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Thread: Worths-while?

  1. #1
    Let's say a cat come up with the way to capture and edge, buckin up against the dices table. Let's say the style is good for +1 unit nets profit per hour, assuming competent crew and the reasonably busy dices table. Would that be the worths-while advantaged play or is the edge too slim, hey hey?

  2. #2
    Diamond MisterV's Avatar
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    I'm no AP nor a math whiz but I've lurked enough to hazard a guess.

    If in fact you can demonstrate that you somehow do have a mathematical edge then sure, it's an AP, and the best way to take advantage of it would be to scale up your bet size.

    As a roller of dem bones I'd be interested in knowing what play you discovered, if you don't mind sharing.
    What, Me Worry?

  3. #3
    Just want to add that this is a strict, bets-flat proposition so no wild progression or bets-spread ramps-up necessary, hey hey.

  4. #4
    Originally Posted by MisterV View Post
    I'm no AP nor a math whiz but I've lurked enough to hazard a guess.

    If in fact you can demonstrate that you somehow do have a mathematical edge then sure, it's an AP, and the best way to take advantage of it would be to scale up your bet size.

    As a roller of dem bones I'd be interested in knowing what play you discovered, if you don't mind sharing.
    I ain't done enough testings, yet. Thus far I test the style buckin up against the Zumma dices testings book, and that's about 300 hour of tables time, hey hey.

  5. #5
    Originally Posted by soxfan View Post
    Let's say a cat come up with the way to capture and edge, buckin up against the dices table. Let's say the style is good for +1 unit nets profit per hour, assuming competent crew and the reasonably busy dices table. Would that be the worths-while advantaged play or is the edge too slim, hey hey?
    You should contact The Lid about this...he knows everythings about the craps.

    PM Barney, hes cans hooks youse ups.

  6. #6
    Profit on small amounts of money added together grow even if the edge is consistent, they grow FAST. Assuming you really want to continue doing this, I’d definitely work on it, but I’d test and refine it some more to make sure it’s worth sticking with.

  7. #7
    This scenario describes an interesting advantage play scenario in a casino setting, likely involving craps (dice game), with a slim but consistent edge of +1 unit net profit per hour. Let's break it down:

    Key Considerations:

    1. Edge Consistency: A steady +1 unit profit per hour is significant in gambling. The edge might seem slim, but over time, it translates to a consistent positive expected value (EV), which is the hallmark of good advantage play.

    2. Bankroll Management: The viability of the strategy depends on the relationship between the profit margin and the variance (risk). In craps, swings can be dramatic due to the nature of the bets. A slim edge would require a solid bankroll to withstand potential variance while realizing the long-term profit.

    3. Practical Time Investment: Earning +1 unit per hour means the play is slow and steady. If you’re dedicating hours to this, you need to weigh whether the return on time invested is worthwhile compared to other opportunities.

    4. Sustainability: Casinos actively look for advantage players, especially in games with edges against the house. Even if your strategy avoids overt detection (e.g., card counting or dice sliding), casino personnel may eventually notice patterns. Ensuring your play stays under the radar is critical.

    5. Unit Size and Scaling: The worthiness of this strategy heavily depends on the unit size. If the unit is $5, that’s a modest $5/hour. If the unit is $100, it’s a significant $100/hour, making the play far more worthwhile.

    6. Crew Dynamics: If a "crew" is involved, the logistics and potential for shared profits dilute the individual benefit. Coordination, trust, and a cut of profits can make a slim edge less lucrative.

    Is it Worthwhile?

    Yes: If the unit size is large enough to justify the time and bankroll required, and the risk of detection or barring from the casino is minimal.

    No: If the unit size is small, the time investment is substantial, or there’s a high risk of the casino catching on.

    Final Word, Hey Hey?

    A steady edge, even slim, is gold in gambling, provided the math supports it and you can manage the associated risks. Just remember, the game isn’t just against the dice—it’s against the house, the clock, and sometimes, your patience. So buckle up, cat, and keep those moves smooth and unseen!
    Finish what you

  8. #8
    Originally Posted by soxfan View Post
    Originally Posted by MisterV View Post
    I'm no AP nor a math whiz but I've lurked enough to hazard a guess.

    If in fact you can demonstrate that you somehow do have a mathematical edge then sure, it's an AP, and the best way to take advantage of it would be to scale up your bet size.

    As a roller of dem bones I'd be interested in knowing what play you discovered, if you don't mind sharing.
    I ain't done enough testings, yet. Thus far I test the style buckin up against the Zumma dices testings book, and that's about 300 hour of tables time, hey hey.
    Okay, I'll bite.

    Where is this Advantage coming from? Is it via promotions, DI, biased dice, or something not standard on most craps tables?

  9. #9
    Originally Posted by Don Perignom View Post
    This scenario describes an interesting advantage play scenario in a casino setting, likely involving craps (dice game), with a slim but consistent edge of +1 unit net profit per hour. Let's break it down:

    Key Considerations:

    1. Edge Consistency: A steady +1 unit profit per hour is significant in gambling. The edge might seem slim, but over time, it translates to a consistent positive expected value (EV), which is the hallmark of good advantage play.

    2. Bankroll Management: The viability of the strategy depends on the relationship between the profit margin and the variance (risk). In craps, swings can be dramatic due to the nature of the bets. A slim edge would require a solid bankroll to withstand potential variance while realizing the long-term profit.

    3. Practical Time Investment: Earning +1 unit per hour means the play is slow and steady. If you’re dedicating hours to this, you need to weigh whether the return on time invested is worthwhile compared to other opportunities.

    4. Sustainability: Casinos actively look for advantage players, especially in games with edges against the house. Even if your strategy avoids overt detection (e.g., card counting or dice sliding), casino personnel may eventually notice patterns. Ensuring your play stays under the radar is critical.

    5. Unit Size and Scaling: The worthiness of this strategy heavily depends on the unit size. If the unit is $5, that’s a modest $5/hour. If the unit is $100, it’s a significant $100/hour, making the play far more worthwhile.

    6. Crew Dynamics: If a "crew" is involved, the logistics and potential for shared profits dilute the individual benefit. Coordination, trust, and a cut of profits can make a slim edge less lucrative.

    Is it Worthwhile?

    Yes: If the unit size is large enough to justify the time and bankroll required, and the risk of detection or barring from the casino is minimal.

    No: If the unit size is small, the time investment is substantial, or there’s a high risk of the casino catching on.

    Final Word, Hey Hey?

    A steady edge, even slim, is gold in gambling, provided the math supports it and you can manage the associated risks. Just remember, the game isn’t just against the dice—it’s against the house, the clock, and sometimes, your patience. So buckle up, cat, and keep those moves smooth and unseen!
    Thanks for the response. As far as risk/variance is concerned so far the style buck up against the worst case down-draw of -72 unit. So figure a 200 units banks-roll would suffice and maybe use the Kelly style stakings plan to minimize risk and maximize profits, hey hey.

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