Dan Druff's 2024-25 NBA Picks

[Dan Druff]

Easily won the Minnesota pick.

Tonight:

Phoenix at New Orleans - Over 223 -110

[Dan Druff]

Easily won the over above.

Tonight:

I'm going to make my steepest dog moneyline pick of NBA so far.

Lakers are missing Lebron and Reaves, and AD has been suffering from foot problems, which have left him performing inconsistently.

Portland beat the Kings and played the Mavs tough before losing, but have gotten blown out twice in a row against the Clippers and Jazz.

I see an upset tonight as very believable, though don't be surprised if Portland is horrible again.

Portland +230 at Lakers

[Dan Druff]

Lost Portland pick above, even though it was leading by a good margin in the 2nd.

Today:

New York vs San Antonio - Under 223 -112

[Dan Druff]

Portland -3.5 -105 vs Utah

[kewlJ]

Portland -3.5 -105 vs Utah

Oh boy. I already had bet Portland, so seeing an ice cold Dan Druff pick them, makes me nervous.

Happy holidays to you Druff. And keep firing with the picks.

[MDawg]

At this point anyone who thinks FraudJ represents anything truthfully or factually correct is a fool.....RIP

[mickeycrimm]

Trolling this thread is a no no.

[Dan Druff]

Dallas +190 vs OKC (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander questionable with wrist, Dereck Lively OUT)

This is basically betting on Alexander either being out or less impactful.

For sure his wrist is hurting. He has absolutely been crushing it lately, and put up 40 in his last game on 17/26 shooting.

Mavs looked horrendous against the Nuggets last time out (I actually watched the game while playing live poker), but I like their chances to win OUTRIGHT if Alexander doesn't play (or is diminished).

Lively is out for sure, but that's not a huge deal.

[Dan Druff]

Extremely weird and swingy game, but ended up winning (the Dallas one above).

Okay, here's a game pretty much nobody is thinking about today:

Washington at Sacramento - Over 236.5

[Dan Druff]

If you ever wanted to get +11 on Lebron James, tonight's your chance.

Lakers +11 at New York

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/#!/x/status/1885858007176618231

[Dan Druff]

So here's an interesting one.

Charlotte at Portland - Over 227 -110


This line has moved WAY THE FUCK UP, from 220 yesterday to 222 this morning to 227 now.

I meant to bet it at 224.5 and then got distracted. Oops.

So why am I betting it at 227 like a fish? Because obviously Vegas believes this is still going over, and keeps moving the line. This is despite the fact that the o/u betting is fairly even on both sides.

[Dan Druff]

Weird win for me in a 53-point blowout.

Well let's see if I can keep it going.

Starting soon:

Atlanta +115 vs Detroit (+2 ok)
Orlando vs Washington - Under 215 -110

[Dan Druff]

One more

Cleveland vs Memphis - Under 247 -110

[Dan Druff]

Big ouch with the Cleveland game

220 points with 3.5 minutes left, 8 point game

Basket made to make it 10 points, and this seems like a lock.

Nope... frantic scoring next 3 minutes, 26 points.

Went over with 20s left.

Other two split. Wizards under good whole way, Atlanta was seemingly down 4 the entire game, and that’s where they ended up.

[Dan Druff]

Let's go with another Charlotte under.

Here are the points Charlotte has put up, starting with most recent: 88, 88, 115, 100, 86, 89, 102

Not only that, but there's reverse line movement going on, regarding the under.

The line is 17.5, which also makes it unlikely we will see fouling at the end of the game, and there's a good chance starters will be out by then.

Charlotte at Golden State - Under 217.5 -110

[Dan Druff]

Lakers vs New Orleans - Under 229
Lakers totals since 2/19: 197, 212, 223, 206, 213, 208, 210


Brooklyn vs San Antonio - Over 229.5

[Dan Druff]

Lakers vs NY Knicks - Over 231 -110

[Dan Druff]

Detroit +180 at Golden State

[Dan Druff]

I'm going to make a rare NBA playoff bet.

I think the dysfunctional Bucks are done. Especially with Lillard hurting.

Indiana +150 at Milwaukee