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Thread: Feedback on Data Analysis

  1. #1
    Hi All,

    I've been lurking for a few months, since I've began pursuing slot AP. Mid October, I began collecting data on my phone for most of my plays. Would anyone be willing to give me feedback on how I've put it together?

    This game is Firelight Eruption. I only have 6748 spins, which I know is not anywhere near enough sampling. How much sampling should I get before being confident about play criteria? This is a game that says "bet multiplier" for the different bet levels. Is it safe to say that the RTP and mechanics are the same between the bet sizes, then?

    I also have data from 2 different casinos for this game. I haven't combined them, because they probably have different RTPs. Is it correct to not combine data from different locations?

    So far, I've entered dollar values within the different bet tabs, then converted the data into betting units. Then, I have a tab that totals all the unit data.

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    Thank you for any advice you have!

    -Fin

  2. #2
    The other points are speculative but for problems of sample size the easiest thing to do is make a graph of the running average to see how smooth the trend line is.

    Also even if the RTPs are different they're probably not that different (e.g. 12.x% vs 14.x% hold is common), and before you reach a certain sample size the aggregated data would still be more accurate than either data pool separately. I would just do it both ways and stick with the aggregated data until the trend lines look smooth enough for the separate data pools.

  3. #3
    That makes a lot of sense, basing the sample size on the running average. I’m surprised that the different rtp’s don’t make much difference for play criteria, but I’ve never actually tested it. Thank you!

    Are there any holes in the analysis? Value of individual feature spin * number of spins built up / average number of main spins to hit said feature. Then add the decimals from each feature to the rtp from the main game to get the edge.

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