to make the score 20-19. Kicking the extra point ties the game and I still have a reasonable chance for game to go over in Overtime. Going for 2 point conversion and the win and I lose whether they make it or not. Thet went for 2 points, failed and I lost.

    In this era of decisions driven by analytics, in 2024 NFL teams are hitting on 2 point conversions at an astonishing low rate of 31%. So if you go for 2, you have a 31% change of winning, you kick the extra point and go to overtime each team has a roughly 50% chance of winning. So going for 2, bucks the analytics trend and by a pretty wide margin. Is that the right call?

    And interestingly enough, last year 2023, NFL teams hit the 2 point conversation at a 55% clip. So last year going for 2, might actually have been the right decision.
    Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".

  8. #48
    Lost both above, though the Denver one lost by 0.5 and was on pace to win the whole way.

    Soon:

    Las Vegas vs Atlanta - Over 44.5 -110
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  9. #49
    San Francisco -2 at Miami
    Arizona -5 -115 at Carolina
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  10. #50
    Pittsburgh +125 vs KC (+2 ok)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  11. #51
    NY Giants +7.5 -115 vs Indianapolis
    Dallas +295 at Philly (Hurts OUT, Pickett starting)
    Dallas/Philly - Under 38 -110
    Buffalo vs NY Jets - Under 45.5 -110
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  12. #52
    Philly -6 -110

    Redskins have a ceiling
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  13. #53
    How many units are you up or down for the season?

  14. #54
    Do you have a season-long record tracked somewhere, or is it more of a casual posting of picks?

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