Originally Posted by Alan Mendelson View Post
Arc, what you write is nonsense. You can jump up and down all day about the odds and I am telling you, and Singer will tell you, that his system does not change the odds. The expected return will always be the expected return. Does it really twist out your kishkas (Yiddish for insides, guts) that someone can actually walk away from a negative expectation game with a profit, and repeat this?

Simulations are good for the long term but we all have had short term spurts of winning and the "art" (it is not a science that can be proven by simulations) of being able to say "I am going to walk away now" is how you become a winner.

Even at a positive expectation game, if you don't know when to quit you risk losing it all back.
Alan, repeating nonsense will never make it fact. And, this has nothing to do with short term or long term. It has to do with each individual hand being independent. There is no change that occurs between leaving one day and returning another time. If you think you could lose all your winnings by not quitting, you can just as easily lose them the next time you play. There is absolutely no difference between the two times as far as your next hands are concerned. That's what independence means. If you can't see this then you are fooling yourself. The logic is as simple as it gets.

If you don't accept this reality then you must believe that something happens between leaving one day and returning another. Some kind of magical fairy dust gets cast over the machines that now allows you win whereas you were doomed to failure by playing on. Have you always believed in magical fairy dust? Do you have any comprehension of just how idiotic your claims look to any math knowledgeable person? And I'm not talking PhDs, I'm talking high school math.

What a complete and utter farce you have made this forum by claiming absolute nonsense has any validity whatsoever.