Smart Money

[monet]

I'm red hot so far this season.
It's pretty sick.
The Puck Line just keeps covering.
Literally 14-0 in the last 11 days.
Anyways... whatever, I keep waiting for it to end.

4 Teams Today
Bet them how you want.

Hurricanes Puck Line
Jets Puck Line
Blue Jackets Puck Line
Lightning Puck Line.

I really like the Jets and the Blue Jackets.
I have them on a two teamer and a three teamer with the Canes.
A little worried about Tampa but they keep winning.
No biggy.
Nobody betting my picks.
I post for fun when I have the time.

[monet]

Sharks Won in OT.
Cost me 300.
Unfair.
Least Trump Won.

[monet]

2-2 yesterday.
Today isn't bad.
You can bet the Money Line or Puck Line.
I'll probably put down a few hundred on each.

2 Teamer
Capitals
Knights

[kewlJ]

I will be tagging along Monet. I lost some money on election, so could use a nice little parlay win. Good luck to you.

[monet]

I will be tagging along Monet. I lost some money on election, so could use a nice little parlay win. Good luck to you.

Better match ups tomorrow but these games are good enough.

[monet]

2-2 yesterday.
Today isn't bad.
You can bet the Money Line or Puck Line.
I'll probably put down a few hundred on each.

2 Teamer
Capitals
Knights

Capitals Win 3-2
Knights Win 4-2

Nashville got so Fucking Lucky to only lose by one.
I mean, they played hard, but Washington should have scored more.
I knew the Puck Line might be in trouble when the Caps missed that breakaway goal in the second.
And giving up the 2-1 lead 30 seconds after getting it.
I would have won over 8 grand if the Puck Line held up.
I'll have to be happy with winning 2200 and some change.
Tomorrow is Fucking Crazy.
I love 8 teams.
I'm definitely swinging for some fences or goals, whatever, you know what I mean!

[monet]

You don't have to bet all 8 Teams.
You can bet them however you like.
Pick and Choose.
Mix and Match.
You'll have to bet the Puck Line.
Except for the Jets.
You could get away with the Jets Money Line at -150 or so.

Top Three Picks
Wild Puck Line
Rangers Puck Line
Jets Puck Line or Money Line

8 Teamer
Panthers
Devils
Rangers
Canes
Lightning
Stars
Jets
Wild

Sharks can't keep winning.
Impossible.

[redietz]

Hey Monet,

The only football future I have going is Vols at 50-1 to win the whole shebang. They can probably lose to Georgia and still make the playoff, but they'll have to beat Miss State, UTEP, and Vandy. Once they're in, it's a profit at 50-1. It just depends how I handle it

I am currently searching for another college longshot and for an NFL squad. I have no brilliant ideas at the moment. If I come up with one, I will report with The Riddler. Had A&M won last week, I likely would have taken them, but they collapsed in one of the worst second halves I've seen in ages. The way SMU is currently playing, they are a dangerous group. They finally evolved into what I thought they might be from the beginning. Realistically, though, not sure they have enough speed at skill positions to bother any of the SEC teams. SMU reminds me of Ole Miss in a lot of ways. I think if Ole Miss beats Georgia, they are also a dangerous group, but they have to win the game, after which their odds will be shot to hell. So probably a no go.

If the Riddler shows up, I'm on to something. The Riddler, by the way, has made money every single time here, which is ridiculous. LOL. And none of the genius "APs" seem to have noticed. That tells you about the caliber of the "APs" plaguing this forum. They either didn't notice, or think it's no big deal, or don't want to acknowledge it.

The Riddler made money, albeit not always a lot, every single time. Documented, as they say. And went under the "AP" radar. LOL. What a group.

Even my reported Trump future won. But that was me, not The Riddler. So technically that doesn't count. And my favorite response was smurger's, "But you got a bad number." Yes I did. But I had a 48-hour window or so to make the wager, and that was the best number in that 48 hours. Boo hoo.

Classic.

[monet]

Hey Monet,

The only football future I have going is Vols at 50-1 to win the whole shebang. They can probably lose to Georgia and still make the playoff, but they'll have to beat Miss State, UTEP, and Vandy. Once they're in, it's a profit at 50-1. It just depends how I handle it

I am currently searching for another college longshot and for an NFL squad. I have no brilliant ideas at the moment. If I come up with one, I will report with The Riddler. Had A&M won last week, I likely would have taken them, but they collapsed in one of the worst second halves I've seen in ages. The way SMU is currently playing, they are a dangerous group. They finally evolved into what I thought they might be from the beginning. Realistically, though, not sure they have enough speed at skill positions to bother any of the SEC teams. SMU reminds me of Ole Miss in a lot of ways. I think if Ole Miss beats Georgia, they are also a dangerous group, but they have to win the game, after which their odds will be shot to hell. So probably a no go.

If the Riddler shows up, I'm on to something. The Riddler, by the way, has made money every single time here, which is ridiculous. LOL. And none of the genius "APs" seem to have noticed. That tells you about the caliber of the "APs" plaguing this forum. They either didn't notice, or think it's no big deal, or don't want to acknowledge it.

The Riddler made money, albeit not always a lot, every single time. Documented, as they say. And went under the "AP" radar. LOL. What a group.

Even my reported Trump future won. But that was me, not The Riddler. So technically that doesn't count. And my favorite response was smurger's, "But you got a bad number." Yes I did. But I had a 48-hour window or so to make the wager, and that was the best number in that 48 hours. Boo hoo.

Classic.

Hedging and Riddles.
Better than Nothing.
Thanks!

P.S. - I hate locking up money in Futures.
Might as well just dump it into the Stock Market

[monet]

16-4 in this thread for the NHL Season thus far, if I counted correctly.
Two of the losses were winning teams that didn't cover the puck line.
11 Games Today.
I love the Rangers and the Wild.
I picked 8 and gonna add 2 more for value.
Money Line Picks

Blues Money Line
Kings Money Line

Probably won't even bet them.
Just saying.

[redietz]

16-4 in this thread for the NHL Season thus far, if I counted correctly.
Two of the losses were winning teams that didn't cover the puck line.
11 Games Today.
I love the Rangers and the Wild.
I picked 8 and gonna add 2 more for value.
Money Line Picks

Blues Money Line
Kings Money Line

Probably won't even bet them.
Just saying.

Now, monet, if the Vols make the playoffs, I'd have to be a loon to not hedge. Although, as Karen says, "Hedging is for wienies." So maybe you're right. But I'm too cheap to not hedge.

Congrats on your NHL to date. That is spectacular.

You know, I'm supposed to take the Under tonight for Bengals/Ravens. Every mechanical system I use says Under, and the thought of taking the Under in this game makes me so sick I can't do it. Eyeball-wise, I don't think these teams can stop each other on any possession. If you told me the total was 57, I'd say okay, makes sense. The total is 52 1/2. Geez Louise.

[monet]

16-4 in this thread for the NHL Season thus far, if I counted correctly.
Two of the losses were winning teams that didn't cover the puck line.
11 Games Today.
I love the Rangers and the Wild.
I picked 8 and gonna add 2 more for value.
Money Line Picks

Blues Money Line
Kings Money Line

Probably won't even bet them.
Just saying.

Now, monet, if the Vols make the playoffs, I'd have to be a loon to not hedge. Although, as Karen says, "Hedging is for wienies." So maybe you're right. But I'm too cheap to not hedge.

Congrats on your NHL to date. That is spectacular.

You know, I'm supposed to take the Under tonight for Bengals/Ravens. Every mechanical system I use says Under, and the thought of taking the Under in this game makes me so sick I can't do it. Eyeball-wise, I don't think these teams can stop each other on any possession. If you told me the total was 57, I'd say okay, makes sense. The total is 52 1/2. Geez Louise.

You're just costing yourself money when you hedge.
The same could be said when I parlay.
We all have our leaks.
My record from the end of the last NHL Season till today is slightly over 80%.
It's been a heck of a run.
I keep expecting it to end in disaster.
I try to only focus on my posted picks in this thread though.
I think I've proven myself and that parlays can be beaten.
Whatever.

[monet]

You don't have to bet all 8 Teams.
You can bet them however you like.
Pick and Choose.
Mix and Match.
You'll have to bet the Puck Line.
Except for the Jets.
You could get away with the Jets Money Line at -150 or so.

Top Three Picks
Wild Puck Line
Rangers Puck Line
Jets Puck Line or Money Line

8 Teamer
Panthers
Devils
Rangers
Canes
Lightning
Stars
Jets
Wild

Sharks can't keep winning.
Impossible.

Fucking Rangers.
Mafia made the phone call.
Lose 800.
Don't Bother Me.
I'm going to bed.

[monet]

You don't have to bet all 8 Teams.
You can bet them however you like.
Pick and Choose.
Mix and Match.
You'll have to bet the Puck Line.
Except for the Jets.
You could get away with the Jets Money Line at -150 or so.

Top Three Picks
Wild Puck Line
Rangers Puck Line
Jets Puck Line or Money Line

8 Teamer
Panthers
Devils
Rangers
Canes
Lightning
Stars
Jets
Wild

Sharks can't keep winning.
Impossible.

I picked 8 and gonna add 2 more for value.
Money Line Picks

Blues Money Line
Kings Money Line

Probably won't even bet them.
Just saying.

Panthers Win 6-2
Devils Win 5-3
Rangers Lose 6-1
Canes Win 5-1
Lightning Lose 2-1 OT
Stars Win 3-1
Jets Win 1-0
Wild Win 5-2
------------
Blues Money Line Lose 4-2
Kings Money Line Lose 4-2

Not as bad as I had initially thought.
Went 6-2 on the First Eight.
You could argue 6-3 as I had the Jets on the ML or PL.
Welp, I got greedy with "Value" Picks.
Fucking Value Picking Now??
Fuck Off!
So, either I went 6-4 or 6-5 on the day.
I had the Jets Money Line on all tickets.
Jets had a 2:50 second open net chance and blew it.

Here's the real point and what I'm always preaching.
7 Teams had an empty net chance to cover the puck line.
SIX of them scored and covered.
It's ridiculous how I didn't make money on this day.
I didn't realize the Rangers were going to play like a bunch of old women.
Sad.

[monet]

Chin Up.
Another decent day in the NHL

2 Teamer
Leafs Puck Line
Wild Puck Line

4 Teamer
Leafs Puck Line
Capitals Puck Line
Wild Puck Line
Knights Puck Line or Money Line

Pays around 35 to 1 with all Puck Line Betting.

[monet]

You know, I'm supposed to take the Under tonight for Bengals/Ravens. Every mechanical system I use says Under, and the thought of taking the Under in this game makes me so sick I can't do it. Eyeball-wise, I don't think these teams can stop each other on any possession. If you told me the total was 57, I'd say okay, makes sense. The total is 52 1/2. Geez Louise.

Ummm... WTF???
To think I almost bet the under, lol.
Nothing wrong with 69... I guess.

[redietz]

You know, I'm supposed to take the Under tonight for Bengals/Ravens. Every mechanical system I use says Under, and the thought of taking the Under in this game makes me so sick I can't do it. Eyeball-wise, I don't think these teams can stop each other on any possession. If you told me the total was 57, I'd say okay, makes sense. The total is 52 1/2. Geez Louise.

Ummm... WTF???
To think I almost bet the under, lol.
Nothing wrong with 69... I guess.

Nothing wrong with 69 -- LOL.

I did nothing with it. I felt like a moron passing on it for three quarters, then everything went to hell. My long-term mechanical totals systems simply don't work in 2024, given the current state of the NFL. The league set an all-time record for 2-6 teams this year. Basically, the totals get depressed across the league because offenses have been so bad for two seasons, and then when two good offenses play each other, the totals can't really reflect the profile of the game because the teams involved have been in control of other games without having to go balls out to score.

Overs are running at roughly +10 for the year, and I'm not really an Over bettor, so I'm kind of stuck. I'm ahead in the NFL this year, but barely, and it's from teasing Overs. I'm taking terrible teams with backup QBs, but the difference between backup QBs and starters for half the league is negligible, so any totals dips due to personnel changes can be ignored. I wind up teasing the other way, which effectively yields bonus points if the line moves down.

I did do some stupid stuff at FanDuel since my eyeball perception was that the game would be a shootout. I loaded up on players from this game for Thurs/Mon contests. Now the problem is that those contests have very small prizes because FanDuel doesn't want people passing on the Sunday contests when they are positioned to win money in the Thurs/Mon contests. Anyway, I'm sitting 2nd out of 660 in one ($9) contest and first out of 396 in another. This is only worth about $500 because these things are so small. Unlikely I hold those spots (I have three players left on each team), but it's the first time I remember when every player I took both scored a TD AND put up good stats. Doesn't happen often.

[monet]

Chin Up.
Another decent day in the NHL

2 Teamer
Leafs Puck Line
Wild Puck Line

4 Teamer
Leafs Puck Line
Capitals Puck Line
Wild Puck Line
Knights Puck Line or Money Line

Pays around 35 to 1 with all Puck Line Betting.

We went 2-2 on the day as the Caps and Knights got beat.
But our 2 Teamer came through.
The NHL is so easy.
Why??
Because of the Empty Netter.
The Leafs come through winning 3-1 thanks to getting the free goal.
I just got up and haven't cashed the tickets yet.
I lost 3 Hun on the 4 Teamers.
But... I bet 825.50 to win 3,615.40 on the Two Teamer.
So, a profit of 3,315.40.
I'll post the tickets after I cash them.
Too Late to really get down on anything today.
I suppose you have enough to get down on the Canes.
You can either take the Hurricanes with the Money Line or Puck Line.
The Money Line has pretty darn good value at -130.
Fucking Value Bets, lol
DON'T BET PARLAYS... right?

[monet]

I took a shower and thought about it some more.
I'm gonna add in a small 2 Teamer.
You got about an hour to get your tickets in... last call.

2 Teamer
Hurricanes Puck Line
Kings Puck Line

[monet]

I took a shower and thought about it some more.
I'm gonna add in a small 2 Teamer.
You got about an hour to get your tickets in... last call.

2 Teamer
Hurricanes Puck Line
Kings Puck Line

The Second Period was an Avalanched Filled Nightmare.
Lose 300 buckaroos.

I really messed this day up by sleeping it away.
The usual suspects covered.
Rangers, Jets, Leafs and Capitals.
Lose - A - Peg can't stop winning.